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    India's GDP to grow 7.6 pc in FY26 after revamp of calculation framework
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February 27, 2026
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GDP calculation revamp raises official growth estimate and restructures sectoral measurement, affecting fiscal and policy benchmarks.
A methodological overhaul adopting a 2022-23 base year revises GDP computation by introducing double deflation for manufacturing and agriculture, replacing single deflation, and shifting household estimation to regular surveys. The new series integrates administrative sources (GST, PFMS, vehicle data) to better capture informal and fast growing sectors, producing upward revisions to headline real and nominal growth rates, altering sectoral contributions-notably manufacturing and services-and changing fiscal deficit and policy benchmarks that require recalibration of prior forecasts.
February 27, 2026
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Money laundering probe under PMLA progresses as ED seeks statements and attaches assets amid linked bank fraud allegations.
PMLA investigation alleges bank loan fraud by group companies; the ED sought to record the principal individual's statement in a Yes Bank-linked money laundering case but he did not appear and his spouse sought adjournment. The ED has previously questioned the individual, conducted extended interrogation, attached a Mumbai residence under anti-money laundering law, filed multiple money laundering cases against group entities, and formed a Special Investigation Team to probe related instances. A parallel agency registered a fresh criminal case and conducted searches concerning alleged cheating of a public sector bank.
February 27, 2026
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Base-year revision of GDP raises growth estimates and updates methodology using tax and administrative data.
The national accounts have been rebased to 2022-23 and revised by incorporating GST, PFMS and vehicular-registration data to refine GDP measurement. The methodology now uses double deflation for manufacturing and agriculture, more granular deflators elsewhere, and compiles household-sector levels from annual enterprise and labour-force surveys instead of inter-survey proxies, producing revised quarterly and annual real and nominal GDP estimates and altered growth profiles across recent periods.
February 27, 2026
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Foreign exchange reserves dip, driven by declines in currency assets, gold holdings, SDRs and IMF reserve position.
India's foreign exchange reserves fell by USD 2.119 billion for the week ended February 20, lowering total reserves to USD 723.608 billion. The decline was driven by decreases in foreign currency assets (down USD 1.039 billion to USD 572.564 billion), gold reserves (down USD 977 million to USD 127.489 billion), Special Drawing Rights (down USD 84 million to USD 18.84 billion), and the reserve position with the IMF (down USD 18 million to USD 4.716 billion).
February 27, 2026
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Fiscal receipts and expenditure review reports major tax receipts, state tax devolution and primary outlays through January.
Consolidated monthly accounts to January 2026 report Centre receipts at 79.5% of revised estimates-mainly Tax Revenue with Non Tax and Non Debt Capital Receipts-and an increased transfer to States as Devolution of Share of Taxes. Total expenditure is 74.3% of estimates, split between Revenue and Capital Expenditure, with Interest Payments and Major Subsidies forming the principal components of Revenue Expenditure.
February 27, 2026
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DTAA narrowing prompts NRIs to move from traditional offshore structures to IFSCA regulated Gift City USD fund structures.
Tightening of treaty shopping rules under foreign exchange regulation, expanded beneficial ownership disclosure and increased tax authority scrutiny have eroded the cost benefit of Singapore and Mauritius structures, prompting NRIs to consider IFSCA regulated Gift City USD denominated funds. Gift City offers open ended equity funds, Category II AIFs with multi year lock ins and Category III AIFs for active equity strategies; advisers emphasise modelling embedded gains, consulting tax advisors on DTAA applicability, and assessing currency risk, liquidity profiles and the distinction between MOIC and IRR before restructuring.
February 27, 2026
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Pre-trial detention under the PMLA risks indefinite incarceration unless predicate offences and proceeds are judicially established.
The PMLA should not be deployed to permit coercive arrest and prolonged pre-trial detention based on provisional allegations before the foundational facts of the predicate offence and the status of alleged proceeds of crime are judicially established; provisional attachment may be justified to preserve investigation, but arrest and onerous bail conditions must not operate mechanically absent a crystallised, judicially cognisable predicate offence, and statutory powers must be harmonised with constitutional safeguards protecting personal liberty.
February 27, 2026
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Tariff rebalancing: joint statement allows modification of commitments if tariff changes affect the bilateral trade pact.
The joint statement accompanying the interim bilateral trade agreement provides for tariff rebalancing, permitting either party to modify its commitments if the other changes agreed tariff measures, thereby preserving reciprocal balance. This mechanism functions as an operative safeguard to adjust negotiated tariff concessions in response to unilateral tariff actions while the parties finalise the legal text.
February 27, 2026
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Basic salary threshold changes require employers to restructure pay and update payroll systems under new laws.
New labour codes and the Income Tax Act 2025 require employers to reconfigure compensation structures so Basic Pay meets the prescribed threshold, increasing provident fund, social security, gratuity and leave liabilities; update payroll systems and TDS reporting to new rules and forms; effect prompt final wage settlement on separation via automated HRMS workflows; maintain fully digitized statutory records for real time inspections; and extend proportionate statutory benefits to fixed term employees, prompting reassessment of project and seasonal workforce liabilities.
February 26, 2026
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Free trade agreement strengthens market access and builds on earlier economic reforms enabling sustained growth potential.
Economic reforms liberalised foreign exchange, dismantled bureaucratic restrictions and opened the Indian market to foreign investors, stabilising public finances and enabling prolonged economic growth. The recently concluded free trade agreement with the European Union is presented as a further deepening of market integration that builds on those reforms and enhances bilateral market access.
February 26, 2026
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Executive tariff authority struck down; bilateral trade negotiations paused pending legal text to implement tariff reductions.
Presidential tariff authority was found invalid, prompting immediate temporary tariff adjustments and delaying bilateral trade negotiations because the interim framework reducing duties must be converted into a legally binding text before implementation. Chief negotiators' meetings were postponed pending clarity on tariff legality and future orders, and India indicated it will resume talks once tariff treatment is clarified.
February 26, 2026
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Money laundering probe prompts extended questioning and attachment of assets in alleged bank fraud matter.
Allegations of large scale bank fraud and resultant money laundering underpin the probe: extended questioning under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act concerns alleged diversion of funds through foreign subsidiaries and offshore entities tied to a group company. Investigative measures include constitution of a specialized investigation team, attachment of assets under anti money laundering provisions, searches, arrests of former executives, and parallel criminal case registrations alleging bank cheating in separate loan transactions.
February 26, 2026
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Simultaneous insolvency proceedings allowed against principal debtor and guarantor, enabling creditors to pursue parallel recovery routes.
There is no statutory bar under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code to initiating concurrent CIRP proceedings against a principal debtor and its corporate guarantor for the same debt; a creditor's right to realize a guarantee must not be frustrated by requiring sequential insolvency processes, the IBC does not exempt guarantors during pendency of another process, and adjudicating authorities must examine such applications independently, consistent with the principle that a surety's liability is co-extensive with the principal debtor.
February 26, 2026
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Prosecution sanction requirement in PMLA cases accelerates trial after agency files requisite approvals before the special court.
Enforcement Directorate placed competent prosecution sanction and an equivalent CrPC sanction order before the Special PMLA Court to remedy procedural defects identified by the Supreme Court and to expedite trial in two money laundering prosecutions arising from the Aircel Maxis and INX Media matters. The agency's action validates earlier ED chargesheets and aims to overcome delays caused by challenges to PMLA sanction requirements.
February 26, 2026
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Free Trade Agreement negotiations between India and Israel progress, covering goods, services, rules of origin, and digital trade.
Negotiations commenced under a signed Terms of Reference to establish a structured framework for an ambitious Free Trade Agreement between India and Israel, with the first round of talks addressing core chapters-trade in goods and services, rules of origin, sanitary and phytosanitary measures, technical barriers, customs procedures, intellectual property rights and digital trade-and agreeing continued virtual engagements and a further in person round in Israel.
February 26, 2026
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Recovery of real estate regulatory dues intensified, with stricter property-tracing and revenue recovery measures to enforce orders.
The government will intensify recovery of unpaid dues under the Real Estate Regulatory framework by directing district collectors to expedite recoveries, identify and attach defaulting developers' properties across districts, and trace assets using land records, stamp and registration data, property tax rolls, company registrations, vehicle registration records and, where necessary, tax authority assistance; recovery will be pursued through statutory revenue-recovery mechanisms and overseen via periodic reviews by senior administrators.
February 26, 2026
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Tribunal accountability undermined as technical members outsource judgments, prompting urgent tenure and vacancy reforms and oversight action.
Tribunal functioning and accountability are the central concerns: tribunals have become a "no-man's land" lacking accountability and producing questionable orders. Structural defects in the appointment and tenure regime allow technical members to assume chairpersonship and, in some instances, outsource drafting of judgments. The court directed the executive to expedite vacancy-filling mechanisms and granted interim tenure extensions for chairpersons while urging reforms to appointment, training, and accountability processes.
February 26, 2026
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Consumer financing enables AC purchases on Easy EMI, improving affordability but requires checking eligibility and costs.
Guidance advises matching AC capacity and inverter technology to room conditions to avoid high bills and uneven cooling, factoring installation and maintenance costs into total ownership, and prioritising warranty, spare parts, and after sales support. Easy EMI financing options with online eligibility checks, Insta EMI card facilitation, zero down payment offers, and variable promotional terms are available, but buyers must verify precise loan limits, service availability, and partner store conditions before purchase.
February 26, 2026
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Bank fraud allegations prompt fresh probe into diversion of loan funds and related money laundering inquiries.
A central investigative agency registered a fresh criminal case alleging that the promoter and his telecom group diverted and misutilised sanctioned loan funds, created fictitious related party transactions, manipulated accounts, and layered funds to conceal true flows, leading to the account's NPA classification; the bank's complaint and forensic findings allege systematic diversion through group entities and liquidation of investments to effect payments inconsistent with sanction terms.
February 26, 2026
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Unsecured personal loans: flexible repayment and competitive rates available, subject to credit score, income, and eligibility.
Bajaj Finance markets unsecured personal loans with competitive, credit based interest pricing, flexible repayment tenures chosen to manage EMI burden, minimal documentation, online application and expedited disbursal. Loan amounts cover a range of consumer needs and eligibility is determined by nationality, age limits, employment status and a minimum credit score, with rates and approval conditioned on income, employment type, credit profile and repayment capacity. The lender is a deposit taking institution registered with the Reserve Bank and classified as an NBFC D and NBFC ICC.

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DFS, M/o Finance releases Report titled “Socio-Economic Impact Analysis of Incentive Scheme for Promotion of RuPay Debit Card and low-value BHIM-UPI Transactions (P2M)” at Chintan Shivir 2026

February 16, 2026

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Report evaluates effectiveness of Government’s incentive framework in promoting digital payments, strengthening payment infrastructure, and advancing financial inclusion

Digital transactions increase nearly 11 times, with UPI’s share in total digital transactions surging to ~80%, between 2021 to 2025

The Department of Financial Services (DFS), Ministry of Finance, released a report titled “Socio-Economic Impact Analysis of the Incentive Scheme for Promotion of RuPay Debit Card and low-value BHIM-UPI (Person-to-Merchant) transactions” during the Chintan Shivir held on 13th–14th February 2026.

The study has been carried out by an independent third-party research agency in consultation with the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI). The analysis evaluates the effectiveness of the Government’s incentive framework in promoting digital payments, strengthening payment infrastructure, and advancing financial inclusion across the country.

The Incentive Scheme was conceptualised as part of the Government of India’s broader policy objective of accelerating universal adoption of digital payments, reducing dependence on cash, and formalising routine economic activity. Introduced in FY 2021–22 and continued through FY 2024–25, the scheme provided structured budgetary support to acquiring banks and ecosystem participants to ensure that digital payments remained affordable, accessible, and sustainable for citizens and merchants alike.

The socio-economic impact analysis is based on an extensive primary survey covering 10,378 respondents across 15 States, including 6,167 users, 2,199 merchants, and 2,012 service providers, representing the key stakeholders of India’s digital payments ecosystem along with in-depth secondary research. The study adopted a comprehensive sampling framework spanning five geographical zones- North, South, East, West, and North-East- covering urban and semi-urban locations. Fieldwork was conducted between 22nd July and 25th August 2025 using face-to-face Computer Assisted Personal Interviews (CAPI) to ensure accuracy, reliability, and high-quality data collection.

Key Findings

The evaluation indicates a significant and sustained increase in the adoption of digital payments across diverse socio-economic segments. Among surveyed users UPI has emerged as the most preferred mode of transaction, accounting for 57%, surpassing cash transactions at 38%, primarily due to ease of use and instant fund transfer capability.

Digital payments now dominate everyday transaction behaviour, with 65% of UPI users reporting multiple digital transactions per day. Preference for UPI is particularly pronounced among younger users in the 18–25 age group, where adoption stands at 66%, indicating strong behavioural shift toward digital-first financial habits.

The study finds that 90% of users reported increased confidence in digital payments after using UPI and RuPay cards, accompanied by a marked decline in cash usage and ATM withdrawals. Cashback incentives were identified as a key motivation for adoption by 52% of users, while 74% cited speed of payment as the primary advantage.

Among merchants, digital acceptance has reached near universality, with 94% small merchants reporting adoption of UPI. About 72% expressed satisfaction with digital payments, citing faster transactions, improved record-keeping, and operational convenience, while 57% reported an increase in sales following digital adoption.

The report highlights that incentives have played a critical role in reducing cost barriers for merchants and acquiring banks, accelerating merchant onboarding, and building trust in digital payment systems across income groups and geographies. Coordinated efforts of the Government, NPCI, banks, fintech players, and payment service providers have collectively strengthened India’s digital payments ecosystem and advanced the vision of a less-cash, digitally empowered economy.

Significant expansion in digital payments and infrastructure has been observed during the implementation period of the scheme. Digital transactions increased nearly 11 times, with UPI’s share in total digital transactions surging to ~80%, establishing it as the primary payment rail. UPI QR deployment also expanded dramatically from 9.3 crore to ~65.8 crore, enabling widespread merchant acceptance. Reflecting renewed fintech and bank participation, third-party app providers rebounded from 16 to 38, further strengthening the ecosystem. Operational scale-up has been equally notable. The number of banks operational on the UPI platform rose from 216 in March 2021 to 661 by March 2025. The behavioural shift toward digital payments is increasingly evident. The period also witnessed decline in the share of lower-denomination currency notes as well as ATM withdrawals, reflecting growing reliance on low-ticket digital transactions.

The Government’s budgetary support of ₹8,276 crore for the scheme has been significant, with incentive disbursements of ₹1,389 crore in FY 2021–22, ₹2,210 crore in FY 2022–23, ₹3,631 crore in FY 2023–24, and ₹1,046 crore in FY 2024–25. These disbursements supported banks, payment system operators, and app providers in scaling low-value digital transactions across the country.

Beyond transactional growth, the study notes broader socio-economic benefits of digital payments, including increased formalisation of the economy leading to creation of digital footprints, enhanced transparency, improved business efficiency, and stimulus to fintech innovation. Digital payments are enabling greater financial participation while supporting a resilient and competitive digital economy.

Way Forward

While the scheme has delivered strong outcomes in UPI adoption and digital infrastructure expansion, the report identifies the need for targeted interventions to strengthen RuPay debit card usage, particularly in rural and semi-urban areas. Recommendations include focused merchant enablement programmes, promotion of low-value transactions through solutions such as UPI Lite, and continued investment in connectivity, digital literacy, and fraud risk mitigation.

The findings of the Socio-Economic Impact Analysis are expected to add value in future policy design and ensure continuity of support for India’s digital payments ecosystem. The report reinforces the Government’s commitment to building resilient, inclusive, and secure digital public infrastructure that supports economic growth and financial inclusion. Read the full report at

https://financialservices.gov.in/beta/sites/default/files/socio-economic-impact-incentive-scheme.pdf

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