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    7th India–Japan CEPA Joint Committee Meeting Held in Tokyo; Secretary, Department of Commerce Shri Rajesh Agrawal Co-Chairs Discussions.
    CCI approves acquisition of additional shareholding in Generali Central Insurance Company and Generali Central Life Insurance by Central Bank of India...
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March 5, 2026
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Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement promotes diversified trade and investment, enhancing tariff certainty and regulatory predictability.
The Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement was reviewed with focus on implementation, using the Agreement to secure tariff certainty and regulatory predictability, facilitate movement of natural persons, and promote diversification of bilateral trade. Officials highlighted export potential in textiles, pharmaceuticals, agriculture and services and underlined domestic measures to improve ease of doing business that complement CEPA's facilitative framework for deeper trade and investment cooperation.
March 5, 2026
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Combination approval permits Central Bank of India to increase shareholding in Generali insurers, subject to a regulatory order.
The Competition Commission has granted combination approval for Central Bank of India to increase its equity stakes in Generali Central Insurance Company Limited (general insurance) and Generali Central Life Insurance Company Limited (life insurance), expanding the bank's ownership in entities that supply distinct insurance products in India; a detailed Commission order will follow.
March 5, 2026
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Merger control approval permits an investment firm to acquire shareholding in a national packaged foods manufacturer.
The Competition Commission of India approved the acquisition whereby General Atlantic Singapore BWP Pte. Ltd. will acquire certain fully diluted shareholding in Balaji Wafers Private Limited from existing shareholders, clearing the notified combination under the merger control framework; a detailed order will follow.
March 5, 2026
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Combination approval: REIT to acquire developers and issue units in exchange for target shareholdings.
The Commission approved a proposed combination where Bagmane Prime Office REIT will directly acquire Bagmane Developers Private Limited (including Bagmane Green Power LLP), indirectly acquire Bagmane Rio Private Limited and, through BDPL, acquire the Luxor asset from Bagmane Constructions; Sponsor and certain third party shareholders will receive units of the Acquirer REIT in consideration for transfer of their shareholdings. The Acquirer REIT is SEBI registered and the Target Entities operate in commercial real estate, hospitality and renewable power generation.
March 5, 2026
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Image-based underwriting using Generative AI standardizes income estimation and speeds credit decisions in underserved micro enterprise markets.
Aye Finance piloted an in house system using Generative AI and ML-including a Multimodal Large Language Model integrated with proprietary models-to estimate monthly sales of trading stores from store images and related parameters, automating income estimation to reduce manual fieldwork, lower cost to serve, increase processing speed, and standardise underwriting, thereby facilitating credit inclusion for micro scale MSMEs.
March 5, 2026
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Economic growth target lowered to prioritise consumption, jobs and fiscal measures amid global and domestic uncertainties.
China reduced its economic growth target and set accompanying macro targets-including urban unemployment, urban job creation, CPI moderation, income growth alignment, balance of payments stability, steady grain output, and lower carbon emissions intensity-while announcing demand-side fiscal measures: an income-growth plan, targeted support for low-income groups and property income, reforms to remuneration and social security, issuance of special treasury bonds for consumer trade-in schemes, and a fiscal-financial coordination fund to expand domestic consumption.
March 5, 2026
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Economic growth target provides policy leeway amid external trade risks and domestic demand pressures.
China sets an economic growth target modestly lower than recent practice and presents it as a tool to preserve policy flexibility for structural adjustment, risk prevention, and reform in the opening year of a new five year plan. The report links the target to responses to external trade and geopolitical risks and to domestic challenges including a supply demand imbalance, while emphasising strengthening the domestic economy and promoting technology development.
March 4, 2026
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Family Benefit Management System directive to build integrated household database and issue universal family cards across the state.
The administration directed creation of a Family Benefit Management System compiling twenty-six household attributes-such as family identity, Aadhaar, rice card identity, education, profession, and contact details-and integrating records from multiple public and utility sources to build a comprehensive beneficiary registry. Officials reported most data is already available and the government intends to issue a family card to every household, instructing continued interagency data integration to operationalize the system for welfare delivery.
March 4, 2026
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Data protection breach: probe sought after mass discovery of identity cards, with UIDAI inquiry and legal action requested.
A data protection and public safety concern arose when a large number of Aadhaar identity cards were found on the Nethravathi riverbank, prompting the Karnataka Assembly Speaker to ask UIDAI Bengaluru for immediate intervention, a thorough investigation to determine how the cards were disposed and identify those responsible, and initiation of appropriate legal action through the concerned department.
March 4, 2026
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Bail refusal upholds detention of accused amid documentary evidence and witness-influence concerns, despite prior PMLA order.
Court denied bail to an accused in a cheating conspiracy who allegedly promised plots and flats from a government quota and used forged government documents; the magistrate found the chargesheet and documentary material crystallise his role, noted the seriousness of offences and risk of witness influence, and held that filing of the chargesheet and a separate money-laundering bail order did not by themselves justify release.
March 4, 2026
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Supply chain disruption delays exports from Sambhajinagar, raising transport costs and risking customer loss for manufacturers.
Supply chain disruption from the US Israel conflict has delayed containers at Jawaharlal Nehru Port Authority and suspended certain shipping services, causing longer transit times, higher transport costs, halted agricultural shipments to affected regions, and commercial risks such as customer attrition, repatriation of cargo, and potential post conflict surcharges that would raise export costs for manufacturers in Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar.
March 4, 2026
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Force majeure suspends LNG deliveries, disrupting contracted supplies and straining city gas distribution and industrial feedstock.
Reciprocal force majeure notices have been issued following attacks that prevent LNG tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, excusing non performance by the exporter and importer and prompting the importer to issue corresponding notices to downstream offtakers; the supply shortfall has reduced contracted gas availability for industrial and city gas distribution consumers, who seek confirmation on continued allocations while market participants assess costly spot replacements and insurance exclusions for acts of war.
March 4, 2026
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Tariff reduction boosts export prospects while domestic demand weakness keeps manufacturing contraction risk elevated in coming months.
China's official manufacturing PMI returned to contraction, driven by weak domestic consumption and real estate weakness, while private-sector PMI showed export-led expansion. A judicial reduction of reciprocal tariffs has lowered US tariff levels globally and is expected to provide a modest boost to exports. Upcoming high-level bilateral talks and China's national congress, which will set a growth target and approve a five-year plan focused on technology and self-reliance, are poised to influence near-term manufacturing prospects.
March 4, 2026
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Currency depreciation driven by crude oil price shock and capital outflows, worsening trade balance risk and market volatility.
Rupee depreciation accelerated as a spike in international crude prices amid geopolitical tensions prompted safe-haven flows and foreign portfolio outflows, driving the currency to a record low, pressuring equity markets and raising the risk of a larger fuel import bill that could strain the trade balance and market stability.
March 3, 2026
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GST input tax credit fraud exposed; arrests and shell company network identification trigger criminal and financial probes.
An organised racket used stolen identity documents to register shell firms, obtain GST numbers and open bank accounts to perform large-scale GST Input Tax Credit (ITC) fraud by issuing fake invoices and generating fraudulent e-way bills; funds were routed through multiple accounts, criminal cases for cheating and forgery filed, evidence recovered and coordination with tax authorities and banks is underway.
March 3, 2026
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Fraudulent GST registrations enabling Input Tax Credit misuse uncovered; coordinated raids, electronic forensics and an arrest followed.
A large-scale operation procured GST registrations for non-existent firms through forged and fraudulently obtained KYC documents, producing fake taxpayers and fraudulent invoices that enabled the wrongful availment and passing on of Input Tax Credit; coordinated IP tracking and searches led to seizure of electronic evidence and documents and to the arrest and judicial remand of a key suspect, with further investigation ongoing.
March 3, 2026
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Supply chain resilience measures initiated to monitor West Asia risks and coordinate trade, logistics and customs responses.
The government has set up an inter-ministerial group to monitor West Asia developments daily, assess vulnerabilities in shipping, logistics, exports and critical imports, and coordinate inter-ministerial actions. Measures include procedural flexibility in export authorisations, coordination with customs and port authorities to ensure smooth clearance, engagement with financial and insurance institutions to safeguard exporter interests, and a 24x7 DGFT help desk. The IMG for supply chain resilience includes departments of financial services, external affairs, shipping, petroleum and customs to facilitate coordination, monitoring and follow-up amid exporter concerns about surcharges, insurance gaps, route diversions and increased transit times.
March 3, 2026
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Force majeure declaration halts key LNG deliveries, prompting contractual supply cuts and reliance on pricier spot procurement.
Qatar declared force majeure on LNG deliveries after production halted due to regional hostilities and maritime disruptions, prompting curtailed supplies to industry and relief from supplier performance obligations. Importers are assessing long term contract entitlements, pursuing spot market purchases, and reallocating available cargoes while contending with higher war risk insurance, shipping costs, and transit constraints through the Strait of Hormuz.
March 3, 2026
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Fuel stock coverage ensures short-term supply continuity by using strategic reserves and diversified sourcing to mitigate disruptions.
India maintains sufficient crude and refined fuel inventories to manage short-term disruptions from West Asia hostilities, with strategic petroleum reserves and commercial stockpiles providing roughly six to eight weeks' coverage. The government has a 24x7 control room for continuous monitoring and contingency measures include drawing on strategic reserves, using commercial stocks, and diversifying sourcing from suppliers outside the Strait of Hormuz to sustain availability and affordability while managing price and freight risks.
March 3, 2026
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Debt-to-GSDP reduction signals fiscal consolidation as borrowings largely went to service prior liabilities under current administration.
The administration reports a reduction in the state's debt-to-GSDP ratio from its level at the start of the term and asserts that most recent borrowings were applied to servicing legacy debt, including repayment of significant portions of past principal and interest. The Finance Minister also highlights increased mobilisation of GST and excise revenues during the current four-year period relative to prior administrations, presented as strengthening fiscal capacity.

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Customs & Trade

India, US trade deal to be signed once tariff architecture is in place: Official

March 16, 2026

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New Delhi, Mar 16 (PTI) The interim trade agreement between India and the US will be signed once the new global tariff architecture of America is in place, a senior government official said on Monday.

"Because at the end of it, each country is doing a deal as a part of a package where one is at comparative advantage...vis a vis competitors," the official said.

India and the US last month announced finalisation of a framework for the first phase of the bilateral trade agreement. According to that framework, the US had agreed to reduce tariffs on India to 18 per cent.

However, the tariff architecture in the US has changed following its Supreme Court ruling against President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs. After that, the US President imposed 10 per cent tariffs on all countries for 150 days from February 24.

In view of these changes, the meeting of the chief negotiators of India and the US has been postponed. They were scheduled to meet last month to finalise the legal text of the pact, which was expected to be signed this month.

"The deal was to be signed in March. (But) When we said this, that time, the Supreme Court judgment on IEEPA (International Emergency Economic Powers Act) tariffs had not come. Now, with the Supreme Court judgment on IEEPA tariffs, the tariffs per se don't exist.

"Now there are tariffs under Article 122, which is related to the balance of payment crisis, which are for five months. And the tariff is around 10 per cent. So the deal that we finalise and sign has to be against the tariff structure or the comparative advantage that India gets in the US market," the official said.

The official added that the US is working to recreate a global tariff architecture.

"Once they are on that pathway, they are able to create that. I think at that juncture, it would be right to sign the deal," the official said.

The pact, the official said, has already been finalised and decided upon, and both teams are negotiating to iron out the finer details.

"But actual signing, to my mind, will be done when the new architecture of tariff globally will be in place," the official added.

In case of any change in the 18 per cent tariffs on India, the official said, these are all subject to how it happens and how the global architecture pans out.

"If the global architecture is exactly the way the IEEPA tariffs were there, then it may remain so also. If it is different, then it may also change. So we will have to wait to see how it goes," another official said.

When India finalised the deal, it was at a comparative advantage as compared to its competitor countries.

"So whenever we are ready, the US side is ready with that architecture, I think that will be the opportune time to sign it," the official said, adding, "There is nothing that there is a standoff. There is nothing that the deal is not there." The trade deal is about comparative and preferential market access to each other. The 18 per cent tariff on India was the lowest among its competitors, including China, Vietnam and Thailand.

In case under the new tariff architecture of the US, other countries will be "at 19 or 20 or 21 or 22 per cent, then maybe India will remain at 18 per cent. But if others come down, then India will also come down. So it will depend on how the new architecture comes out. And that is something for US to take a call," the official said, adding that as of now, the deal was on 18 per cent.

Meanwhile, as per reports, Malaysia has stated that the country is not going ahead with its trade deal with the US.

There are two sets of countries that have finalised pacts with America - one that have announced the framework deal but have signed the legal agreement, and the other that have not signed the legal pact.

When asked about the two investigations started by the US under Section 301, the official said the ministry is examining its legal impact.

"These investigations take time. My sense is whenever a (trade) deal is finalised and signed in the future, this will take care of these investigations," the official added.

On March 12, the United States Trade Representative (USTR) launched a Section 301 probe, covering 60 economies, including India and China.

The investigations will determine whether acts, policies, and practices of each of these economies related to the failure to impose and effectively enforce a ban on the importation of goods produced with forced labour are unreasonable or discriminatory, and burden or restrict US commerce.

On March 11, the USTR launched a Section 301 trade investigation targeting policies and industrial practices of 16 economies, including India and China.

About the trade deal, Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agarwal said that "India remains engaged with the US side for a mutually beneficial trade agreement".

India is discussing details with the US, as there are many elements of the deal.

"There are certain non-tariff barriers which need to be ironed out. There are certain other details under the 232 tariffs also, which need to be worked out. So I think we are using this time constructively to see that we are able to iron out these things so that these things don't take time whenever the time is right for signing the deal," the official said. PTI RR CS HVA

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