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March 4, 2026
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Tariff reduction boosts export prospects while domestic demand weakness keeps manufacturing contraction risk elevated in coming months.
China's official manufacturing PMI returned to contraction, driven by weak domestic consumption and real estate weakness, while private-sector PMI showed export-led expansion. A judicial reduction of reciprocal tariffs has lowered US tariff levels globally and is expected to provide a modest boost to exports. Upcoming high-level bilateral talks and China's national congress, which will set a growth target and approve a five-year plan focused on technology and self-reliance, are poised to influence near-term manufacturing prospects.
March 4, 2026
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Currency depreciation driven by crude oil price shock and capital outflows, worsening trade balance risk and market volatility.
Rupee depreciation accelerated as a spike in international crude prices amid geopolitical tensions prompted safe-haven flows and foreign portfolio outflows, driving the currency to a record low, pressuring equity markets and raising the risk of a larger fuel import bill that could strain the trade balance and market stability.
March 3, 2026
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GST input tax credit fraud exposed; arrests and shell company network identification trigger criminal and financial probes.
An organised racket used stolen identity documents to register shell firms, obtain GST numbers and open bank accounts to perform large-scale GST Input Tax Credit (ITC) fraud by issuing fake invoices and generating fraudulent e-way bills; funds were routed through multiple accounts, criminal cases for cheating and forgery filed, evidence recovered and coordination with tax authorities and banks is underway.
March 3, 2026
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Fraudulent GST registrations enabling Input Tax Credit misuse uncovered; coordinated raids, electronic forensics and an arrest followed.
A large-scale operation procured GST registrations for non-existent firms through forged and fraudulently obtained KYC documents, producing fake taxpayers and fraudulent invoices that enabled the wrongful availment and passing on of Input Tax Credit; coordinated IP tracking and searches led to seizure of electronic evidence and documents and to the arrest and judicial remand of a key suspect, with further investigation ongoing.
March 3, 2026
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Supply chain resilience measures initiated to monitor West Asia risks and coordinate trade, logistics and customs responses.
The government has set up an inter-ministerial group to monitor West Asia developments daily, assess vulnerabilities in shipping, logistics, exports and critical imports, and coordinate inter-ministerial actions. Measures include procedural flexibility in export authorisations, coordination with customs and port authorities to ensure smooth clearance, engagement with financial and insurance institutions to safeguard exporter interests, and a 24x7 DGFT help desk. The IMG for supply chain resilience includes departments of financial services, external affairs, shipping, petroleum and customs to facilitate coordination, monitoring and follow-up amid exporter concerns about surcharges, insurance gaps, route diversions and increased transit times.
March 3, 2026
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Force majeure declaration halts key LNG deliveries, prompting contractual supply cuts and reliance on pricier spot procurement.
Qatar declared force majeure on LNG deliveries after production halted due to regional hostilities and maritime disruptions, prompting curtailed supplies to industry and relief from supplier performance obligations. Importers are assessing long term contract entitlements, pursuing spot market purchases, and reallocating available cargoes while contending with higher war risk insurance, shipping costs, and transit constraints through the Strait of Hormuz.
March 3, 2026
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Fuel stock coverage ensures short-term supply continuity by using strategic reserves and diversified sourcing to mitigate disruptions.
India maintains sufficient crude and refined fuel inventories to manage short-term disruptions from West Asia hostilities, with strategic petroleum reserves and commercial stockpiles providing roughly six to eight weeks' coverage. The government has a 24x7 control room for continuous monitoring and contingency measures include drawing on strategic reserves, using commercial stocks, and diversifying sourcing from suppliers outside the Strait of Hormuz to sustain availability and affordability while managing price and freight risks.
March 3, 2026
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Debt-to-GSDP reduction signals fiscal consolidation as borrowings largely went to service prior liabilities under current administration.
The administration reports a reduction in the state's debt-to-GSDP ratio from its level at the start of the term and asserts that most recent borrowings were applied to servicing legacy debt, including repayment of significant portions of past principal and interest. The Finance Minister also highlights increased mobilisation of GST and excise revenues during the current four-year period relative to prior administrations, presented as strengthening fiscal capacity.
March 3, 2026
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Mandatory biometric update for children enables Aadhaar authentication for benefits, scholarships and examinations.
The UIDAI has implemented a mandatory biometric update (MBU) programme for school children aged 7-15, delivered through in-school camps and enrolment centres, with MBU made free for a limited period. Integration with UDISE+ enables identification of students due for updates and monitoring of MBU status. Initial enrolment below age five records demographic data only; fingerprints and iris biometrics are captured later via the MBU process once children reach the prescribed ages, enabling subsequent Aadhaar authentication for benefits, scholarships and examinations.
March 3, 2026
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Free trade agreements prompt industry to boost investment, research, and quality to expand manufacturing exports and access markets.
India aims to use free trade agreements to expand manufacturing exports by urging industry to increase investment, adopt new technologies, and prioritise research and quality to meet global standards. The budget supports this through record capital expenditure for infrastructure and logistics, reforms in MSME classification to improve credit and technology access, and sectoral missions including the BioPharma Shakti Mission and the Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage Mission to boost advanced manufacturing and sustainability-linked market access.
March 3, 2026
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Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement negotiations launched to set a negotiation framework and pursue an ambitious, balanced trade pact.
Terms of Reference for the India-Canada Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement establish the negotiation framework-setting format, frequency and approach-to guide talks toward an ambitious, balanced and mutually beneficial CEPA covering trade in goods, services and other mutually agreed policy areas, reflecting prior leader-level direction to advance negotiations.
March 3, 2026
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Quality standards and R&D investment urged to align industry with free trade agreement opportunities and export growth.
Industry is urged to accelerate investment and prioritise research and development to meet global quality standards and fully exploit opportunities from free trade agreements; early adoption of clean technologies, including carbon capture initiatives, and expanded infrastructure and logistics spending are presented as necessary complements to enhance export readiness and supply chain resilience.
March 2, 2026
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Reservation for Agniveers in police expands recruitment priority while a new Agri Discom targets uninterrupted farm power supply.
The budget creates a dedicated Haryana Agri Discom to deliver uninterrupted, reliable electricity and expedited services to all agricultural feeders and consumers, alongside biomass power projects and cropping incentives. Concurrently, it provides reserved recruitment access for returning defence personnel in the state police, forms a State Disaster Response Force with Agniveer participation, establishes an Anti Terrorist Squad under IG rank, and commits funds to rural employment guarantees, PACS reform, a Green Climate Resilience Fund, and enhanced crop compensation schemes.
March 2, 2026
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Trade facilitation to protect exporters amid West Asia crisis, focusing on logistics continuity and insurer coordination.
Government coordination aims to maintain continuity of export import logistics amid the West Asia crisis by monitoring routes, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability, directing facilitative measures including procedural flexibility in export authorisations, customs coordination, engagement with financial and insurance institutions, and targeted support for time sensitive exports; exporters sought restoration of higher RoDTEP rates, restraint on insurance premium increases by ECGC, broader insurance cover and sector specific timeline relief.
March 2, 2026
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Currency depreciation worsened as geopolitical strikes and oil price surge prompted safe-haven flows and foreign fund outflows.
The rupee sharply depreciated against the US dollar due to geopolitical escalation and a crude oil price spike, which triggered safe-haven dollar demand and foreign institutional equity outflows. Higher oil prices threaten to widen India's import bill and current account pressures, producing defensive market positioning and a negative bias for the currency, even as the Reserve Bank of India intervened in the interbank market to limit further depreciation.
March 2, 2026
Show AI Summary
Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement negotiations launched to cover goods and services and pursue an ambitious bilateral trade pact.
Launch of negotiations for a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) between India and Canada, with signed Terms of Reference to set the format, frequency and approach for talks covering trade in goods, services and other policy areas. The ToR aim to guide negotiators toward an ambitious, balanced pact, resuming talks from the start after a prior pause. Negotiations target expanded market access and increased bilateral trade, identifying key goods and services sectors and naming chief negotiators for each country.
March 2, 2026
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Fuel pricing policy shields consumers by using company-held margins to stabilize retail petrol and diesel amid global crude spikes.
India's fuel pricing policy freezes retail petrol and diesel prices by allowing public sector oil companies to absorb losses when international crude prices rise and build margins when prices fall; this cushion-based approach, overseen by the Oil Ministry, will continue unless a sustained, very large spike in crude or prolonged disruptions (notably via the Strait of Hormuz) make it untenable, exposing vulnerabilities from high import dependence and increased procurement, freight, and insurance costs.
March 2, 2026
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Travel suspension to Middle East prompts IT firms to enforce employee safety measures and remote work arrangements.
Indian IT firms have suspended or deferred travel to the Middle East and implemented employee safety measures: TCS suspended all incoming and outgoing travel, advised associates to stay indoors, activated a call tree, and is coordinating with local authorities and embassies; Wipro issued a no travel advisory for multiple countries and directed regional staff to follow local guidance. Nasscom advised members to defer travel and enable work from home arrangements as a precaution while monitoring operations and preparing further measures if required.
March 2, 2026
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Customs enforcement against areca nut smuggling intensified, emphasising prosecution under prohibitory orders and strengthened border surveillance.
Intensified enforcement targets areca nut smuggling from Myanmar due to evasion of import duties and market harm to local growers. Authorities have registered numerous cases and made arrests under prohibitory-order offences prosecuted via the Indian Penal Code and the Bharatiya Nagarik Suraksha Sanhita, and separate prosecutions under the Customs Act. The government affirms continued prohibition, enhanced border surveillance, and a zero-tolerance stance including probes into alleged official complicity.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption risks push global markets lower as oil and gas price spikes strain trade and inflation expectations.
Energy supply disruptions from Middle East hostilities sharply pushed up oil, gas and fuel prices, driving marketwide volatility as investors rotated into safe havens. Attacks affecting transit through the Strait of Hormuz threaten continuity of crude and LNG exports, prompting buyers to seek alternate sources and tightening physical markets. Higher wholesale inflation readings increase the prospect of delayed monetary easing, reinforcing downward pressure on risk assets and elevating short term downside risk to trade and investment flows.

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HDFC Bank chairman quits; bank says 'baffled' as Chakraborty declines to detail ethics concerns

March 19, 2026

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New Delhi/Mumbai, Mar 19 (PTI) HDFC Bank's non-executive chairman Atanu Chakraborty abruptly resigned, citing differences over "values and ethics" - a ground that the management of the country's second-largest lender said was baffling, as the former bureaucrat offered no specific instance despite repeated requests.

Keki Mistry, a veteran of the HDFC Bank Group, was appointed as the interim chairman, following the resignation, said there may have been "relationship issues" between Chakraborty and the executive leadership, but found no "substantive" concerns behind the departure.

Mistry emphasised that the bank's operations and governance remain stable.

This is the first time that the part-time chairman of HDFC Bank left mid-way, raising concerns over its functioning.

"Certain happenings and practices within the bank, that I have observed over the last two years, are not in congruence with my personal values and ethics. This is the basis of my aforementioned decision," he said in his resignation letter dated March 17.

In a letter addressed to the Chairman of Governance, Nomination, Remuneration Committee (NRC) HK Bhanwala, Chakraborty said, "There are no other material reasons for my resignation other than those stated above".

In a late evening Wednesday filing, HDFC Bank said Chakraborty has on March 18, 2026, tendered his resignation as the Part-time Chairman and Independent Director of the Bank with immediate effect.

It is to be noted that Chakraborty was appointed part-time chairman effective May 5, 2021, almost a year after retirement as Economic Affairs Secretary.

His term was extended for another three years in 2024 till May 4, 2027.

Chakraborty, a 1985 batch IAS officer of Gujarat cadre, retired as Secretary of the Department of Economic Affairs in April 2020. Prior to that, he was Secretary of the Department of Investment and Public Asset Management (DIPAM). Both departments come under the Finance Ministry.

Chakraborty became chairman during the reverse merger process of the bank with the parent entity HDFC Ltd, a leading mortgage firm in the country.

The merger of HDFC Ltd with HDFC Bank became effective on July 1, 2023, creating a financial behemoth with a combined balance sheet of over Rs 18 lakh crore.

Taking note of the exit, the RBI said there were no material concerns on record as regards the bank's conduct or governance.

"HDFC Bank is a Domestic Systemically Important Bank (D-SIB) with sound financials, a professionally run board and a competent management team. Basis our periodical assessment, there are no material concerns on record as regards its conduct or governance," the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said in a statement.

The statement emphasised that the bank remains well-capitalised and its financial position remains satisfactory with sufficient liquidity.

Shares of HDFC Bank dived over 5 per cent on Thursday following the exit of the bank's chairman.

The blue-chip stock tumbled 5.13 per cent to settle at Rs 799.70 on the BSE, trimming some of its sharp early losses. During the day, it tanked 8.41 per cent to Rs 772 -- its 52-week low.

However, the finance ministry said the bank is a "strong institution with strong fundamentals".

Financial Services Secretary M Nagaraju said the RBI has already issued a statement in this regard.

"HDFC Bank is a strong institution with strong fundamentals," he said.

Addressing reporters after the surprise move, HDFC Bank MD and CEO Sashidhar Jagdishan noted that a majority of the board members said they are "baffled" by Chakraborty's move because he did not offer any specific concerns that he is alluding to in the resignation letter.

Stressing that there are no issues at the bank, its management exuded confidence that it will be able to recoup the hit to its reputation in due course.

Jagdishan said, "Every board member" tried to persuade Chakraborty to take back his resignation or elaborate on the concerns so that the same can be readdressed, but he did not relent.

The resignation dated March 17 (Tuesday) came up for discussion during a meeting of the nomination and remuneration committee of the board on Wednesday, and at about 7 PM, four board members, including two whole-time members and two independent members, initiated a dialogue with the RBI about the happenings, Jagdishan said.

There were also attempts to "take back some of the language" in the letter, Jagdishan said, suggesting that the lack of success on it led to a briefing to the RBI, and the regulator was kind in appointing Keki Mistry as the interim chairman for three months.

Amid widespread speculation on the differences between the management and Chakraborty, Mistry alluded to a "personal relationship issue", but asked reporters not to get into the same.

To a query on concerns surrounding HDFC Bank's merger with parent HDFC, its deputy managing director Kaizad Bharucha said the merger has accrued benefits by way of increased savings account relationships of home loan borrowers, and added that the average balances in such accounts are 2.5 times the bank average.

Bhanwala, who heads the NRC, clarified that although the letter is dated Tuesday, the board learned of the matter only on Wednesday during an NRC meeting.

HDFC Bank is the latest private sector bank to have hit leadership issues. In the past, ICICI Bank's then CEO Chandra Kochhar was accused of fraudulent loan practices, while Axis Bank's former chief executive Shikha Sharma had her term truncated on regulatory concerns over rising bad loans. PTI DP AA ANZ DP BAL BAL

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