September 23, 2026
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GDP growth forecast rises as domestic demand, investment, and public capital spending sustain economic resilience amid external risks.
India's GDP growth forecast for the current fiscal year is raised to 7 per cent, supported by investment demand, resilient consumption, manufacturing and services activity, lower-than-expected supply disruptions, and sustained capital inflows. Domestic demand, infrastructure expenditure, regulatory reforms, and improving private investment are expected to support growth. Inflation is projected to remain within the central bank's target range, subject to risks from geopolitical uncertainty, commodity prices, and weather-related disruption. Fiscal management is supported by public capital expenditure and robust direct-tax revenue.