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February 27, 2026
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Foreign influence allegations challenge political credibility as historic funding and security ties are used to rebut trade criticism.
Allegations claim the Congress accepted funds from the CIA and KGB during Indira Gandhi's tenure, producing policy effects such as an exchange-rate adjustment favoring Soviet imports and the decision not to pursue a proposed covert operation against a foreign nuclear facility; these claims are presented to rebut current criticisms of an interim bilateral trade framework by portraying past governance as compromised by foreign influence.
February 27, 2026
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GDP growth projection revised upward; nominal growth strong and economy expected to expand markedly next fiscal year.
GDP growth for the next fiscal year has been revised upward and nominal GDP outlook strengthened, with officials forecasting the economy will cross the four trillion dollar threshold. The upward revision follows a national accounts base-year update to 2022-23 that integrates new data sources and methodological changes to reflect structural shifts, and it alters nominal GDP levels with consequential effects on fiscal-deficit ratios while leaving key fiscal indicators like primary and revenue deficits and capital expenditure ratios broadly unchanged.
February 27, 2026
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GDP calculation revamp raises official growth estimate and restructures sectoral measurement, affecting fiscal and policy benchmarks.
A methodological overhaul adopting a 2022-23 base year revises GDP computation by introducing double deflation for manufacturing and agriculture, replacing single deflation, and shifting household estimation to regular surveys. The new series integrates administrative sources (GST, PFMS, vehicle data) to better capture informal and fast growing sectors, producing upward revisions to headline real and nominal growth rates, altering sectoral contributions-notably manufacturing and services-and changing fiscal deficit and policy benchmarks that require recalibration of prior forecasts.
February 27, 2026
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Money laundering probe under PMLA progresses as ED seeks statements and attaches assets amid linked bank fraud allegations.
PMLA investigation alleges bank loan fraud by group companies; the ED sought to record the principal individual's statement in a Yes Bank-linked money laundering case but he did not appear and his spouse sought adjournment. The ED has previously questioned the individual, conducted extended interrogation, attached a Mumbai residence under anti-money laundering law, filed multiple money laundering cases against group entities, and formed a Special Investigation Team to probe related instances. A parallel agency registered a fresh criminal case and conducted searches concerning alleged cheating of a public sector bank.
February 27, 2026
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Base-year revision of GDP raises growth estimates and updates methodology using tax and administrative data.
The national accounts have been rebased to 2022-23 and revised by incorporating GST, PFMS and vehicular-registration data to refine GDP measurement. The methodology now uses double deflation for manufacturing and agriculture, more granular deflators elsewhere, and compiles household-sector levels from annual enterprise and labour-force surveys instead of inter-survey proxies, producing revised quarterly and annual real and nominal GDP estimates and altered growth profiles across recent periods.
February 27, 2026
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Foreign exchange reserves dip, driven by declines in currency assets, gold holdings, SDRs and IMF reserve position.
India's foreign exchange reserves fell by USD 2.119 billion for the week ended February 20, lowering total reserves to USD 723.608 billion. The decline was driven by decreases in foreign currency assets (down USD 1.039 billion to USD 572.564 billion), gold reserves (down USD 977 million to USD 127.489 billion), Special Drawing Rights (down USD 84 million to USD 18.84 billion), and the reserve position with the IMF (down USD 18 million to USD 4.716 billion).
February 27, 2026
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Fiscal receipts and expenditure review reports major tax receipts, state tax devolution and primary outlays through January.
Consolidated monthly accounts to January 2026 report Centre receipts at 79.5% of revised estimates-mainly Tax Revenue with Non Tax and Non Debt Capital Receipts-and an increased transfer to States as Devolution of Share of Taxes. Total expenditure is 74.3% of estimates, split between Revenue and Capital Expenditure, with Interest Payments and Major Subsidies forming the principal components of Revenue Expenditure.
February 27, 2026
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DTAA narrowing prompts NRIs to move from traditional offshore structures to IFSCA regulated Gift City USD fund structures.
Tightening of treaty shopping rules under foreign exchange regulation, expanded beneficial ownership disclosure and increased tax authority scrutiny have eroded the cost benefit of Singapore and Mauritius structures, prompting NRIs to consider IFSCA regulated Gift City USD denominated funds. Gift City offers open ended equity funds, Category II AIFs with multi year lock ins and Category III AIFs for active equity strategies; advisers emphasise modelling embedded gains, consulting tax advisors on DTAA applicability, and assessing currency risk, liquidity profiles and the distinction between MOIC and IRR before restructuring.
February 27, 2026
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Pre-trial detention under the PMLA risks indefinite incarceration unless predicate offences and proceeds are judicially established.
The PMLA should not be deployed to permit coercive arrest and prolonged pre-trial detention based on provisional allegations before the foundational facts of the predicate offence and the status of alleged proceeds of crime are judicially established; provisional attachment may be justified to preserve investigation, but arrest and onerous bail conditions must not operate mechanically absent a crystallised, judicially cognisable predicate offence, and statutory powers must be harmonised with constitutional safeguards protecting personal liberty.
February 27, 2026
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Tariff rebalancing: joint statement allows modification of commitments if tariff changes affect the bilateral trade pact.
The joint statement accompanying the interim bilateral trade agreement provides for tariff rebalancing, permitting either party to modify its commitments if the other changes agreed tariff measures, thereby preserving reciprocal balance. This mechanism functions as an operative safeguard to adjust negotiated tariff concessions in response to unilateral tariff actions while the parties finalise the legal text.
February 27, 2026
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Basic salary threshold changes require employers to restructure pay and update payroll systems under new laws.
New labour codes and the Income Tax Act 2025 require employers to reconfigure compensation structures so Basic Pay meets the prescribed threshold, increasing provident fund, social security, gratuity and leave liabilities; update payroll systems and TDS reporting to new rules and forms; effect prompt final wage settlement on separation via automated HRMS workflows; maintain fully digitized statutory records for real time inspections; and extend proportionate statutory benefits to fixed term employees, prompting reassessment of project and seasonal workforce liabilities.
February 26, 2026
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Free trade agreement strengthens market access and builds on earlier economic reforms enabling sustained growth potential.
Economic reforms liberalised foreign exchange, dismantled bureaucratic restrictions and opened the Indian market to foreign investors, stabilising public finances and enabling prolonged economic growth. The recently concluded free trade agreement with the European Union is presented as a further deepening of market integration that builds on those reforms and enhances bilateral market access.
February 26, 2026
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Executive tariff authority struck down; bilateral trade negotiations paused pending legal text to implement tariff reductions.
Presidential tariff authority was found invalid, prompting immediate temporary tariff adjustments and delaying bilateral trade negotiations because the interim framework reducing duties must be converted into a legally binding text before implementation. Chief negotiators' meetings were postponed pending clarity on tariff legality and future orders, and India indicated it will resume talks once tariff treatment is clarified.
February 26, 2026
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Money laundering probe prompts extended questioning and attachment of assets in alleged bank fraud matter.
Allegations of large scale bank fraud and resultant money laundering underpin the probe: extended questioning under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act concerns alleged diversion of funds through foreign subsidiaries and offshore entities tied to a group company. Investigative measures include constitution of a specialized investigation team, attachment of assets under anti money laundering provisions, searches, arrests of former executives, and parallel criminal case registrations alleging bank cheating in separate loan transactions.
February 26, 2026
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Simultaneous insolvency proceedings allowed against principal debtor and guarantor, enabling creditors to pursue parallel recovery routes.
There is no statutory bar under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code to initiating concurrent CIRP proceedings against a principal debtor and its corporate guarantor for the same debt; a creditor's right to realize a guarantee must not be frustrated by requiring sequential insolvency processes, the IBC does not exempt guarantors during pendency of another process, and adjudicating authorities must examine such applications independently, consistent with the principle that a surety's liability is co-extensive with the principal debtor.
February 26, 2026
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Prosecution sanction requirement in PMLA cases accelerates trial after agency files requisite approvals before the special court.
Enforcement Directorate placed competent prosecution sanction and an equivalent CrPC sanction order before the Special PMLA Court to remedy procedural defects identified by the Supreme Court and to expedite trial in two money laundering prosecutions arising from the Aircel Maxis and INX Media matters. The agency's action validates earlier ED chargesheets and aims to overcome delays caused by challenges to PMLA sanction requirements.
February 26, 2026
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Free Trade Agreement negotiations between India and Israel progress, covering goods, services, rules of origin, and digital trade.
Negotiations commenced under a signed Terms of Reference to establish a structured framework for an ambitious Free Trade Agreement between India and Israel, with the first round of talks addressing core chapters-trade in goods and services, rules of origin, sanitary and phytosanitary measures, technical barriers, customs procedures, intellectual property rights and digital trade-and agreeing continued virtual engagements and a further in person round in Israel.
February 26, 2026
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Recovery of real estate regulatory dues intensified, with stricter property-tracing and revenue recovery measures to enforce orders.
The government will intensify recovery of unpaid dues under the Real Estate Regulatory framework by directing district collectors to expedite recoveries, identify and attach defaulting developers' properties across districts, and trace assets using land records, stamp and registration data, property tax rolls, company registrations, vehicle registration records and, where necessary, tax authority assistance; recovery will be pursued through statutory revenue-recovery mechanisms and overseen via periodic reviews by senior administrators.
February 26, 2026
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Tribunal accountability undermined as technical members outsource judgments, prompting urgent tenure and vacancy reforms and oversight action.
Tribunal functioning and accountability are the central concerns: tribunals have become a "no-man's land" lacking accountability and producing questionable orders. Structural defects in the appointment and tenure regime allow technical members to assume chairpersonship and, in some instances, outsource drafting of judgments. The court directed the executive to expedite vacancy-filling mechanisms and granted interim tenure extensions for chairpersons while urging reforms to appointment, training, and accountability processes.
February 26, 2026
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Consumer financing enables AC purchases on Easy EMI, improving affordability but requires checking eligibility and costs.
Guidance advises matching AC capacity and inverter technology to room conditions to avoid high bills and uneven cooling, factoring installation and maintenance costs into total ownership, and prioritising warranty, spare parts, and after sales support. Easy EMI financing options with online eligibility checks, Insta EMI card facilitation, zero down payment offers, and variable promotional terms are available, but buyers must verify precise loan limits, service availability, and partner store conditions before purchase.

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Customs & Trade

EXPLAINER: Why kerosene and coal are making a temporary comeback in India

March 13, 2026

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New Delhi, Mar 13 (PTI) India has temporarily reintroduced kerosene for household use and permitted the use of coal and other alternate fuels for hotels and restaurants as the escalating West Asia crisis disrupts the country's energy supply chains.

The move comes after the conflict effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz, through which a large share of India's crude oil, LPG and LNG imports normally pass.

Why is India facing fuel supply pressure? -------------------------------------------- The Strait of Hormuz - a narrow passage of water between Iran and Oman - is one of the world's most critical energy transit routes. The 21-mile-wide choke point, where shipping lanes for incoming and outgoing traffic are restricted to just 2 miles wide each, separated by a 2-mile buffer zone, is the only sea exit for oil- and gas- producing countries, such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iran, Iraq, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

The narrow, 50-mile-long passage that connects the Gulf with the Arabian Sea carries about a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG).

India imports roughly 88 per cent of its crude oil, 50 per cent of its LNG needs and 60 per cent of its LPG requirement, most of which transits through the strait.

The widening conflict in West Asia, which began on February 28 when the United States and Israel carried out strikes on Iran, followed by retaliatory attacks from Tehran, has stopped energy flows through the strait.

For India, the route is particularly important: ------------------------------------------------ * More than half of India's crude oil imports pass through the strait.

* About 55 per cent of LPG supplies used for cooking arrive through the route.

* Nearly 30 per cent of LNG imports also move through the corridor.

India consumed 31.3 million tonnes of LPG in 2024-25, of which only 12.8 million tonnes were produced domestically, with the remainder imported. 85-90 per cent of imports came from countries, like Saudi Arabia, that rely on the strait for transit.

While there is enough crude oil available from alternative sources, such as Russia, replacing any loss of LPG supplies is more time-consuming, as other alternative sources are largely located in the United States and Canada.

The disruption has forced oil companies to prioritise household cooking gas supplies, leading to restrictions on commercial users, such as hotels and restaurants.

Measures taken by the government --------------------------------------- To manage the supply disruption, the government has introduced a series of temporary measures: * Additional kerosene allocation: States have been given 48,000 kilolitres of additional kerosene, over and above the regular monthly quota of about 1 lakh kilolitres, for household cooking needs.

* Alternate fuels for hospitality sector: Environmental regulators have been asked to permit biomass, refuse-derived fuel (RDF) pellets and coal as alternate fuels for hotels and restaurants for one month.

* Limited commercial LPG supply: Oil marketing companies will allocate 20 per cent of the average monthly commercial LPG demand to ensure essential businesses continue to receive supplies.

* Demand management: The minimum refill interval for LPG cylinders has been increased to 25 days in urban areas and 45 days in rural areas.

Why is kerosene being used again? ------------------------------------- The increase in kerosene allocation is notable because India has spent the past decade attempting to phase out the fuel due to pollution concerns and its misuse for adulterating petrol.

Delhi was officially declared the first kerosene-free city in India on June 17, 2014. The initiative, launched in 2012, replaced kerosene usage with LPG connections for households, aiming to reduce pollution and fire risks.

Mass roll-out of LPG through grant of free connections to the poor under the Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana was intended to cut the usage of firewood and coal for cooking, especially in rural households.

However, with LPG supplies under pressure, officials said kerosene is being temporarily reintroduced to ensure households continue to have access to cooking fuel.

Is there a fuel shortage? -------------------------- The government says the country is not facing a shortage of petrol or diesel despite the global disruption.

* Refineries are operating at high capacity utilisation, in some cases exceeding 100 per cent.

* No petrol pump or LPG distributor has run dry.

* Crude oil supplies have been secured from multiple sources. India has diversified its crude sources to around 40 countries from 27 previously.

Why are LPG supplies under pressure? ---------------------------------------- Before the crisis, about 60 per cent of LPG imports came from Gulf countries such as Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait. Those supplies are blocked.

The government says LPG cargoes are now being sourced from the United States, Norway, Canada, Algeria and Russia, in addition to available Gulf supplies.

Domestic LPG production has also been increased by 28 per cent by redirecting refinery output.

How the government is preventing hoarding ----------------------------------------------- Officials say a surge in LPG bookings has largely been driven by panic buying rather than actual supply shortages.

To curb hoarding and diversion, delivery authentication codes will be expanded to 90 per cent of consumers, requiring confirmation before cylinders are marked delivered.

A three-member committee will assess genuine commercial demand across sectors and regions.

Commercial LPG sales are being regulated temporarily to prevent black-market diversion.

What Next? ------------ Officials say the measures are temporary responses to an extraordinary global energy disruption.

The government is monitoring supply flows and alternative import routes while prioritising household cooking fuel and essential sectors such as hospitals and educational institutions.

The Strait of Hormuz has remained disrupted for nearly two weeks, making the current situation one of the most severe energy supply shocks in recent decades. PTI ANZ BAL BAL

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