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    7th India–Japan CEPA Joint Committee Meeting Held in Tokyo; Secretary, Department of Commerce Shri Rajesh Agrawal Co-Chairs Discussions.
    CCI approves acquisition of additional shareholding in Generali Central Insurance Company and Generali Central Life Insurance by Central Bank of India...
    CCI approves acquisition of certain shareholding in Balaji Wafers by General Atlantic Singapore BWP Pte.
    CCI approves proposed combination inter alia involving acquisition of certain stake by Bagmane Prime Office REIT of Bagmane Developers and others.
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    Iran war posing hurdles in supply chain; industries in Sambhajinagar facing delays in export
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    GST fraud racket busted in Kanpur, Rs 250 crore transactions detected; two held
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    Inter-ministerial group closely monitoring developments in West Asia: Goyal
    Qatar declares force majeure, gas supplies to Indian industry cut
    India has enough oil stock to weather West Asia crisis; coverage in place for 6-8 weeks
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March 5, 2026
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Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement promotes diversified trade and investment, enhancing tariff certainty and regulatory predictability.
The Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement was reviewed with focus on implementation, using the Agreement to secure tariff certainty and regulatory predictability, facilitate movement of natural persons, and promote diversification of bilateral trade. Officials highlighted export potential in textiles, pharmaceuticals, agriculture and services and underlined domestic measures to improve ease of doing business that complement CEPA's facilitative framework for deeper trade and investment cooperation.
March 5, 2026
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Combination approval permits Central Bank of India to increase shareholding in Generali insurers, subject to a regulatory order.
The Competition Commission has granted combination approval for Central Bank of India to increase its equity stakes in Generali Central Insurance Company Limited (general insurance) and Generali Central Life Insurance Company Limited (life insurance), expanding the bank's ownership in entities that supply distinct insurance products in India; a detailed Commission order will follow.
March 5, 2026
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Merger control approval permits an investment firm to acquire shareholding in a national packaged foods manufacturer.
The Competition Commission of India approved the acquisition whereby General Atlantic Singapore BWP Pte. Ltd. will acquire certain fully diluted shareholding in Balaji Wafers Private Limited from existing shareholders, clearing the notified combination under the merger control framework; a detailed order will follow.
March 5, 2026
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Combination approval: REIT to acquire developers and issue units in exchange for target shareholdings.
The Commission approved a proposed combination where Bagmane Prime Office REIT will directly acquire Bagmane Developers Private Limited (including Bagmane Green Power LLP), indirectly acquire Bagmane Rio Private Limited and, through BDPL, acquire the Luxor asset from Bagmane Constructions; Sponsor and certain third party shareholders will receive units of the Acquirer REIT in consideration for transfer of their shareholdings. The Acquirer REIT is SEBI registered and the Target Entities operate in commercial real estate, hospitality and renewable power generation.
March 5, 2026
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Image-based underwriting using Generative AI standardizes income estimation and speeds credit decisions in underserved micro enterprise markets.
Aye Finance piloted an in house system using Generative AI and ML-including a Multimodal Large Language Model integrated with proprietary models-to estimate monthly sales of trading stores from store images and related parameters, automating income estimation to reduce manual fieldwork, lower cost to serve, increase processing speed, and standardise underwriting, thereby facilitating credit inclusion for micro scale MSMEs.
March 5, 2026
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Economic growth target lowered to prioritise consumption, jobs and fiscal measures amid global and domestic uncertainties.
China reduced its economic growth target and set accompanying macro targets-including urban unemployment, urban job creation, CPI moderation, income growth alignment, balance of payments stability, steady grain output, and lower carbon emissions intensity-while announcing demand-side fiscal measures: an income-growth plan, targeted support for low-income groups and property income, reforms to remuneration and social security, issuance of special treasury bonds for consumer trade-in schemes, and a fiscal-financial coordination fund to expand domestic consumption.
March 5, 2026
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Economic growth target provides policy leeway amid external trade risks and domestic demand pressures.
China sets an economic growth target modestly lower than recent practice and presents it as a tool to preserve policy flexibility for structural adjustment, risk prevention, and reform in the opening year of a new five year plan. The report links the target to responses to external trade and geopolitical risks and to domestic challenges including a supply demand imbalance, while emphasising strengthening the domestic economy and promoting technology development.
March 4, 2026
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Family Benefit Management System directive to build integrated household database and issue universal family cards across the state.
The administration directed creation of a Family Benefit Management System compiling twenty-six household attributes-such as family identity, Aadhaar, rice card identity, education, profession, and contact details-and integrating records from multiple public and utility sources to build a comprehensive beneficiary registry. Officials reported most data is already available and the government intends to issue a family card to every household, instructing continued interagency data integration to operationalize the system for welfare delivery.
March 4, 2026
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Data protection breach: probe sought after mass discovery of identity cards, with UIDAI inquiry and legal action requested.
A data protection and public safety concern arose when a large number of Aadhaar identity cards were found on the Nethravathi riverbank, prompting the Karnataka Assembly Speaker to ask UIDAI Bengaluru for immediate intervention, a thorough investigation to determine how the cards were disposed and identify those responsible, and initiation of appropriate legal action through the concerned department.
March 4, 2026
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Bail refusal upholds detention of accused amid documentary evidence and witness-influence concerns, despite prior PMLA order.
Court denied bail to an accused in a cheating conspiracy who allegedly promised plots and flats from a government quota and used forged government documents; the magistrate found the chargesheet and documentary material crystallise his role, noted the seriousness of offences and risk of witness influence, and held that filing of the chargesheet and a separate money-laundering bail order did not by themselves justify release.
March 4, 2026
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Supply chain disruption delays exports from Sambhajinagar, raising transport costs and risking customer loss for manufacturers.
Supply chain disruption from the US Israel conflict has delayed containers at Jawaharlal Nehru Port Authority and suspended certain shipping services, causing longer transit times, higher transport costs, halted agricultural shipments to affected regions, and commercial risks such as customer attrition, repatriation of cargo, and potential post conflict surcharges that would raise export costs for manufacturers in Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar.
March 4, 2026
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Force majeure suspends LNG deliveries, disrupting contracted supplies and straining city gas distribution and industrial feedstock.
Reciprocal force majeure notices have been issued following attacks that prevent LNG tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, excusing non performance by the exporter and importer and prompting the importer to issue corresponding notices to downstream offtakers; the supply shortfall has reduced contracted gas availability for industrial and city gas distribution consumers, who seek confirmation on continued allocations while market participants assess costly spot replacements and insurance exclusions for acts of war.
March 4, 2026
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Tariff reduction boosts export prospects while domestic demand weakness keeps manufacturing contraction risk elevated in coming months.
China's official manufacturing PMI returned to contraction, driven by weak domestic consumption and real estate weakness, while private-sector PMI showed export-led expansion. A judicial reduction of reciprocal tariffs has lowered US tariff levels globally and is expected to provide a modest boost to exports. Upcoming high-level bilateral talks and China's national congress, which will set a growth target and approve a five-year plan focused on technology and self-reliance, are poised to influence near-term manufacturing prospects.
March 4, 2026
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Currency depreciation driven by crude oil price shock and capital outflows, worsening trade balance risk and market volatility.
Rupee depreciation accelerated as a spike in international crude prices amid geopolitical tensions prompted safe-haven flows and foreign portfolio outflows, driving the currency to a record low, pressuring equity markets and raising the risk of a larger fuel import bill that could strain the trade balance and market stability.
March 3, 2026
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GST input tax credit fraud exposed; arrests and shell company network identification trigger criminal and financial probes.
An organised racket used stolen identity documents to register shell firms, obtain GST numbers and open bank accounts to perform large-scale GST Input Tax Credit (ITC) fraud by issuing fake invoices and generating fraudulent e-way bills; funds were routed through multiple accounts, criminal cases for cheating and forgery filed, evidence recovered and coordination with tax authorities and banks is underway.
March 3, 2026
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Fraudulent GST registrations enabling Input Tax Credit misuse uncovered; coordinated raids, electronic forensics and an arrest followed.
A large-scale operation procured GST registrations for non-existent firms through forged and fraudulently obtained KYC documents, producing fake taxpayers and fraudulent invoices that enabled the wrongful availment and passing on of Input Tax Credit; coordinated IP tracking and searches led to seizure of electronic evidence and documents and to the arrest and judicial remand of a key suspect, with further investigation ongoing.
March 3, 2026
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Supply chain resilience measures initiated to monitor West Asia risks and coordinate trade, logistics and customs responses.
The government has set up an inter-ministerial group to monitor West Asia developments daily, assess vulnerabilities in shipping, logistics, exports and critical imports, and coordinate inter-ministerial actions. Measures include procedural flexibility in export authorisations, coordination with customs and port authorities to ensure smooth clearance, engagement with financial and insurance institutions to safeguard exporter interests, and a 24x7 DGFT help desk. The IMG for supply chain resilience includes departments of financial services, external affairs, shipping, petroleum and customs to facilitate coordination, monitoring and follow-up amid exporter concerns about surcharges, insurance gaps, route diversions and increased transit times.
March 3, 2026
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Force majeure declaration halts key LNG deliveries, prompting contractual supply cuts and reliance on pricier spot procurement.
Qatar declared force majeure on LNG deliveries after production halted due to regional hostilities and maritime disruptions, prompting curtailed supplies to industry and relief from supplier performance obligations. Importers are assessing long term contract entitlements, pursuing spot market purchases, and reallocating available cargoes while contending with higher war risk insurance, shipping costs, and transit constraints through the Strait of Hormuz.
March 3, 2026
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Fuel stock coverage ensures short-term supply continuity by using strategic reserves and diversified sourcing to mitigate disruptions.
India maintains sufficient crude and refined fuel inventories to manage short-term disruptions from West Asia hostilities, with strategic petroleum reserves and commercial stockpiles providing roughly six to eight weeks' coverage. The government has a 24x7 control room for continuous monitoring and contingency measures include drawing on strategic reserves, using commercial stocks, and diversifying sourcing from suppliers outside the Strait of Hormuz to sustain availability and affordability while managing price and freight risks.
March 3, 2026
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Debt-to-GSDP reduction signals fiscal consolidation as borrowings largely went to service prior liabilities under current administration.
The administration reports a reduction in the state's debt-to-GSDP ratio from its level at the start of the term and asserts that most recent borrowings were applied to servicing legacy debt, including repayment of significant portions of past principal and interest. The Finance Minister also highlights increased mobilisation of GST and excise revenues during the current four-year period relative to prior administrations, presented as strengthening fiscal capacity.

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Customs & Trade

Oil prices soar and stock prices fall as US-Israel war with Iran rattles markets

March 2, 2026

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Bangkok, Mar 2 (AP) The US and Israeli attacks on Iran rattled world markets on Monday, with U.S. futures falling more than 1% and oil prices soaring, though gains for defense contractors and oil companies helped limit losses in Asian trading.

The futures for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 1.7%.

The price of a barrel of US benchmark jumped 9% to $73 per barrel. Brent crude jumped nearly 10% to nearly $80 per barrel.

European markets opened sharply lower. Germany's DAX dropped 2.2% to 24,737.47, while in Paris the CAC 40 lost 1.9% to 8,413.91. Britain's FTSE 100 slipped 1% to 10,800.63.

Shares fell in most Asian markets but they rose in Shanghai, where higher oil prices lifted some oil company stocks such as CNOOC, China Petroleum & Chemical and PetroChina to the 10% limit.

The Shanghai Composite index climbed 0.5% to 4,182.59, while in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng lost 2.1% to 26,059.85.

Japan's Nikkei 225 index initially fell more than 2%. It closed 1.4% lower at 58,057.24. Offsetting other losses, shares in defence-related stocks including Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and IHI Corp. advanced.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 ended flat, at 9,200.90.

In India, which could face disruptions to its access to oil due to the hostilities, the Sensex fell 2.1%.

Taiwan's benchmark lost 0.9% and Singapore's dropped 2.3%. In Bangkok, a major tourism destination for the Middle East, the SET fell 3.1%.

Markets were closed in South Korea for a holiday.

The price of gold, which usually is viewed as a safe haven for investment in times of uncertainty, rose 3.4% to about $5,426 per ounce.

The US dollar also gained, rising to 157.20 Japanese yen from 156.27 yen late Friday. The euro slipped to $1.1708 from $1.1762.

Traders are betting the war will disrupt oil supplies from Iran and elsewhere in the Middle East. Attacks throughout the region, including on two vessels travelling through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow mouth of the Persian Gulf, have constrained oil exports to the rest of the world.

“Roughly one-fifth of global oil and LNG (liquefied natural gas) flows squeeze through the Strait of Hormuz. This is not an obscure canal. It is the aorta of the global energy system,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a commentary.

A prolonged war would likely result in higher prices for other fuels and gasoline and could cascade throughout the global economy, adding to production costs overall.

Prolonged interruptions to oil flows through the Middle East would have “huge implications for oil and LNG and every market everywhere if it occurs. Energy is an input to ALL production,” RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets said in a report.

Iran exports roughly 1.6 million barrels of oil a day, mostly to China. It may need to look elsewhere for supply if Iran's exports are disrupted, another factor that could increase energy prices.

The size of China's strategic oil reserves is a state secret. But a recent report by John Kemp of Base Research estimated them at 1.1 billion to 1.2 billion barrels –- equivalent to around 100 days or just over three months of imports.

The war's impact on markets was muted somewhat because the attacks were anticipated, with a massive buildup of U.S. forces in the Middle East. So traders had adjusted their positions to take that risk into account.

The conflict has shifted attention, for now, away from issues surrounding artificial intelligence that have dominated markets in recent months.

On Friday, the S&P 500 fell 0.4% to finish just its second losing month in the last 10. The Dow industrials dropped 1.1%, and the Nasdaq composite fell 0.9%.

Treasury yields fell in the bond market as investors sought safer places for their money.

“When markets are fragile, they do not need a knockout blow. They just need another weight on the bar,” Innes said.

Also hurting the broad market was a report Friday showing that inflation at the U.S. wholesale level was at 2.9% last month, much higher than the 1.6% that economists expected.

That could pressure the Federal Reserve to hold off longer on its cuts to interest rates. Lower rates would give the economy and prices for investments a boost, but they risk worsening inflation. (AP) AMS

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