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    Rupee crashes 41 paise to settle at 91.49 against US dollar
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March 2, 2026
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Currency depreciation worsened as geopolitical strikes and oil price surge prompted safe-haven flows and foreign fund outflows.
The rupee sharply depreciated against the US dollar due to geopolitical escalation and a crude oil price spike, which triggered safe-haven dollar demand and foreign institutional equity outflows. Higher oil prices threaten to widen India's import bill and current account pressures, producing defensive market positioning and a negative bias for the currency, even as the Reserve Bank of India intervened in the interbank market to limit further depreciation.
March 2, 2026
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Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement negotiations launched to cover goods and services and pursue an ambitious bilateral trade pact.
Launch of negotiations for a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) between India and Canada, with signed Terms of Reference to set the format, frequency and approach for talks covering trade in goods, services and other policy areas. The ToR aim to guide negotiators toward an ambitious, balanced pact, resuming talks from the start after a prior pause. Negotiations target expanded market access and increased bilateral trade, identifying key goods and services sectors and naming chief negotiators for each country.
March 2, 2026
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Fuel pricing policy shields consumers by using company-held margins to stabilize retail petrol and diesel amid global crude spikes.
India's fuel pricing policy freezes retail petrol and diesel prices by allowing public sector oil companies to absorb losses when international crude prices rise and build margins when prices fall; this cushion-based approach, overseen by the Oil Ministry, will continue unless a sustained, very large spike in crude or prolonged disruptions (notably via the Strait of Hormuz) make it untenable, exposing vulnerabilities from high import dependence and increased procurement, freight, and insurance costs.
March 2, 2026
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Travel suspension to Middle East prompts IT firms to enforce employee safety measures and remote work arrangements.
Indian IT firms have suspended or deferred travel to the Middle East and implemented employee safety measures: TCS suspended all incoming and outgoing travel, advised associates to stay indoors, activated a call tree, and is coordinating with local authorities and embassies; Wipro issued a no travel advisory for multiple countries and directed regional staff to follow local guidance. Nasscom advised members to defer travel and enable work from home arrangements as a precaution while monitoring operations and preparing further measures if required.
March 2, 2026
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Customs enforcement against areca nut smuggling intensified, emphasising prosecution under prohibitory orders and strengthened border surveillance.
Intensified enforcement targets areca nut smuggling from Myanmar due to evasion of import duties and market harm to local growers. Authorities have registered numerous cases and made arrests under prohibitory-order offences prosecuted via the Indian Penal Code and the Bharatiya Nagarik Suraksha Sanhita, and separate prosecutions under the Customs Act. The government affirms continued prohibition, enhanced border surveillance, and a zero-tolerance stance including probes into alleged official complicity.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption risks push global markets lower as oil and gas price spikes strain trade and inflation expectations.
Energy supply disruptions from Middle East hostilities sharply pushed up oil, gas and fuel prices, driving marketwide volatility as investors rotated into safe havens. Attacks affecting transit through the Strait of Hormuz threaten continuity of crude and LNG exports, prompting buyers to seek alternate sources and tightening physical markets. Higher wholesale inflation readings increase the prospect of delayed monetary easing, reinforcing downward pressure on risk assets and elevating short term downside risk to trade and investment flows.
March 2, 2026
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Trade continuity secured through coordinated facilitation and procedural flexibility to protect exporters and sustain EXIM logistics.
The Department of Commerce convened a multi stakeholder consultation to coordinate regulatory and operational measures for EXIM logistics amid geopolitical developments, focusing on real time monitoring of routing, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability, and strengthening facilitation at ports and ICDs to prevent congestion. The Government emphasised a facilitative, coordinated approach prioritising supply chain resilience and exporter interests, agreeing measures including procedural flexibility for export authorisations, Customs coordination for smooth clearance, financial and insurance engagement, and prioritisation of time sensitive export segments.
March 2, 2026
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Current account deficit rises due to widening trade deficit; services surplus partially offsets external imbalance.
Current account deficit widened to USD 13.2 billion in the December quarter, driven mainly by a larger merchandise trade deficit, while net services receipts rose and partially offset the deterioration; the April-December current account deficit moderated compared with the prior year, reflecting goods and services flow dynamics within the balance of payments.
March 2, 2026
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GST revenue collections: gross receipts, refunds and net receipts reported, with state settlements and cess treatment noted.
Statement of February 2026 GST revenues detailing gross receipts by CGST, SGST and IGST (domestic and import), reported refunds (domestic and export/ICEGATE) and resulting net GST revenue split into net domestic and net customs receipts. It separately reports compensation and import cess inflows and refunds, noting compensation cess remains transitory until loan liabilities are discharged. State/UT pre- and post-settlement SGST distributions and Apr-Feb collection breakdowns by Central and State formations are included for inter-year comparison.
March 2, 2026
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Trade facilitation measures to mitigate West Asia crisis impact on exports, including customs coordination and logistical support.
The consultation assessed risks to EXIM cargo flows from West Asian hostilities and committed a facilitative, coordinated response focused on preserving trade continuity. Agreed measures include real-time monitoring of routing, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability; strengthened port/ICD facilitation to avoid congestion; targeted support for time-sensitive exports such as perishables and pharmaceuticals; procedural flexibility for export authorisations in genuine disruption; Customs coordination for smooth clearance; and engagement with financial and insurance institutions to protect exporter interests, with emphasis on MSMEs and essential imports.
March 2, 2026
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Exchange rate pressure intensified as geopolitical conflict, crude price spikes and capital outflows pushed the currency lower despite central bank support.
Severe exchange rate pressure drove the rupee sharply lower amid geopolitical conflict, FII outflows and rising crude prices, increasing India's import bill vulnerability; the Reserve Bank of India's visible market presence capped deeper intraday depreciation while analysts warned that geopolitical developments, crude trends, capital flows and key US data will determine near term exchange rate direction.
March 2, 2026
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Genetic upgrade initiative boosts local mutton and wool production via import of elite sheep and goat breeds.
Importation of Romanov and Finn sheep and Boer and Swiss Alpine goats aims to implement a genetic upgrade of Jammu and Kashmir's small ruminant population to improve growth rates, carcass yield, reproductive efficiency and overall flock productivity. Imported germplasm will be multiplied at government breeding farms and progeny distributed to farmers in phases, with farmer-level distribution starting in the third quarter of 2026-27, as part of Project 24 under the Holistic Agriculture Development Programme alongside complementary livestock and rural productivity measures.
March 2, 2026
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Oil supply disruption risk drives markets as geopolitical attacks push energy prices up and equities downward.
Attacks on Iran caused equity declines and sharp rises in oil and gold as traders priced in disruption to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz; sustained interruptions to Iranian exports and regional shipping could tighten global supply, elevate fuel and production costs, affect major importers' sourcing strategies, and influence inflation dynamics and central bank rate decisions.
March 2, 2026
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Manufacturing activity growth driven by stronger domestic demand despite slower export orders, prompting higher input buying and hiring.
Manufacturing activity accelerated to a four-month high as stronger domestic demand supported faster output growth and higher new business intakes; firms increased input purchasing, inventories and hiring. New export orders continued to slow, somewhat constraining employment creation. Cost pressures remained moderate, and forward-looking sentiment was positive with many manufacturers expecting higher output over the year ahead.
March 2, 2026
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Compliance with IS-17900 drives local manufacturing of advanced lift control systems, reducing import dependence and strengthening supply chains.
A Phase 1 manufacturing facility invests in local production of advanced lift electronic control systems designed to comply with IS-17900, reduce import dependency, and enable component to finished product localisation. The plant will operate automated PCB and semi automatic panel lines to produce MR, MRL and Slim Panels, emphasise controlled environment quality, IoT features, and support supply chain resilience and national industrial policy objectives under the Make in India framework.
March 2, 2026
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Reservation policy implementation strengthened across public financial institutions to improve accessibility and uniform compliance measures.
Strengthening institutional capacity for uniform implementation of the Government of India's reservation policy across public financial institutions and enhancing accessibility for Persons with Disabilities were the primary objectives. The programme combined a Sugamya Bharat sensitisation session on accessibility standards and compliance requirements, a roundtable on legal provisions and practical challenges, exchange of best practices, and an interactive question-and-answer session to identify operational measures for inclusivity, accessibility and reservation policy compliance.
March 2, 2026
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Deferred Customs Duty payment enables qualified manufacturers to clear imports and pay duties monthly, subject to compliance and eligibility.
A Deferred Customs Duty payment facility allows Eligible Manufacturer Importers to clear imports without immediate duty payment and to pay applicable customs duties monthly under the Deferred Payment of Import Duty Rules, 2016, subject to prescribed Customs and GST compliance, turnover, financial standing and track record; existing AEO T1 entities meeting eligibility may participate and applications are to be submitted via the AEO portal.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption risks trigger global market selloff and safe-haven flows, lifting oil and gold while bond yields fall.
Global markets moved to risk-off after US and Israeli attacks on Iran: equities opened lower while gold and government bonds rallied and oil prices surged on fears that strikes and incidents in the Strait of Hormuz could restrict oil and LNG exports, raising the prospect of higher energy and production costs; higher-than-expected wholesale inflation readings were identified as a factor that may affect the central bank's timing for interest-rate cuts.
March 2, 2026
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Rupee depreciation driven by crude price surge, dollar strength and foreign fund outflows pressures local currency lower.
Rupee depreciation in early trade reflected external pressures-higher crude prices, a stronger US dollar, and escalated Middle East tensions-compounded by negative domestic equity sentiment and significant foreign institutional outflows. Market indicators included a firmer dollar index, rising Brent crude futures, and a recent dip in forex reserves, while analysts warned of increased import bill risk due to India's reliance on fuel imports.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption threatens global oil flows, driving sharp price increases and straining fuel and goods markets worldwide.
Attacks and retaliatory strikes in the Middle East disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz and regional export infrastructure, triggering sharp crude price rises and heightened risk of sustained supply constraints; OPEC+ announced production increases, but analysts stress that constrained export routes limit the immediate effectiveness of added output.

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Customs & Trade

Put India-US trade deal on hold, renegotiate terms: Congress

February 21, 2026

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New Delhi, Feb 21 (PTI) The Congress on Saturday demanded that the government put the interim trade agreement on hold and renegotiate the terms of the deal after the US Supreme Court invalidated the reciprocal tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump.

Congress general secretary Jairam Ramesh said the government must also ensure that the interests of Indian farmers are fully protected during the renegotiations and asked the government to categorically state that it will not allow any import liberalisation to the American side.

Speaking with reporters here, Ramesh questioned the silence of Prime Minister Narendra Modi on the entire deal and said he should clarify on whether he agrees with Trump's statement that nothing changes in the trade deal with India.

"Does Modi agree with Trump that the trade agreement with India still holds," the Congress leader asked, while pointing out there was no response from the government so far.

Claiming that the India-US interim agreement will adversely affect the Indian farmers and put their livelihood in jeopardy, he said the government should put this deal on hold till clarifications are made and called for renegotiating the deal afresh.

"The US Supreme Court decision is very significant and our government must keep this trade agreement on hold.

"We demand that the PM should categorically state that India's policy after the US Supreme Court decision will be reviewed and we will not carry out import liberalisation till clarifications come," Ramesh said, adding that this is to protect and safeguard the livelihood of lakhs of farmers in the country.

He referred to the special concessions provided to the US agricultural products that threaten the livelihood of our farmers. He said the trade agreement mentions that the tariffs will be reduced or completely eliminated on farm products including cotton, soybean and fruits.

The Congress leader also questioned the tearing hurry shown by Modi in getting the trade deal announced by Trump on February 2.

He attributed this to "Modi's panic" and to divert attention from Rahul Gandhi's speech in Parliament the same day quoting the sensational revelations made by former Army Chief Gen MM Naravane that Prime Minister had abdicated his responsibility while telling him 'jo uchit samjho who Karo' (do whatever you think is right), on Chinese aggression at the border.

The first question arises is why did the prime minister was in a hurry to announce this, he said.

The US Supreme Court on Saturday struck down Trump's global tariffs, saying it is against the American Constitution, Ramesh said.

"Our second question is that when the PM, the commerce minister (Piyush Goyal), knew from December that any time (now) the Supreme Court verdict could come, many believed that it could be struck down. Why did you hurriedly strike a deal when you knew the verdict could go against Trump," he asked.

The 10 per cent tariff would be imposed on imports and as per law this will be for 150 days, he said.

He observed that there was nothing to celebrate about the ten percent tariff from the 18 percent as these had actually gone from 3.5 percent to ten percent.

Referring to Trump's statement after the Supreme Court decision that the Indo-US Trade Agreement still holds, Ramesh asserted that Modi must say in clear and unambiguous terms that the 'Framework of Interim Agreement' cannot be implemented under current circumstances in view of the US Supreme Court's decision.

After the US Supreme Court struck down Trump's global tariffs, Gandhi accused Modi of being "compromised", saying his "betrayal" in the India-US interim trade deal stood exposed.

Congress general secretary Randeep Surjewala said after the US Supreme Court quashed presidential powers to impose tariffs under the IEEPA (International Emergency Economic Powers Act, 1977), Trump has announced the imposition of 10 per cent additional tariffs under Section 122 of the Trade Act, 1974.

"The simple questions are - are these tariffs sustainable viz-a-viz India? Can these tariff provisions be justifiably applied to India? "Will these new tariffs still hold the US-India Trade Deal (Framework Agreement), which is being widely opposed by farmers, small and medium businesses, energy and data experts, and economists alike," he posted on X.

"Will the Modi government now show the courage to walk out of a one-sided US-India Trade Deal," Surjewala asked.

He also asked if the Modi government will now declare in "national interest" that it will buy cheaper Russian and Iranian crude oil with a view to ensure "energy security" of the country.

"Will the Modi government declare that it will no longer withdraw 'non-tariff barriers', i.e., withdraw the meagre subsidy on agriculture or permit import of genetically modified crops into India, thereby protecting our seed integrity, purity, and biodiversity? Will the Modi Government now declare that it is no longer under an obligation to import USD 500 billion worth of American goods (Rs 45 lakh crore) over the next 5 years on zero tariff," he asked.

In a major setback to what was Trump's pivotal economic agenda in his second term, the US Supreme Court, in a 6-3 verdict, ruled that tariffs imposed by Trump on nations around the world were illegal and that the president had exceeded his authority.

Shortly after the court verdict, Trump asserted that there is "no change" in the trade deal with India. PTI ASK/SKC ZMN

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