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    RBI keeps rates unchanged, retains neutral stance; outlook uncertain on El Nino, geopolitical risks
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August 5, 2026
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Neutral monetary policy stance keeps benchmark rates unchanged while inflation risks, liquidity management and consumer-protection reforms remain under review.
Monetary policy maintains the benchmark policy rate unchanged and retains a neutral stance, with future decisions guided by incoming data. The central bank remains committed to aligning headline inflation with its medium-term target while monitoring food, fuel and other input-cost risks. Surplus liquidity will be managed through two-way operations, and the regulatory framework for interest rates on advances is proposed to be harmonised and standardised across regulated entities to improve transparency and consumer protection.
August 5, 2026
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Export-only e-commerce inventory framework enables seller exports through registered exporters while requiring traceability, timely payments and domestic-diversion controls.
The export-only inventory framework permits eligible e-commerce entities to export through a registered Exporter-on-Record, which procures goods from Indian Sellers-on-Record against confirmed overseas orders and assumes export and destination-country compliance responsibilities. Inventory must be segregated, digitally traceable and cannot be diverted to domestic sale. The framework requires timely seller payments, visibility of overseas sales and shipment information, proportional pass-through of export rebates and refunds, annual compliance certification and digital records.
August 5, 2026
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Gold smuggling enforcement targets concealed foreign-origin gold, airport control evasion, and illicit railway transport under customs law.
Gold smuggling enforcement operations under the Customs Act, 1962 involved alleged concealment and unlawful movement of foreign-origin gold. At an international airport, an alleged syndicate used an airline employee to transfer gold received from arriving passengers outside Customs and immigration controls, with gold disguised as silver-coloured bracelets. A separate railway operation concerned gold concealed in a specially made cloth waist belt and intended for delivery to a jeweller. The actions addressed concealment, evasion of Customs controls, and illicit transport of foreign-origin gold.
August 5, 2026
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Digital bank-record evidence gains a technology-neutral framework through expanded admissibility, certified authentication, and regulated production of bankers' books.
The Bankers' Books Evidence Bill, 2026, modernises the evidentiary treatment of banking records by extending "bankers' books" to physical, electronic, digital, virtual and cloud-based records. It recognises electronic bank records as admissible evidence, allows production in physical or electronic form, and provides for standardised certificates authenticated by manual, digital or electronic signatures. The Bill also defines "special cause" for compelling bank officers to produce records or testify where the bank is not a party, and permits extension to specified financial-sector entities subject to conditions.
August 5, 2026
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Closing auction price discovery and unchanged policy rates shaped volatile equity trading amid inflation and geopolitical uncertainty.
The Monetary Policy Committee retained the policy repo rate and neutral policy stance while seeking greater clarity on inflation risks from higher energy costs. Stock exchanges introduced the Closing Auction Session for eligible futures and options shares in the equity cash segment to determine closing prices through a more transparent and robust auction-based price-discovery mechanism. Equity markets showed volatile, limited gains amid geopolitical uncertainty, energy-price concerns, profit booking and the new mechanism's introduction.
August 5, 2026
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Pakistan-origin import prohibition covers third-country routing, false origin declarations, forged documents, and trans-shipment arrangements used to evade restrictions.
The prohibition on direct or indirect import or transit of goods originating in or exported from Pakistan extends to goods routed through third countries and falsely declared as having another origin. Misdeclaration of country of origin, false descriptions, forged documentation, and trans-shipment arrangements may contravene that prohibition and invite action under the Customs Act, 1962. Dry dates declared as UAE-origin and Guggul resin declared as Somalia-origin were investigated as goods of Pakistan origin routed through Dubai.
August 5, 2026
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Foreign exchange stability measures support the rupee as policy continuity, capital inflows and global risk sentiment shape currency expectations.
Foreign exchange market movement reflected a rupee appreciation against the US dollar following the monetary policy decision to retain the repo rate and neutral stance. Market sentiment was supported by softer crude oil prices, weakness in the US dollar, lower US Treasury yields and foreign equity inflows. The monetary policy framework sought to support capital inflows and maintain an orderly rupee trajectory, with geopolitical developments and US economic data remaining relevant to near-term exchange-rate expectations.
August 5, 2026
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Money-laundering investigation examines alleged proceeds from chit fund operations following searches linked to a former company managing director.
A money-laundering investigation concerns alleged proceeds of crime arising from a multi-state chit fund operation associated with Welfare Building and Estates Pvt Ltd. The company is alleged to have collected investor deposits through investment schemes promising high returns before defaulting. Searches at premises linked to its former managing director form part of the inquiry into alleged laundering. The underlying alleged fraud had previously resulted in a CBI case and multiple police FIRs.
August 5, 2026
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Political restraint in public communications was urged, alongside adherence to principal-speaker protocol during press conferences and media interactions.
Political restraint in public communications was urged after a social-media remark directed at Sunetra Pawar was criticised as ideologically irresponsible. It was stated that regret alone was insufficient and that leaders should exercise care in public comments. Press-conference protocol was also emphasised: the principal dignitary should respond to media questions, and those seated alongside should not participate in the interaction. Party colleagues were expected to act more responsibly in future media engagements.
August 5, 2026
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Neutral monetary policy stance continues as inflation clarity is awaited, alongside cooperative banking and lending-rate transparency measures.
Monetary policy maintained the benchmark policy repo rate and a neutral stance pending clearer evidence that energy-cost pressures will generate broad-based inflation. Inflation is expected to rise temporarily due principally to food and fuel prices before moderating, while core inflation remains benign. The approach remains data-dependent, supported by two-way liquidity operations. Proposed measures include resuming urban cooperative bank licensing, revising rural cooperative bank credit-monitoring directions, and harmonising interest-rate regulation on advances across regulated entities to improve transparency and consumer protection.
August 5, 2026
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Repo rate stability preserves the policy stance amid lower inflation projections, stronger growth expectations and external-sector resilience.
Monetary policy maintained the repo rate at 5.25 per cent following a unanimous policy committee decision. The growth forecast for FY27 was marginally increased, while the inflation projection was lowered. Inflation conditions remain uncertain because of monsoon, El Nino and geopolitical developments. Liquidity remained in surplus, and external-sector indicators reflected a current-account surplus, buoyant foreign direct investment inflows, renewed foreign portfolio investment inflows, and adequate foreign-exchange reserves.
August 5, 2026
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Polymer currency notes target improved durability as monetary policy remains data-dependent and rupee management pursues an orderly trajectory.
Polymer currency notes are targeted for circulation at the beginning of the next financial year, subject to implementation proceeding as planned. They are intended to improve durability, especially for lower-denomination notes with high circulation velocity. Monetary policy decisions will remain data-dependent and focused on aligning headline inflation with its medium-term target. Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank) scheme inflows are expected to remain healthy until closure, with no proposal for premature termination. Rupee management aims to maintain an orderly exchange-rate trajectory.
August 5, 2026
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Customs anti-smuggling enforcement targets gold concealed as silver-coated armlets following passenger profiling and personal search at airport.
Customs officers intercepted two passengers arriving from Istanbul after Advance Passenger Information System profiling and their activation of the Door Frame Metal Detector. A personal search recovered approximately one kilogram of gold, silver-coated and concealed as traditional armlets worn on the upper arms. The gold was seized under the Customs Act, a smuggling case was registered, and investigation was initiated into the source and any wider smuggling network.
August 5, 2026
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Closing auction price discovery for eligible derivatives shares begins as monetary policy retains the repo rate and neutral stance.
The Reserve Bank retained the repo rate with a neutral stance amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions. Stock exchanges introduced the Closing Auction Session in the equity cash segment for eligible shares with futures and options contracts. This auction-based mechanism determines closing prices of eligible stocks and aims to make price discovery more transparent and robust.
August 5, 2026
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Services-sector growth slowed as weaker demand, competition and postponed orders moderated business activity, while employment improved modestly.
Services-sector growth slowed as domestic and export orders moderated amid weaker demand, competitive pressures, softer market conditions and postponed orders. Output continued to expand, but at its weakest pace in more than four years. Employment growth improved modestly, while input costs rose and firms increased selling prices. Business confidence remained positive but declined, and the composite output indicator weakened due principally to the sharp slowdown in services activity.
August 5, 2026
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Interim bail conditions require residence outside the state and trial attendance in alleged manpower commission corruption proceedings.
Interim bail was granted to Anwar Dhebar in a matter involving alleged corruption and an illegal commission mechanism linked to a state marketing corporation. Conditions require him to remain outside Chhattisgarh, attend the trial court, and provide his residential address. The allegations concern manpower supply agencies allegedly being compelled to pay commissions for clearance of legitimate bills, with proceeds routed through intermediaries. The case was registered under the Indian Penal Code and the Prevention of Corruption Act.
August 5, 2026
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Tax certainty measures revise fund-management safe harbours, electronic-payment charges, sectoral exemptions, business-trust treatment, and excess expenditure appropriation.
The Taxation and Other Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2026 proposes to replace the Income-tax (Amendment) Ordinance, 2026 and amend payment-system and tax laws. It would prohibit charges on notified electronic payments, revise safe-harbour conditions for eligible investment funds and fund managers, and expand tax exemptions for Government securities, qualifying rough-diamond sales and bonded-warehouse component storage. It also modifies exemptions concerning electronic-goods contract manufacturing, data centres and business-trust dividends, while imposing a differentiated surcharge on qualifying special purpose vehicles. A separately included appropriation bill authorises excess expenditure from the Consolidated Fund of India.
August 5, 2026
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Growth and inflation projections reflect resilient domestic activity while energy volatility, supply disruptions, and food prices sustain inflation risks.
Monetary policy projections for fiscal 2026-27 revise real GDP growth upward to 6.7 per cent and Consumer Price Index inflation downward to 5 per cent. Domestic activity is described as resilient amid global uncertainty, but inflationary risks persist from rainfall disruption, energy-price volatility, supply-chain uncertainty, and second-round effects of higher food, fuel and input costs. Core inflation is projected at 4.3 per cent for the fiscal year.
August 5, 2026
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Industry collaboration strengthens MSME competitiveness through shared resources, market linkages, capability building and inclusive support for women entrepreneurs.
MSME development is linked to collaboration, knowledge-sharing, institutional support and capability building. Industry associations can provide networking, policy advocacy, business intelligence, skills programmes, shared infrastructure and market linkages, while collective procurement, shared logistics, digital commerce and export readiness may improve competitiveness. Women-led enterprises benefit from market-oriented capability development, mentorship, continuous learning, professional networks, capacity-building programmes and institutional support. The Development of Industry Associations initiative is intended to connect associations and facilitate the sharing of best practices.
August 5, 2026
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Monetary policy rate maintenance continues under a neutral stance amid energy disruption, inflation concerns and sustained currency depreciation.
Monetary policy rate maintenance was continued with the repo rate retained at 5.25 per cent under a neutral stance amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions associated with the West Asia crisis. The growth forecast was marginally increased and the inflation projection reduced. Sustained rupee depreciation against the dollar was attributed to costly oil, capital outflows, widening trade deficits and a strong US dollar.

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Customs & Trade

Govt sets LPG production targets for refiners; Reliance gets largest quota

August 16, 2026

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New Delhi, Aug 16 (PTI) The government has for the first time fixed maximum cooking gas LPG production targets for individual public- and private-sector refineries and upstream companies, as it seeks to build a domestic supply buffer after the West Asia conflict exposed the country's vulnerability to disruptions in imported cooking gas.

The Petroleum and Natural Gas Ministry, in an order issued on August 13, has specified maximum LPG production levels for 21 refineries and upstream companies, with combined production potential set at 63,810 tonnes a day -- more than double the domestic LPG output in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026 and about 70 per cent of the country's daily consumption.

The production limits will kick in whenever there is a supply constraint.

The lion's share of the planned output has been set from Reliance Industries Ltd's older refinery, which would have to produce up to 18,000 tonnes a day of LPG, according to the order.

India consumed 33.2 million tonnes of LPG in the 2025-26 fiscal year (about 91,000 tonnes per day). Of this, 13.1 million tonnes a year was produced locally (about 35,900 tonnes a day) while the remaining 21.3 million tonnes per annum (about 58,400 tonnes a day) was imported.

This high import dependence of over 64 per cent left the country exposed when the start of the Iran war effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow sealane through which India got 90 per cent of its imports from nations like Saudi Arabia.

With supplies impacted, the government in March ordered refineries to divert streams used for petrochemicals production to maximise LPG output.

It also initially stopped sales to industrial and commercial users and thereafter gradually scaled it up. For domestic households, periodicity of booking a refill was increased, and they were encouraged to shift to piped natural gas, whose supplies were not so severely impacted due to the war.

Domestic production was ramped up to about 55,000 tonnes a day at the height of the crisis, but the emergency orders asking refiners to maximise output were gradually withdrawn after supplies eased from mid-June.

The new order goes further than the emergency one issued during the West Asia crisis by creating facility-wise production benchmarks and requiring refiners and upstream companies to maintain adequate infrastructure for LPG storage, evacuation and transportation. Companies must also pursue technically and economically feasible upgrades to maximise output.

The government has empowered itself to order refiners, oil marketing companies and upstream producers to ramp up LPG production for specified quantities and periods whenever it considers such action necessary to ensure adequate domestic availability, equitable distribution and supply at fair prices.

The production schedule will be reviewed every six months, allowing the government to add output from new refineries and upstream fields and account for additional capacity created through technology and infrastructure upgrades.

The order also requires refiners to consider measures such as converting naphtha into LPG and upgrading fluid catalytic cracking units where technically and economically viable, underscoring the government's push to extract more LPG from existing refining infrastructure.

The government had introduced several emergency measures during the West Asia crisis, including prioritising household LPG supplies and restricting supplies to some commercial and industrial users as imports were disrupted.

The new production framework is aimed at ensuring that a future disruption to overseas LPG supplies does not translate into the shortages and rationing seen during the recent crisis.

Taking lessons from the crisis, the government has now put the country's refineries and upstream producers under a standing framework to maintain and, when necessary, increase LPG output.

Eighteen refineries owned and operated by public sector oil companies have been ordered to produce a total of 31,470 tonnes a day.

In the private sector, Reliance's 33 million tonnes a year domestic-tariff area (DTA) refinery at Jamnagar in Gujarat, products from which are sold locally, has been ordered to produce 18,000 tonnes. No target has been set for Reliance's 35.2 million tonnes a year only-for-exports refinery at the same site.

Russia's Rosneft-backed Nayara Energy's 20 million tonnes a year Vadinar refinery has been asked to produce 4,480 tonnes a day, according to the order.

Upstream gas producers and processors like ONGC and GAIL, who make LPG from natural gas, have been given a target of 6,460 tonnes a day.

"It is hereby ordered that all public sector, joint venture and private sector oil refining companies, and upstream oil companies shall develop, augment and at all times maintain adequate infrastructure for storage, evacuation and transport of Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) either by itself or through other entities viz railways or road tankers adequate for the specified quantities," the order said.

They were also ordered to "implement all technically and economically feasible measures and technologies such as naphtha-to-LPG conversion, gasoline-based fluid catalytic cracking unit to petro-fluid catalytic cracking unit, or other upgrades, to maximise LPG production beyond current minimum producible quantities as specified in the Schedule, with intimation to Centre for High Technology or any other authorised agency, whenever such an upgrade is undertaken." The ministry further said "if Central Government is of the opinion that it is necessary in public interest to ensure adequate availability, equitable distribution and availability at fair prices of domestic LPG, it may by itself or through Centre for High Technology or any other authorised agency, by order in writing, issue direction to oil refining companies, oil marketing companies and upstream oil companies to ramp up the LPG production levels for such quantity and period specified therein, including compliance with any restrictions on alternative uses of input streams required to produce the LPG." Whenever directions are issued, the companies will have to ramp-up LPG production levels within the stipulated time frame.

The central government, the order said, shall update the production Schedule on 1st January and 1st July of every year, including updates to LPG production from new refineries and upstream oil companies or additional LPG quantities from existing refineries and upstream companies due to changes to associated infrastructure and production technology, evacuation, supply, transport or distribution of LPG. PTI ANZ HVA

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