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    Prolonged Middle East crisis can impact exchange rate, fuel inflation: FinMin report
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March 6, 2026
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Exchange rate risk may rise from prolonged Middle East crisis, potentially stoking inflation and straining energy dependent sectors.
Prolonged Middle East escalation can transmit higher energy prices into the domestic economy, creating exchange rate pressure and inflationary impulses via shipping disruptions and damage to regional energy infrastructure; subdued capital flows and a flight-to-safety may aggravate currency weakness, while energy dependent sectors like fertilisers and petrochemicals face vulnerability. Offsetting these risks are ample foreign exchange reserves, a low current account deficit in H1 FY26, still-moderate inflation, strong GDP momentum, and policy measures-including trade diversification and Budget 2026-27 fiscal-capex initiatives-expected to strengthen external resilience.
March 6, 2026
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Rupee depreciation risks persist as energy-driven pressures and fund outflows may prompt central bank intervention.
Rupee depreciation to 91.82 was driven by rising crude prices, Middle East geopolitical tensions, foreign fund outflows and weak domestic equities; the US allowance for limited Russian oil purchases provided temporary relief. Rating commentary highlighted risks of higher inflation and a wider current account deficit if energy prices remain elevated. Analysts signalled that sustained oil-price spikes could compel stronger central bank intervention in spot and offshore non-deliverable forward markets to contain volatility.
March 6, 2026
Show AI Summary
OFAC waiver for stranded Russian oil permits deliveries to Indian entities but legal clarity on dealings with sanctioned entities is sought.
A US Treasury licence allows delivery, sale and offloading of Russian-origin crude and petroleum products loaded before March 5, 2026, to purchasers organised under Indian law until April 4, 2026; it permits purchases of cargoes stranded at sea, including on sanctioned vessels, but is silent on whether transactions with sanctioned entities are allowed, prompting Indian refiners to seek legal opinion while acquiring mainly non sanctioned cargoes to rebuild inventories amid regional supply disruptions.
March 6, 2026
Show AI Summary
Inclusive public procurement expands market access for startups, women entrepreneurs and MSEs through digital storefronts and capacity building.
SWAYATT expands direct access of startups, women entrepreneurs, youth, MSEs and SHGs to public procurement via GeM by using digital infrastructure, dedicated storefronts, capacity building and ecosystem partnerships to reduce market entry barriers, improve discoverability among government buyers and promote transparent transactions; GeM reports sustained increases in participation and order volumes for these seller segments over the seven-year period, attributing growth to platform-driven inclusivity, outreach and targeted support measures.
March 6, 2026
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Energy security through alternative fuels faces entrenched petroleum resistance, challenging policy efforts to transition transport to greener fuels.
The article identifies resistance from petroleum interests as a primary obstacle to achieving Energy Security by promoting non-polluting indigenous fuels, compressed bio-gas and other alternative fuels. It describes government commitments to make the transport ecosystem smart, safe and sustainable by 2030 through support for technology, market entry and rural economic benefits, while warning that vested commercial interests may impede regulatory deployment and market scaling of green fuels.
March 6, 2026
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Token presale utility signals promising demand and positions traders ahead of listing, subject to investor risk disclosures.
The commentary promotes DeepSnitch AI's token presale as a superior speculative opportunity based on live on chain utilities (Feed, Scan, Cast GPT, Audit, Explorer), a small cap and presale pricing with a 300% bonus ahead of a March 31 launch. It contrasts DeepSnitch's live product driven demand with ONDO's RWA tokenization fundamentals and Kaspa's PoW architecture, stresses a limited window to access the presale before listings, and includes a risk disclaimer urging independent financial advice.
March 6, 2026
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Foreign exchange reserves rise as central bank reports gains across foreign currency assets, gold, SDRs and IMF reserve position.
The central bank's weekly reserves report records an increase in foreign exchange reserves driven by growth in foreign currency assets, a rise in gold reserves, a marginal uptick in Special Drawing Rights, and an improved reserve position with the IMF, with part of the foreign currency assets movement attributable to valuation effects from non US currencies.
March 6, 2026
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Emergency powers under Essential Commodities Act direct refiners to prioritise LPG production for domestic household cooking supply.
Government, exercising emergency powers under the Essential Commodities Act, ordered all refiners to maximise utilisation of propane and butane streams for LPG production, to supply that LPG only to three public sector oil marketing companies for sale to domestic households for cooking, and prohibited diversion of those streams to petrochemical manufacture, with penal consequences for contravention.
March 6, 2026
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RBI co-lending framework enables joint gold loans with lead originator handling sourcing and servicing, and shared underwriting oversight.
A co-lending arrangement under the Reserve Bank of India's co-lending framework establishes a participation-based funding structure where the NBFC leads loan sourcing, onboarding, KYC, gold valuation, collections and servicing, while credit assessment and sanctioning occur under a mutually agreed credit framework; risks and rewards are shared in line with regulatory guidance and structured governance, compliance oversight and joint portfolio monitoring are implemented to ensure transparency and prudent portfolio management.
March 6, 2026
Show AI Summary
Export support measures to mitigate shipping disruptions and enable exporters to manage surcharges, insurance and contractual risks.
Government will use coordinated policy tools and the export promotion machinery, via an inter ministerial group, to engage shipping stakeholders and mitigate elevated freight rates, war risk surcharges and insurance premiums affecting exporters. Measures under consideration include fiscal and credit support, restraint on insurance premium increases, waivers of port charges where cargo is rolled, and customs and central bank facilitation for returning, redirecting or diverting in transit cargo; exporters also seek formal recognition of disruption as a force majeure type event to prevent contractual penalties.
March 6, 2026
Show AI Summary
Education as a service can broaden India's export reach by internationalising higher education and promoting dual degrees.
Education as a service is presented as a strategic export sector enabled by the National Education Policy, which permits international campuses, dual degree arrangements and cross-border student exchanges. The document advocates modular dual-degree models, curriculum updates incorporating international trade and emerging technologies, faculty retraining, and infrastructure upgrades to retain outbound students and attract inbound students. It calls for coordinated action among government, academia and industry to operationalise internationalisation, expand student mobility and strengthen the global competitiveness of Indian higher education institutions.
March 6, 2026
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RBI intervention may cap currency depreciation amid energy-driven pressure on the rupee and balance of payments.
Rupee depreciation pressures from higher crude prices and capital outflows led to an intraday decline, with indications of RBI intervention in spot and offshore NDF markets to curb volatility; a temporary external allowance for refiners eased immediate supply stress, while analysts warn that persistent energy shocks could raise inflation, widen the current account deficit and complicate monetary and fiscal management.
March 6, 2026
Show AI Summary
Power tariff reduction implemented from April eases rates for domestic, commercial, industrial consumers and lowers EV charging costs.
Power tariff reductions will take effect from April 1: domestic consumers receive a per-unit cut beyond the existing monthly 300-unit concession and reduced fixed charges per kilowatt; commercial traders and shopkeepers obtain per-unit reductions by load capacity; a low fixed per-unit charge is set for electric vehicle charging; fixed charges for industrial connections up to a specified capacity are reduced and the industrial segment faces no tariff increase in the coming financial year; advocates are reclassified to residential tariff.
March 6, 2026
Show AI Summary
Mandatory Biometric Update urged for children as new Aadhaar Seva Kendra expands regional enrolment and service access.
An advanced Aadhaar Seva Kendra has been inaugurated in Ranchi to enhance Aadhaar service delivery. Authorities urged completion of the Mandatory Biometric Update for children at prescribed ages to ensure access to government schemes and avoid registration problems; schools were asked to help reduce pending MBUs. UIDAI currently operates ASKs in three Jharkhand districts and plans a phased expansion of new centres to additional districts to increase regional enrolment capacity.
March 6, 2026
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PMLA investigation prompts raids at locations linked to corporate group; company denies premises were targeted.
Enforcement Directorate teams conducted coordinated searches at multiple locations linked to a corporate group under a PMLA probe into alleged bank loan fraud and associated money laundering, with parallel allegations of financial irregularities under FEMA. The agency has filed three money laundering cases and formed a special investigation team; the principal individual has been questioned twice. The company denies any raids at its offices.
March 6, 2026
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NBFC middle layer classification underscores diversified funding through multiple debt instruments and strengthened risk and tech-based underwriting.
The company, an RBI registered NBFC categorised as an NBFC middle layer under Scale Based Regulations, emphasised technological underwriting, risk management, and collections platforms to support disciplined scaling. Since April 2025 it mobilised diversified capital across instruments including Non Convertible Debentures, Commercial Papers, Term Loans, Securitisation, Direct Assignment and Co Lending Arrangements to strengthen its capital base while prioritising sustainability and asset quality.
March 6, 2026
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Export-oriented agriculture: scale high-value production, strengthen missions, technology and market linkages for global competitiveness growth.
Transition agriculture to an export-oriented model by scaling high-value crop production, strengthening value addition, processing and storage, and aligning output with global quality and branding standards through national missions, budgetary support and coordinated engagement of experts, industry and farmers; promote chemical-free natural farming and crop diversification to access global markets and mitigate risks.
March 6, 2026
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Money laundering investigation triggers Enforcement Directorate searches at company locations, probing alleged bank loan fraud and FEMA irregularities.
Enforcement Directorate teams searched multiple locations linked to Reliance Power Ltd. and its executives in Mumbai and Hyderabad in an investigation into alleged money laundering connected to suspected bank loan fraud and related financial irregularities under the Foreign Exchange Management Act. The ED has filed multiple money laundering cases against the group, constituted a special investigation team on the Supreme Court's direction, and has questioned the principal corporate figure under the anti money laundering law.
March 6, 2026
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Pay commission representations invited for stakeholders; online submissions required by deadline, paper copies may be disregarded.
The Eighth Central Pay Commission invites representations from employees, pensioners, associations and organizations through a prescribed structured memorandum format available on innovateindia.mygov.in and 8cpc.gov.in, with online submissions to be received up to 30th April, 2026; paper-based copies, emails or PDFs submitted by other means may not be considered.
March 5, 2026
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Currency intervention stabilizes local currency amid geopolitical-driven oil price shock and capital outflows.
Central bank intervention to curb exchange-rate volatility is identified as the primary operative mechanism: suspected Reserve Bank purchases supported a rebound in the rupee, with the RBI expected to sterilise these operations to maintain liquidity. Geopolitical conflict and rising crude prices increased import-cost risk and safe-haven flows, while a firm dollar and foreign portfolio outflows added depreciation pressure even as domestic equities recovered.

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Customs & Trade

Modi, Lula discuss US supreme court striking down reciprocal tariffs; set USD 30 bn annual trade target

February 21, 2026

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New Delhi, Feb 21 (PTI) India and Brazil on Saturday set an annual bilateral trade target of USD 30 billion by 2030 and signed a key pact for cooperation in critical minerals with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva resolving to ramp up boost bilateral ties and jointly navigate the geopolitical turbulence.

In their wide-ranging talks, Modi and Lula also discussed implications of US Supreme Court striking down President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs.

Following wide-ranging talks between Modi and Lula, the two sides signed nine pacts including one on cooperation in areas of rare earth minerals and another on forging a futuristic digital partnership.

Secretary (East) in the Ministry of External Affairs P Kumaran said at a media briefing that there was a discussion between the two sides on US trade policy and the implications of the US Supreme Court judgement.

"Both leaders agreed that it is a rather new development that both sides need to study its implications and wait for further developments by the US administration," he said.

"We will be essentially in wait and watch mode on how the administration responds to this judgement and whether any further steps are taken and to study the implications for our trade," he said.

US President Donald Trump has imposed a new 10 per cent global tariff after the US Supreme Court struck down the reciprocal tariffs.

Kumaran said Modi and Lula agreed that the bilateral trade should be doubled to USD 30 billion by 2030.

In their talks, the two leaders vowed to shore up bilateral ties in a range of other sectors including defence, energy, healthcare and digital public infrastructure while emphasising on deeper India-Brazil strategic engagement to navigate the fragmented geopolitical environment.

Modi said India and Brazil are unanimous that terrorism and its supporters are "enemies" of humanity even as he noted that both sides agreed that reform of global institutions is essential to address the challenges facing the world.

Lula is in India on a five-day visit from February 18 primarily to attend the AI Impact Summit and hold talks with Modi.

"Brazil is India's largest trading partner in Latin America. We are committed to taking bilateral trade beyond USD 20 billion in the next five years. Our trade is not just a figure, it's a reflection of trust," Modi said in his media statement in presence of the Brazilian leader.

In 2024-25, India-Brazil trade volume reached USD 12 billion, with Indian exports amounting to USD 6.77 billion and imports from Brazil totaling USD 5.43 billion.

In July last year, Modi and Lula had set a bilateral trade target of USD 20 billion by 2030. Kumaran said the two leaders "agreed that the trade should at least double to USD 30 billion by 2030".

The prime minister said the agreement on critical minerals and rare earth is a major step towards building resilient supply chains.

Besides the pact on critical minerals, India and Brazil also firmed up a joint declaration on digital partnership, and signed Memoranda of Understanding (MoUs) for cooperation in areas of mining, MSMEs, health-care and traditional knowledge system.

"Our cooperation in the field of defence is also continuously growing. This is a great example of mutual trust and strategic coordination. We will continue to strengthen this win-win partnership," he said.

In the context of enhancing defence ties, the two sides discussed cooperation for maintenance of their French-origin Scorpene submarines under a tripartite agreement between Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited and the Indian and Brazilian Navies.

Brazilian aerospace major Embraer's plan to set up an assembly line for its E175 regional jet in India also found mention in the discussions. The Indian side also called for establishment of a maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) facility in India by Embraer.

In his remarks, the prime minister noted that the voice of the Global South becomes stronger and more confident when India and Brazil work together.

"The India-Brazil partnership on the global stage has been strong and influential. As democratic countries, we will continue to advance the priorities and aspirations of the Global South," he said.

"We believe that every problem must be resolved through dialogue and diplomacy. India and Brazil are unanimous that terrorism and its supporters are enemies of all humanity," he said.

In his remarks, President Lula slammed terror attacks in Kashmir, and said terrorism must not be linked to any religion or nationality.

He said that the "turbulent global environment" requires India and Brazil to deepen our strategic ties and that dialogue between the two powers is an engagement of "superlatives".

"We are not just the two biggest democracies of the Global South. This is a meeting of a digital superpower with a renewable energy superpower. We are both mega diverse countries and we both defend multilateralism and peace," he said.

The Brazilian leader argued that there is no possibility of a fair and sustainable development in a conflict-ridden world and quoted PM Modi's remarks at last year's BRICS summit that one can't run "21st-century software on 20th-century typewriters." "We emphasised our commitment to the UN reform, particularly of the UN Security Council so that it represents the interests of the Global South. Brazil and India are natural candidates to become permanent members of the Security Council," he said.

Modi and Lula unequivocally condemned terrorism and violent extremism, in all its forms including cross-border terrorism and called for decisive and concerted international efforts to combat terrorism in a comprehensive and sustained manner.

In his media statement, Modi said India-Brazil relations have long benefited from President Lula's vision and that his visit has given new energy to the strategic partnership between the two nations.

Modi and Lula also discussed the expansion of the India-Mercosur preferential trade agreement (PTA). The prime minister said it will deepen economic cooperation.

"Our cooperation in technology and innovation is important for both countries, as well as for the entire Global South. I am pleased that we are working on establishing a Centre of Excellence for Digital Public Infrastructure in Brazil," Modi said.

"We are also prioritizing our cooperation in areas such as Artificial Intelligence, supercomputers, semiconductors, and blockchain. We both believe that technology must be inclusive and it must become a bridge for shared progress," he said.

The prime minister described India-Brazil energy cooperation as a strong pillar of the relationship.

"Along with hydrocarbons, we are also accelerating cooperation in many areas such as renewable energy, ethanol blending, sustainable aviation fuel. Brazil's active participation in the "Global Biofuel Alliance" reflects our shared commitment to a green future," he said.

In the talks, Brazil also proposed to co-chair the India-backed Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI).

"I congratulate President Lula for this initiative. Brazil's extensive experience in this field will significantly contribute to further strengthening the CDRI," Modi said. PTI MPB ZMN

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