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February 27, 2026
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Money laundering probe under PMLA progresses as ED seeks statements and attaches assets amid linked bank fraud allegations.
PMLA investigation alleges bank loan fraud by group companies; the ED sought to record the principal individual's statement in a Yes Bank-linked money laundering case but he did not appear and his spouse sought adjournment. The ED has previously questioned the individual, conducted extended interrogation, attached a Mumbai residence under anti-money laundering law, filed multiple money laundering cases against group entities, and formed a Special Investigation Team to probe related instances. A parallel agency registered a fresh criminal case and conducted searches concerning alleged cheating of a public sector bank.
February 27, 2026
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Base-year revision of GDP raises growth estimates and updates methodology using tax and administrative data.
The national accounts have been rebased to 2022-23 and revised by incorporating GST, PFMS and vehicular-registration data to refine GDP measurement. The methodology now uses double deflation for manufacturing and agriculture, more granular deflators elsewhere, and compiles household-sector levels from annual enterprise and labour-force surveys instead of inter-survey proxies, producing revised quarterly and annual real and nominal GDP estimates and altered growth profiles across recent periods.
February 27, 2026
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Foreign exchange reserves dip, driven by declines in currency assets, gold holdings, SDRs and IMF reserve position.
India's foreign exchange reserves fell by USD 2.119 billion for the week ended February 20, lowering total reserves to USD 723.608 billion. The decline was driven by decreases in foreign currency assets (down USD 1.039 billion to USD 572.564 billion), gold reserves (down USD 977 million to USD 127.489 billion), Special Drawing Rights (down USD 84 million to USD 18.84 billion), and the reserve position with the IMF (down USD 18 million to USD 4.716 billion).
February 27, 2026
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Fiscal receipts and expenditure review reports major tax receipts, state tax devolution and primary outlays through January.
Consolidated monthly accounts to January 2026 report Centre receipts at 79.5% of revised estimates-mainly Tax Revenue with Non Tax and Non Debt Capital Receipts-and an increased transfer to States as Devolution of Share of Taxes. Total expenditure is 74.3% of estimates, split between Revenue and Capital Expenditure, with Interest Payments and Major Subsidies forming the principal components of Revenue Expenditure.
February 27, 2026
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DTAA narrowing prompts NRIs to move from traditional offshore structures to IFSCA regulated Gift City USD fund structures.
Tightening of treaty shopping rules under foreign exchange regulation, expanded beneficial ownership disclosure and increased tax authority scrutiny have eroded the cost benefit of Singapore and Mauritius structures, prompting NRIs to consider IFSCA regulated Gift City USD denominated funds. Gift City offers open ended equity funds, Category II AIFs with multi year lock ins and Category III AIFs for active equity strategies; advisers emphasise modelling embedded gains, consulting tax advisors on DTAA applicability, and assessing currency risk, liquidity profiles and the distinction between MOIC and IRR before restructuring.
February 27, 2026
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Pre-trial detention under the PMLA risks indefinite incarceration unless predicate offences and proceeds are judicially established.
The PMLA should not be deployed to permit coercive arrest and prolonged pre-trial detention based on provisional allegations before the foundational facts of the predicate offence and the status of alleged proceeds of crime are judicially established; provisional attachment may be justified to preserve investigation, but arrest and onerous bail conditions must not operate mechanically absent a crystallised, judicially cognisable predicate offence, and statutory powers must be harmonised with constitutional safeguards protecting personal liberty.
February 27, 2026
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Tariff rebalancing: joint statement allows modification of commitments if tariff changes affect the bilateral trade pact.
The joint statement accompanying the interim bilateral trade agreement provides for tariff rebalancing, permitting either party to modify its commitments if the other changes agreed tariff measures, thereby preserving reciprocal balance. This mechanism functions as an operative safeguard to adjust negotiated tariff concessions in response to unilateral tariff actions while the parties finalise the legal text.
February 27, 2026
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Basic salary threshold changes require employers to restructure pay and update payroll systems under new laws.
New labour codes and the Income Tax Act 2025 require employers to reconfigure compensation structures so Basic Pay meets the prescribed threshold, increasing provident fund, social security, gratuity and leave liabilities; update payroll systems and TDS reporting to new rules and forms; effect prompt final wage settlement on separation via automated HRMS workflows; maintain fully digitized statutory records for real time inspections; and extend proportionate statutory benefits to fixed term employees, prompting reassessment of project and seasonal workforce liabilities.
February 26, 2026
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Free trade agreement strengthens market access and builds on earlier economic reforms enabling sustained growth potential.
Economic reforms liberalised foreign exchange, dismantled bureaucratic restrictions and opened the Indian market to foreign investors, stabilising public finances and enabling prolonged economic growth. The recently concluded free trade agreement with the European Union is presented as a further deepening of market integration that builds on those reforms and enhances bilateral market access.
February 26, 2026
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Executive tariff authority struck down; bilateral trade negotiations paused pending legal text to implement tariff reductions.
Presidential tariff authority was found invalid, prompting immediate temporary tariff adjustments and delaying bilateral trade negotiations because the interim framework reducing duties must be converted into a legally binding text before implementation. Chief negotiators' meetings were postponed pending clarity on tariff legality and future orders, and India indicated it will resume talks once tariff treatment is clarified.
February 26, 2026
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Money laundering probe prompts extended questioning and attachment of assets in alleged bank fraud matter.
Allegations of large scale bank fraud and resultant money laundering underpin the probe: extended questioning under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act concerns alleged diversion of funds through foreign subsidiaries and offshore entities tied to a group company. Investigative measures include constitution of a specialized investigation team, attachment of assets under anti money laundering provisions, searches, arrests of former executives, and parallel criminal case registrations alleging bank cheating in separate loan transactions.
February 26, 2026
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Simultaneous insolvency proceedings allowed against principal debtor and guarantor, enabling creditors to pursue parallel recovery routes.
There is no statutory bar under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code to initiating concurrent CIRP proceedings against a principal debtor and its corporate guarantor for the same debt; a creditor's right to realize a guarantee must not be frustrated by requiring sequential insolvency processes, the IBC does not exempt guarantors during pendency of another process, and adjudicating authorities must examine such applications independently, consistent with the principle that a surety's liability is co-extensive with the principal debtor.
February 26, 2026
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Prosecution sanction requirement in PMLA cases accelerates trial after agency files requisite approvals before the special court.
Enforcement Directorate placed competent prosecution sanction and an equivalent CrPC sanction order before the Special PMLA Court to remedy procedural defects identified by the Supreme Court and to expedite trial in two money laundering prosecutions arising from the Aircel Maxis and INX Media matters. The agency's action validates earlier ED chargesheets and aims to overcome delays caused by challenges to PMLA sanction requirements.
February 26, 2026
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Free Trade Agreement negotiations between India and Israel progress, covering goods, services, rules of origin, and digital trade.
Negotiations commenced under a signed Terms of Reference to establish a structured framework for an ambitious Free Trade Agreement between India and Israel, with the first round of talks addressing core chapters-trade in goods and services, rules of origin, sanitary and phytosanitary measures, technical barriers, customs procedures, intellectual property rights and digital trade-and agreeing continued virtual engagements and a further in person round in Israel.
February 26, 2026
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Recovery of real estate regulatory dues intensified, with stricter property-tracing and revenue recovery measures to enforce orders.
The government will intensify recovery of unpaid dues under the Real Estate Regulatory framework by directing district collectors to expedite recoveries, identify and attach defaulting developers' properties across districts, and trace assets using land records, stamp and registration data, property tax rolls, company registrations, vehicle registration records and, where necessary, tax authority assistance; recovery will be pursued through statutory revenue-recovery mechanisms and overseen via periodic reviews by senior administrators.
February 26, 2026
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Tribunal accountability undermined as technical members outsource judgments, prompting urgent tenure and vacancy reforms and oversight action.
Tribunal functioning and accountability are the central concerns: tribunals have become a "no-man's land" lacking accountability and producing questionable orders. Structural defects in the appointment and tenure regime allow technical members to assume chairpersonship and, in some instances, outsource drafting of judgments. The court directed the executive to expedite vacancy-filling mechanisms and granted interim tenure extensions for chairpersons while urging reforms to appointment, training, and accountability processes.
February 26, 2026
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Consumer financing enables AC purchases on Easy EMI, improving affordability but requires checking eligibility and costs.
Guidance advises matching AC capacity and inverter technology to room conditions to avoid high bills and uneven cooling, factoring installation and maintenance costs into total ownership, and prioritising warranty, spare parts, and after sales support. Easy EMI financing options with online eligibility checks, Insta EMI card facilitation, zero down payment offers, and variable promotional terms are available, but buyers must verify precise loan limits, service availability, and partner store conditions before purchase.
February 26, 2026
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Bank fraud allegations prompt fresh probe into diversion of loan funds and related money laundering inquiries.
A central investigative agency registered a fresh criminal case alleging that the promoter and his telecom group diverted and misutilised sanctioned loan funds, created fictitious related party transactions, manipulated accounts, and layered funds to conceal true flows, leading to the account's NPA classification; the bank's complaint and forensic findings allege systematic diversion through group entities and liquidation of investments to effect payments inconsistent with sanction terms.
February 26, 2026
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Unsecured personal loans: flexible repayment and competitive rates available, subject to credit score, income, and eligibility.
Bajaj Finance markets unsecured personal loans with competitive, credit based interest pricing, flexible repayment tenures chosen to manage EMI burden, minimal documentation, online application and expedited disbursal. Loan amounts cover a range of consumer needs and eligibility is determined by nationality, age limits, employment status and a minimum credit score, with rates and approval conditioned on income, employment type, credit profile and repayment capacity. The lender is a deposit taking institution registered with the Reserve Bank and classified as an NBFC D and NBFC ICC.
February 26, 2026
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Regulatory approval for stake acquisition with holding cap and time bound conditions, and prior approval required for increases.
RBI approved SBI Mutual Fund's acquisition of up to 9.99 per cent of Bandhan Bank's paid-up share capital or voting rights, subject to compliance with the Banking Regulation Act, 1949, RBI Directions 2025, FEMA, and SEBI regulations. The approval expires if the specified major shareholding is not acquired within one year, the aggregate holding must not exceed the approved cap at any time, and any increase to or beyond 5 per cent after falling below that level requires prior RBI approval.

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Customs & Trade

China's exports surge in Jan-Feb despite waning trade with US

March 10, 2026

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Hong Kong, Mar 10 (AP) China's exports jumped nearly 22% in the first two months of the year from a year earlier, powered by a surge in shipments of computer chips, autos and electronics.

The export figures released by China's customs agency on Tuesday were much better than economists had forecast. They far exceeded the 6.6% annual pace of growth recorded in December.

Shipments to the US fell 11% in January and February, narrowing from a 30% drop in December. Exports to the European Union increased almost 28% while those to Latin America climbed 16%.

Exports to the rest of Asia, including Japan and India, also were sharply higher.

China's exports have been a bright spot for its economy despite tensions with the US. Chinese exports climbed 5.5% for 2025 as its trade surplus surged to a record of nearly $1.2 trillion. Higher shipments to other regions have helped offset weaker exports to the US after President Donald Trump imposed a variety of higher tariffs on imports from many countries.

The boom in use of artificial intelligence is driving strong demand for computer chips of all kinds.

China's exports of semiconductors by value soared nearly 73% in the first two months of the year, partly also lifted by higher prices as the world faces a memory chip shortage. Its exports of autos rose 67% and mechanical and electrical items rose 27%.

Trump's planned visit to Beijing at the end of March is being closely watched for a possible extension of a trade truce between the two countries reached in October last year, which could be positive news for Chinese exports to the US.

A recent US Supreme Court ruling against Trump's sweeping tariffs has already resulted in lower tariffs for countries including China.

“While the recent pace of gains is unlikely to be sustained, exports are likely to remain robust given the recent decline in US tariffs and strong demand for semiconductors,” Zichun Huang, a China economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a note.

China's total imports in January and February rose almost 20%, up from December's 5.7% year-on-year increase. However, its imports from the United States dropped nearly 27% from a year earlier.

China's global trade surplus in January-February was $213.6 billion. Trade data is typically combined for January to February each year to help even out seasonal impacts from the Lunar New Year festival, the biggest holiday of the year.

A slowing domestic economy fuelled by a yearslong property sector downturn has been weighing on the world's second largest economy. Last week, Chinese leaders announced an economic growth target of 4.5% to 5% for 2026, the lowest since 1991.

The war in the Middle East has raised uncertainty over the outlook for trade and for China's own energy security.

An effective blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a transit point for much of the world's trade in oil and gas, may restrict China's access to relatively cheap Iranian oil and also impede its broader commerce with the region.

For China, export competitiveness is paramount, said Han Lin, China Country Director at consultancy The Asia Group. “Energy inflation is the last thing Beijing policymakers need," he said.

If the war drags on, a surge in oil prices fuelling global inflation could also weaken consumption abroad, potentially hurting overseas demand for Chinese goods, said Daniel Russel, a distinguished fellow at the Asia Society Policy Institute. (AP) SCY SCY

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