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    China sets lower economic growth target of 4.5pc to 5pc for 2026 as challenges loom
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March 5, 2026
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Economic growth target provides policy leeway amid external trade risks and domestic demand pressures.
China sets an economic growth target modestly lower than recent practice and presents it as a tool to preserve policy flexibility for structural adjustment, risk prevention, and reform in the opening year of a new five year plan. The report links the target to responses to external trade and geopolitical risks and to domestic challenges including a supply demand imbalance, while emphasising strengthening the domestic economy and promoting technology development.
March 4, 2026
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Family Benefit Management System directive to build integrated household database and issue universal family cards across the state.
The administration directed creation of a Family Benefit Management System compiling twenty-six household attributes-such as family identity, Aadhaar, rice card identity, education, profession, and contact details-and integrating records from multiple public and utility sources to build a comprehensive beneficiary registry. Officials reported most data is already available and the government intends to issue a family card to every household, instructing continued interagency data integration to operationalize the system for welfare delivery.
March 4, 2026
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Data protection breach: probe sought after mass discovery of identity cards, with UIDAI inquiry and legal action requested.
A data protection and public safety concern arose when a large number of Aadhaar identity cards were found on the Nethravathi riverbank, prompting the Karnataka Assembly Speaker to ask UIDAI Bengaluru for immediate intervention, a thorough investigation to determine how the cards were disposed and identify those responsible, and initiation of appropriate legal action through the concerned department.
March 4, 2026
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Bail refusal upholds detention of accused amid documentary evidence and witness-influence concerns, despite prior PMLA order.
Court denied bail to an accused in a cheating conspiracy who allegedly promised plots and flats from a government quota and used forged government documents; the magistrate found the chargesheet and documentary material crystallise his role, noted the seriousness of offences and risk of witness influence, and held that filing of the chargesheet and a separate money-laundering bail order did not by themselves justify release.
March 4, 2026
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Supply chain disruption delays exports from Sambhajinagar, raising transport costs and risking customer loss for manufacturers.
Supply chain disruption from the US Israel conflict has delayed containers at Jawaharlal Nehru Port Authority and suspended certain shipping services, causing longer transit times, higher transport costs, halted agricultural shipments to affected regions, and commercial risks such as customer attrition, repatriation of cargo, and potential post conflict surcharges that would raise export costs for manufacturers in Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar.
March 4, 2026
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Force majeure suspends LNG deliveries, disrupting contracted supplies and straining city gas distribution and industrial feedstock.
Reciprocal force majeure notices have been issued following attacks that prevent LNG tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, excusing non performance by the exporter and importer and prompting the importer to issue corresponding notices to downstream offtakers; the supply shortfall has reduced contracted gas availability for industrial and city gas distribution consumers, who seek confirmation on continued allocations while market participants assess costly spot replacements and insurance exclusions for acts of war.
March 4, 2026
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Tariff reduction boosts export prospects while domestic demand weakness keeps manufacturing contraction risk elevated in coming months.
China's official manufacturing PMI returned to contraction, driven by weak domestic consumption and real estate weakness, while private-sector PMI showed export-led expansion. A judicial reduction of reciprocal tariffs has lowered US tariff levels globally and is expected to provide a modest boost to exports. Upcoming high-level bilateral talks and China's national congress, which will set a growth target and approve a five-year plan focused on technology and self-reliance, are poised to influence near-term manufacturing prospects.
March 4, 2026
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Currency depreciation driven by crude oil price shock and capital outflows, worsening trade balance risk and market volatility.
Rupee depreciation accelerated as a spike in international crude prices amid geopolitical tensions prompted safe-haven flows and foreign portfolio outflows, driving the currency to a record low, pressuring equity markets and raising the risk of a larger fuel import bill that could strain the trade balance and market stability.
March 3, 2026
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GST input tax credit fraud exposed; arrests and shell company network identification trigger criminal and financial probes.
An organised racket used stolen identity documents to register shell firms, obtain GST numbers and open bank accounts to perform large-scale GST Input Tax Credit (ITC) fraud by issuing fake invoices and generating fraudulent e-way bills; funds were routed through multiple accounts, criminal cases for cheating and forgery filed, evidence recovered and coordination with tax authorities and banks is underway.
March 3, 2026
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Fraudulent GST registrations enabling Input Tax Credit misuse uncovered; coordinated raids, electronic forensics and an arrest followed.
A large-scale operation procured GST registrations for non-existent firms through forged and fraudulently obtained KYC documents, producing fake taxpayers and fraudulent invoices that enabled the wrongful availment and passing on of Input Tax Credit; coordinated IP tracking and searches led to seizure of electronic evidence and documents and to the arrest and judicial remand of a key suspect, with further investigation ongoing.
March 3, 2026
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Supply chain resilience measures initiated to monitor West Asia risks and coordinate trade, logistics and customs responses.
The government has set up an inter-ministerial group to monitor West Asia developments daily, assess vulnerabilities in shipping, logistics, exports and critical imports, and coordinate inter-ministerial actions. Measures include procedural flexibility in export authorisations, coordination with customs and port authorities to ensure smooth clearance, engagement with financial and insurance institutions to safeguard exporter interests, and a 24x7 DGFT help desk. The IMG for supply chain resilience includes departments of financial services, external affairs, shipping, petroleum and customs to facilitate coordination, monitoring and follow-up amid exporter concerns about surcharges, insurance gaps, route diversions and increased transit times.
March 3, 2026
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Force majeure declaration halts key LNG deliveries, prompting contractual supply cuts and reliance on pricier spot procurement.
Qatar declared force majeure on LNG deliveries after production halted due to regional hostilities and maritime disruptions, prompting curtailed supplies to industry and relief from supplier performance obligations. Importers are assessing long term contract entitlements, pursuing spot market purchases, and reallocating available cargoes while contending with higher war risk insurance, shipping costs, and transit constraints through the Strait of Hormuz.
March 3, 2026
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Fuel stock coverage ensures short-term supply continuity by using strategic reserves and diversified sourcing to mitigate disruptions.
India maintains sufficient crude and refined fuel inventories to manage short-term disruptions from West Asia hostilities, with strategic petroleum reserves and commercial stockpiles providing roughly six to eight weeks' coverage. The government has a 24x7 control room for continuous monitoring and contingency measures include drawing on strategic reserves, using commercial stocks, and diversifying sourcing from suppliers outside the Strait of Hormuz to sustain availability and affordability while managing price and freight risks.
March 3, 2026
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Debt-to-GSDP reduction signals fiscal consolidation as borrowings largely went to service prior liabilities under current administration.
The administration reports a reduction in the state's debt-to-GSDP ratio from its level at the start of the term and asserts that most recent borrowings were applied to servicing legacy debt, including repayment of significant portions of past principal and interest. The Finance Minister also highlights increased mobilisation of GST and excise revenues during the current four-year period relative to prior administrations, presented as strengthening fiscal capacity.
March 3, 2026
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Mandatory biometric update for children enables Aadhaar authentication for benefits, scholarships and examinations.
The UIDAI has implemented a mandatory biometric update (MBU) programme for school children aged 7-15, delivered through in-school camps and enrolment centres, with MBU made free for a limited period. Integration with UDISE+ enables identification of students due for updates and monitoring of MBU status. Initial enrolment below age five records demographic data only; fingerprints and iris biometrics are captured later via the MBU process once children reach the prescribed ages, enabling subsequent Aadhaar authentication for benefits, scholarships and examinations.
March 3, 2026
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Free trade agreements prompt industry to boost investment, research, and quality to expand manufacturing exports and access markets.
India aims to use free trade agreements to expand manufacturing exports by urging industry to increase investment, adopt new technologies, and prioritise research and quality to meet global standards. The budget supports this through record capital expenditure for infrastructure and logistics, reforms in MSME classification to improve credit and technology access, and sectoral missions including the BioPharma Shakti Mission and the Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage Mission to boost advanced manufacturing and sustainability-linked market access.
March 3, 2026
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Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement negotiations launched to set a negotiation framework and pursue an ambitious, balanced trade pact.
Terms of Reference for the India-Canada Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement establish the negotiation framework-setting format, frequency and approach-to guide talks toward an ambitious, balanced and mutually beneficial CEPA covering trade in goods, services and other mutually agreed policy areas, reflecting prior leader-level direction to advance negotiations.
March 3, 2026
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Quality standards and R&D investment urged to align industry with free trade agreement opportunities and export growth.
Industry is urged to accelerate investment and prioritise research and development to meet global quality standards and fully exploit opportunities from free trade agreements; early adoption of clean technologies, including carbon capture initiatives, and expanded infrastructure and logistics spending are presented as necessary complements to enhance export readiness and supply chain resilience.
March 2, 2026
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Reservation for Agniveers in police expands recruitment priority while a new Agri Discom targets uninterrupted farm power supply.
The budget creates a dedicated Haryana Agri Discom to deliver uninterrupted, reliable electricity and expedited services to all agricultural feeders and consumers, alongside biomass power projects and cropping incentives. Concurrently, it provides reserved recruitment access for returning defence personnel in the state police, forms a State Disaster Response Force with Agniveer participation, establishes an Anti Terrorist Squad under IG rank, and commits funds to rural employment guarantees, PACS reform, a Green Climate Resilience Fund, and enhanced crop compensation schemes.
March 2, 2026
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Trade facilitation to protect exporters amid West Asia crisis, focusing on logistics continuity and insurer coordination.
Government coordination aims to maintain continuity of export import logistics amid the West Asia crisis by monitoring routes, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability, directing facilitative measures including procedural flexibility in export authorisations, customs coordination, engagement with financial and insurance institutions, and targeted support for time sensitive exports; exporters sought restoration of higher RoDTEP rates, restraint on insurance premium increases by ECGC, broader insurance cover and sector specific timeline relief.

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Customs, DGFT & SEZ

India–EFTA TEPA Marks Two Years, Strengthening Trade, Investment and Technology Collaboration

March 10, 2026

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India Builds Strategic FTA Network with 38 Nations, Expanding Global Market Access: Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi

India–EFTA TEPA Opens High-Income Markets, Targets $100 Billion Investment Over 15 Years

India–EFTA TEPA Boosts Inclusive Growth, Connecting Women, Youth, Farmers and MSMEs to Global Markets

Two years since the signing of the Trade and Economic Partnership Agreement between India and the member States of the European Free Trade Association, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland, the partnership has moved from negotiation to implementation with effect from 1 October 2025. The Agreement brings together India and a group of advanced European economies in a framework that supports trade, investment, services, technology collaboration and long-term industrial growth.

The Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi has said: “Over the last few years, we have built a strategic and purposeful network of Free Trade Agreements. We now have FTAs with 38 partner nations, an unprecedented milestone in India’s trade history. A remarkable feature of these trade agreements is that they span continents and include countries of varying economic strength. This gives our manufacturers and producers enough diversity and depth to sell our products across many markets. These FTAs have opened up the markets of major economies to India’s manufactured products. For instance, the India-UK FTA and the India-E.U. FTA will eliminate tariffs on 99% of our exports to these countries. Merchandise trade with both Australia and the UAE has doubled since the signing of FTAs with these countries. Our service sector and its professionals are well known worldwide. They have already made India a hub of Global Capability Centres in different domains. These trade agreements have further boosted their opportunities with greater regulatory certainty, mutually beneficial frameworks and greater mobility across our partner nations. Our manufacturing sector has been taking giant strides in the past few years and these trade agreements will help integrate India and Indian products more deeply into global supply chains. They will give better returns to Indian producers and manufacturers and also contribute to increasing prosperity for our people.”

On the 2nd Anniversary, Union Minister of Commerce and Industry Minister Shri Piyush Goyal stated “India-EFTA TEPA is an agreement with a long-term economic purpose. It gives Indian exporters access to high-income markets, creates an investment pathway of USD 100 billion over 15 years, and improves access to specialised machinery, quality inputs and technology partnerships that can strengthen manufacturing in India. This is important for building scale, improving standards, deepening value addition and moving towards India’s 2030 exports ambition.”

The India-EFTA TEPA is one of India’s most significant trade arrangements with a group of high-income and innovation-driven economies. Along with India’s other trade agreements and ongoing trade negotiations, it forms part of a wider effort to expand opportunities for farmers, fishermen, MSMEs and start-ups, while supporting investment and job creation across sectors. For MSMEs and start-ups in particular, the Agreement can open pathways for technology transfer, joint ventures and collaboration with niche technology firms from EFTA countries, helping Indian enterprises move up the value chain and strengthen their global competitiveness. Within TEPA, EFTA’s commitments cover 92.2 per cent of tariff lines, accounting for 99.6 per cent of India’s exports, including full coverage of non-agricultural products and tariff concessions on processed agricultural products. India’s commitments cover 82.7 per cent of tariff lines, accounting for 95.3 per cent of EFTA exports. Sensitive sectors, including dairy, soya, coal and select agricultural products, are protected, while the effective duty on gold remains unchanged.

For India, the significance of TEPA lies in both market access and capability building. The Agreement strengthens India’s export presence in high purchasing power markets securing binding commitments across pharmaceuticals, textiles and garments, engineering goods, chemicals, processed foods and marine products. At the same time, it improves access to specialised intermediate goods, advanced machinery, precision components and selected high-standard industrial products that can support production efficiency, product quality and integration with global supply chains.

This matters for India’s industrial growth. Better access to high-quality equipment and specialised inputs can help Indian enterprises upgrade manufacturing processes, reduce avoidable cost disadvantages, support standards compliance and expand participation in export-oriented production networks. In sectors where reliability, traceability and quality determine market share, such improvements carry wider export gains for Indian industry.

TEPA also supports India’s broader trade ambition towards 2030. The Government has articulated a target of USD 1 trillion in merchandise exports and USD 1 trillion in services exports by 2030. TEPA contributes to this objective by combining predictable access to advanced markets with investment-led capacity creation and stronger industrial linkages.

The Agreement includes an investment commitment of USD 100 billion over 15 years and facilitation of one million direct jobs. This investment dimension gives TEPA a wider economic role by linking trade opening to manufacturing capacity, technology partnerships, research and development, renewable energy, life sciences, engineering and digital transformation.

TEPA also opens fresh avenues in services. It provides a framework for stronger cooperation in IT and IT-enabled services, professional services and other knowledge-intensive sectors. It enables Mutual Recognition Agreements in identified professional services such as nursing, chartered accountancy and architecture, and provides greater certainty for the entry and temporary stay of key personnel linked to services delivery.

The Agreement has an inclusive growth dimension as well. Women and youth entrepreneurs, farmers, fishers, MSMEs and start-ups stand to benefit from access to premium European markets. Opportunities are expected to expand across Indian States, including Maharashtra in grapes, Karnataka in coffee, Kerala in spices and seafood, and the North Eastern States in horticulture, linking local producers more closely with global markets.

As implementation advances, India and the EFTA States will continue to work through institutional mechanisms, business engagement and stakeholder consultations to translate the Agreement into stronger trade flows, productive investment and deeper economic cooperation. TEPA reflects India’s approach to trade policy as an instrument for expanding exports, strengthening domestic manufacturing, connecting Indian firms to advanced value chains and supporting the larger vision of Viksit Bharat by 2047.

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