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    China sets lower economic growth target of 4.5pc to 5pc for 2026 as challenges loom
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March 5, 2026
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Economic growth target provides policy leeway amid external trade risks and domestic demand pressures.
China sets an economic growth target modestly lower than recent practice and presents it as a tool to preserve policy flexibility for structural adjustment, risk prevention, and reform in the opening year of a new five year plan. The report links the target to responses to external trade and geopolitical risks and to domestic challenges including a supply demand imbalance, while emphasising strengthening the domestic economy and promoting technology development.
March 4, 2026
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Family Benefit Management System directive to build integrated household database and issue universal family cards across the state.
The administration directed creation of a Family Benefit Management System compiling twenty-six household attributes-such as family identity, Aadhaar, rice card identity, education, profession, and contact details-and integrating records from multiple public and utility sources to build a comprehensive beneficiary registry. Officials reported most data is already available and the government intends to issue a family card to every household, instructing continued interagency data integration to operationalize the system for welfare delivery.
March 4, 2026
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Data protection breach: probe sought after mass discovery of identity cards, with UIDAI inquiry and legal action requested.
A data protection and public safety concern arose when a large number of Aadhaar identity cards were found on the Nethravathi riverbank, prompting the Karnataka Assembly Speaker to ask UIDAI Bengaluru for immediate intervention, a thorough investigation to determine how the cards were disposed and identify those responsible, and initiation of appropriate legal action through the concerned department.
March 4, 2026
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Bail refusal upholds detention of accused amid documentary evidence and witness-influence concerns, despite prior PMLA order.
Court denied bail to an accused in a cheating conspiracy who allegedly promised plots and flats from a government quota and used forged government documents; the magistrate found the chargesheet and documentary material crystallise his role, noted the seriousness of offences and risk of witness influence, and held that filing of the chargesheet and a separate money-laundering bail order did not by themselves justify release.
March 4, 2026
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Supply chain disruption delays exports from Sambhajinagar, raising transport costs and risking customer loss for manufacturers.
Supply chain disruption from the US Israel conflict has delayed containers at Jawaharlal Nehru Port Authority and suspended certain shipping services, causing longer transit times, higher transport costs, halted agricultural shipments to affected regions, and commercial risks such as customer attrition, repatriation of cargo, and potential post conflict surcharges that would raise export costs for manufacturers in Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar.
March 4, 2026
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Force majeure suspends LNG deliveries, disrupting contracted supplies and straining city gas distribution and industrial feedstock.
Reciprocal force majeure notices have been issued following attacks that prevent LNG tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, excusing non performance by the exporter and importer and prompting the importer to issue corresponding notices to downstream offtakers; the supply shortfall has reduced contracted gas availability for industrial and city gas distribution consumers, who seek confirmation on continued allocations while market participants assess costly spot replacements and insurance exclusions for acts of war.
March 4, 2026
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Tariff reduction boosts export prospects while domestic demand weakness keeps manufacturing contraction risk elevated in coming months.
China's official manufacturing PMI returned to contraction, driven by weak domestic consumption and real estate weakness, while private-sector PMI showed export-led expansion. A judicial reduction of reciprocal tariffs has lowered US tariff levels globally and is expected to provide a modest boost to exports. Upcoming high-level bilateral talks and China's national congress, which will set a growth target and approve a five-year plan focused on technology and self-reliance, are poised to influence near-term manufacturing prospects.
March 4, 2026
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Currency depreciation driven by crude oil price shock and capital outflows, worsening trade balance risk and market volatility.
Rupee depreciation accelerated as a spike in international crude prices amid geopolitical tensions prompted safe-haven flows and foreign portfolio outflows, driving the currency to a record low, pressuring equity markets and raising the risk of a larger fuel import bill that could strain the trade balance and market stability.
March 3, 2026
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GST input tax credit fraud exposed; arrests and shell company network identification trigger criminal and financial probes.
An organised racket used stolen identity documents to register shell firms, obtain GST numbers and open bank accounts to perform large-scale GST Input Tax Credit (ITC) fraud by issuing fake invoices and generating fraudulent e-way bills; funds were routed through multiple accounts, criminal cases for cheating and forgery filed, evidence recovered and coordination with tax authorities and banks is underway.
March 3, 2026
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Fraudulent GST registrations enabling Input Tax Credit misuse uncovered; coordinated raids, electronic forensics and an arrest followed.
A large-scale operation procured GST registrations for non-existent firms through forged and fraudulently obtained KYC documents, producing fake taxpayers and fraudulent invoices that enabled the wrongful availment and passing on of Input Tax Credit; coordinated IP tracking and searches led to seizure of electronic evidence and documents and to the arrest and judicial remand of a key suspect, with further investigation ongoing.
March 3, 2026
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Supply chain resilience measures initiated to monitor West Asia risks and coordinate trade, logistics and customs responses.
The government has set up an inter-ministerial group to monitor West Asia developments daily, assess vulnerabilities in shipping, logistics, exports and critical imports, and coordinate inter-ministerial actions. Measures include procedural flexibility in export authorisations, coordination with customs and port authorities to ensure smooth clearance, engagement with financial and insurance institutions to safeguard exporter interests, and a 24x7 DGFT help desk. The IMG for supply chain resilience includes departments of financial services, external affairs, shipping, petroleum and customs to facilitate coordination, monitoring and follow-up amid exporter concerns about surcharges, insurance gaps, route diversions and increased transit times.
March 3, 2026
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Force majeure declaration halts key LNG deliveries, prompting contractual supply cuts and reliance on pricier spot procurement.
Qatar declared force majeure on LNG deliveries after production halted due to regional hostilities and maritime disruptions, prompting curtailed supplies to industry and relief from supplier performance obligations. Importers are assessing long term contract entitlements, pursuing spot market purchases, and reallocating available cargoes while contending with higher war risk insurance, shipping costs, and transit constraints through the Strait of Hormuz.
March 3, 2026
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Fuel stock coverage ensures short-term supply continuity by using strategic reserves and diversified sourcing to mitigate disruptions.
India maintains sufficient crude and refined fuel inventories to manage short-term disruptions from West Asia hostilities, with strategic petroleum reserves and commercial stockpiles providing roughly six to eight weeks' coverage. The government has a 24x7 control room for continuous monitoring and contingency measures include drawing on strategic reserves, using commercial stocks, and diversifying sourcing from suppliers outside the Strait of Hormuz to sustain availability and affordability while managing price and freight risks.
March 3, 2026
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Debt-to-GSDP reduction signals fiscal consolidation as borrowings largely went to service prior liabilities under current administration.
The administration reports a reduction in the state's debt-to-GSDP ratio from its level at the start of the term and asserts that most recent borrowings were applied to servicing legacy debt, including repayment of significant portions of past principal and interest. The Finance Minister also highlights increased mobilisation of GST and excise revenues during the current four-year period relative to prior administrations, presented as strengthening fiscal capacity.
March 3, 2026
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Mandatory biometric update for children enables Aadhaar authentication for benefits, scholarships and examinations.
The UIDAI has implemented a mandatory biometric update (MBU) programme for school children aged 7-15, delivered through in-school camps and enrolment centres, with MBU made free for a limited period. Integration with UDISE+ enables identification of students due for updates and monitoring of MBU status. Initial enrolment below age five records demographic data only; fingerprints and iris biometrics are captured later via the MBU process once children reach the prescribed ages, enabling subsequent Aadhaar authentication for benefits, scholarships and examinations.
March 3, 2026
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Free trade agreements prompt industry to boost investment, research, and quality to expand manufacturing exports and access markets.
India aims to use free trade agreements to expand manufacturing exports by urging industry to increase investment, adopt new technologies, and prioritise research and quality to meet global standards. The budget supports this through record capital expenditure for infrastructure and logistics, reforms in MSME classification to improve credit and technology access, and sectoral missions including the BioPharma Shakti Mission and the Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage Mission to boost advanced manufacturing and sustainability-linked market access.
March 3, 2026
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Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement negotiations launched to set a negotiation framework and pursue an ambitious, balanced trade pact.
Terms of Reference for the India-Canada Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement establish the negotiation framework-setting format, frequency and approach-to guide talks toward an ambitious, balanced and mutually beneficial CEPA covering trade in goods, services and other mutually agreed policy areas, reflecting prior leader-level direction to advance negotiations.
March 3, 2026
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Quality standards and R&D investment urged to align industry with free trade agreement opportunities and export growth.
Industry is urged to accelerate investment and prioritise research and development to meet global quality standards and fully exploit opportunities from free trade agreements; early adoption of clean technologies, including carbon capture initiatives, and expanded infrastructure and logistics spending are presented as necessary complements to enhance export readiness and supply chain resilience.
March 2, 2026
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Reservation for Agniveers in police expands recruitment priority while a new Agri Discom targets uninterrupted farm power supply.
The budget creates a dedicated Haryana Agri Discom to deliver uninterrupted, reliable electricity and expedited services to all agricultural feeders and consumers, alongside biomass power projects and cropping incentives. Concurrently, it provides reserved recruitment access for returning defence personnel in the state police, forms a State Disaster Response Force with Agniveer participation, establishes an Anti Terrorist Squad under IG rank, and commits funds to rural employment guarantees, PACS reform, a Green Climate Resilience Fund, and enhanced crop compensation schemes.
March 2, 2026
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Trade facilitation to protect exporters amid West Asia crisis, focusing on logistics continuity and insurer coordination.
Government coordination aims to maintain continuity of export import logistics amid the West Asia crisis by monitoring routes, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability, directing facilitative measures including procedural flexibility in export authorisations, customs coordination, engagement with financial and insurance institutions, and targeted support for time sensitive exports; exporters sought restoration of higher RoDTEP rates, restraint on insurance premium increases by ECGC, broader insurance cover and sector specific timeline relief.

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Customs & Trade

US starts Section 301 probe against India, 15 other economies: An explainer

March 12, 2026

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New Delhi, Mar 12 (PTI) The US Trade Representative (USTR) on March 11 said it has launched a fresh round of Section 301 trade investigations targeting policies and industrial practices of 16 economies, including India and China.

Following a decision of the US Supreme Court striking down sweeping tariffs of the Trump administration, US President Donald Trump has announced 10 per cent tariffs on all countries for 150 days from February 24.

Now, initiation of this probe marks a significant escalation in trade scrutiny. Here are a few questions and answers to understand the issue.

WHAT IS THIS INVESTIGATION? ----------------------------------- The United States Trade Representative (USTR) has announced that it has initiated investigations against its trading partners, including India, China, Japan, and the European Union (EU), to look into and address unfair foreign practices that are adversely affecting American manufacturing.

The probe targets policies and industrial practices of 16 economies.

The probe covers sectors, including steel, aluminum, automobiles, batteries, electronics, chemicals, machinery, semiconductors, and solar modules.

WHICH 16 ECONOMIES ARE COVERED UNDER THE PROBE? --------------------------------------------------------------- There are 15 countries and the 27-nation EU bloc. The nations are China, Singapore, Switzerland, Norway, Indonesia, Malaysia, Cambodia, Thailand, South Korea, Vietnam, Taiwan, Bangladesh, Mexico, Japan, and India.

WHY THIS PROBE? -------------------- After the US Supreme Court struck down tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. On February 20, Trump signed a proclamation to impose a temporary import duty of 10 per cent on all countries to replace the tariffs invalidated by the Court. After that, the President had stated that the US has other alternatives to impose such levies.

On February 20, a White House Fact Sheet stated that the President has directed the Office of the USR to use its Section 301 authority to investigate certain unreasonable and discriminatory acts, policies, and practices that burden or restrict US commerce.

WHAT IS THE INVESTIGATION PROCESS? --------------------------------------------- Under Section 301 of the US Trade Act of 1974, the US government may investigate whether foreign trade practices are unreasonable or discriminatory and harm American commerce.

The investigations will determine whether those acts, policies, and practices are unreasonable or discriminatory and burden or restrict US commerce.

"The probe will examine whether policies such as industrial subsidies, state-supported manufacturing expansion, activities of state-owned enterprises, market-access barriers, currency practices or suppressed domestic demand have contributed to global manufacturing overcapacity that burdens US commerce, think tank GTRI said.

If such practices are confirmed, Washington may impose retaliatory trade measures, including additional tariffs, quantitative restrictions or other trade barriers.

According to the GTRI, as per a defined process, public dockets for written submissions will open on March 17, allowing companies, trade groups and governments to submit their comments on the probe.

Written submissions and requests to participate in hearings must be filed by April 15. Public hearings will take place from May 5-8 at the US International Trade Commission in Washington. Rebuttal submissions must be filed within seven days after the hearings conclude. After consultations with the governments concerned, the USTR will determine whether the practices under investigation warrant retaliatory action.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR INDIA? ---------------------------------------- The Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) stated that the US investigation identifies several sectors in India where structural excess capacity or export surpluses may exist. These include solar modules, petrochemicals, steel, textiles, health-related goods, construction materials and automotive products.

According to the US notice, India's solar-module manufacturing capacity is already nearly three times domestic demand, suggesting the possibility of export-driven production surpluses. Similar concerns are raised about expanding capacity in petrochemicals and steel, GTRI Founder Ajay Srivastava said.

Apex exporters' body FIEO said the investigation seems largely aimed at addressing global concerns around structural overcapacity in manufacturing.

"India's export growth is largely demand-driven and diversified, so we do not see any immediate concern, though the situation will need to be watched," FIEO Director General Ajay Sahai said.

WHICH ALL LAWS IS THE US USING TO IMPOSE TARIFFS? ---------------------------------------------------------------- International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) 1977: Trump in February 2025 invoked this to impose tariffs. The court on February 20 this year ruled that Trump can not use this to impose tariffs.

Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974: On February 20, 2026, Trump invoked this to impose 10 per cent tariffs on all countries for 150 days. The US President can increase the tariffs to 15 per cent.

Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962: Trump has imposed sector-specific tariffs (certain steel and aluminium products and auto components) under this. It allows trade restrictions on national-security grounds.

The US can potentially use it to include additional sectors, GTRI said.

Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974: It is designed to address unfair foreign practices affecting US commerce. It can be used to respond to unjustifiable, unreasonable, or discriminatory foreign government practices that burden or restrict US commerce.

"Section 301 remains an important US trade tool, it is slower and more legally constrained than the reciprocal tariff system invalidated by the Supreme Court. Section 301 investigations require evidence of harm and must be tied to specific trade practices," GTRI said.

Section 302(b) of the Trade Act of 1974: Under this, the USTR can self-initiate an investigation under Section 301. PTI RR TRB

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