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February 27, 2026
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GST reform underscores tax policy's role in inclusive sustainable development and strengthening cooperative federalism and accountability.
Tax policy is described as the foundation for mobilising resources and promoting inclusive, sustainable development through an equitable tax framework. Goods and Services Tax is identified as a historic unifying reform that simplifies the indirect tax regime, strengthens cooperative federal relations, and aligns taxation with trust, accountability and welfare oriented objectives to promote production and shared prosperity.
February 27, 2026
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Creditor-driven decision-making upheld: courts must limit review to statutory confines to preserve insolvency speed and finality.
The IBC privileges creditor-driven decision-making, speed and certainty by confining judicial review to narrow statutory compliance, thereby protecting commercial choices of the Committee of Creditors as matters of commercial wisdom. Expansive judicial scrutiny is value-destructive-lengthening timelines, raising transaction costs, encouraging strategic litigation and undermining predictability and finality-so respect for statutory limits preserves timely reorganisation of viable firms and swift exit of non-viable businesses.
February 27, 2026
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Rupee depreciation driven by foreign outflows and rising oil prices puts pressure on currency and equity markets.
Rupee declined against the US dollar due to large foreign fund outflows, higher global crude oil prices and weakening domestic equity markets; foreign institutional investors sold heavily and forex reserves fell in the reporting week, even as a GDP calculation revision raised the growth estimate, highlighting resilience amid external pressures.
February 27, 2026
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Fugitive economic offender arrested abroad; extradition sought under Fugitive Economic Offenders Act and PMLA measures.
A fugitive alleged to have run an extensive investment fraud was arrested in Dubai after an Interpol Red Notice; the Enforcement Directorate submitted an extradition request and dossier through the Ministry of External Affairs citing a prior declaration under the Fugitive Economic Offenders Act and ongoing PMLA investigations. ED actions include filing two chargesheets, arresting associates, attaching assets, and securing court-ordered confiscation, while coordinating with UAE authorities to effect provisional arrest and repatriation for prosecution.
February 27, 2026
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Base year revision updates GDP measurement using new data and methods to better capture household and digital economy activity.
The government implemented a revised national accounts series with a new base year revision to update GDP measurement using contemporary data sources and methods. The revision addresses pandemic and tax system disruptions, will be extended into back series under the new methodology, and incorporates administrative and survey data to improve household sector measurement, private corporate allocation and new economy sectors, plus methodological shifts such as segregation of multi activity corporations and adoption of double deflation where appropriate.
February 27, 2026
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Prima-facie evidence assessment dictates whether complex corruption prosecutions can be sustained on available investigative material.
Prima-facie assessment of available evidence was central to the judge's review of the excise-policy prosecution: the court found the prosecution's material lacked concrete proof and relied on conjecture, and accordingly declined to sustain charges against the accused. The judge's prior decisions emphasize insistence on statutory preconditions for money laundering allegations and close scrutiny of magistrate and summons orders.
February 27, 2026
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Priority sector credit projections guide bank annual plans, prioritising agriculture, MSME lending and rural infrastructure financing.
Projection of priority sector credit potential quantifies exploitable lending needs across agriculture, MSME and other priority segments for the State, with agriculture accounting for the largest share and MSME receiving substantial allocation. Component estimates include crop and term loans, ancillary activities, housing, education, export credit, social infrastructure, renewable energy and agri infrastructure. The assessment is a consultative planning tool to guide banks' Annual Credit Plans and district credit strategies, signalling increased credit absorption capacity and alignment with sectoral priorities and infrastructure requirements to support rural resilience and enterprise development.
February 27, 2026
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Foreign influence allegations challenge political credibility as historic funding and security ties are used to rebut trade criticism.
Allegations claim the Congress accepted funds from the CIA and KGB during Indira Gandhi's tenure, producing policy effects such as an exchange-rate adjustment favoring Soviet imports and the decision not to pursue a proposed covert operation against a foreign nuclear facility; these claims are presented to rebut current criticisms of an interim bilateral trade framework by portraying past governance as compromised by foreign influence.
February 27, 2026
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GDP growth projection revised upward; nominal growth strong and economy expected to expand markedly next fiscal year.
GDP growth for the next fiscal year has been revised upward and nominal GDP outlook strengthened, with officials forecasting the economy will cross the four trillion dollar threshold. The upward revision follows a national accounts base-year update to 2022-23 that integrates new data sources and methodological changes to reflect structural shifts, and it alters nominal GDP levels with consequential effects on fiscal-deficit ratios while leaving key fiscal indicators like primary and revenue deficits and capital expenditure ratios broadly unchanged.
February 27, 2026
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GDP calculation revamp raises official growth estimate and restructures sectoral measurement, affecting fiscal and policy benchmarks.
A methodological overhaul adopting a 2022-23 base year revises GDP computation by introducing double deflation for manufacturing and agriculture, replacing single deflation, and shifting household estimation to regular surveys. The new series integrates administrative sources (GST, PFMS, vehicle data) to better capture informal and fast growing sectors, producing upward revisions to headline real and nominal growth rates, altering sectoral contributions-notably manufacturing and services-and changing fiscal deficit and policy benchmarks that require recalibration of prior forecasts.
February 27, 2026
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Money laundering probe under PMLA progresses as ED seeks statements and attaches assets amid linked bank fraud allegations.
PMLA investigation alleges bank loan fraud by group companies; the ED sought to record the principal individual's statement in a Yes Bank-linked money laundering case but he did not appear and his spouse sought adjournment. The ED has previously questioned the individual, conducted extended interrogation, attached a Mumbai residence under anti-money laundering law, filed multiple money laundering cases against group entities, and formed a Special Investigation Team to probe related instances. A parallel agency registered a fresh criminal case and conducted searches concerning alleged cheating of a public sector bank.
February 27, 2026
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Base-year revision of GDP raises growth estimates and updates methodology using tax and administrative data.
The national accounts have been rebased to 2022-23 and revised by incorporating GST, PFMS and vehicular-registration data to refine GDP measurement. The methodology now uses double deflation for manufacturing and agriculture, more granular deflators elsewhere, and compiles household-sector levels from annual enterprise and labour-force surveys instead of inter-survey proxies, producing revised quarterly and annual real and nominal GDP estimates and altered growth profiles across recent periods.
February 27, 2026
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Foreign exchange reserves dip, driven by declines in currency assets, gold holdings, SDRs and IMF reserve position.
India's foreign exchange reserves fell by USD 2.119 billion for the week ended February 20, lowering total reserves to USD 723.608 billion. The decline was driven by decreases in foreign currency assets (down USD 1.039 billion to USD 572.564 billion), gold reserves (down USD 977 million to USD 127.489 billion), Special Drawing Rights (down USD 84 million to USD 18.84 billion), and the reserve position with the IMF (down USD 18 million to USD 4.716 billion).
February 27, 2026
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Fiscal receipts and expenditure review reports major tax receipts, state tax devolution and primary outlays through January.
Consolidated monthly accounts to January 2026 report Centre receipts at 79.5% of revised estimates-mainly Tax Revenue with Non Tax and Non Debt Capital Receipts-and an increased transfer to States as Devolution of Share of Taxes. Total expenditure is 74.3% of estimates, split between Revenue and Capital Expenditure, with Interest Payments and Major Subsidies forming the principal components of Revenue Expenditure.
February 27, 2026
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DTAA narrowing prompts NRIs to move from traditional offshore structures to IFSCA regulated Gift City USD fund structures.
Tightening of treaty shopping rules under foreign exchange regulation, expanded beneficial ownership disclosure and increased tax authority scrutiny have eroded the cost benefit of Singapore and Mauritius structures, prompting NRIs to consider IFSCA regulated Gift City USD denominated funds. Gift City offers open ended equity funds, Category II AIFs with multi year lock ins and Category III AIFs for active equity strategies; advisers emphasise modelling embedded gains, consulting tax advisors on DTAA applicability, and assessing currency risk, liquidity profiles and the distinction between MOIC and IRR before restructuring.
February 27, 2026
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Pre-trial detention under the PMLA risks indefinite incarceration unless predicate offences and proceeds are judicially established.
The PMLA should not be deployed to permit coercive arrest and prolonged pre-trial detention based on provisional allegations before the foundational facts of the predicate offence and the status of alleged proceeds of crime are judicially established; provisional attachment may be justified to preserve investigation, but arrest and onerous bail conditions must not operate mechanically absent a crystallised, judicially cognisable predicate offence, and statutory powers must be harmonised with constitutional safeguards protecting personal liberty.
February 27, 2026
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Tariff rebalancing: joint statement allows modification of commitments if tariff changes affect the bilateral trade pact.
The joint statement accompanying the interim bilateral trade agreement provides for tariff rebalancing, permitting either party to modify its commitments if the other changes agreed tariff measures, thereby preserving reciprocal balance. This mechanism functions as an operative safeguard to adjust negotiated tariff concessions in response to unilateral tariff actions while the parties finalise the legal text.
February 27, 2026
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Basic salary threshold changes require employers to restructure pay and update payroll systems under new laws.
New labour codes and the Income Tax Act 2025 require employers to reconfigure compensation structures so Basic Pay meets the prescribed threshold, increasing provident fund, social security, gratuity and leave liabilities; update payroll systems and TDS reporting to new rules and forms; effect prompt final wage settlement on separation via automated HRMS workflows; maintain fully digitized statutory records for real time inspections; and extend proportionate statutory benefits to fixed term employees, prompting reassessment of project and seasonal workforce liabilities.
February 26, 2026
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Free trade agreement strengthens market access and builds on earlier economic reforms enabling sustained growth potential.
Economic reforms liberalised foreign exchange, dismantled bureaucratic restrictions and opened the Indian market to foreign investors, stabilising public finances and enabling prolonged economic growth. The recently concluded free trade agreement with the European Union is presented as a further deepening of market integration that builds on those reforms and enhances bilateral market access.
February 26, 2026
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Executive tariff authority struck down; bilateral trade negotiations paused pending legal text to implement tariff reductions.
Presidential tariff authority was found invalid, prompting immediate temporary tariff adjustments and delaying bilateral trade negotiations because the interim framework reducing duties must be converted into a legally binding text before implementation. Chief negotiators' meetings were postponed pending clarity on tariff legality and future orders, and India indicated it will resume talks once tariff treatment is clarified.

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Customs & Trade

China silent on India’s move to ease FDI norms; Chinese businesses say 'partial' opening

March 12, 2026

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Beijing, Mar 12 (PTI) China has refrained from responding to India’s decision to ease foreign direct investment norms for countries sharing land borders with it, while the Chinese business called the move “partial” opening up, with restrictions still in place on large-scale investments.

New Delhi on Tuesday eased foreign direct investment (FDI) norms for China and other nations sharing land borders with it, by allowing overseas firms having up to 10 per cent shareholder from these nations to invest in India without mandatory approval.

Earlier, overseas firms with shareholders from these nations owning even a single share had to seek mandatory approval to invest in India in any sector. However, other conditions of FDI norms, including sectoral caps and entry routes, will apply to these investments.

China’s state-run Xinhua news agency said India’s announcement was seen as a major shift in its FDI policy after a gap of nearly six years.

However, the Foreign Ministry here has declined to comment on it.

Asked for his reaction to India's decision at a media briefing on Wednesday, Chinese Foreign spokesperson Guo Jiakun said the question should be referred to competent authorities.

China at present is grappling with over-capacity of the number of its manufactured goods, especially the new productive forces like E-Vehicles and batteries, which reached the saturation point in the domestic market and relied mostly on overseas markets.

Considering the size of the Indian market, there are wider expectations here of a broader opening for EVs, batteries and related industries.

On Wednesday, Joint Secretary in the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade Jai Prakash Shivahare told reporters in New Delhi, “All the restrictions for investors from land bordering countries (LBCs) are still applicable. There is no relaxation so far as entities or investors in LBCs are concerned. This relaxation is only for entities in non-LBCs and having beneficial owners from LBCs below 10 per cent and non-controlling stake... so there are no relaxations as far as investments from LBCs are concerned.” Reacting to India’s announcement, Chinese experts and businesses told state-run Global Times that China’s investment in sectors such as solar energy and electronics could potentially grow, benefiting related sectors in India.

They called on the Indian government to further relax investment curbs to cover more sectors. Such moves, they noted, would inject greater vitality into China-India economic and trade cooperation, which has seen a recovery in growth momentum since 2024.

The Chamber of Chinese Enterprises in India said the adjustment in India's investment policy toward China is a “partial optimisation” rather than a “comprehensive liberalisation,” noting that large-scale investments and those involving actual control by Chinese entities remain unchanged and will continue to follow the previous approval process.

However, the 60-day fast-track approval is limited to specific sectors, primarily targeting areas such as electronic components and polysilicon, rather than representing a broad relaxation across all industries, the Chamber said in a statement to Global Times.

Chinese investments in most other sectors will still face rigorous scrutiny, it said, adding that, furthermore, the actual implementation and execution of this policy adjustment remain to be seen.

India is striving to develop its mobile phone industry and other key sectors, including semiconductors, artificial intelligence (AI) and new-energy vehicles. All these industries rely heavily on Chinese technical talent. Yet India's opening-up is by no means comprehensive, it said.

India only opens areas it urgently needs, while keeping others blocked. The Indian government is taking a pragmatic stance, a representative of a Chinese enterprise operating in India told the daily.

“This reflects a deeper dilemma: On one hand, India remains wary of Chinese capital and continues to impose restrictions on it, fearing it could gain too much influence. On the other hand, India urgently needs Chinese technologies, driving its partial opening-up.

“Such a contradictory approach is reflected in its visa policy, which has gradually shifted from strict restrictions to targeted relaxation,” the executive said.

Qian Feng, director of the Research Department at Tsinghua University's National Strategy Institute, said China-India relations have been on an improving trajectory since the two national leaders held a meeting in Kazan, Russia, in 2024, and retaining such an outdated policy runs counter to the current progress in bilateral political ties.

Qian told the daily that the previous policy targeting Chinese investment severely hampered the 'Make in India' initiative, and claimed that the crackdowns on Chinese capital ultimately undermined India's own economic interests.

The revision is a timely move that will boost the 'Make in India' campaign and support the upgrading of India's high-tech industries, he said.

Against the backdrop of India-US tariff disputes, this move can also be seen as part of India's economic and trade diversification strategy, shifting from a previous economic development path that was overly reliant on the US toward greater engagement with China, Qian said.

The adjustment is a positive step that will gradually ease Chinese companies' concerns and lead to more bilateral investment cooperation. But this is only the first step, and the Indian government needs to demonstrate greater sincerity and deliver more tangible outcomes to remove the uncertainty hanging over Chinese enterprises, Qian said.

“The foundation of China-India economic and trade cooperation lies in mutual benefit and win-win outcomes. Only transparent, stable, and predictable policies can truly unlock the collaborative potential of businesses from both sides,” the chamber said in the statement.

The ties between the two countries nosedived significantly following the clash in the Galwan Valley in June 2020 that marked the most serious military conflict between the two sides in decades.

Following these tensions, India had banned over 200 Chinese mobile apps like TikTok, WeChat, and Alibaba's UC browser. The country also rejected a major investment proposal from electric vehicle maker BYD.

Though India has received minimal FDI from China, the bilateral trade between the two nations has grown multi-fold.

China has emerged as India's second-largest trading partner. In 2024-25, India's exports to China contracted 14.5 per cent to USD 14.25 billion. The imports, however, rose by 11.52 per cent in 2024-25 to USD 113.45 billion. The trade deficit was widened to USD 99.2 billion in 2024-25 from USD 85 billion in 2023-24.

During April-January 2025-26, India's exports to China rose by 38.37 per cent to USD 15.88 billion, while imports rose by 13.82 per cent to USD 108.18 billion. The trade deficit stood at USD 92.3 billion. PTI KJV NPK ZH NPK NPK

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