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February 27, 2026
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Rupee depreciation driven by foreign outflows and rising oil prices puts pressure on currency and equity markets.
Rupee declined against the US dollar due to large foreign fund outflows, higher global crude oil prices and weakening domestic equity markets; foreign institutional investors sold heavily and forex reserves fell in the reporting week, even as a GDP calculation revision raised the growth estimate, highlighting resilience amid external pressures.
February 27, 2026
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Fugitive economic offender arrested abroad; extradition sought under Fugitive Economic Offenders Act and PMLA measures.
A fugitive alleged to have run an extensive investment fraud was arrested in Dubai after an Interpol Red Notice; the Enforcement Directorate submitted an extradition request and dossier through the Ministry of External Affairs citing a prior declaration under the Fugitive Economic Offenders Act and ongoing PMLA investigations. ED actions include filing two chargesheets, arresting associates, attaching assets, and securing court-ordered confiscation, while coordinating with UAE authorities to effect provisional arrest and repatriation for prosecution.
February 27, 2026
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Base year revision updates GDP measurement using new data and methods to better capture household and digital economy activity.
The government implemented a revised national accounts series with a new base year revision to update GDP measurement using contemporary data sources and methods. The revision addresses pandemic and tax system disruptions, will be extended into back series under the new methodology, and incorporates administrative and survey data to improve household sector measurement, private corporate allocation and new economy sectors, plus methodological shifts such as segregation of multi activity corporations and adoption of double deflation where appropriate.
February 27, 2026
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Prima-facie evidence assessment dictates whether complex corruption prosecutions can be sustained on available investigative material.
Prima-facie assessment of available evidence was central to the judge's review of the excise-policy prosecution: the court found the prosecution's material lacked concrete proof and relied on conjecture, and accordingly declined to sustain charges against the accused. The judge's prior decisions emphasize insistence on statutory preconditions for money laundering allegations and close scrutiny of magistrate and summons orders.
February 27, 2026
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Priority sector credit projections guide bank annual plans, prioritising agriculture, MSME lending and rural infrastructure financing.
Projection of priority sector credit potential quantifies exploitable lending needs across agriculture, MSME and other priority segments for the State, with agriculture accounting for the largest share and MSME receiving substantial allocation. Component estimates include crop and term loans, ancillary activities, housing, education, export credit, social infrastructure, renewable energy and agri infrastructure. The assessment is a consultative planning tool to guide banks' Annual Credit Plans and district credit strategies, signalling increased credit absorption capacity and alignment with sectoral priorities and infrastructure requirements to support rural resilience and enterprise development.
February 27, 2026
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Foreign influence allegations challenge political credibility as historic funding and security ties are used to rebut trade criticism.
Allegations claim the Congress accepted funds from the CIA and KGB during Indira Gandhi's tenure, producing policy effects such as an exchange-rate adjustment favoring Soviet imports and the decision not to pursue a proposed covert operation against a foreign nuclear facility; these claims are presented to rebut current criticisms of an interim bilateral trade framework by portraying past governance as compromised by foreign influence.
February 27, 2026
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GDP growth projection revised upward; nominal growth strong and economy expected to expand markedly next fiscal year.
GDP growth for the next fiscal year has been revised upward and nominal GDP outlook strengthened, with officials forecasting the economy will cross the four trillion dollar threshold. The upward revision follows a national accounts base-year update to 2022-23 that integrates new data sources and methodological changes to reflect structural shifts, and it alters nominal GDP levels with consequential effects on fiscal-deficit ratios while leaving key fiscal indicators like primary and revenue deficits and capital expenditure ratios broadly unchanged.
February 27, 2026
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GDP calculation revamp raises official growth estimate and restructures sectoral measurement, affecting fiscal and policy benchmarks.
A methodological overhaul adopting a 2022-23 base year revises GDP computation by introducing double deflation for manufacturing and agriculture, replacing single deflation, and shifting household estimation to regular surveys. The new series integrates administrative sources (GST, PFMS, vehicle data) to better capture informal and fast growing sectors, producing upward revisions to headline real and nominal growth rates, altering sectoral contributions-notably manufacturing and services-and changing fiscal deficit and policy benchmarks that require recalibration of prior forecasts.
February 27, 2026
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Money laundering probe under PMLA progresses as ED seeks statements and attaches assets amid linked bank fraud allegations.
PMLA investigation alleges bank loan fraud by group companies; the ED sought to record the principal individual's statement in a Yes Bank-linked money laundering case but he did not appear and his spouse sought adjournment. The ED has previously questioned the individual, conducted extended interrogation, attached a Mumbai residence under anti-money laundering law, filed multiple money laundering cases against group entities, and formed a Special Investigation Team to probe related instances. A parallel agency registered a fresh criminal case and conducted searches concerning alleged cheating of a public sector bank.
February 27, 2026
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Base-year revision of GDP raises growth estimates and updates methodology using tax and administrative data.
The national accounts have been rebased to 2022-23 and revised by incorporating GST, PFMS and vehicular-registration data to refine GDP measurement. The methodology now uses double deflation for manufacturing and agriculture, more granular deflators elsewhere, and compiles household-sector levels from annual enterprise and labour-force surveys instead of inter-survey proxies, producing revised quarterly and annual real and nominal GDP estimates and altered growth profiles across recent periods.
February 27, 2026
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Foreign exchange reserves dip, driven by declines in currency assets, gold holdings, SDRs and IMF reserve position.
India's foreign exchange reserves fell by USD 2.119 billion for the week ended February 20, lowering total reserves to USD 723.608 billion. The decline was driven by decreases in foreign currency assets (down USD 1.039 billion to USD 572.564 billion), gold reserves (down USD 977 million to USD 127.489 billion), Special Drawing Rights (down USD 84 million to USD 18.84 billion), and the reserve position with the IMF (down USD 18 million to USD 4.716 billion).
February 27, 2026
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Fiscal receipts and expenditure review reports major tax receipts, state tax devolution and primary outlays through January.
Consolidated monthly accounts to January 2026 report Centre receipts at 79.5% of revised estimates-mainly Tax Revenue with Non Tax and Non Debt Capital Receipts-and an increased transfer to States as Devolution of Share of Taxes. Total expenditure is 74.3% of estimates, split between Revenue and Capital Expenditure, with Interest Payments and Major Subsidies forming the principal components of Revenue Expenditure.
February 27, 2026
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DTAA narrowing prompts NRIs to move from traditional offshore structures to IFSCA regulated Gift City USD fund structures.
Tightening of treaty shopping rules under foreign exchange regulation, expanded beneficial ownership disclosure and increased tax authority scrutiny have eroded the cost benefit of Singapore and Mauritius structures, prompting NRIs to consider IFSCA regulated Gift City USD denominated funds. Gift City offers open ended equity funds, Category II AIFs with multi year lock ins and Category III AIFs for active equity strategies; advisers emphasise modelling embedded gains, consulting tax advisors on DTAA applicability, and assessing currency risk, liquidity profiles and the distinction between MOIC and IRR before restructuring.
February 27, 2026
Show AI Summary
Pre-trial detention under the PMLA risks indefinite incarceration unless predicate offences and proceeds are judicially established.
The PMLA should not be deployed to permit coercive arrest and prolonged pre-trial detention based on provisional allegations before the foundational facts of the predicate offence and the status of alleged proceeds of crime are judicially established; provisional attachment may be justified to preserve investigation, but arrest and onerous bail conditions must not operate mechanically absent a crystallised, judicially cognisable predicate offence, and statutory powers must be harmonised with constitutional safeguards protecting personal liberty.
February 27, 2026
Show AI Summary
Tariff rebalancing: joint statement allows modification of commitments if tariff changes affect the bilateral trade pact.
The joint statement accompanying the interim bilateral trade agreement provides for tariff rebalancing, permitting either party to modify its commitments if the other changes agreed tariff measures, thereby preserving reciprocal balance. This mechanism functions as an operative safeguard to adjust negotiated tariff concessions in response to unilateral tariff actions while the parties finalise the legal text.
February 27, 2026
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Basic salary threshold changes require employers to restructure pay and update payroll systems under new laws.
New labour codes and the Income Tax Act 2025 require employers to reconfigure compensation structures so Basic Pay meets the prescribed threshold, increasing provident fund, social security, gratuity and leave liabilities; update payroll systems and TDS reporting to new rules and forms; effect prompt final wage settlement on separation via automated HRMS workflows; maintain fully digitized statutory records for real time inspections; and extend proportionate statutory benefits to fixed term employees, prompting reassessment of project and seasonal workforce liabilities.
February 26, 2026
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Free trade agreement strengthens market access and builds on earlier economic reforms enabling sustained growth potential.
Economic reforms liberalised foreign exchange, dismantled bureaucratic restrictions and opened the Indian market to foreign investors, stabilising public finances and enabling prolonged economic growth. The recently concluded free trade agreement with the European Union is presented as a further deepening of market integration that builds on those reforms and enhances bilateral market access.
February 26, 2026
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Executive tariff authority struck down; bilateral trade negotiations paused pending legal text to implement tariff reductions.
Presidential tariff authority was found invalid, prompting immediate temporary tariff adjustments and delaying bilateral trade negotiations because the interim framework reducing duties must be converted into a legally binding text before implementation. Chief negotiators' meetings were postponed pending clarity on tariff legality and future orders, and India indicated it will resume talks once tariff treatment is clarified.
February 26, 2026
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Money laundering probe prompts extended questioning and attachment of assets in alleged bank fraud matter.
Allegations of large scale bank fraud and resultant money laundering underpin the probe: extended questioning under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act concerns alleged diversion of funds through foreign subsidiaries and offshore entities tied to a group company. Investigative measures include constitution of a specialized investigation team, attachment of assets under anti money laundering provisions, searches, arrests of former executives, and parallel criminal case registrations alleging bank cheating in separate loan transactions.
February 26, 2026
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Simultaneous insolvency proceedings allowed against principal debtor and guarantor, enabling creditors to pursue parallel recovery routes.
There is no statutory bar under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code to initiating concurrent CIRP proceedings against a principal debtor and its corporate guarantor for the same debt; a creditor's right to realize a guarantee must not be frustrated by requiring sequential insolvency processes, the IBC does not exempt guarantors during pendency of another process, and adjudicating authorities must examine such applications independently, consistent with the principle that a surety's liability is co-extensive with the principal debtor.

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Customs & Trade

60 days of oil stocks, 800,000 tonnes of LPG secured, says govt, dismissing shortage reports as misinformation

March 26, 2026

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New Delhi, Mar 26 (PTI) India has about 60 days of oil stock cover and has arranged one full month of LPG supply, the government said on Thursday, adding that there is no shortage of petrol, diesel, or LPG, calling reports of shortages as a "deliberate misinformation campaign" aimed at triggering panic buying.

Amid reports of panic buying and long queues at petrol pumps and LPG distributors, the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, for the first time since the war in West Asia broke out, released stock details of crude oil, fuels and LPG as it rushed to calm nerves.

Parallely, state-owned oil marketing companies also said there is no shortage of petrol, diesel or liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and supplies remain stable.

In a statement, the ministry said all petrol pumps across the country are adequately stocked and operating normally, with no rationing of petrol or diesel.

With some petrol pumps, especially in smaller towns, finding difficulty in lifting fuel after oil companies put them on cash-and-carry, the ministry said steps have been taken to increase credit to petrol pumps to over three days from earlier allowed one day in order to ensure that there is no shortage of petrol and diesel at any pump due to working capital issues of pump owners.

"There is no shortage of petrol, diesel, or LPG anywhere in the country," it said, emphasising that the country's petroleum and LPG supply situation is "fully secure and under control." Stating that all retail fuel outlets have enough supplies, the ministry called upon citizens not to be "misled by a deliberately mischievous, coordinated campaign of misinformation that is being carried out to spread unjustified panic." While the Iran war has disrupted the supply of half of the crude oil (raw material used to make fuels like petrol and diesel), the country has secured enough crude supplies from elsewhere for the next 60 days. Also, fuel tanks are at optimum levels and can help cover two months of requirements.

On LPG, whose supply has been scarce because of the shutting down of Strait of Hormuz - the conduit which shipped a bulk of Indian supplies, the ministry said 800,000 tonnes of LPG cargoes have been secured and one full month of supply is firmly arranged.

Separately, Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL) put out posts to say their petrol pumps were operating normally and there was no shortage of any fuels.

India, the world's fourth-largest refiner and fifth-largest exporter of petroleum products, has structurally assured domestic fuel availability and continues to supply refined fuels to over 150 countries, the ministry statement said.

"Every Indian refinery (which turns crude oil into fuels like petrol and diesel) is running at over 100 per cent utilisation," it said. "Crude oil supplies for the next 60 days have already been tied up by Indian oil companies. There is no supply gap..

India, it said, has 74 days of total crude oil and fuel stocking capacity.

"Actual stock cover is around 60 days right now (including crude stocks, products stocks and the dedicated strategic storage in caverns) even as we are on the 27th day of the Middle East crisis." "Nearly two months of steady supply is available for every Indian citizen regardless of what happens globally." With the next two months of crude procurement already secured, India is completely secure for the next many months and the quantity in strategic cavern storage becomes secondary in such a supply situation, it said.

"Any representation that India's reserves are depleted or insufficient should be dismissed with the disdain it deserves," the ministry said.

It added that crude supplies remain stable despite tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, with higher volumes from alternative sources offsetting any disruption. Indian refiners are operating at above full capacity, and crude supplies for the next 60 days have already been secured.

The ministry said India currently has about 60 days of fuel stock cover, including crude, refined products and strategic reserves, countering claims of critically low inventories.

LPG supplies are also sufficient, it said, with domestic production increased and import requirements reduced. Additional cargoes have been secured from multiple countries, ensuring steady availability.

The government warned that misleading social media posts and fabricated claims of shortages or emergency measures were being spread to create unnecessary anxiety, and said action will be taken against those responsible.

The ministry said all one lakh-plus retail fuel outlets across the country are open and dispensing fuel without interruption. "Not a single outlet has been asked to ration supply." Across the world, countries are dealing with price increases, rationing, odd-even vehicle restrictions, and forced station closures. Few have declared a 'National Energy Emergency'.

"India does not feel the need for any such measures," it said. "While other nations are rationing, there is no shortage of supplies in India." Calling panic buying as "isolated instances" at "select pumps", it said "they were driven by deliberate misinformation spread by certain videos in social media".

"Despite the surge in demand on such pumps, fuel was dispensed to all the consumers and oil company depots have been operational through the night to ramp up supplies," it said.

The ministry said despite the situation at the Strait of Hormuz, India is today receiving more crude oil from its 41-plus suppliers across the world than what was previously arriving through the Straits.

"High volumes available in international markets - especially from the western hemisphere - have more than compensated for any disruption. Every Indian refinery is running at over 100 per cent utilisation. Crude oil supplies for next 60 days have already been tied up by Indian oil companies. There is no supply gap," it said.

Dismissing as misinformation reports suggesting that India had only six days of stocks, it said the country has 74 days of total reserve capacity and actual stock cover is around 60 days right now (including crude stocks, products stocks and the dedicated strategic storage in caverns).

"Nearly two months of steady supply is available for every Indian citizen regardless of what happens globally. Next 2 months of crude procurement has also been secured. India is completely secure for the next many months and the quantity in strategic cavern storage becomes secondary in such a supply situation," it said, adding any representation that India's reserves are depleted or insufficient should be dismissed with the disdain it deserves.

On LPG, it said there is no shortage.

Following government orders, domestic refinery production has been ramped up by 40 per cent, bringing daily LPG output to 50,000 tonnes (more than 60 per cent of India's requirement) against a total daily requirement of around 80,000 tonnes.

"The net daily import requirement has consequently come down to only 30,000 tonnes - meaning India is now producing much more than it needs to import," it said adding over and above domestic production, 800,000 tonnes of assured inbound LPG cargoes are already secured and en route from the United States, Russia, Australia, and other countries, arriving across India's 22 LPG import terminals - double the 11 terminals that existed in 2014.

"Approximately one full month of supply is firmly arranged, with additional procurement being finalised continuously," the statement said. "Oil companies are successfully delivering over 50 lakh cylinders every day. Cylinder demand had gone up to 89 lakh cylinders due to panic ordering by consumers and has now come down to 50 lakh cylinders again..

Commercial cylinder allocations have been raised to 50 per cent in consultation with state governments to avoid hoarding or black marketing.

On natural gas, it said India produces 92 million standard cubic meters per day of natural gas domestically out of a total daily requirement of 191 mmscmd, making India far less import-dependent on gas than on LPG. And so piped natural gas (PNG) as an alternative to LPG is being considered.

"The claim that PNG is being pushed because LPG is running out is misinformation. LPG supply is secure. PNG is simply a better, more affordable and highly convenient fuel for India's households," the statement said. PTI ANZ MR

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