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    No change in trade deal with India; it is on: Trump after SC verdict
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    Trump says he'll sign executive order to enact 10 per cent global tariff after US Supreme Court defeat,
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February 21, 2026
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Tariff policy remains central as the India trade arrangement continues despite judicial limits on tariff authority.
President Trump stated the bilateral trade arrangement with India remains in effect after the Supreme Court invalidated his broad tariffs, noting an Executive Order rescinded punitive tariffs on Indian oil imports from Russia and an Interim Agreement framework reduces reciprocal U.S. tariff treatment toward India while maintaining tariffs on Indian imports under the new terms; he framed tariffs as leverage for energy-sourcing commitments and de-escalation between India and Pakistan.
February 21, 2026
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IEEPA authority rejected, limiting tariff powers while administration decries the decision and cites geopolitical effects.
The Supreme Court held that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorize imposition of duties, constraining executive authority to impose tariffs under national emergencies; the President criticized the ruling and reiterated that tariffs were used as a foreign policy tool to end hostilities between India and Pakistan, a claim denied by India which attributes cessation to direct military talks.
February 21, 2026
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Global tariff authority challenged after court invalidated emergency-use tariffs; president plans executive-order, time-limited alternative.
A judicial body invalidated a broad presidential program of global tariffs as an unlawful exercise of emergency power, eliminating the administration's primary emergency-based mechanism for imposing unilateral worldwide duties. The president announced intent to use an alternative statutory authority via executive order that would impose time-limited tariffs restricted to 150 days, signaling a shift to a different administrative vehicle for trade measures.
February 21, 2026
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Emergency powers invalidation limits executive authority to impose unilateral tariffs, nullifying sweeping reciprocal import duties.
The executive's imposition of sweeping "reciprocal" import duties under a claimed emergency powers statute was found unlawful; the tariffs were invalidated because setting import duties required clear congressional authorization rather than unilateral emergency proclamations, signaling a legal limit on executive authority to alter statutory tariff schemes by emergency declaration.
February 21, 2026
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Judicial review of emergency tariff powers restores congressional tariff authority, affecting recently announced India-US trade concessions.
The US Supreme Court struck down President Trump's global tariffs imposed under emergency powers, finding tariff authority lies with Congress, thereby removing the legal basis for those sweeping reciprocal tariffs. Indian opposition leaders contend that a recently announced India-US trade framework contained concessions extracted while the tariffs were assumed valid, and they seek clarity on whether those commitments-covering tariff eliminations, import targets, energy sourcing, and non tariff barrier commitments-will persist or be revisited following the judgment.
February 20, 2026
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IEEPA authority invalidated - certain IEEPA based tariffs now refundable to importers who directly paid them.
IEEPA based tariffs were deemed impermissible, allowing refunds only to US importers of record or consignees who directly paid tariffs. Eligible tariffs include IEEPA imposed levies commonly termed fentanyl, trafficking, reciprocal or baseline tariffs, including certain tariffs on goods from Brazil and India. Refunds exclude duties imposed under other statutory authorities such as anti dumping, countervailing, trade remedy or national security provisions. The administrative procedure and timing for claims remain uncertain pending further court and executive guidance.
February 20, 2026
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Presidential emergency powers limited: IEEPA cannot be used to impose broad import tariffs, leaving refund questions open.
The Supreme Court concluded that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorize the president to impose broad import tariffs, stressing that authority to levy taxes and tariffs rests with Congress and that longstanding practice shows such power has not been exercised under IEEPA. The opinion invalidates tariffs enacted under emergency proclamations while leaving untouched tariffs based on other statutory grounds, and it leaves unresolved whether and how refunds should be returned to importers who paid the challenged levies.
February 20, 2026
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Presidential emergency tariff power invalidated, forcing alternative legal routes and prolonging trade and political uncertainty.
The Court held the president lacked authority to declare an economic emergency and impose sweeping import tariffs, removing an executive legal basis for those tariffs and forcing the administration to pursue alternative statutory mechanisms, which will prolong legal and political debate over trade policy.
February 20, 2026
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IEEPA authority curtailed: major emergency based tariffs invalidated, leaving sectoral trade measures and exemptions intact.
The President exceeded statutory authority by invoking IEEPA to impose broad import tariffs, nullifying core emergency based levies. Affected measures include the wide ranging "Liberation Day" tariffs, trafficking justified duties on Canada, Mexico and China, Brazil linked duties, and India related levies tied to Russian oil purchases. The decision removes the IEEPA route for economy wide tariffs but leaves intact sectoral and statute specific tools that continue to impose tariffs on selected industries and products.
February 20, 2026
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IEEPA authority struck down; partners unlikely to abandon recent tariff deals, administration to rely on other statutes.
The Supreme Court invalidated reliance on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose broad tariffs, finding IEEPA does not authorize such duties. Observers anticipate the Administration will instead invoke clear congressional tariff statutes and that trading partners who made recent deals are unlikely to withdraw them, having expected alternative statutory mechanisms to keep tariffs in place.
February 20, 2026
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Emergency-powers tariff invalidation restores trade predictability for exporters, but sectoral steel and aluminium duties remain in force.
The US Supreme Court invalidated country-specific reciprocal tariffs imposed under emergency powers, restoring predictability for exporters and enabling importers to seek refunds for duties paid under the invalidated regime, while separate sector-specific duties on steel, aluminium and certain auto components remain in force.
February 20, 2026
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Tariff authority options: multiple statutory pathways remain for imposing import duties despite limits on emergency powers.
After the court rejected the administration's emergency-based authority for sweeping reciprocal tariffs, the president can still impose import duties using alternative statutes: the Trade Act unfair-practices authority permitting unlimited tariffs after investigation and hearings; the Trade Act provision for addressing unbalanced trade that allows time-limited tariffs without prior investigation but is untested; the national-security tariff authority under the Trade Expansion Act which requires Commerce investigations; and a rarely used Tariff Act depression-era authorisation that allows very high, indefinite tariffs without investigation.
February 20, 2026
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IEEPA authority questioned as tariffs ruled unauthorized; dissent stresses tariffs' foreign affairs leverage, including India example.
The decision holds that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorize the imposition of import duties, rejecting the use of IEEPA as a statutory basis for tariffs; a dissent argued such tariffs fall within foreign affairs practice, serve as leverage in international negotiations, and cautioned against applying a major questions constraint to executive statutory authority in national security and diplomatic contexts.
February 20, 2026
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Trade deals improve market access and spur investor confidence, supporting growth and fiscal consolidation momentum.
Trade agreements with the EU and an interim US deal are expected to improve market access, boost export competitiveness, and reverse investor sentiment with renewed foreign portfolio investment into equity and debt. Fiscal consolidation alongside stepped up capital expenditure aims to crowd in private investment and support state infrastructure. Concurrently, the Reserve Bank recorded consecutive spot market dollar sales amid rupee volatility and capital flow intermittency, while inflation is expected to remain near target, sustaining a favourable near term growth-inflation balance.
February 20, 2026
Show AI Summary
Emergency powers limits curb broad presidential tariffs, invalidating sweeping reciprocal trade measures and reshaping trade policy authority.
The Supreme Court found that tariffs enacted under asserted emergency statutory powers-including widely applied reciprocal tariffs-exceeded the President's lawful authority, clarifying statutory limits on unilateral tariff measures and signaling judicial constraints on executive use of emergency powers for sweeping trade regulation.
February 20, 2026
Show AI Summary
Repo rate decision maintains neutral monetary stance as growth outlook brightens while inflation risks remain monitored.
The Monetary Policy Committee held the repo rate steady and retained a neutral stance, finding the current policy rate appropriate amid buoyant growth and broadly benign inflation. Members cited healthy medium term macroeconomic fundamentals and improving external outlook driven by trade agreements and fiscal measures, while noting persistent global volatility and risks to inflation. The MPC emphasized ongoing transmission of prior easing, awaited new GDP and inflation data series, and reaffirmed readiness to reassess policy as fresh data emerge.
February 20, 2026
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Money laundering allegations prompt former MD to surrender to custody after interim bail term expires in fraud-linked probe.
Allegations of money laundering and diversion of homebuyer funds form the basis of an ED investigation and FIRs alleging that two group companies misapplied project receipts, leaving residential projects incomplete and purchasers defrauded. The promoter was arrested, obtained interim bail, and later surrendered after a court denied regular bail, the court noting allegations of widespread cheating and criminal breach of trust. A related listed company filed a regulatory update confirming the director's surrender upon expiration of interim bail.
February 20, 2026
Show AI Summary
Policy rate maintained as appropriate: neutral monetary stance justified by buoyant growth and benign inflation.
The Monetary Policy Committee voted to maintain the existing policy repo rate and retain a neutral stance, finding the current policy rate appropriate given buoyant growth and benign inflation. The Governor noted healthy medium term macroeconomic fundamentals, while the Deputy Governor cited upward revisions to near term growth projections and incomplete transmission of earlier rate cuts as reasons to defer further easing until new GDP and inflation series data are available.
February 20, 2026
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Free trade agreements improving market access and export competitiveness, prompting investor confidence and supporting growth policy.
Free trade agreements with the EU and an interim pact with the US are expected to improve market access, enhance export competitiveness, and deepen Indian firms' integration into global value chains; this expectation has altered investor sentiment, prompting a return of foreign portfolio investment, while the Union Budget stresses fiscal consolidation alongside stepped up capital expenditure, and headline inflation remains benign under the revised CPI series.
February 20, 2026
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Market rebound driven by banking and metal stock buying as trade deal signals and supply chain shifts lift sentiment.
Equity markets rebounded with strong buying in large-cap banking and metal stocks restoring benchmark indices to positive territory after a sharp correction. Broad sector participation favored Power, PSU Banks, Utilities, Capital Goods and Metals, while IT lagged. Sentiment was supported by trade-agreement signals and India's participation in Pax Silica, enhancing supply chain security for AI and semiconductors, even as elevated volatility and recent institutional net selling influenced near-term flow-driven moves.

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Customs & Trade

Watching developments in US; joint statement on trade deal provides for rebalancing: Goyal

February 27, 2026

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New Delhi, Feb 27 (PTI) Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal on Friday said India is watching developments following the US Supreme Court's verdict against tariffs, pointing out that the joint statement on the proposed interim trade deal provides for a rebalancing of the pact "should circumstances change".

The minister's remarks came on the heels of US President Donald Trump's 10 per cent tariff against all trading partners for 150 days. The temporary 10 per cent tariff was imposed on February 24 after the US Supreme Court struck down President Trump's April 2025 decision to impose reciprocal tariffs on all imports.

On February 24, Trump also announced further increasing the tariffs to 15 per cent.

"We'll have to watch. And by the way, you must have read my joint statement that we had finalised with the US. It has categorically said that should the circumstances change, the deal would be re-balanced...to ensure that the balance of the deal is maintained on both sides," he said when asked if India's negotiating position will change after the verdict.

A joint statement issued on February 7 stated that in the event of any changes to the agreed-upon tariffs of either country, the US and India agree that the other country may modify its commitments.

Referring to this statement, Goyal said :"It provides that the sanctity of the deal is both ways".

The minister was speaking at the News18 Rising Bharat Summit 2026 here.

On February 7, the two countries announced that they have finalised the contours for the first phase of the bilateral trade agreement.

Under the pact, the US announced that it will bring down the reciprocal tariffs on Indian goods to 18 per cent from 25 per cent. The US has also removed the 25 per cent punitive tariffs on India, which were imposed for purchasing Russian crude oil.

Both sides also agreed to reduce import duties on a number of goods. India agreed to eliminate or reduce tariffs on all US industrial goods and a wide range of US food and agricultural products, including tree nuts, fresh and processed fruit, soybean oil, wine and spirits.

As per the pact, India has stated that it intends to purchase USD 500 billion of US energy products, aircraft and aircraft parts, precious metals, technology products, and coking coal over the next five years.

To finalise the legal text of the deal, chief negotiators of both countries were scheduled to meet this week in Washington, but the meeting was put on hold after the US Supreme Court's verdict on Trump tariffs.

On February 20, the court struck down President Donald Trump's sweeping global tariffs.

"It is an evolving situation. We'll have to see. The Trump administration has made some comments...They have many other tools that they could possibly use (to impose new tariffs). They've already used one of them, Section 122, to put a 10 per cent tariff. I think they are on record that next week, they may increase it to 15 per cent for the first 150 days," Goyal said.

When asked if the changes in tariffs provide incentives for India, the minister said it gives an opportunity to domestic firms to continue exports without hindrance.

"But bear in mind, the deal was better because it had many other elements...So till we finally ink it, I am not in a position to share every detail. Though all the sensitive matters have already been clarified. But I can assure you, there's so many more positives to the deal that we should wait. Let us see how the situation moves forward," he said.

He said that all the sensitive sectors such as dairy, soyameal, poultry, GM food, rice, wheat and corn are fully protected.

"Remember, trade deal or international trade is about comparative advantage... A trade deal is not only about what the tariff is. It is more about the competitive advantage that you get over your competition, and certainly at a 50 per cent tariff, we were at a huge disadvantage in our experts," he added. PTI RR CS HVA

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