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    Global markets roiled as conflict in Middle East spreads, energy prices soar
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March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption risks push global markets lower as oil and gas price spikes strain trade and inflation expectations.
Energy supply disruptions from Middle East hostilities sharply pushed up oil, gas and fuel prices, driving marketwide volatility as investors rotated into safe havens. Attacks affecting transit through the Strait of Hormuz threaten continuity of crude and LNG exports, prompting buyers to seek alternate sources and tightening physical markets. Higher wholesale inflation readings increase the prospect of delayed monetary easing, reinforcing downward pressure on risk assets and elevating short term downside risk to trade and investment flows.
March 2, 2026
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Trade continuity secured through coordinated facilitation and procedural flexibility to protect exporters and sustain EXIM logistics.
The Department of Commerce convened a multi stakeholder consultation to coordinate regulatory and operational measures for EXIM logistics amid geopolitical developments, focusing on real time monitoring of routing, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability, and strengthening facilitation at ports and ICDs to prevent congestion. The Government emphasised a facilitative, coordinated approach prioritising supply chain resilience and exporter interests, agreeing measures including procedural flexibility for export authorisations, Customs coordination for smooth clearance, financial and insurance engagement, and prioritisation of time sensitive export segments.
March 2, 2026
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Current account deficit rises due to widening trade deficit; services surplus partially offsets external imbalance.
Current account deficit widened to USD 13.2 billion in the December quarter, driven mainly by a larger merchandise trade deficit, while net services receipts rose and partially offset the deterioration; the April-December current account deficit moderated compared with the prior year, reflecting goods and services flow dynamics within the balance of payments.
March 2, 2026
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GST revenue collections: gross receipts, refunds and net receipts reported, with state settlements and cess treatment noted.
Statement of February 2026 GST revenues detailing gross receipts by CGST, SGST and IGST (domestic and import), reported refunds (domestic and export/ICEGATE) and resulting net GST revenue split into net domestic and net customs receipts. It separately reports compensation and import cess inflows and refunds, noting compensation cess remains transitory until loan liabilities are discharged. State/UT pre- and post-settlement SGST distributions and Apr-Feb collection breakdowns by Central and State formations are included for inter-year comparison.
March 2, 2026
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Trade facilitation measures to mitigate West Asia crisis impact on exports, including customs coordination and logistical support.
The consultation assessed risks to EXIM cargo flows from West Asian hostilities and committed a facilitative, coordinated response focused on preserving trade continuity. Agreed measures include real-time monitoring of routing, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability; strengthened port/ICD facilitation to avoid congestion; targeted support for time-sensitive exports such as perishables and pharmaceuticals; procedural flexibility for export authorisations in genuine disruption; Customs coordination for smooth clearance; and engagement with financial and insurance institutions to protect exporter interests, with emphasis on MSMEs and essential imports.
March 2, 2026
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Exchange rate pressure intensified as geopolitical conflict, crude price spikes and capital outflows pushed the currency lower despite central bank support.
Severe exchange rate pressure drove the rupee sharply lower amid geopolitical conflict, FII outflows and rising crude prices, increasing India's import bill vulnerability; the Reserve Bank of India's visible market presence capped deeper intraday depreciation while analysts warned that geopolitical developments, crude trends, capital flows and key US data will determine near term exchange rate direction.
March 2, 2026
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Genetic upgrade initiative boosts local mutton and wool production via import of elite sheep and goat breeds.
Importation of Romanov and Finn sheep and Boer and Swiss Alpine goats aims to implement a genetic upgrade of Jammu and Kashmir's small ruminant population to improve growth rates, carcass yield, reproductive efficiency and overall flock productivity. Imported germplasm will be multiplied at government breeding farms and progeny distributed to farmers in phases, with farmer-level distribution starting in the third quarter of 2026-27, as part of Project 24 under the Holistic Agriculture Development Programme alongside complementary livestock and rural productivity measures.
March 2, 2026
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Oil supply disruption risk drives markets as geopolitical attacks push energy prices up and equities downward.
Attacks on Iran caused equity declines and sharp rises in oil and gold as traders priced in disruption to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz; sustained interruptions to Iranian exports and regional shipping could tighten global supply, elevate fuel and production costs, affect major importers' sourcing strategies, and influence inflation dynamics and central bank rate decisions.
March 2, 2026
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Manufacturing activity growth driven by stronger domestic demand despite slower export orders, prompting higher input buying and hiring.
Manufacturing activity accelerated to a four-month high as stronger domestic demand supported faster output growth and higher new business intakes; firms increased input purchasing, inventories and hiring. New export orders continued to slow, somewhat constraining employment creation. Cost pressures remained moderate, and forward-looking sentiment was positive with many manufacturers expecting higher output over the year ahead.
March 2, 2026
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Compliance with IS-17900 drives local manufacturing of advanced lift control systems, reducing import dependence and strengthening supply chains.
A Phase 1 manufacturing facility invests in local production of advanced lift electronic control systems designed to comply with IS-17900, reduce import dependency, and enable component to finished product localisation. The plant will operate automated PCB and semi automatic panel lines to produce MR, MRL and Slim Panels, emphasise controlled environment quality, IoT features, and support supply chain resilience and national industrial policy objectives under the Make in India framework.
March 2, 2026
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Reservation policy implementation strengthened across public financial institutions to improve accessibility and uniform compliance measures.
Strengthening institutional capacity for uniform implementation of the Government of India's reservation policy across public financial institutions and enhancing accessibility for Persons with Disabilities were the primary objectives. The programme combined a Sugamya Bharat sensitisation session on accessibility standards and compliance requirements, a roundtable on legal provisions and practical challenges, exchange of best practices, and an interactive question-and-answer session to identify operational measures for inclusivity, accessibility and reservation policy compliance.
March 2, 2026
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Deferred Customs Duty payment enables qualified manufacturers to clear imports and pay duties monthly, subject to compliance and eligibility.
A Deferred Customs Duty payment facility allows Eligible Manufacturer Importers to clear imports without immediate duty payment and to pay applicable customs duties monthly under the Deferred Payment of Import Duty Rules, 2016, subject to prescribed Customs and GST compliance, turnover, financial standing and track record; existing AEO T1 entities meeting eligibility may participate and applications are to be submitted via the AEO portal.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption risks trigger global market selloff and safe-haven flows, lifting oil and gold while bond yields fall.
Global markets moved to risk-off after US and Israeli attacks on Iran: equities opened lower while gold and government bonds rallied and oil prices surged on fears that strikes and incidents in the Strait of Hormuz could restrict oil and LNG exports, raising the prospect of higher energy and production costs; higher-than-expected wholesale inflation readings were identified as a factor that may affect the central bank's timing for interest-rate cuts.
March 2, 2026
Show AI Summary
Rupee depreciation driven by crude price surge, dollar strength and foreign fund outflows pressures local currency lower.
Rupee depreciation in early trade reflected external pressures-higher crude prices, a stronger US dollar, and escalated Middle East tensions-compounded by negative domestic equity sentiment and significant foreign institutional outflows. Market indicators included a firmer dollar index, rising Brent crude futures, and a recent dip in forex reserves, while analysts warned of increased import bill risk due to India's reliance on fuel imports.
March 2, 2026
Show AI Summary
Energy supply disruption threatens global oil flows, driving sharp price increases and straining fuel and goods markets worldwide.
Attacks and retaliatory strikes in the Middle East disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz and regional export infrastructure, triggering sharp crude price rises and heightened risk of sustained supply constraints; OPEC+ announced production increases, but analysts stress that constrained export routes limit the immediate effectiveness of added output.
March 2, 2026
Show AI Summary
Maritime chokepoint security threatened, risking oil export disruptions and limiting the relief from increased production.
Attacks and military strikes in the Middle East disrupted maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, risking restrictions on regional crude exports and driving upward pressure on oil and gasoline prices. Because the strait is a critical global oil chokepoint, market concerns focus on whether barrels can physically move; consequently, OPEC+ announcements of increased production may provide limited immediate relief if export routes remain constrained.
March 2, 2026
Show AI Summary
Oil supply security: production increases meet limited relief when export routes through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted.
OPEC+ announced an April increase in crude production intended to augment available supply while regional military attacks and disruptions to tanker movements - particularly through the Strait of Hormuz - threaten export routes. The notice underscores that interruptions to transit can limit the relief additional output provides and that access to export channels will be decisive for near-term market stability and price direction.
March 1, 2026
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Energy security measures cushion supply shocks but elevate price volatility and macroeconomic pressures for oil importers.
Escalating tensions around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz create near-term energy security risks for India manifested chiefly as price volatility and macroeconomic pressure rather than immediate physical shortages. Layered inventory buffers - commercial stocks, in transit cargoes and Strategic Petroleum Reserves - combined with diversified sourcing options (including Atlantic suppliers and Russian optionality) reduce the likelihood of sustained supply disruption, though longer transit times and LNG contractual rigidity limit rapid substitution and increase vulnerability to prolonged closures.
March 1, 2026
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GST revenue growth signals strengthened tax receipts driven by import collections and improved domestic sales affecting fiscal enforcement.
A court ordered continued judicial custody for eight alleged Lashkar-e-Taiba operatives accused of illegal entry and procuring forged identity documents while another court directed the immediate release of 14 student protesters arrested after a campus demonstration. Separately, gross Goods and Services Tax collections rose year-on-year, led by higher import receipts and improved domestic sales, reflecting stronger enforcement and compliance dynamics within the indirect tax regime.
March 1, 2026
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SGST growth reflects strengthened tax administration and compliance following GST rate rationalisation, bolstering state revenues.
Haryana reports marked year on year expansion in State Goods and Services Tax (SGST) receipts for 2025-26, attributing the improvement to strengthened tax administration, enhanced compliance stemming from departmental reforms and better tax analysis, facilitation via district GST Suvidha Kendras, and the GST Council's September 2025 rate rationalisation as complementary drivers of revenue growth.

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Customs & Trade

Murky outlook for businesses after tariff ruling prompts countermoves by Trump

February 21, 2026

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New York, Feb 21 (AP) Businesses face a new wave of uncertainty after the Supreme Court struck down tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump under an emergency powers law and Trump vowed to work around the ruling to keep his tariffs in place.

The Trump administration says its tariffs help boost American manufacturers and reduce the trade gap. But many US businesses have had to raise prices and adjust in other ways to offset higher costs spurred by the tariffs.

It remains to be seen how much relief businesses and consumers will actually get from Friday's ruling. Within hours of the court's decision, Trump pledged to use a different law to impose a 10 per cent tariff on all imports that would last 150 days, and to explore other ways to impose additional tariffs on countries he says engage in unfair trade practices.

“Any boost to the economy from lowering tariffs in the near-term is likely to be partly offset by a prolonged period of uncertainty,” said Michael Pearce, an economist at Oxford Economics. “With the administration likely to rebuild tariffs through other, more durable, means, the overall tariffs rate may yet end up settling close to current levels.” Efforts to claw back the estimated USD 133 billion to USD 175 billion of previously collected tariffs now deemed illegal are bound to be complicated, and will likely favour larger companies with more resources. Consumers hoping for a refund are unlikely to be compensated.

The fight against tariffs continues ------------------------------------- With Trump's unyielding position on tariffs, many business are braced for years of court battles.

Basic Fun, a Florida-based maker of toys such as Lincoln Logs and Tonka trucks, last week joined a slew of other businesses in a lawsuit seeking to claw back tariffs paid to the government.

While company CEO Jay Foreman is concerned about any new tariffs Trump may impose, he doesn't think they will affect toys. Still, he said, “I do worry about some type of perpetual fight over this, at least for the next three years.” The new 10 per cent tariff Trump announced Friday immediately raised questions for Daniel Posner, the owner of Grapes The Wine Co., in White Plains, New York. Since wine shipments take about two weeks to cross the Atlantic, he wonders if a shipment arriving Monday will be affected.

“We're reactive to what's become a very unstable situation,” Posner said.

Ron Kurnik owns Superior Coffee Roasting Co. in Sault Ste. Marie, Michigan, across the border from Canada. In addition to US tariffs, Kurnik faced retaliatory tariffs from Canada for much of last year when he exported his coffee.

“It's like a nightmare we just want to wake up from,” said Kurnik, whose company has raised prices by 6 per cent twice since the tariffs went into effect. While he's pleased with the Supreme Court's ruling, he doesn't think he will ever see a refund.

Industries pine for more stability ------------------------------------ A wide array of industries, including retail, tech and the agricultural sector, used the Supreme Court ruling as an opportunity to remind Trump of how his trade policies have affected their businesses.

The Business Roundtable, a group that lobbies on behalf of more than 200 US companies, released a statement encouraging the administration to limit the focus of tariffs going forward to specific unfair trade practices and national security concerns.

In the retail industry, stores of all stripes have embraced different ways to offset the effects of tariffs — from absorbing some of the costs themselves, to cutting expenses and diversifying their supply network.

Still, they have had to pass on some price increases at a time when shoppers have been particularly sensitive to inflationary pressures.

Dave French, executive vice president of government relations for The National Retail Federation, the nation's largest retail industry trade group, said he hoped lower courts would ensure “a seamless process” to refund tariffs. That issue wasn't addressed in Friday's ruling.

For the technology sector, Trump's tariffs caused major headaches. Many of its products are either built overseas or depend on imports of key components. The Computer & Communications Industry Association, which represents a spectrum of technology companies employing more than 1.6 million people, expressed hope that the decision will ease the trade tensions.

"With this decision behind us, we look forward to bringing more stability to trade policy,” said Jonathan McHale, the association's vice president for digital trade.

Farmers, who have been stung by higher prices for equipment and fertilizer since the tariffs went into effect, and reduced demand for their exports, also spoke out.

“We strongly encourage the president to avoid using any other available authorities to impose tariffs on agricultural inputs that would further increase costs,” said American Farm Bureau Federation President Zippy Duvall.

Industries that aren't feeling any relief ------------------------------------------- The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act did not give the president authority to tax imports, a power that belongs to Congress. But the decision only affects tariffs imposed under that law, so some industries will see no relief at all.

The decision leaves in effect tariffs on steel, upholstered furniture, kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities, according to the Home Furnishings Association, which represents 15,000 furniture stores in North America.

At Revolution Brewing in Chicago, the aluminum they use for cans costs as much as the ingredients that go inside them because of tariffs Trump has placed on metals that are not affected by the Supreme Court ruling. While the cans are made in Chicago, the aluminum comes from Canada, said Josh Deth, managing partner at the brewery.

Tariffs have been just one challenge for his business, which is also affected by volatile barley prices and a slowdown in demand for craft beer.

“Everything kind of adds up,” he said. “The beverage industry needs relief here. We're getting crushed by the prices of aluminum.” Reaction overseas --------------------- Italian winemakers hard-hit by the tariffs greeted the Supreme Court decision with scepticism, warning that the decision may just deepen uncertainty around trade with the US.

The US is Italy's largest wine market, with sales having tripled in value over the past 20 years. New tariffs on the EU, which the Trump administration initially threatened would be 200 per cent, had sent fear throughout the industry, which remained even after the US reduced, delayed and negotiated down.

“There is a more than likely risk that tariffs will be reimposed through alternative legal channels, compounded by the uncertainty this ruling may generate in commercial relations between Europe and the United States,” said Lamberto Frescobaldi, president of UIV, a trade association that represents more than 800 winemakers.

Elsewhere in Europe, initial reaction focused on renewed upheaval and confusion regarding costs facing businesses exporting to the US.

Trump's tariffs could hit pharmaceuticals, chemicals and auto parts, said Carsten Brzeski, an economist at ING bank. “Europe should not be mistaken, this ruling will not bring relief," he said. "The legal authority may be different, but the economic impact could be identical or worse.” (AP) GSP

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