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August 25, 2026
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Retaliatory tariffs on imported goods escalate trade measures, targeting key sectors while maintaining support for affected domestic businesses.
Canada has imposed retaliatory tariffs on United States-origin industrial and consumer goods following increased United States tariffs on Canadian goods. Effective 8 September, the measures apply at rates of 15%, 25% and 50% across more than 700 products, including steel, aluminium, appliances, dairy products, seafood, furniture, clothing, pulp and paper, and electronics. Existing countertariffs on automobiles remain in force. The measures seek to protect domestic businesses and reduce imports, supported by assistance for affected workers and businesses amid risks to integrated cross-border supply chains.
August 25, 2026
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Foreign-exchange market intervention and lower crude prices supported rupee appreciation, while USD/INR remained range-bound amid shifting dollar conditions.
Foreign-exchange market conditions supported rupee appreciation against the US dollar, driven by stronger domestic equity markets, a weaker US dollar and lower crude oil prices. The USD/INR pair remained broadly range-bound, with oil-price movements and Reserve Bank intervention identified as key near-term influences. The special USD-INR foreign-exchange swap facility for FCNR(B) deposits, overseas foreign-currency borrowings and external commercial borrowings mobilised substantial foreign-exchange inflows.
August 25, 2026
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Section 301 tariffs may have lower impact where major exports remain outside their scope amid resilient domestic demand.
Economic resilience is attributed to buoyant domestic demand, increased manufacturing and services activity, improving liquidity conditions, credit growth, investment activity and rebounding foreign capital inflows. Recovery in the southwest monsoon improved kharif sowing and reservoir storage, partly mitigating agricultural-sector risks. US Section 301 tariffs are expected to have a comparatively lower effect because major Indian exports to the United States, including smartphones, petroleum products and pharmaceuticals, remain outside their scope. Foreign direct investment improved with higher gross inflows, while outward foreign direct investment continued to decline.
August 25, 2026
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BIS certification exemptions may be structured for high-tech manufacturers to ensure timely equipment imports and support domestic manufacturing operations.
Mandatory Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) certification requirements for equipment and components used by high-technology manufacturers may be addressed through a proposed exemption framework. Possible exemptions may be structured at the company, industry, product, project or bulk level to support timely availability of imported equipment, goods and services for manufacturing operations. The approach is directed at high-technology industries generally, particularly semiconductor and artificial intelligence sectors, while addressing delays associated with mandatory certification and complex procedures for specialised imported parts and equipment.
August 25, 2026
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Corporate social responsibility should prioritise measurable community outcomes, transparency, capable implementing agencies, and strategic integration with sustainability objectives.
Corporate social responsibility should prioritise measurable community outcomes rather than expenditure alone. Effective CSR depends on community-responsive design, capable implementing agencies, rigorous monitoring, social audits, and transparent use of technology and data. Public sector enterprises may use thematic priorities, convergence with government programmes, and institutional collaboration to replace isolated interventions with strategic CSR. CSR capacity building encompasses legal and regulatory frameworks, governance, project planning, impact assessment, reporting, ESG and the Social Stock Exchange.
August 25, 2026
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Regional rural bank performance highlights improved profitability, asset quality, priority-sector lending, financial inclusion, and digital banking expansion.
Regional Rural Banks achieved prescribed priority-sector lending targets and sub-targets, expanded financial inclusion through new Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana accounts, and recorded improvement in profitability, asset quality, and credit-deposit ratio. Digital banking adoption is to be accelerated to improve operational efficiency, customer experience, and banking access in rural and remote areas. Sponsor Banks are expected to strengthen information-technology infrastructure and support increased area-specific credit flows and innovative lending.
August 25, 2026
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Ethanol-blended fuel policy faces calls for consumer-focused review amid sugar supply pressures and older-vehicle compatibility concerns.
Consumer-focused review of the ethanol-blended fuel policy is sought because higher ethanol diversion may affect domestic sugar availability and prices, potentially requiring sugar imports that could reduce claimed foreign-exchange savings from lower petroleum imports. The review should address ethanol and sugar production, domestic prices, imports, and consumer, environmental and economic concerns. Availability of lower-blend fuel alongside E20 is advocated for owners of older vehicles, with consumer choice between E10 and E20 supporting a comprehensive reassessment.
August 25, 2026
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Economic resilience remains supported by domestic demand, manufacturing, liquidity and capital inflows despite external trade and geopolitical risks.
Economic resilience is attributed to buoyant domestic demand, sustained manufacturing and services activity, and double-digit merchandise trade growth. Improved southwest monsoon conditions supported kharif sowing and partly reduced agricultural risks, although geopolitical frictions and fresh United States tariffs remained external risks. Supply-side pressures raised consumer price inflation, while stable core inflation indicated limited cost pass-through. Easing liquidity, credit growth, investment activity and rebounding foreign capital inflows supported financial and external-sector conditions.
August 25, 2026
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Sugar price controls combine raw sugar imports, stockholding limits, and export restrictions to curb retail inflation.
Sugar market intervention combines permitted imports of raw sugar, stockholding limits for dealers and bulk consumers, and an existing export ban to address sharp increases in retail and wholesale prices. Limits on inventories held by trade participants and large industrial consumers are intended to curb speculation and hoarding. Although ex-mill rates declined after the import decision and anti-hoarding measures, the reduction had not yet translated fully into retail prices. The measures seek to supplement domestic availability and restrain practices that may intensify consumer-price increases.
August 25, 2026
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Tariff escalation drives retaliatory planning, industry protection measures, supply-chain uncertainty, and proposed symbolic geographic renaming amid cross-border trade tensions.
United States-Canada trade tensions have intensified after tariffs were imposed on Canadian goods following unsuccessful bilateral talks. Canada is expected to pursue retaliatory measures, potentially using targeted action to protect workers and businesses rather than matching tariffs directly. Further tariff threats concern vehicles, auto parts and steel. Integrated cross-border supply chains in automotive, energy, agriculture and manufacturing face increased costs and consumer-price uncertainty. Consideration of renaming Lake Ontario as "Lake America" has also been linked to the escalating dispute.
August 25, 2026
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Central infrastructure monitoring through PAIMANA-PROJ tracks implementation progress, sectoral priorities, completed works, and integration of newly monitored projects.
PAIMANA-PROJ monitors Central Sector infrastructure projects costing Rs. 150 crore and above across 17 Ministries and Departments. As of July 2026, 1,775 projects with a revised cost of Rs. 37.11 lakh crore were under monitoring, with cumulative expenditure of Rs. 19.26 lakh crore. Transport and Logistics formed the largest monitored sector, followed by Energy. The portfolio included mega and major projects at varying physical and financial completion stages. PAIMANA-CRIP serves as the central infrastructure-project data repository, with most data updated through APIs.
August 25, 2026
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Plant growth regulator quality controls require farmer awareness, licensed sales, quarantine compliance, and protection against uncertified orchard inputs.
Plant Growth Regulator quality control seeks to protect farmers and orchardists from spurious products sold in the open market. Licensed pesticide and fungicide outlets receive application schedules, while farmer awareness is stressed due to purchases of cheaper PGRs that may not achieve expected results. Rootstock imports require quarantine clearance, and uncertified rootstock purchased from the market is associated with disease spread in orchards. Regulatory measures include direct departmental sale of branded chemicals, promotion of weather-based crop insurance, and demands concerning minimum support pricing and Market Intervention Scheme documentation.
August 25, 2026
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Anti-conversion compliance prompts voluntary prayer declarations, alongside food-safety oversight and enforcement against demolition, liquor, and cyber-fraud allegations.
Maharashtra's anti-conversion law has commenced, and churches across the Mumbai Metropolitan Region have sought written self-declarations confirming voluntary prayer attendance without pressure. Food-safety oversight requires cleaning of cricket association eateries before a further inspection. Enforcement matters include investigation into unauthorised shop demolitions allegedly involving misuse of a municipal corporation's name, arrests connected with spurious-liquor manufacture, and a cyber-fraud network allegedly using mule accounts to launder proceeds. A retired High Court judge has been appointed as Lokayukta.
August 25, 2026
Show AI Summary
User development fee rationalisation reduces departure charges and links airport cost recovery to commissioned capital projects during the tariff cycle.
Airport tariff regulation for Hyderabad airport fixes reduced User Development Fee for departing domestic and international passengers from 1 September 2026 through 31 March 2031, with rationalised landing charges. The tariff determination applies the incremental Aggregate Revenue Requirement framework, linking airport-charge cost recovery to completion, commissioning and use of identified high-value capital expenditure projects. A variable tariff plan provides landing-charge incentives upon prescribed qualifying conditions, supporting traffic development and route expansion while requiring cost-reflective, transparent and non-discriminatory aeronautical tariffs.
August 25, 2026
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Rupee appreciation reflects weaker dollar, lower crude prices, positive equities, and foreign-exchange inflows through swap facilities.
Foreign-exchange market conditions supported the rupee's appreciation against the US dollar, driven by positive domestic equity markets, a weaker dollar, and declining crude-oil prices. The USD/INR pair remained within a narrow range, with oil-price movements and potential central-bank intervention identified as near-term determinants. A special USD-INR foreign-exchange swap facility covering FCNR(B) deposits, overseas foreign-currency borrowings and external commercial borrowings had mobilised foreign-exchange inflows relevant to currency liquidity.
August 25, 2026
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Energy supply diversification reshapes India's LPG, LNG and crude sourcing amid constrained Gulf availability and higher logistics costs.
India's energy-import sourcing has shifted towards supply diversification as disruption in the Strait of Hormuz constrained traditional Gulf supplies. United States cargoes have become particularly important for LPG and LNG, while procurement has also broadened to Atlantic Basin and other non-traditional suppliers. Diversification increases costs through longer voyages, higher freight, insurance expenses, tighter availability and higher commodity prices, reflecting a premium for supply security. Crude sourcing continues to rely principally on Russia, alongside resilient UAE flows and increased Venezuelan heavy crude imports.
August 25, 2026
Show AI Summary
Intelligence-led enforcement against illicit trade requires coordinated data-sharing, risk profiling, digital accountability and disruption of organised supply networks.
Cross-border illicit trade enforcement should move beyond isolated seizures to intelligence-led disruption of organised criminal networks. Risk-based profiling, predictive analytics, container scanning and shipment-data analysis should support targeted action against misdeclaration, port-hopping, concealment and digital distribution. Right holders should share specific intelligence with customs targeting mechanisms, and goods entering Domestic Tariff Areas from warehousing and special economic zones require enhanced examination. Digital enforcement should trace suppliers, financial flows, data trails and small-parcel movements, supported by coordinated feedback between online marketplaces, police and customs.
August 25, 2026
Show AI Summary
NRI banking account segregation aligns overseas earnings, domestic income, foreign-currency savings, remittances, and borrowing with cross-border commitments.
NRI banking arrangements require segregation of overseas earnings, India-sourced income, savings, remittances and expenditure after residential status changes. An NRE account holds overseas income remitted to India, with interest exempt from income tax in India. An NRO account is intended for Indian income, including rent, dividends and pension, while FCNR deposits retain funds in a chosen foreign currency. A structured arrangement can align these accounts with domestic obligations, overseas spending, remittances, investments and compliant digital banking access.
August 25, 2026
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Sugar import authorisation and anti-hoarding controls aim to moderate ex-mill prices amid adequate domestic stocks.
Raw sugar imports were permitted, while stock limits were imposed on bulk consumers. States were directed to strengthen inspections, and nationwide flying squads were deployed to identify hoarding and speculative conduct. These measures target sugar availability and distribution across wholesale and retail channels. Ex-mill prices declined following the measures, although wholesale and retail prices had not yet reflected the reduction.
August 25, 2026
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Foreign-currency swap window closure focuses non-resident deposit mobilisation, while ECB hedging support continues for public-sector borrowers.
RBI's concessional Foreign Currency Non-Resident Bank deposit swap window closes on August 31, replacing the previous September 30 cut-off. Separately, the special US dollar-rupee foreign-exchange swap window remains available until December 31, 2026, providing concessional currency-hedging support to public sector undertakings raising external commercial borrowings. SBI expects to mobilise predominantly through deposits from non-resident Indians and foreign investors, with external commercial borrowings also visible.

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Customs & Trade

Brass bands in Beijing make way for sticker shock at home as Trump returns to escalating inflation

May 16, 2026

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Washington, May 16 (AP) President Donald Trump returned from the spectacle of a Chinese state visit to a less than welcoming US economy — with the military band and garden tour in Beijing giving way to pressure over how to fix America's escalating inflation rate.

Consumer inflation in the United States increased to 3.8 per cent annually in April, higher than what he inherited as the Iran war and the Republican president's own tariffs have pushed up prices. Inflation is now outpacing wage gains and effectively making workers poorer.

The Cleveland Federal Reserve estimates that annual inflation could reach 4.2 per cent in May as the war has kept oil and gasoline prices high.

Trump's time with Chinese leader Xi Jinping appears unlikely to help the US economy much, despite Trump's claims of coming trade deals. The trip occurred as many people are voting in primaries leading into the November general election while having to absorb the rising costs of gasoline, groceries, utility bills, jewelry, women's clothing, airplane tickets and delivery services. Democrats see the moment as a political opportunity.

“He's returning to a dumpster fire,” said Lindsay Owens, executive director of Groundwork Collaborative, a liberal think tank focused on economic issues. “The president will not have the faith and confidence of the American people — the economy is their top issue and the president is saying, 'You're on your own.'” The president's trip to Beijing and his recent comments that indicated a tone-deafness to voters' concerns about rising prices have suggested his focus is not on the American public and have undermined Republicans who had intended to campaign on last year's tax cuts as helping families.

Trump described the trip as a victory, saying on social media that Xi “congratulated me on so many tremendous successes,” as the US president has praised their relationship.

Trump told reporters that Boeing would be selling 200 aircraft — and maybe even 750 “if they do a good job” — to the Chinese. He said American farmers would be “very happy” because China would be “buying billions of dollars of soybeans.” “We had an amazing time,” Trump said as he flew home on Air Force One, and told Fox News' Bret Baier in an interview that gasoline prices were just some “short-term pain” and would “drop like a rock” once the war ends.

Inflationary pain is not a factor in how Trump handles Iran ===================================== Trump departed from the White House for China by saying the negotiations over the Iran war depended on stopping Tehran from developing nuclear weapons. “I don't think about Americans' financial situation. I don't think about anybody. I think about one thing: We cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon,” Trump said.

That remark prompted blowback because it suggested to some that Trump cared more about challenging Iran than fighting inflation at home. Trump defended his words, telling Fox News: “That's a perfect statement. I'd make it again.” The White House has since stressed that Trump is focused on inflation.

Asked later about the president's words, Vice President JD Vance said there had been a “misrepresentation” of the remarks. White House spokesman Kush Desai said the “administration remains laser-focused on delivering growth and affordability on the homefront” while indicating actions would be taken on grocery prices.

But as Trump appeared alongside Xi, new reports back home showed inflation rising for businesses and interest rates climbing on US government debt.

His comments that Boeing would sell 200 jets to China caused the company's stock price to fall because investors had expected a larger number. There was little concrete information offered about any trade agreements reached during the summit, including Chinese purchases of US exports such as liquefied natural gas and beef.

“Foreign policy wins can matter politically, but only if voters feel stability and affordability in their daily lives,” said Brittany Martinez, a former Republican congressional aide who is the executive director of Principles First, a centre-right advocacy group focused on democracy issues.

“Midterms are almost always a referendum on cost of living and public frustration, and Republicans are not immune from the same inflation and affordability pressures that hurt Democrats in recent cycles,” she added.

Democrats see Trump as vulnerable ======================== Democratic lawmakers are seizing on Trump's comments before his trip as proof of his indifference to lowering costs. There is potential staying power of his remarks as Americans head into Memorial Day weekend facing rising prices for the hamburgers and hot dogs to be grilled.

“What Americans do not see is any sympathy, any support, or any plan from Trump and congressional Republicans to lower costs – in fact, they see the opposite,” Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer of New York said Thursday.

Vance faulted the Biden administration for the inflation problem even though the inflation rate is now higher than it was when Trump returned to the White House in January 2025 with a specific mandate to fix it.

“The inflation number last month was not great,” Vance said Wednesday, but he then stressed, “We're not seeing anything like what we saw under the Biden administration.” Inflation peaked at 9.1 per cent in June 2022 under Biden, a Democrat. By the time Trump took the oath of office, it was a far more modest 3 per cent.

Trump's inflation challenge could get harder ============================= The data tells a different story as higher inflation is spreading into the cost of servicing the national debt.

Over the past week, the interest rate charged on 10-year US government debt jumped from 4.36 per cent to 4.6 per cent, an increase that implies higher costs for auto loans and mortgages.

“My fear is that the layers of supply shocks that are affecting the US economy will only further feed into inflationary pressures,” said Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon.

Daco noted that last year's tariff increases were now translating into higher clothing prices. With the Supreme Court ruling against Trump's ability to impose tariffs by declaring an economic emergency, his administration is preparing a new set of import taxes for this summer.

Daco stressed that there have been a series of supply shocks. First, tariffs cut into the supply of imports. In addition, Trump's immigration crackdown cut into the supply of foreign-born workers.

Now, the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has cut off the vital waterway used to ship 20 per cent of global oil supplies.

“We're seeing an erosion of growth,” Daco said. (AP) NPK NPK

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