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    India, Canada launch negotiations for free trade pact
    No petrol, diesel price hike despite global oil prices spiking to USD 80
    West Asia crisis: TCS, Wipro halt travel to Middle East, Nasscom urges remote work
    Mizoram to intensify crackdown on areca nuts smuggling, 468 cases registered since 2019: Minister
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March 2, 2026
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Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement negotiations launched to cover goods and services and pursue an ambitious bilateral trade pact.
Launch of negotiations for a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) between India and Canada, with signed Terms of Reference to set the format, frequency and approach for talks covering trade in goods, services and other policy areas. The ToR aim to guide negotiators toward an ambitious, balanced pact, resuming talks from the start after a prior pause. Negotiations target expanded market access and increased bilateral trade, identifying key goods and services sectors and naming chief negotiators for each country.
March 2, 2026
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Fuel pricing policy shields consumers by using company-held margins to stabilize retail petrol and diesel amid global crude spikes.
India's fuel pricing policy freezes retail petrol and diesel prices by allowing public sector oil companies to absorb losses when international crude prices rise and build margins when prices fall; this cushion-based approach, overseen by the Oil Ministry, will continue unless a sustained, very large spike in crude or prolonged disruptions (notably via the Strait of Hormuz) make it untenable, exposing vulnerabilities from high import dependence and increased procurement, freight, and insurance costs.
March 2, 2026
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Travel suspension to Middle East prompts IT firms to enforce employee safety measures and remote work arrangements.
Indian IT firms have suspended or deferred travel to the Middle East and implemented employee safety measures: TCS suspended all incoming and outgoing travel, advised associates to stay indoors, activated a call tree, and is coordinating with local authorities and embassies; Wipro issued a no travel advisory for multiple countries and directed regional staff to follow local guidance. Nasscom advised members to defer travel and enable work from home arrangements as a precaution while monitoring operations and preparing further measures if required.
March 2, 2026
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Customs enforcement against areca nut smuggling intensified, emphasising prosecution under prohibitory orders and strengthened border surveillance.
Intensified enforcement targets areca nut smuggling from Myanmar due to evasion of import duties and market harm to local growers. Authorities have registered numerous cases and made arrests under prohibitory-order offences prosecuted via the Indian Penal Code and the Bharatiya Nagarik Suraksha Sanhita, and separate prosecutions under the Customs Act. The government affirms continued prohibition, enhanced border surveillance, and a zero-tolerance stance including probes into alleged official complicity.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption risks push global markets lower as oil and gas price spikes strain trade and inflation expectations.
Energy supply disruptions from Middle East hostilities sharply pushed up oil, gas and fuel prices, driving marketwide volatility as investors rotated into safe havens. Attacks affecting transit through the Strait of Hormuz threaten continuity of crude and LNG exports, prompting buyers to seek alternate sources and tightening physical markets. Higher wholesale inflation readings increase the prospect of delayed monetary easing, reinforcing downward pressure on risk assets and elevating short term downside risk to trade and investment flows.
March 2, 2026
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Trade continuity secured through coordinated facilitation and procedural flexibility to protect exporters and sustain EXIM logistics.
The Department of Commerce convened a multi stakeholder consultation to coordinate regulatory and operational measures for EXIM logistics amid geopolitical developments, focusing on real time monitoring of routing, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability, and strengthening facilitation at ports and ICDs to prevent congestion. The Government emphasised a facilitative, coordinated approach prioritising supply chain resilience and exporter interests, agreeing measures including procedural flexibility for export authorisations, Customs coordination for smooth clearance, financial and insurance engagement, and prioritisation of time sensitive export segments.
March 2, 2026
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Current account deficit rises due to widening trade deficit; services surplus partially offsets external imbalance.
Current account deficit widened to USD 13.2 billion in the December quarter, driven mainly by a larger merchandise trade deficit, while net services receipts rose and partially offset the deterioration; the April-December current account deficit moderated compared with the prior year, reflecting goods and services flow dynamics within the balance of payments.
March 2, 2026
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GST revenue collections: gross receipts, refunds and net receipts reported, with state settlements and cess treatment noted.
Statement of February 2026 GST revenues detailing gross receipts by CGST, SGST and IGST (domestic and import), reported refunds (domestic and export/ICEGATE) and resulting net GST revenue split into net domestic and net customs receipts. It separately reports compensation and import cess inflows and refunds, noting compensation cess remains transitory until loan liabilities are discharged. State/UT pre- and post-settlement SGST distributions and Apr-Feb collection breakdowns by Central and State formations are included for inter-year comparison.
March 2, 2026
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Trade facilitation measures to mitigate West Asia crisis impact on exports, including customs coordination and logistical support.
The consultation assessed risks to EXIM cargo flows from West Asian hostilities and committed a facilitative, coordinated response focused on preserving trade continuity. Agreed measures include real-time monitoring of routing, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability; strengthened port/ICD facilitation to avoid congestion; targeted support for time-sensitive exports such as perishables and pharmaceuticals; procedural flexibility for export authorisations in genuine disruption; Customs coordination for smooth clearance; and engagement with financial and insurance institutions to protect exporter interests, with emphasis on MSMEs and essential imports.
March 2, 2026
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Exchange rate pressure intensified as geopolitical conflict, crude price spikes and capital outflows pushed the currency lower despite central bank support.
Severe exchange rate pressure drove the rupee sharply lower amid geopolitical conflict, FII outflows and rising crude prices, increasing India's import bill vulnerability; the Reserve Bank of India's visible market presence capped deeper intraday depreciation while analysts warned that geopolitical developments, crude trends, capital flows and key US data will determine near term exchange rate direction.
March 2, 2026
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Genetic upgrade initiative boosts local mutton and wool production via import of elite sheep and goat breeds.
Importation of Romanov and Finn sheep and Boer and Swiss Alpine goats aims to implement a genetic upgrade of Jammu and Kashmir's small ruminant population to improve growth rates, carcass yield, reproductive efficiency and overall flock productivity. Imported germplasm will be multiplied at government breeding farms and progeny distributed to farmers in phases, with farmer-level distribution starting in the third quarter of 2026-27, as part of Project 24 under the Holistic Agriculture Development Programme alongside complementary livestock and rural productivity measures.
March 2, 2026
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Oil supply disruption risk drives markets as geopolitical attacks push energy prices up and equities downward.
Attacks on Iran caused equity declines and sharp rises in oil and gold as traders priced in disruption to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz; sustained interruptions to Iranian exports and regional shipping could tighten global supply, elevate fuel and production costs, affect major importers' sourcing strategies, and influence inflation dynamics and central bank rate decisions.
March 2, 2026
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Manufacturing activity growth driven by stronger domestic demand despite slower export orders, prompting higher input buying and hiring.
Manufacturing activity accelerated to a four-month high as stronger domestic demand supported faster output growth and higher new business intakes; firms increased input purchasing, inventories and hiring. New export orders continued to slow, somewhat constraining employment creation. Cost pressures remained moderate, and forward-looking sentiment was positive with many manufacturers expecting higher output over the year ahead.
March 2, 2026
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Compliance with IS-17900 drives local manufacturing of advanced lift control systems, reducing import dependence and strengthening supply chains.
A Phase 1 manufacturing facility invests in local production of advanced lift electronic control systems designed to comply with IS-17900, reduce import dependency, and enable component to finished product localisation. The plant will operate automated PCB and semi automatic panel lines to produce MR, MRL and Slim Panels, emphasise controlled environment quality, IoT features, and support supply chain resilience and national industrial policy objectives under the Make in India framework.
March 2, 2026
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Reservation policy implementation strengthened across public financial institutions to improve accessibility and uniform compliance measures.
Strengthening institutional capacity for uniform implementation of the Government of India's reservation policy across public financial institutions and enhancing accessibility for Persons with Disabilities were the primary objectives. The programme combined a Sugamya Bharat sensitisation session on accessibility standards and compliance requirements, a roundtable on legal provisions and practical challenges, exchange of best practices, and an interactive question-and-answer session to identify operational measures for inclusivity, accessibility and reservation policy compliance.
March 2, 2026
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Deferred Customs Duty payment enables qualified manufacturers to clear imports and pay duties monthly, subject to compliance and eligibility.
A Deferred Customs Duty payment facility allows Eligible Manufacturer Importers to clear imports without immediate duty payment and to pay applicable customs duties monthly under the Deferred Payment of Import Duty Rules, 2016, subject to prescribed Customs and GST compliance, turnover, financial standing and track record; existing AEO T1 entities meeting eligibility may participate and applications are to be submitted via the AEO portal.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption risks trigger global market selloff and safe-haven flows, lifting oil and gold while bond yields fall.
Global markets moved to risk-off after US and Israeli attacks on Iran: equities opened lower while gold and government bonds rallied and oil prices surged on fears that strikes and incidents in the Strait of Hormuz could restrict oil and LNG exports, raising the prospect of higher energy and production costs; higher-than-expected wholesale inflation readings were identified as a factor that may affect the central bank's timing for interest-rate cuts.
March 2, 2026
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Rupee depreciation driven by crude price surge, dollar strength and foreign fund outflows pressures local currency lower.
Rupee depreciation in early trade reflected external pressures-higher crude prices, a stronger US dollar, and escalated Middle East tensions-compounded by negative domestic equity sentiment and significant foreign institutional outflows. Market indicators included a firmer dollar index, rising Brent crude futures, and a recent dip in forex reserves, while analysts warned of increased import bill risk due to India's reliance on fuel imports.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption threatens global oil flows, driving sharp price increases and straining fuel and goods markets worldwide.
Attacks and retaliatory strikes in the Middle East disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz and regional export infrastructure, triggering sharp crude price rises and heightened risk of sustained supply constraints; OPEC+ announced production increases, but analysts stress that constrained export routes limit the immediate effectiveness of added output.
March 2, 2026
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Maritime chokepoint security threatened, risking oil export disruptions and limiting the relief from increased production.
Attacks and military strikes in the Middle East disrupted maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, risking restrictions on regional crude exports and driving upward pressure on oil and gasoline prices. Because the strait is a critical global oil chokepoint, market concerns focus on whether barrels can physically move; consequently, OPEC+ announcements of increased production may provide limited immediate relief if export routes remain constrained.

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Customs & Trade

US lost 92,000 jobs last month as unemployment rate ticked up to 4.4%

March 7, 2026

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Washington, Mar 7 (AP) American employers unexpectedly cut 92,000 jobs last month, a sign that the labour market remains under strain. The unemployment rate blipped up to 4.4 per cent.

Hiring deteriorated from January, when companies, nonprofits and government agencies added a healthy 126,000 jobs, the Labour Department reported Friday. Economists had expected 60,000 new jobs in February.

Revisions also cut 69,000 jobs from December and January payrolls.

The surprisingly weak employment picture in February adds to the economic uncertainty over the war with Iran, which has caused oil prices to surge and saddled business and consumers with unforeseen costs.

“The job market is struggling in the face of so many headwinds,” said Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. “Companies are going to be even more reluctant to hire this spring until the war ends and they can see consumers still spending. It's a tense time for the US economy.” The job market had been expected to rebound this year from a lackluster 2025 when it was buffeted by President Donald Trump's erratic tariff policies, his purge of the federal workforce and the lingering effects of high interest rates. In 2025, employers added just 15,000 jobs a month. Hopes for a 2026 rebound rose after January hiring came in above expectations.

“Just when it looked like the labour market was stabilising, this report delivers a knock-down blow to that view,'' said Olu Sonola, head of U.S. economics at Fitch Ratings. ”It's bad news whichever way you look at it.'' The job losses were widespread.

Construction companies cut 11,000 jobs last month, which likely reflects frigid weather. And healthcare firms shed 28,000 jobs after a four-week strike by more than 30,000 nurses and other front-line workers at Kaiser Permanente in California and Hawaii. Health care has been one of the job market's strong points.

Factories cut 12,000 jobs and have now lost jobs for 14 of the last 15 months. Restaurants and bars lost nearly 30,000 jobs. Administrative and support services firms cut nearly 19,000 jobs and courier and messenger services almost 17,000.

Financial firms added 10,000 jobs, though job cuts continue to hit that sector as well this year.

Average hourly wages rose 0.4 per cent from January and 3.8 per cent from a year earlier.

The outlook for the job market - and the entire economy - is clouded by the war with Iran.

The combination of weak hiring and increasing inflationary pressures arising from the war creates a nightmare for the Federal Reserve, which must decide whether to cut interest rates to help the job market or hold off to help keep a lid on prices. “This is probably the worst scenario for monetary policy," said Eugenio Aleman, chief economist at Raymond James.

Employers were reluctant to hire last year because of uncertainty over Trump's tariffs - and the unpredictable way he rolled them out.

The impact of Trump's aggressive trade policies may recede in 2026. His import taxes became smaller and less erratic after he reached a trade truce last year with China and deals with leading US trade partners such as Japan and the European Union. A lot of businesses have also learned how to offset the costs of the tariffs, often by passing them along to customers via higher prices.

Brian Bethune, an economist at Boston College, said that Trump's 2025 tariffs were a shock to companies' business plans. Now, just as they've adjusted to them, “Guess what! All of a sudden, their 2026 business plans are upended by an increase in fuel costs'' caused by the war with Iran.

Jay Foreman, CEO of the toy company Basic Fun, expects to get some relief from Trump's tariffs after the Supreme Court last month struck down the biggest ones and potentially created a path for importers to get refunds for the levies they paid. The refunds would allow Foreman to invest more in his Boca Raton, Florida, company, which makes Lincoln Logs and Care Bears. He can also hand out more generous raises to employees and hire new people.

“We are expecting a record year,'' he said.

Yet under new tariffs sought by Trump, Foreman estimates that Basic Fun's tariff bill will more than double this year to USD 15 million. That is partly because the firm will be paying for a full year of Trump tariffs in 2026. Tariffs last year were not rolled out until spring or later. (AP) AMJ AMJ

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