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From Oct 1, 2025, GST refund processing uses system risk scores; low-risk claims get 90% provisional sanction

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....From 01.10.2025, refund claims for zero-rated supplies-and provisionally for inverted duty structure claims as an interim measure-will be processed using system risk scores: "low-risk" claims will receive 90% provisional sanction, while non-low-risk claims undergo detailed scrutiny. A proper officer may, with reasons recorded, refuse provisional sanction and inspect the claim. Certain notified categories remain ineligible for provisional refunds and statutory conditions (including non-prosecution requirements) apply. If provisional amounts exceed final admissible refunds, recovery proceedings via show-cause notice will follow. The measures are subject to monitoring by jurisdictional tax leadership and apply to claims filed on or after 01.10.2025.....