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March 2, 2026
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Currency depreciation worsened as geopolitical strikes and oil price surge prompted safe-haven flows and foreign fund outflows.
The rupee sharply depreciated against the US dollar due to geopolitical escalation and a crude oil price spike, which triggered safe-haven dollar demand and foreign institutional equity outflows. Higher oil prices threaten to widen India's import bill and current account pressures, producing defensive market positioning and a negative bias for the currency, even as the Reserve Bank of India intervened in the interbank market to limit further depreciation.
March 2, 2026
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Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement negotiations launched to cover goods and services and pursue an ambitious bilateral trade pact.
Launch of negotiations for a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) between India and Canada, with signed Terms of Reference to set the format, frequency and approach for talks covering trade in goods, services and other policy areas. The ToR aim to guide negotiators toward an ambitious, balanced pact, resuming talks from the start after a prior pause. Negotiations target expanded market access and increased bilateral trade, identifying key goods and services sectors and naming chief negotiators for each country.
March 2, 2026
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Fuel pricing policy shields consumers by using company-held margins to stabilize retail petrol and diesel amid global crude spikes.
India's fuel pricing policy freezes retail petrol and diesel prices by allowing public sector oil companies to absorb losses when international crude prices rise and build margins when prices fall; this cushion-based approach, overseen by the Oil Ministry, will continue unless a sustained, very large spike in crude or prolonged disruptions (notably via the Strait of Hormuz) make it untenable, exposing vulnerabilities from high import dependence and increased procurement, freight, and insurance costs.
March 2, 2026
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Travel suspension to Middle East prompts IT firms to enforce employee safety measures and remote work arrangements.
Indian IT firms have suspended or deferred travel to the Middle East and implemented employee safety measures: TCS suspended all incoming and outgoing travel, advised associates to stay indoors, activated a call tree, and is coordinating with local authorities and embassies; Wipro issued a no travel advisory for multiple countries and directed regional staff to follow local guidance. Nasscom advised members to defer travel and enable work from home arrangements as a precaution while monitoring operations and preparing further measures if required.
March 2, 2026
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Customs enforcement against areca nut smuggling intensified, emphasising prosecution under prohibitory orders and strengthened border surveillance.
Intensified enforcement targets areca nut smuggling from Myanmar due to evasion of import duties and market harm to local growers. Authorities have registered numerous cases and made arrests under prohibitory-order offences prosecuted via the Indian Penal Code and the Bharatiya Nagarik Suraksha Sanhita, and separate prosecutions under the Customs Act. The government affirms continued prohibition, enhanced border surveillance, and a zero-tolerance stance including probes into alleged official complicity.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption risks push global markets lower as oil and gas price spikes strain trade and inflation expectations.
Energy supply disruptions from Middle East hostilities sharply pushed up oil, gas and fuel prices, driving marketwide volatility as investors rotated into safe havens. Attacks affecting transit through the Strait of Hormuz threaten continuity of crude and LNG exports, prompting buyers to seek alternate sources and tightening physical markets. Higher wholesale inflation readings increase the prospect of delayed monetary easing, reinforcing downward pressure on risk assets and elevating short term downside risk to trade and investment flows.
March 2, 2026
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Trade continuity secured through coordinated facilitation and procedural flexibility to protect exporters and sustain EXIM logistics.
The Department of Commerce convened a multi stakeholder consultation to coordinate regulatory and operational measures for EXIM logistics amid geopolitical developments, focusing on real time monitoring of routing, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability, and strengthening facilitation at ports and ICDs to prevent congestion. The Government emphasised a facilitative, coordinated approach prioritising supply chain resilience and exporter interests, agreeing measures including procedural flexibility for export authorisations, Customs coordination for smooth clearance, financial and insurance engagement, and prioritisation of time sensitive export segments.
March 2, 2026
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Current account deficit rises due to widening trade deficit; services surplus partially offsets external imbalance.
Current account deficit widened to USD 13.2 billion in the December quarter, driven mainly by a larger merchandise trade deficit, while net services receipts rose and partially offset the deterioration; the April-December current account deficit moderated compared with the prior year, reflecting goods and services flow dynamics within the balance of payments.
March 2, 2026
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GST revenue collections: gross receipts, refunds and net receipts reported, with state settlements and cess treatment noted.
Statement of February 2026 GST revenues detailing gross receipts by CGST, SGST and IGST (domestic and import), reported refunds (domestic and export/ICEGATE) and resulting net GST revenue split into net domestic and net customs receipts. It separately reports compensation and import cess inflows and refunds, noting compensation cess remains transitory until loan liabilities are discharged. State/UT pre- and post-settlement SGST distributions and Apr-Feb collection breakdowns by Central and State formations are included for inter-year comparison.
March 2, 2026
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Trade facilitation measures to mitigate West Asia crisis impact on exports, including customs coordination and logistical support.
The consultation assessed risks to EXIM cargo flows from West Asian hostilities and committed a facilitative, coordinated response focused on preserving trade continuity. Agreed measures include real-time monitoring of routing, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability; strengthened port/ICD facilitation to avoid congestion; targeted support for time-sensitive exports such as perishables and pharmaceuticals; procedural flexibility for export authorisations in genuine disruption; Customs coordination for smooth clearance; and engagement with financial and insurance institutions to protect exporter interests, with emphasis on MSMEs and essential imports.
March 2, 2026
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Exchange rate pressure intensified as geopolitical conflict, crude price spikes and capital outflows pushed the currency lower despite central bank support.
Severe exchange rate pressure drove the rupee sharply lower amid geopolitical conflict, FII outflows and rising crude prices, increasing India's import bill vulnerability; the Reserve Bank of India's visible market presence capped deeper intraday depreciation while analysts warned that geopolitical developments, crude trends, capital flows and key US data will determine near term exchange rate direction.
March 2, 2026
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Genetic upgrade initiative boosts local mutton and wool production via import of elite sheep and goat breeds.
Importation of Romanov and Finn sheep and Boer and Swiss Alpine goats aims to implement a genetic upgrade of Jammu and Kashmir's small ruminant population to improve growth rates, carcass yield, reproductive efficiency and overall flock productivity. Imported germplasm will be multiplied at government breeding farms and progeny distributed to farmers in phases, with farmer-level distribution starting in the third quarter of 2026-27, as part of Project 24 under the Holistic Agriculture Development Programme alongside complementary livestock and rural productivity measures.
March 2, 2026
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Oil supply disruption risk drives markets as geopolitical attacks push energy prices up and equities downward.
Attacks on Iran caused equity declines and sharp rises in oil and gold as traders priced in disruption to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz; sustained interruptions to Iranian exports and regional shipping could tighten global supply, elevate fuel and production costs, affect major importers' sourcing strategies, and influence inflation dynamics and central bank rate decisions.
March 2, 2026
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Manufacturing activity growth driven by stronger domestic demand despite slower export orders, prompting higher input buying and hiring.
Manufacturing activity accelerated to a four-month high as stronger domestic demand supported faster output growth and higher new business intakes; firms increased input purchasing, inventories and hiring. New export orders continued to slow, somewhat constraining employment creation. Cost pressures remained moderate, and forward-looking sentiment was positive with many manufacturers expecting higher output over the year ahead.
March 2, 2026
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Compliance with IS-17900 drives local manufacturing of advanced lift control systems, reducing import dependence and strengthening supply chains.
A Phase 1 manufacturing facility invests in local production of advanced lift electronic control systems designed to comply with IS-17900, reduce import dependency, and enable component to finished product localisation. The plant will operate automated PCB and semi automatic panel lines to produce MR, MRL and Slim Panels, emphasise controlled environment quality, IoT features, and support supply chain resilience and national industrial policy objectives under the Make in India framework.
March 2, 2026
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Reservation policy implementation strengthened across public financial institutions to improve accessibility and uniform compliance measures.
Strengthening institutional capacity for uniform implementation of the Government of India's reservation policy across public financial institutions and enhancing accessibility for Persons with Disabilities were the primary objectives. The programme combined a Sugamya Bharat sensitisation session on accessibility standards and compliance requirements, a roundtable on legal provisions and practical challenges, exchange of best practices, and an interactive question-and-answer session to identify operational measures for inclusivity, accessibility and reservation policy compliance.
March 2, 2026
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Deferred Customs Duty payment enables qualified manufacturers to clear imports and pay duties monthly, subject to compliance and eligibility.
A Deferred Customs Duty payment facility allows Eligible Manufacturer Importers to clear imports without immediate duty payment and to pay applicable customs duties monthly under the Deferred Payment of Import Duty Rules, 2016, subject to prescribed Customs and GST compliance, turnover, financial standing and track record; existing AEO T1 entities meeting eligibility may participate and applications are to be submitted via the AEO portal.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption risks trigger global market selloff and safe-haven flows, lifting oil and gold while bond yields fall.
Global markets moved to risk-off after US and Israeli attacks on Iran: equities opened lower while gold and government bonds rallied and oil prices surged on fears that strikes and incidents in the Strait of Hormuz could restrict oil and LNG exports, raising the prospect of higher energy and production costs; higher-than-expected wholesale inflation readings were identified as a factor that may affect the central bank's timing for interest-rate cuts.
March 2, 2026
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Rupee depreciation driven by crude price surge, dollar strength and foreign fund outflows pressures local currency lower.
Rupee depreciation in early trade reflected external pressures-higher crude prices, a stronger US dollar, and escalated Middle East tensions-compounded by negative domestic equity sentiment and significant foreign institutional outflows. Market indicators included a firmer dollar index, rising Brent crude futures, and a recent dip in forex reserves, while analysts warned of increased import bill risk due to India's reliance on fuel imports.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption threatens global oil flows, driving sharp price increases and straining fuel and goods markets worldwide.
Attacks and retaliatory strikes in the Middle East disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz and regional export infrastructure, triggering sharp crude price rises and heightened risk of sustained supply constraints; OPEC+ announced production increases, but analysts stress that constrained export routes limit the immediate effectiveness of added output.

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Customs & Trade

Sour taste: West Asia crisis hits rice exports from MP's Raisen and Balaghat districts

March 21, 2026

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Bhopal, Mar 21 (PTI) Export of basmati and boiled non-basmati rice from Madhya Pradesh to several countries has been severely impacted by the West Asia crisis, stakeholders in the sector said on Saturday.

Basmati rice from Raisen and boiled non-basmati rice from Balaghat have a distinct identity and are exported to many foreign countries, including the Gulf, they pointed out.

"Basmati rice destined for export from Raisen district is stuck in ports, factories and warehouses. Freight rates have increased by 30 per cent, and there is a shortage of containers. Exporters are also facing backlog of goods at ports. All this has made it difficult to fulfil orders on time," Ajay Bhalotia, All India Rice Exporters Association general secretary, told PTI.

More than two dozen rice factories operate in Mandideep, Satlapur, Obedullaganj, Raisen, Bareilly, Udaypura, and Umraoganj areas of Raisen district, with high-quality basmati rice making its way to markets in Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Dubai, etc, he said.

Halt in exports due to the Iran war has temporarily closed down some rice units in the district, leaving the once-thriving sector in trouble, Bhalotia added.

"The price of Pusa Basmati rice has fallen by Rs 300-500 per quintal. This has disrupted and reduced the arrival of paddy and raw materials, weakening the supply chain. It has distressed farmers. If the war continues for a long time, small and medium-sized industries will be particularly affected," said Raisen Rice Factory operator Manoj Soni.

The West Asia crisis has hit the district's economy, and even containers are now in short supply, Rajiv Agarwal, former president of the Association of All Industries, said.

"Earlier, a container used to be available here for USD 2,500. Now, it is not easily available even for USD 3,200. The increase in freight has directly increased the cost of exports. Moreover, goods that have already been shipped from here are stuck at ports. It is affecting the payment cycle and increasing pressure on the working capital of industries," Agarwal said.

Anil Jain, a wholesale rice trader, said the arrival of paddy in the market has started decreasing, and farmers have only a few days' stock.

A district official claimed high-quality Pusa rice is cultivated in Raisen, which is exported with Haryana's GI (geographical indication) tag.

Raisen district cultivates paddy on approximately 3.45 lakh hectares and produces over 6 lakh tonnes of rice, he informed.

Similar is the situation with boiled non-basmati rice grown in abundance in Balaghat, sector stakeholders said.

"Local millers used to export large quantities of this rice from Balaghat, Warasivani, Katangi, and surrounding areas. Before the war, approximately 500 tonnes of rice were exported daily, but this has been severely affected by the current Gulf crisis. Rice exports to East African countries have virtually ceased, while limited exports to West Africa continue," prominent industrialist Palash Somani contended.

The significant increase in sea freight has made the trade even more unprofitable, resulting in financial losses for millers, he added.

According to sources, approximately 25 per cent of the business of large industrialists has been affected, while those on a smaller scale have come to a standstill.

This decline in exports will have a direct impact on the district's rice market, resulting in a drop in the per quintal price from the current Rs 1800 to Rs 1600, a unit owner said, adding this would be significantly lower than the government-determined minimum support price (MSP) of Rs 2,382.

Balaghat's non-basmati boiled rice is exported with a special identification, bearing the district's tag, and is primarily shipped abroad through the Mumbai port, he informed. PTI COR BNS MAS BNM

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