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February 23, 2026
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Trade policy uncertainty after external tariff changes prompts review and rescheduling of bilateral negotiators' meeting.
Commerce ministry is reviewing recent foreign tariff changes and their impact on trade negotiations; the Finance Minister said it is too early to comment and that the negotiating delegation must decide timing for further talks. A planned meeting of chief negotiators to finalise an interim trade pact was rescheduled, and the ministry's Joint Secretary, Darpan Jain, is India's chief negotiator. The government affirmed it will continue pursuing bilateral and regional trade agreements to expand market access.
February 23, 2026
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Bank fraud monitoring: RBI says it is overseeing an IDFC First Bank fraud and finds no systemic issue.
Reserve Bank of India is monitoring an alleged fraud at IDFC First Bank and has indicated no systemic issue. IDFC First Bank disclosed the fraud involved certain employees and others at a Chandigarh branch affecting a specific set of Haryana government-linked accounts, and said the misconduct is confined to those government accounts and does not extend to other customers of the branch.
February 23, 2026
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Forensic audit validity confirmed, enabling banks to proceed with fraud account classification after a higher court quashed a prior interim stay.
Division bench overturned a single-judge interim stay that had restrained banks from classifying certain accounts as fraud, finding the stay illegal and perverse. The banks and an audit firm had appealed, asserting the forensic audit was legally valid and disclosed serious fund siphoning and misutilisation; the prior stay rested on challenges to the audit's compliance with RBI guidelines and the auditor's qualifications, which the division bench rejected.
February 23, 2026
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Tariff authority curtailed, prompting mixed market moves and heightened regulatory uncertainty across trade, crypto, and commodities.
The cancellation of broad presidential import levies removed a central trade policy instrument and prompted immediate market adjustments: equity futures fell, Asian indices were mixed, bitcoin dropped sharply, and precious metals rose. The incumbent plans alternative measures, including a global tariff via executive order and Commerce Department investigations, leaving trade policy and market expectations uncertain while growth, inflation, and corporate guidance continue to influence volatility.
February 23, 2026
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Illegality of presidential tariffs undermines executive tariff authority, prompting legal challenges and reshaping trade negotiation dynamics.
The judicial invalidation of the presidential tariff program undercuts executive unilateral tariff authority and invites legal challenges to successor emergency tariff measures, prompting reassessment of trade negotiations and reliance on discretionary tariffs without concrete balance of payments predicates.
February 23, 2026
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Index of Eight Core Industries shows overall growth, with cement and steel leading while oil and gas sectors decline.
The combined Index of Eight Core Industries rose provisionally by 4.0 per cent year on year in January 2026, with Cement, Steel, Electricity, Fertilizers and Coal recording positive monthly growth while Crude Oil and Natural Gas declined and Refinery Products remained unchanged. The cumulative April-January 2025-26 growth is reported as 2.8 per cent (provisional). The release provides industry weights, monthly and annual indices, notes that January data are provisional and December data final, and explains methodological inclusions and revision practice.
February 23, 2026
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Foreign exchange volatility: rupee strengthened after oil-led dollar weakness, while reserve gains and capital flows shape market risk.
The rupee strengthened in early trade due to lower global crude prices and a softer dollar amid tariff-related uncertainty, aided by a strong equity opening; persistent dollar-buying sentiment and foreign institutional outflows could reintroduce selling pressure. The Reserve Bank of India's rise in foreign exchange reserves to a record level is a material macroprudential indicator affecting market liquidity and perceived intervention capacity under FEMA and central bank reserve management frameworks.
February 23, 2026
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Supreme Court rejection of sweeping tariffs reshapes import-tax authority and prompts pursuit of alternative tariff mechanisms.
The Supreme Court struck down the majority of the President's broad import tariffs, prompting varied market reactions as investors repriced winners and losers; the administration announced alternative measures including an executive-order global tariff and use of Commerce Department trade-investigation authorities, preserving the prospect of import taxation while altering statutory mechanism and temporal limits.
February 22, 2026
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Sovereignty concerns over Indo US trade agreement; alleged tariff and procurement conditions threaten national, energy and data autonomy.
Allegations that an interim trade arrangement with the United States compromises national sovereignty and domestic interests by conceding tariff advantages and large import commitments, harming agriculture and industry. The pact is criticized for limiting energy procurement choices and creating dependency by discouraging purchases from alternative suppliers, thereby threatening energy security and raising inflationary pressure. Concerns also focus on obligations affecting data sovereignty, which are said to risk exposing sensitive data to foreign access.
February 22, 2026
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Trade commitments: EU urges US to honour agreed tariff ceiling and warns of anti-coercion countermeasures and uncertainty.
EU urges the United States to adhere to the trans Atlantic trade agreement and not exceed the agreed tariff ceiling, warning that unpredictable tariff changes harm trade stability and supply chains. The EU noted it may pause ratification and could deploy its Anti Coercion Instrument-permitting trade and investment restrictions, exclusions from public tenders, and limits on foreign direct investment-to defend its interests if commitments are not honoured.
February 22, 2026
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EU-India free trade agreement expands trade and AI cooperation and strengthens supply chain resilience pending final ratification.
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February 22, 2026
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Digital fraud prevention: protect accounts by not sharing OTP or Aadhaar and using authorised re KYC channels.
Individuals must not share OTP, Aadhaar numbers, or bank account details and should change passwords regularly. KYC and re KYC are security measures that must be undertaken only via bank branches, official apps, or authorised platforms because criminals use fake calls, SMS and links to compromise accounts.
February 22, 2026
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PMLA enforcement targets accelerate investigations and timely prosecution filings, urging probes to finish within a short defined timeframe.
The Enforcement Directorate directed acceleration of PMLA prosecutions by increasing prosecution filings and concluding most investigations within one to two years, except in complex cases. Officers must exercise PMLA powers with caution, ensure legally sustainable attachments and penalties, and issue notices judiciously. Operational priorities include tracing illicit assets abroad, targeting misuse of trade channels and insolvency processes for laundering, prioritising digital arrest and cyber fraud work, checking illegal online gaming and share market manipulation, leveraging MLATs, Interpol and extradition, and completing pending FERA adjudications while addressing manpower, cooperation and valuation challenges.
February 22, 2026
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Trade tariffs altered by recent court ruling disrupt interim trade agreement negotiations and prompt rescheduling of chief negotiators' meeting.
The meeting of chief negotiators was postponed to permit assessment of a court ruling limiting executive tariff authority and subsequent US tariff adjustments, which have introduced uncertainty into agreed concessions under the interim trade framework. The framework must be converted into a legal instrument, but finalisation of the legal text and implementation timelines are deferred pending clarification of how additional US tariff layers will interact with existing Most Favoured Nation duties and the ultimate tariff treatment for the partner country.
February 22, 2026
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Data privacy: Appeals on platform data sharing penalty and consent safeguards to be heard, with government party added.
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February 22, 2026
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Congressional authority over tariffs affirmed, but executive invoked temporary trade statute to impose new global import tax.
A majority of justices held that the power to levy tariffs is vested in Congress, voiding a major part of the presidential global tariff program; the President then invoked the Trade Act's temporary emergency authority to impose a new short-term global import tax, a provision never previously used this way, raising questions about the statute's reach and prompting political fallout, calls for consumer refunds, and intensified partisan divisions over trade policy.
February 21, 2026
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Tariff authority: President seeks to impose a higher global tariff using alternate legal powers after court rebuke.
The President seeks to impose a higher global tariff relying on alternative executive authority and statutory avenues requiring Commerce Department investigations, while a separate executive order established a temporary import tax limited in duration and contingent on legislative extension; this raises constitutional questions about the allocation of tariff-setting and taxation powers and uncertainty over funds already collected.
February 21, 2026
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Presidential tariff authority raised a temporary global import surcharge, altering trade deal dynamics and exemptions for critical goods.
The executive invoked trade act authority to impose a temporary global import surcharge, increasing a recently announced ad valorem levy and reserving the right to issue further legally permissible tariffs within a 150 day period; the proclamation excludes specified critical minerals, energy products, select agricultural goods, pharmaceuticals, certain electronics, passenger vehicles and aerospace products, and the surcharge is applied in addition to existing Most Favoured Nation import duties, affecting ongoing bilateral trade negotiations.
February 21, 2026
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Criminal breach of trust: bail denied due to complex fund diversion, risk of evidence tampering and undisclosed antecedents.
Refusal of bail rested on prima facie findings that the NBFC owner-director engaged in calculated, layered diversion of investor funds amounting to criminal breach of trust; investigation remained at a nascent stage with a complex money trail requiring forensic analysis and a real risk of evidence tampering, compounded by the applicant's non-disclosure of prior criminal antecedents and insufficient medical justification.
February 21, 2026
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Presidential authority on emergency economic powers challenged; administration announces higher worldwide import levies pending new tariff rules.
President announced an immediate increase in the worldwide import surcharge to a higher legally framed rate and stated the administration will determine new legally permissible tariffs; this follows a Supreme Court decision holding that reliance on IEEPA to impose sweeping duties exceeded presidential authority and has affected bilateral tariff arrangements under an interim trade framework with India.

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Customs & Trade

60 days of oil stocks, 800,000 tonnes of LPG secured, says govt, dismissing shortage reports as misinformation

March 26, 2026

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New Delhi, Mar 26 (PTI) India has about 60 days of oil stock cover and has arranged one full month of LPG supply, the government said on Thursday, adding that there is no shortage of petrol, diesel, or LPG, calling reports of shortages as a "deliberate misinformation campaign" aimed at triggering panic buying.

Amid reports of panic buying and long queues at petrol pumps and LPG distributors, the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, for the first time since the war in West Asia broke out, released stock details of crude oil, fuels and LPG as it rushed to calm nerves.

Parallely, state-owned oil marketing companies also said there is no shortage of petrol, diesel or liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and supplies remain stable.

In a statement, the ministry said all petrol pumps across the country are adequately stocked and operating normally, with no rationing of petrol or diesel.

With some petrol pumps, especially in smaller towns, finding difficulty in lifting fuel after oil companies put them on cash-and-carry, the ministry said steps have been taken to increase credit to petrol pumps to over three days from earlier allowed one day in order to ensure that there is no shortage of petrol and diesel at any pump due to working capital issues of pump owners.

"There is no shortage of petrol, diesel, or LPG anywhere in the country," it said, emphasising that the country's petroleum and LPG supply situation is "fully secure and under control." Stating that all retail fuel outlets have enough supplies, the ministry called upon citizens not to be "misled by a deliberately mischievous, coordinated campaign of misinformation that is being carried out to spread unjustified panic." While the Iran war has disrupted the supply of half of the crude oil (raw material used to make fuels like petrol and diesel), the country has secured enough crude supplies from elsewhere for the next 60 days. Also, fuel tanks are at optimum levels and can help cover two months of requirements.

On LPG, whose supply has been scarce because of the shutting down of Strait of Hormuz - the conduit which shipped a bulk of Indian supplies, the ministry said 800,000 tonnes of LPG cargoes have been secured and one full month of supply is firmly arranged.

Separately, Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL) put out posts to say their petrol pumps were operating normally and there was no shortage of any fuels.

India, the world's fourth-largest refiner and fifth-largest exporter of petroleum products, has structurally assured domestic fuel availability and continues to supply refined fuels to over 150 countries, the ministry statement said.

"Every Indian refinery (which turns crude oil into fuels like petrol and diesel) is running at over 100 per cent utilisation," it said. "Crude oil supplies for the next 60 days have already been tied up by Indian oil companies. There is no supply gap..

India, it said, has 74 days of total crude oil and fuel stocking capacity.

"Actual stock cover is around 60 days right now (including crude stocks, products stocks and the dedicated strategic storage in caverns) even as we are on the 27th day of the Middle East crisis." "Nearly two months of steady supply is available for every Indian citizen regardless of what happens globally." With the next two months of crude procurement already secured, India is completely secure for the next many months and the quantity in strategic cavern storage becomes secondary in such a supply situation, it said.

"Any representation that India's reserves are depleted or insufficient should be dismissed with the disdain it deserves," the ministry said.

It added that crude supplies remain stable despite tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, with higher volumes from alternative sources offsetting any disruption. Indian refiners are operating at above full capacity, and crude supplies for the next 60 days have already been secured.

The ministry said India currently has about 60 days of fuel stock cover, including crude, refined products and strategic reserves, countering claims of critically low inventories.

LPG supplies are also sufficient, it said, with domestic production increased and import requirements reduced. Additional cargoes have been secured from multiple countries, ensuring steady availability.

The government warned that misleading social media posts and fabricated claims of shortages or emergency measures were being spread to create unnecessary anxiety, and said action will be taken against those responsible.

The ministry said all one lakh-plus retail fuel outlets across the country are open and dispensing fuel without interruption. "Not a single outlet has been asked to ration supply." Across the world, countries are dealing with price increases, rationing, odd-even vehicle restrictions, and forced station closures. Few have declared a 'National Energy Emergency'.

"India does not feel the need for any such measures," it said. "While other nations are rationing, there is no shortage of supplies in India." Calling panic buying as "isolated instances" at "select pumps", it said "they were driven by deliberate misinformation spread by certain videos in social media".

"Despite the surge in demand on such pumps, fuel was dispensed to all the consumers and oil company depots have been operational through the night to ramp up supplies," it said.

The ministry said despite the situation at the Strait of Hormuz, India is today receiving more crude oil from its 41-plus suppliers across the world than what was previously arriving through the Straits.

"High volumes available in international markets - especially from the western hemisphere - have more than compensated for any disruption. Every Indian refinery is running at over 100 per cent utilisation. Crude oil supplies for next 60 days have already been tied up by Indian oil companies. There is no supply gap," it said.

Dismissing as misinformation reports suggesting that India had only six days of stocks, it said the country has 74 days of total reserve capacity and actual stock cover is around 60 days right now (including crude stocks, products stocks and the dedicated strategic storage in caverns).

"Nearly two months of steady supply is available for every Indian citizen regardless of what happens globally. Next 2 months of crude procurement has also been secured. India is completely secure for the next many months and the quantity in strategic cavern storage becomes secondary in such a supply situation," it said, adding any representation that India's reserves are depleted or insufficient should be dismissed with the disdain it deserves.

On LPG, it said there is no shortage.

Following government orders, domestic refinery production has been ramped up by 40 per cent, bringing daily LPG output to 50,000 tonnes (more than 60 per cent of India's requirement) against a total daily requirement of around 80,000 tonnes.

"The net daily import requirement has consequently come down to only 30,000 tonnes - meaning India is now producing much more than it needs to import," it said adding over and above domestic production, 800,000 tonnes of assured inbound LPG cargoes are already secured and en route from the United States, Russia, Australia, and other countries, arriving across India's 22 LPG import terminals - double the 11 terminals that existed in 2014.

"Approximately one full month of supply is firmly arranged, with additional procurement being finalised continuously," the statement said. "Oil companies are successfully delivering over 50 lakh cylinders every day. Cylinder demand had gone up to 89 lakh cylinders due to panic ordering by consumers and has now come down to 50 lakh cylinders again..

Commercial cylinder allocations have been raised to 50 per cent in consultation with state governments to avoid hoarding or black marketing.

On natural gas, it said India produces 92 million standard cubic meters per day of natural gas domestically out of a total daily requirement of 191 mmscmd, making India far less import-dependent on gas than on LPG. And so piped natural gas (PNG) as an alternative to LPG is being considered.

"The claim that PNG is being pushed because LPG is running out is misinformation. LPG supply is secure. PNG is simply a better, more affordable and highly convenient fuel for India's households," the statement said. PTI ANZ MR

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