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August 5, 2026
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Services-sector growth slowed as weaker demand, competition and postponed orders moderated business activity, while employment improved modestly.
Services-sector growth slowed as domestic and export orders moderated amid weaker demand, competitive pressures, softer market conditions and postponed orders. Output continued to expand, but at its weakest pace in more than four years. Employment growth improved modestly, while input costs rose and firms increased selling prices. Business confidence remained positive but declined, and the composite output indicator weakened due principally to the sharp slowdown in services activity.
August 5, 2026
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Interim bail conditions require residence outside the state and trial attendance in alleged manpower commission corruption proceedings.
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August 5, 2026
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Tax certainty measures revise fund-management safe harbours, electronic-payment charges, sectoral exemptions, business-trust treatment, and excess expenditure appropriation.
The Taxation and Other Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2026 proposes to replace the Income-tax (Amendment) Ordinance, 2026 and amend payment-system and tax laws. It would prohibit charges on notified electronic payments, revise safe-harbour conditions for eligible investment funds and fund managers, and expand tax exemptions for Government securities, qualifying rough-diamond sales and bonded-warehouse component storage. It also modifies exemptions concerning electronic-goods contract manufacturing, data centres and business-trust dividends, while imposing a differentiated surcharge on qualifying special purpose vehicles. A separately included appropriation bill authorises excess expenditure from the Consolidated Fund of India.
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MSME development is linked to collaboration, knowledge-sharing, institutional support and capability building. Industry associations can provide networking, policy advocacy, business intelligence, skills programmes, shared infrastructure and market linkages, while collective procurement, shared logistics, digital commerce and export readiness may improve competitiveness. Women-led enterprises benefit from market-oriented capability development, mentorship, continuous learning, professional networks, capacity-building programmes and institutional support. The Development of Industry Associations initiative is intended to connect associations and facilitate the sharing of best practices.
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Monetary policy rate maintenance continues under a neutral stance amid energy disruption, inflation concerns and sustained currency depreciation.
Monetary policy rate maintenance was continued with the repo rate retained at 5.25 per cent under a neutral stance amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions associated with the West Asia crisis. The growth forecast was marginally increased and the inflation projection reduced. Sustained rupee depreciation against the dollar was attributed to costly oil, capital outflows, widening trade deficits and a strong US dollar.
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Monetary policy rates were retained without change for a third consecutive review, with a neutral stance maintained amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions associated with the West Asia crisis. The policy assessment noted retail inflation above the medium-term target, alongside an upward revision to growth expectations and a downward revision to the inflation projection. Continued rupee depreciation was linked to higher oil prices, capital outflows, widening trade deficits and a stronger US dollar.
August 5, 2026
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Monetary policy expectations shape equity sentiment as softer crude prices and foreign investment support domestic financial assets.
Equity market sentiment improved in early trading as lower crude oil prices and foreign fund inflows supported benchmark indices, while investors awaited the monetary policy decision. Softer crude prices, rupee recovery, improving global risk sentiment, resilient economic growth, corporate earnings and sustained foreign portfolio investment supported domestic financial assets, despite continuing global and geopolitical uncertainties.
August 5, 2026
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Foreign exchange market movement strengthens as lower crude prices and monetary policy signals influence the rupee's direction.
Foreign exchange market movement saw the rupee appreciate against the US dollar in early trading, supported by lower crude oil prices, a softer dollar index, domestic equity gains and net foreign institutional investment. Market attention centred on the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy decision, with expectations of an unchanged benchmark repo rate. Policy communication on inflation and developments in Hormuz-related talks were identified as factors that could influence the rupee's direction.
August 4, 2026
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Pending dearness allowance arrears of government employees and pensioners are to be cleared within a fortnight, with restraint on unproductive expenditure until admissible dues are paid. The government states that it will pay constitutionally and legally valid dues while examining the judgment, precedents and possible legal remedies. It attributes the arrears to delayed pay commission implementation and frozen dearness allowance, and states that a structured liquidation plan has been prepared and partly implemented.
August 4, 2026
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A money-laundering investigation under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act examines alleged irregularities in industrial-plot allotments involving corporation officials, private persons, property dealers and alleged benamidars. The inquiry concerns alleged use of fictitious firms and false addresses to obtain plots, allotments to relatives and associates, and alleged diversion or change of land use from industrial to residential purposes. These activities are alleged to have generated private gains while causing loss to the public exchequer.
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Rupee exchange-rate movement gains support from capital inflows, while oil prices, dollar strength and monetary policy shape sentiment.
Rupee exchange-rate movement was supported by foreign capital inflows and improved global risk sentiment, while elevated crude-oil prices and a stronger US dollar constrained gains. Market attention shifted to monetary policy, overseas dollar-deposit incentives and easier foreign access to government bonds, which were reported to support capital inflows and India's external position. A cautious approach to the benchmark repo rate was expected amid assessment of the West Asia conflict.
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Fuel-price volatility is to be mitigated through fiscal and administrative measures that protect consumers while maintaining fiscal sustainability. The approach includes monitoring revenue and expenditure, reprioritising spending, and using fiscal measures when economic conditions require. Reduced central excise duty on petrol and diesel moderated the impact of elevated international crude prices and partly offset under-recoveries of public-sector oil marketing companies. Longer-term measures include revenue mobilisation, import diversification, Strategic Petroleum Reserves, cleaner fuels and energy efficiency.
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Tax policy certainty reforms propose easier fund management, data-centre access, electronics incentives and revised electronic-payment charging rules.
The proposed Bill seeks to simplify conditions for foreign investment funds using fund managers in India without being treated as carrying on business in India, while retaining safeguards against misuse and round-tripping. It proposes removal of approval requirements for foreign cloud companies using Indian data centres and permits leased operation of Indian data centres. It also extends tax support for foreign companies participating in electronics contract manufacturing and component warehousing, preserves tax-free dividends for REIT and InvIT investors in specified circumstances, and removes the prohibition on Merchant Discount Rate charges for notified electronic payment modes.
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Responsible precious-metals recycling is promoted through a commemorative recycled-gold coin intended to support domestic recycling, responsible sourcing and a self-reliant supply chain. The product is described as having certified purity authentication, tamper-proof packaging, a unique identification number and an assayer-certified minted card. The initiative seeks to reduce dependence on imported gold and expand organised, transparent recycling infrastructure. An organised silver buyback programme is also described as supporting secure consumer sales and a circular economy for precious metals.
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Broad-based growth strategy links tax reforms, trade resilience, industrial support and services development to medium-term economic expansion.
The growth strategy combines agricultural productivity, manufacturing, MSME support, infrastructure, logistics, ease of doing business, streamlined income-tax and GST reforms, innovation, digitalisation, human-capital development, energy security, public capital expenditure, foreign direct investment liberalisation, export promotion, fiscal prudence and price stability. Trade resilience is to be strengthened through expanded trade agreements, while manufacturing, services, agriculture and strategic sectors receive targeted policy support. The material also reports secured-asset enforcement cases and recoveries by banks under the SARFAESI framework during FY25.
August 4, 2026
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Co-operative bank governance and financial disclosure support digital transformation, risk management, priority-sector lending and sustainable member-focused growth.
Co-operative bank governance and financial disclosure were addressed at the annual general meeting, where the member-notice agenda was transacted and audited financial statements were presented. The bank reported growth in business, deposits and advances, together with net profit, asset quality, provisioning coverage and capital adequacy indicators. Its operational priorities include digital transformation, risk management, selective network expansion, customer service and operational discipline. Future priorities include retail and priority-sector lending, MSMEs, affordable housing and institutional deposits.
August 4, 2026
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Foreign-exchange market conditions weakened the rupee as oil prices, domestic equities and dollar strength shaped near-term currency expectations.
The rupee weakened against the US dollar amid elevated crude oil prices, weaker domestic equities and a stronger dollar index, while foreign fund inflows moderated the decline. Attention shifted to the central bank's monetary policy meeting, with continuation of the existing benchmark policy rate anticipated. Earlier measures encouraging overseas dollar deposits and facilitating foreign participation in government bonds were reported to support capital inflows and India's external position.
August 4, 2026
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MSME credit expansion combines SIDBI lending initiatives with guaranteed additional working-capital facilities for eligible borrowers.
MSME credit access is being expanded through SIDBI's branch network, direct lending, refinance support, co-lending arrangements, affordable credit for informal micro-entrepreneurs, and invoice-based digital credit for micro enterprises. Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme 5.0 enables eligible MSMEs to obtain additional credit linked to peak fund-based working-capital outstanding, with full guarantee coverage for member lending institutions against defaults on the additional facility. The scheme also covers scheduled passenger airlines under distinct eligibility and guarantee parameters.

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Issues and Challenges in Banking Supervision in the Digital Era - Speech by Shri Swaminathan J, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India, on Friday, January 9, 2026, at the Third Annual Global Conference of the College of Supervisors, RBI, Mumbai

January 12, 2026

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Respected Governor;

Deputy Governor, Shri S C Murmu;

Chairman, Academic Council, College of Supervisors, Shri Arijit Basu; and members of the Academic Council of CoS

Director, CoS, Shri R. Subramanian;

Distinguished speakers, panellists and Managing Directors & CEOs of Regulated Entities;

My fellow colleagues from RBI, Ladies and Gentlemen.

A very good morning to all of you. It is a pleasure to be with you today at the third edition of the annual global conference of the College of Supervisors of the Reserve Bank of India.

2. As we all know, banking is becoming more digital, more connected, and more complex. So, I will use this opportunity to take this one step further and speak about what “Supervision in the digital age” really means on the ground, for us and the supervised entities. How our questions change? How our engagement will change, and what we expect boards and management to demonstrate—before the next incident tests the system!

What changes on the ground for supervisors?

3. Let me start with a simple thought. For decades, supervisors were trained to read balance sheets and inspect processes. We still do that. But today, a bank can look perfectly healthy on paper and still be one incident away from severe disruption. The reason is that the centre of gravity is shifting from the “branch and product” to the “pipes and code”. In other words, stability now depends as much on operational resilience, data integrity, and third-party dependencies as much it does on capital and liquidity.

4. Therefore I would like to dwell upon how has the risk landscape changed in the digital age:

  1. The first is speed. In the digital world, both growth and stress can travel faster. Customer acquisition can be exponential, but so can misinformation, panic, and outflows. Risks that used to take weeks to build can now crystallise in hours. This means supervisory feedback loops must tighten, with early triggers, faster follow-up, and clear escalation.

  2. Secondly, concentration and interdependence. Many institutions may rely on the same core service providers, cloud platforms, payment rails, data vendors, and cybersecurity tools. This creates a new form of common exposure. It is not always visible in traditional financial ratios, but it is very real. For supervision, we need to map dependencies more actively and assess concentration risk at the ecosystem level, not only at the individual institution level.

  3. Third is the growing role of algorithms. AI and machine learning are entering credit underwriting, fraud detection, customer service, treasury, and even internal control functions. This improves efficiency but also raises new questions of accountability, explainability, and fairness. Supervisors need to be able to ask, and entities need to be able to answer, a simple question: who owns the outcome when a model drives a decision?

  4. The fourth is an expanded threat surface and cyber risk. Digital banking increases points of entry, and the adversary is no longer a random hacker. It is often organised, well-funded, and persistent. Even when a bank’s internal controls are strong, a weakness at a vendor, a partner, or a common technology component can spill over. Resilience and recovery must be treated as core capabilities.

  5. Lastly and perhaps most importantly, there are conduct risks in a digital wrapper. Digital lending, embedded finance, and platform-based distribution have significantly improved access and convenience. But we have also seen risks of mis-selling, opaque charges, aggressive recovery practices, and data misuse. In a digital environment, customer harm can quickly become a confidence issue, and that can quickly transform into a liquidity issue.

How supervision must respond: principles before tools

5. Let me now turn to the supervisory response. We certainly need better tools, but we must start with a few fundamental principles that keeps supervision grounded even as technology evolves.

6. The first is technology-neutral, risk-based supervision. We should regulate and supervise activities and risks, not technology brand names. Innovation will keep changing. Our objectives do not and there is no real replacement to human judgement.

7. The second is proportionality. Not every institution has the same complexity, systemic footprint, or technology maturity. The supervisory approach must be risk-based, calibrated and proportional, but without lowering expectations for basic controls, such as cybersecurity hygiene, data protection, and governance.

8. The third is clear accountability. Digital systems can diffuse responsibility between bank, vendor, fintech partner, and so on and so forth. The supervisory approach must be clear: the supervised entity remains accountable for activities conducted in its name and on its rails.

9. The fourth principle is forward-looking supervision. In a fast-changing environment, backwards-looking compliance checks are necessary but not sufficient. We have to be able to spot weak signals early, test resilience before incidents occur, and intervene before vulnerabilities become events.

New Supervisory Focus Areas

10. These principles are not new. What is new is the supervisory mindset we need around them. Supervision must shift from periodic snapshots to continuous awareness. It also needs to move beyond a single institution and take a sharper view of its ecosystem. And finally, we need to move from asking only “did you comply?” to also asking “can you withstand stress, recover quickly, and protect customers when things go wrong?”

11. Let me translate that mindset into four supervisory focus areas that are becoming central in the digital age:

  1. operational resilience and cyber readiness,

  2. ecosystem and third-party dependencies,

  3. governance of data, models and AI, and

  4. technology-enabled, continuous supervision, including better use of SupTech and analytics.

Operational resilience and cyber readiness

12. The first shift is in how we view operational disruptions. In the past, operational risk was often treated as a support function issue. In the digital world, it can become the main event. A few hours of outage, a serious cyber incident, or a breakdown at a key service provider can impair critical services.

13. This calls for deeper engagement with boards and senior management on cyber governance, crisis playbooks, recovery capability, and learning from near-misses. It also means simulations that test decision-making under pressure, not just documentation.

Ecosystem and third-party dependencies

14. The second focus area is the ecosystem around the supervised entity. Critical functions may be hosted by cloud providers, technology vendors, payment intermediaries, outsourced service centres, fintech partners, and data service providers. Collectively, the system can become exposed to a small number of common points of failure.

15. The cross-border element adds another layer. Many providers operate globally, and incidents do not respect jurisdictional lines. The global IT outage in July 2024 is a useful reminder. The lesson is not about any one firm, but about how quickly third-party incidents can transmit disruption at scale, including to well-run institutions. This calls for near real-time cooperation among supervisors.

Governance of data, models, and AI

16. The third focus area is the rise of data-driven decision-making, including AI. From a supervisory standpoint, the question is not whether a bank uses AI. The question is whether it can demonstrate governance and accountability around its use.

17. Two issues deserve particular attention. One is reliance on vendor models and embedded tools, in which the institution may use the output without fully understanding the underlying engine. The second is fairness and unintended exclusion, where data proxies can produce outcomes that appear efficient but are unacceptable. Governance is what allows innovation to scale safely.

Technology enabled continuous supervision

18. The fourth focus area is the supervisory transformation itself. If banking is becoming always-on, supervision cannot remain episodic. This requires on-site and off-site teams to work more closely together, to pick up early signals and for faster follow-up.

19. SupTech can help supervisors identify patterns early, detect anomalies, and focus attention where it matters most. But data quality and data governance remain critically important. With better data quality and right analytics, supervisors can increasingly connect dots across silos.

A sharper customer lens: grievance redress as an early warning indicator

20. Before I conclude, let me add one more point: customer service and grievance redress.

21. In a digital environment, a weak grievance system is not a minor irritation. It is often an early warning. From a supervisory angle, we need to look not only at whether a bank has a grievance framework, but at how it performs. Are complaints resolved on time? Do institutions identify root causes and close them, or do they only manage closures on paper? Do boards see a clear dashboard of complaint trends, repeat failures, and customer pain points? And, is there a proactive and swift remediation?

22. A mature digital financial system does not have zero complaints. Instead, it learns and fixes quickly, and customers can get fair outcomes without running from pillar to post.

Conclusion

23. Let me conclude by summing up what the digital age means for supervised entities and their supervisors.

24. For supervised entities, three messages are important.

  1. First, compliance cannot be treated as a quarter-end activity. With faster cycles, banks will need stronger operational discipline and data governance throughout the year. When an anomaly is flagged, the ability to explain it and fix it quickly becomes a marker of control maturity.

  2. Second, third-party management must be treated as risk management. Institutions will need better oversight of partners, clearer accountability for incidents, and contracts that support audit, access, and resilience. The regulated entity cannot outsource responsibility.

  3. Third, as AI and analytics become more embedded, institutions should be prepared for more intensive supervisory questions on model risk, explainability, and fairness.

25. For supervisors, the bar is also rising. We need to remain rooted in the basics while also becoming more familiar with new risk areas. That means building the right mix of skills, including cyber, IT, data, and model expertise, alongside core prudential judgement.

26. This is where the role of College of Supervisors becomes central. The College is not only about training programmes. It is about building a shared supervisory language, practical comfort through casework and simulations, and the confidence to ask the right questions in new areas.

27. The College also has a broader role as a platform for peer learning, particularly with supervisors from the Global South. Many jurisdictions are navigating similar challenges: rapid digitalisation, first-time customers, platform-based delivery, and fast-changing threat landscapes. Sharing practical experience on what works and what does not is one of the quickest ways to raise supervisory effectiveness.

28. Finally, capacity building is not a one-time effort. Technology and business models will continue to evolve. Threat actors will keep adapting. Our training and supervisory methods must continue to grow as well.

29. Let me conclude. In the digital era, supervision must remain prudent but also become more vigilant, more ecosystem-aware, and more outcome-focused. The intent is not to impede innovation. Instead, it is to ensure that innovation rests on trust, resilience, and customer fairness.

30. I am confident that the deliberations in this conference will help us sharpen our thinking on these issues. I wish you all a productive conference, and I look forward to the discussions. Thank you. Jai Hind.

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