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February 16, 2026
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Trade balance worsens as imports outpace exports, prompting elevated trade deficit and revised export projections for the fiscal year.
Merchandise exports rose 0.61% to USD 36.56 billion in January while imports grew 19.2% to USD 71.24 billion, producing a January trade deficit of USD 34.68 billion; April-January exports increased 2.22% to USD 366.63 billion. The Commerce Secretary stated exports in goods and services remain on an upward trend and projected combined fiscal year exports of goods and services are likely to exceed USD 860 billion.
February 16, 2026
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Incentive Scheme for digital payments increased UPI adoption and expanded payment infrastructure, recommending targeted measures for RuPay uptake.
The report assesses the design, implementation and socio-economic effects of the Incentive Scheme for promotion of RuPay debit cards and low-value BHIM-UPI P2M transactions, noting that structured budgetary support reduced cost barriers, accelerated merchant onboarding, expanded acceptance infrastructure and strengthened the payments ecosystem. Based on primary and secondary research, it finds marked increases in UPI adoption, merchant QR deployment and bank participation, increased user confidence and reduced cash reliance, and recommends targeted measures to deepen RuPay usage, rural penetration, connectivity, digital literacy and fraud mitigation.
February 16, 2026
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Market rebound as banking and power stocks lead recovery amid global rate-cut expectations and stable currency support.
Equity benchmarks rebounded nearly one percent led by renewed buying in banking and power stocks, reversing a recent decline as large-cap financials and utilities outperformed. The rally was supported by expectations of sustained power demand, improving loan growth and stable bank asset quality. Macro cues-falling US long-term yields, a stable rupee and steady crude oil-added support, while foreign institutional investors were net sellers and domestic institutional investors were net buyers.
February 16, 2026
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Inflation trends show rising wholesale prices, prompting continued RBI focus on retail inflation for monetary policy.
Wholesale price inflation rose to 1.81% in January due to increases in food articles, non-food articles, textiles and manufacturing subgroups, while fuel and power remained in deflation. Manufactured products and non-food articles recorded higher inflation compared with the prior month. The Reserve Bank of India continues to emphasise retail inflation as the primary indicator for benchmark interest-rate decisions, having reduced policy rates earlier in the fiscal year and subsequently retained key rates.
February 16, 2026
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Trade mission to India leverages the UK India Free Trade Agreement to boost West Midlands investment, exports and academic ties.
A West Midlands mayoral trade mission to Ahmedabad, Mumbai and Bengaluru (23-27 February 2026) aims to operationalise the UK India Free Trade Agreement by promoting exports, attracting inward investment to the West Midlands Investment Zone, and deepening academic and cultural ties. Led by regional political, business and university figures and coordinated by the West Midlands Growth Company with Indian partners, the programme features sectoral roundtables and events on the Commonwealth legacy, visitor economy, technology, urban transformation, and AI skilling to foster commercial, research and skills partnerships between West Midlands entities and Indian corporations and institutions.
February 16, 2026
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Highway upgradation provides an alternate freight corridor, reducing urban congestion and enhancing regional connectivity and employment.
Approval is granted for rehabilitation and upgradation of the Ghoti-Trimbak-Jawhar-Manor-Palghar section of NH-160A in Maharashtra on Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) mode, covering 154.635 km with a Total Capital Cost of Rs.3320.38 crore. The project provides 2-lane or 4-lane configurations with paved shoulders according to traffic projections to relieve congestion, integrate with expressways and highways, connect multiple economic and logistics nodes under PM GatiShakti, and generate substantial direct and indirect employment.
February 16, 2026
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Four-lane upgradation of NH-56 sections approved to improve regional connectivity and reduce travel time substantially.
Cabinet approval authorises upgradation of two NH-56 sections in Gujarat to four-lane standard under the HAM Mode, totaling 107.67 km at a Total Capital Cost of Rs.4583.64 crore. Designed for 100 km/h (70 km/h average), the works aim to cut travel time by about 40%. The alignment passes through aspirational and tribal districts, enhances access to the Statue of Unity, links to major highways and the Delhi-Mumbai Expressway, began partial construction in November 2025 with a two-year completion target, and is projected to generate significant direct and indirect employment.
February 16, 2026
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Highway widening approval advances NH 167 to four lanes under Hybrid Annuity Mode, enhancing regional connectivity and employment.
The Cabinet approved widening NH 167 from Gudebellur to Mahabubnagar to a four lane access controlled standard over 80.01 km on Hybrid Annuity Mode (HAM) under the NH (O) scheme, covering bypasses, realignments and utility shifting. The alignment connects with NH 150 and NH 167N and links multiple economic, social and logistic nodes, aiming to reduce congestion and travel time, enhance freight efficiency and multimodal integration, and generate substantial direct and indirect construction period employment.
February 16, 2026
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Project approval for underwater road rail tunnel enabling 4 lane greenfield connectivity between Gohpur and Numaligarh under EPC.
Cabinet approved a 33.7 km 4 lane access controlled greenfield corridor between Gohpur (NH 15) and Numaligarh (NH 715) including a 15.79 km twin tube TBM underwater Road cum Rail tunnel with rail provision in one tube, implemented on an EPC basis. The scope covers civil works, land acquisition, short road and rail cut and cover sections, and integration with existing highways and railway sections to deliver multimodal connectivity to airports, inland waterways, railway stations and economic, social and tourist nodes, with estimated traffic and employment implications.
February 16, 2026
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Currency depreciation driven by FII outflows and a stronger dollar, pressured further by declining forex reserves.
The rupee weakened to 90.67 against the US dollar amid FII outflows and a stronger dollar, with rising crude prices and a notable weekly decline in forex reserves cited as contributing factors; market commentary noted narrow intraday trading and flagged impending trade balance data as potentially influential.
February 16, 2026
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Rail network expansion approved to add multitrack capacity, boost freight movement and reduce emissions while improving regional connectivity.
Cabinet approved three multitracking projects (Kasara-Manmad, Delhi-Ambala, Ballari-Hosapete) under PM Gati Shakti to add third and fourth lines across 12 districts, increasing the rail network by about 389 km at an estimated combined cost of Rs 18,509 crore through 2030-31. The works are projected to generate about 265 lakh human days of construction employment, augment freight capacity by 96 MTPA, improve connectivity to roughly 3,902 villages (population ~97 lakh), reduce logistics costs and oil imports, and lower CO2 emissions for more sustainable rail operations.
February 16, 2026
Show AI Summary
Venture capital mobilisation for startups to prioritise deep tech, early growth support, and regional investment across the country.
The Startup India Fund of Funds 2.0 establishes a government-backed corpus to mobilize long-term domestic venture capital, strengthen the domestic venture capital base by supporting smaller funds and AIFs, and address capital gaps. The Scheme prioritises deep tech and tech-driven innovative manufacturing, supports early-growth stage founders to reduce funding shortfalls, and promotes national reach to crowd in private investment beyond major metropolitan centres.
February 16, 2026
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Credit to G.D.P. ratio reform to expand financing and make financial institutions more agile for national development.
The Department of Financial Services convened a policy shivir to solicit strategic reforms to align banking and financial services with Viksit Bharat@2047, focusing on enhancing the Credit to G.D.P. ratio, increasing agility of public financial institutions, deploying new large scale financing mechanisms, deepening the bond market, reducing intermediation costs, strengthening banks' role in MSME financing, and promoting insurance and pension product innovation alongside financial inclusion and cyber security to build a more resilient financial system.
February 15, 2026
Show AI Summary
Tax accountability: Allegations of fundraising and money laundering prompt calls to apply law and constitutional obligations to unregistered organisations.
Allegations focus on tax accountability and potential money laundering by an unregistered organisation receiving funds via a broad domestic and international network; the commentator demands that law and the Constitution apply equally, questions the source and treatment of donations described as "guru dakshina," and urges registration, disclosure and tax compliance along with scrutiny of cross border fundraising.
February 15, 2026
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Customs enforcement underscores trade facilitation, regulatory compliance and protection of taxpayers' rights amid vigilance-driven awards and recognition.
Customs enforcement in Kerala was emphasised as combining trade facilitation with statutory compliance, transparency, and protection of taxpayers' rights, with priorities including anti-smuggling vigilance, modernisation, export promotion, and international cooperation to support lawful cross-border trade.
February 15, 2026
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Trade deal transparency: interim agreement may expose agricultural sovereignty and pressure policy on imports, GM crops, and procurement.
The India-US interim trade deal is criticised for risks to agricultural sovereignty through import liberalisation of DDGs and potential GM soy oil, which may increase feed dependence and expose soy and pulse producers to price shocks; concerns also target non-trade barrier concessions and quota-based duty relief as mechanisms that could pressure relaxation of GM regulations, procurement policies, and MSPs, while alleged tariff asymmetries may harm cotton farmers and the textile export sector.
February 15, 2026
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Trade agreements and Budget incentives seek to expand market access and compel private investment in innovation and capacity.
The policy framework relies on expanded free trade agreements to improve exporters' access and on a Budget focused on productive capital outlays and incentives to strengthen manufacturing, value addition, skills and scale. The state provides tariff preferences and fiscal incentives, while explicit expectations are placed on the private sector to invest aggressively in R&D, frontier technologies, supply-chain capabilities and productivity. Equitable sharing of productivity gains-through rising real wages, skill upgrading and stable employment-is presented as essential to sustain domestic demand and long-term investment. Budget incentives for digital infrastructure and data centres aim to position the country as a global hub for AI and data.
February 15, 2026
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Minimum sustainable price mechanism sought to align tea production costs with prices; calls for subsidies, tariff relief, import monitoring.
Planters seek a minimum sustainable price mechanism to align production costs and price realisation, expedited release of pending Tea Board subsidies, interest subvention on working capital loans, and access to agricultural schemes. They also request lower power tariffs and implementation of West Bengal solar provisions, financial incentives for specialty production and machinery upgrades, and stricter monitoring of cheap imports and mislabelling to protect quality and export credibility.
February 15, 2026
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Unique land parcel identifier to standardize property records and reduce boundary disputes through georeferenced mapping.
The Delhi government is assigning a Unique Land Parcel Identification Number (ULPIN or Bhu Aadhaar) to each land parcel using drone surveys and high resolution geospatial imaging to produce geo referenced identifiers for accurate parcel delineation. The revenue department's IT branch, supported by the Survey of India, will implement the system in phased rollouts under a standard operating procedure to centralise land records, enhance transparency, prevent fraudulent transactions and simplify citizen access to property information.
February 15, 2026
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Agricultural sovereignty under threat from interim trade deal; questions raised over GM imports, market access, and procurement safeguards.
Allegations that the India-US interim trade deal compromises agricultural sovereignty by allowing imports such as DDG from GM corn and GM soy oil, potentially displacing domestic producers and creating dependency. The statement questions vague references to "additional products" and removal of "non trade barriers," warning these could open pulses and other crops to imports and pressure India to relax positions on GM crops, procurement, MSPs and bonuses. It also asserts the deal disadvantages cotton farmers and textile exporters and demands clarity and safeguards on covered products and protections.

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Customs & Trade

Modi, Lula discuss US supreme court striking down reciprocal tariffs; set USD 30 bn annual trade target

February 21, 2026

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New Delhi, Feb 21 (PTI) India and Brazil on Saturday set an annual bilateral trade target of USD 30 billion by 2030 and signed a key pact for cooperation in critical minerals with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva resolving to ramp up boost bilateral ties and jointly navigate the geopolitical turbulence.

In their wide-ranging talks, Modi and Lula also discussed implications of US Supreme Court striking down President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs.

Following wide-ranging talks between Modi and Lula, the two sides signed nine pacts including one on cooperation in areas of rare earth minerals and another on forging a futuristic digital partnership.

Secretary (East) in the Ministry of External Affairs P Kumaran said at a media briefing that there was a discussion between the two sides on US trade policy and the implications of the US Supreme Court judgement.

"Both leaders agreed that it is a rather new development that both sides need to study its implications and wait for further developments by the US administration," he said.

"We will be essentially in wait and watch mode on how the administration responds to this judgement and whether any further steps are taken and to study the implications for our trade," he said.

US President Donald Trump has imposed a new 10 per cent global tariff after the US Supreme Court struck down the reciprocal tariffs.

Kumaran said Modi and Lula agreed that the bilateral trade should be doubled to USD 30 billion by 2030.

In their talks, the two leaders vowed to shore up bilateral ties in a range of other sectors including defence, energy, healthcare and digital public infrastructure while emphasising on deeper India-Brazil strategic engagement to navigate the fragmented geopolitical environment.

Modi said India and Brazil are unanimous that terrorism and its supporters are "enemies" of humanity even as he noted that both sides agreed that reform of global institutions is essential to address the challenges facing the world.

Lula is in India on a five-day visit from February 18 primarily to attend the AI Impact Summit and hold talks with Modi.

"Brazil is India's largest trading partner in Latin America. We are committed to taking bilateral trade beyond USD 20 billion in the next five years. Our trade is not just a figure, it's a reflection of trust," Modi said in his media statement in presence of the Brazilian leader.

In 2024-25, India-Brazil trade volume reached USD 12 billion, with Indian exports amounting to USD 6.77 billion and imports from Brazil totaling USD 5.43 billion.

In July last year, Modi and Lula had set a bilateral trade target of USD 20 billion by 2030. Kumaran said the two leaders "agreed that the trade should at least double to USD 30 billion by 2030".

The prime minister said the agreement on critical minerals and rare earth is a major step towards building resilient supply chains.

Besides the pact on critical minerals, India and Brazil also firmed up a joint declaration on digital partnership, and signed Memoranda of Understanding (MoUs) for cooperation in areas of mining, MSMEs, health-care and traditional knowledge system.

"Our cooperation in the field of defence is also continuously growing. This is a great example of mutual trust and strategic coordination. We will continue to strengthen this win-win partnership," he said.

In the context of enhancing defence ties, the two sides discussed cooperation for maintenance of their French-origin Scorpene submarines under a tripartite agreement between Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited and the Indian and Brazilian Navies.

Brazilian aerospace major Embraer's plan to set up an assembly line for its E175 regional jet in India also found mention in the discussions. The Indian side also called for establishment of a maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) facility in India by Embraer.

In his remarks, the prime minister noted that the voice of the Global South becomes stronger and more confident when India and Brazil work together.

"The India-Brazil partnership on the global stage has been strong and influential. As democratic countries, we will continue to advance the priorities and aspirations of the Global South," he said.

"We believe that every problem must be resolved through dialogue and diplomacy. India and Brazil are unanimous that terrorism and its supporters are enemies of all humanity," he said.

In his remarks, President Lula slammed terror attacks in Kashmir, and said terrorism must not be linked to any religion or nationality.

He said that the "turbulent global environment" requires India and Brazil to deepen our strategic ties and that dialogue between the two powers is an engagement of "superlatives".

"We are not just the two biggest democracies of the Global South. This is a meeting of a digital superpower with a renewable energy superpower. We are both mega diverse countries and we both defend multilateralism and peace," he said.

The Brazilian leader argued that there is no possibility of a fair and sustainable development in a conflict-ridden world and quoted PM Modi's remarks at last year's BRICS summit that one can't run "21st-century software on 20th-century typewriters." "We emphasised our commitment to the UN reform, particularly of the UN Security Council so that it represents the interests of the Global South. Brazil and India are natural candidates to become permanent members of the Security Council," he said.

Modi and Lula unequivocally condemned terrorism and violent extremism, in all its forms including cross-border terrorism and called for decisive and concerted international efforts to combat terrorism in a comprehensive and sustained manner.

In his media statement, Modi said India-Brazil relations have long benefited from President Lula's vision and that his visit has given new energy to the strategic partnership between the two nations.

Modi and Lula also discussed the expansion of the India-Mercosur preferential trade agreement (PTA). The prime minister said it will deepen economic cooperation.

"Our cooperation in technology and innovation is important for both countries, as well as for the entire Global South. I am pleased that we are working on establishing a Centre of Excellence for Digital Public Infrastructure in Brazil," Modi said.

"We are also prioritizing our cooperation in areas such as Artificial Intelligence, supercomputers, semiconductors, and blockchain. We both believe that technology must be inclusive and it must become a bridge for shared progress," he said.

The prime minister described India-Brazil energy cooperation as a strong pillar of the relationship.

"Along with hydrocarbons, we are also accelerating cooperation in many areas such as renewable energy, ethanol blending, sustainable aviation fuel. Brazil's active participation in the "Global Biofuel Alliance" reflects our shared commitment to a green future," he said.

In the talks, Brazil also proposed to co-chair the India-backed Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI).

"I congratulate President Lula for this initiative. Brazil's extensive experience in this field will significantly contribute to further strengthening the CDRI," Modi said. PTI MPB ZMN

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