February 20, 2026
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Trade deals improve market access and spur investor confidence, supporting growth and fiscal consolidation momentum.
Trade agreements with the EU and an interim US deal are expected to improve market access, boost export competitiveness, and reverse investor sentiment with renewed foreign portfolio investment into equity and debt. Fiscal consolidation alongside stepped up capital expenditure aims to crowd in private investment and support state infrastructure. Concurrently, the Reserve Bank recorded consecutive spot market dollar sales amid rupee volatility and capital flow intermittency, while inflation is expected to remain near target, sustaining a favourable near term growth-inflation balance.