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    India's exports to US fall 13 pc in Feb; trade gap with China crosses USD 100 bn
    City gas firms push piped cooking gas with incentives amid LPG supply worries
    Exports dip marginally in Feb; trade gap narrows
    Advisory regarding confirmation of “Tax Liability Breakup, As Applicable” in GSTR-3B
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March 16, 2026
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Tariff measures on Indian goods altered bilateral flows, reducing exports to the US while imports and trade deficits expanded.
India's merchandise exports to the United States contracted in February amid elevated US tariff measures on Indian goods, while US imports into India rose; a subsequent change in US duties is expected to affect future monthly data. Over the 11-month fiscal period, imports from China surged faster than exports, driving a substantial bilateral trade deficit. The notice also records country-specific import and export movements, including a marked increase in imports from Switzerland driven by gold.
March 16, 2026
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Promotion of piped natural gas to relieve LPG supply pressure, with regulatory guidance and incentives to switch.
City gas distributors and the petroleum ministry are promoting conversion from LPG to piped natural gas through incentives and regulator guidance; CGD companies are to deploy additional resources and expedite connections via customer portals, call centres or other channels where pipelines exist, while the ministry urges online bookings, voluntary surrender of LPG where consumers have PNG, and state enforcement against hoarding and black marketing to manage LPG supply pressure.
March 16, 2026
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Trade Balance narrows as merchandise exports dip amid geopolitical disruptions and surge in gold imports, now affecting shipments.
Merchandise exports declined 0.81% to USD 36.61 billion in February while the trade deficit narrowed to USD 27.1 billion month on month. Imports rose sharply-led by gold, silver, and oil-contributing to a wider year on year gap. Geopolitical conflict in West Asia has disrupted maritime and air logistics, raising freight and insurance costs and expected to suppress March exports. The government is consulting exporters to mitigate impacts, and a prospective bilateral trade pact awaits a new tariff architecture.
March 16, 2026
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Tax Liability Breakup confirmation required in GSTR 3B: confirm or edit auto populated breakup to proceed with filing.
From February 2026 the portal auto populates the Tax Liability Breakup in GSTR 3B for supplies dated to previous tax periods when tax is paid in the current period; taxpayers must open the payment page tab, confirm or edit and save that breakup after offsetting liability, and only then proceed with filing using EVC or DSC, with the current confirmation requirement being applied in all cases pending portal resolution.
March 16, 2026
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Wholesale price inflation set to rise as crude oil surge pushes wholesale costs higher, affecting manufacturing and non-food goods.
Wholesale price inflation rose to 2.13% in February 2026, led by higher prices in food and non-food articles and an uptick in manufactured goods; fuel and power deflation narrowed as global oil prices increased. Analysts warn that persistent crude oil price rises from geopolitical conflict will transmit more to WPI than retail CPI, likely pushing wholesale inflation higher in subsequent months. The report identifies basic metals, textiles and other manufacturing segments as contributors and stresses supply-chain, logistics and domestic manufacturing measures to contain cost-push pressures.
March 16, 2026
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Tariff architecture uncertainty delays signing of interim trade agreement until US restores a stable global tariff framework.
The interim India-US trade framework remains unsigned pending establishment of a new US global tariff architecture; the previously agreed preferential tariff of 18 per cent for India is contingent on how the US restructures tariffs after a Supreme Court decision altered the prior emergency tariff regime. Negotiators have postponed final legalisation to ensure India's comparative advantage is preserved and to resolve outstanding non tariff and national security tariff issues before signing.
March 16, 2026
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Base year revision of industrial production index to update methodology and weights, release planned soon.
Revision of the Index of Industrial Production base year involves updating the item basket, item weights, data sources, and factory list, and proposes adoption of a chain-linked approach to better capture emerging sectors and changes in industrial composition. A Technical Advisory Committee (TAC-IIP) will advise on methodological improvements, and the Ministry plans to release the revised IIP series under the new methodology in the near term.
March 16, 2026
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Cooperative sector survey to estimate GVA and employment, collecting financial and labour data across cooperatives.
The National Statistics Office will use the National Cooperative Database to survey primary cooperatives, their federations and multistate societies across major sectors to estimate GVA/GVO and employment, collecting financial, tax, subsidy, distributive expense, depreciation and labour cost data for FY 2020 21 and FY 2023 24, while banking cooperatives will supply only employment data.
March 16, 2026
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Project monitoring threshold revised; mandated projects are monitored via integrated portals with automated API data flows.
The Ministry released updated CPI and GDP series and will release a revised IIP series; NIC-2025 aligns with ISIC Revision 5. Under the Allocation of Business Rules, 1961, the Ministry monitors projects above the prescribed cost threshold using the PAIMANA portal, integrated with IPMP; line ministries and implementing agencies must update IPMP, and data are fetched into PAIMANA via APIs for online monitoring.
March 16, 2026
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Base year revision of GDP and statistical modernisation enables nowcasting and real-time economic monitoring for policy guidance.
Revision of the GDP base year to 2022-23 integrates new data sources, NIC-2025 classification, and methodological improvements to improve national accounts measurement; the IIP series and price indices have been modernized (CAPI for CPI and secure online WPI transmission) and a nowcasting framework using high-frequency indicators and data dashboards provides near real-time assessments of economic activity for policy support.
March 16, 2026
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Statistical data accountability strengthened through digital collection platforms and harmonised standards for reliable public dissemination.
MoSPI strengthened statistical data accountability by deploying digital collection tools-CAPI integrated with e SIGMA, AI enabled chatbots and multilingual interfaces-with in built validation for real time submission and automated checks. Measures include physical scrutiny by senior officers, regular training, state/UT capacity building under the Support for Statistical Strengthening sub scheme, and improved dissemination via an Advance Release Calendar, revamped portals and API exchange. Alignment with international and national standards is reflected in adoption of the United Nations Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics, the Statistical Quality Assessment Framework, harmonised classifications, and circulation of a National MetaData Structure to enhance clarity and discoverability.
March 16, 2026
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Digital data dissemination: GoIStats app provides selected socio economic indicators on the go with standalone platform policy and feedback.
The GoIStats mobile application serves as a digital data dissemination channel providing selected socio economic indicators and visualisations from nine statistical products and 178 infographics, with ongoing dataset onboarding, active user engagement metrics and an inbuilt feedback mechanism; there is no proposal to integrate the app with other national data platforms at this stage.
March 16, 2026
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RBI intervention follows sharp rupee depreciation amid oil-driven trade pressures and foreign fund outflows to stabilise markets.
The rupee weakened to a record low against the US dollar amid high crude prices, sustained foreign portfolio outflows and a widening merchandise trade deficit; the Reserve Bank of India intervened in FX markets to stabilise the currency and limit excessive volatility, while market participants noted domestic equity recovery and imminent international monetary policy decisions as key near term influences on USD INR dynamics.
March 16, 2026
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Brand marketing strategy: Bleevo marks first anniversary, emphasizing pan-India expansion, creative talent, and integrated branding services.
Bleevo marks its first anniversary as a women-led Out-of-Home and integrated marketing agency from Chennai, focused on pan-India expansion and offering full-service branding, outdoor advertising, public relations, performance marketing, and brand experiences. The agency emphasizes a people-first approach, a young predominantly female team, and guiding clients through discovery to translate brand essence into design, strategy, and storytelling while building nationwide recall.
March 16, 2026
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Money laundering probe leads to arrest of food company promoter over alleged dairy product adulteration and forged export test reports.
Enforcement alleges the company manufactured and distributed adulterated dairy products by substituting milk fat with palm oil and other chemicals, supplied domestically and exported. Investigators allege multiple forged laboratory test reports were submitted to obtain export clearances while laboratories deny issuing them. The probe, which follows a local police complaint, targets proceeds from these activities as money laundering and has resulted in custodial remand of the company's principal for further PMLA investigative measures.
March 16, 2026
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LPG supply prioritisation and PNG conversion policy secures fuel availability while imposing sectoral allocation controls.
Gujarat expanded LPG distribution and prioritised PNG connections, directing district collectors to coordinate with city gas distribution companies to encourage LPG-to-PNG conversion and facilitate new PNG connections for domestic and commercial users, while maintaining rising buffer stocks and sectoral LPG allocation rules where PNG is unavailable.
March 16, 2026
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Digital inclusive finance recognition: WeBank's AI driven model advances accessibility and SME credit access across regions.
WeBank won four awards recognising its digital inclusive finance model and customer accessibility initiatives, retaining regional digital bank titles and adding awards for SME banking and a sign language service. The bank's AI native strategy strengthens infrastructure, toolchains, applications, governance and organisational design to integrate AI across business scenarios, deploying numerous AI applications and agents to enhance efficiency, risk management and customer experience. Its digital lending product Weiyedai and the Weilidai sign language service expand timely credit access for micro and small enterprises and provide accessible service for customers with hearing impairments.
March 16, 2026
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Trade deficit widens as merchandise exports dip and imports surge, signalling supply-chain and geopolitical risks to trade.
Merchandise exports fell marginally in February while imports rose sharply, producing a monthly trade deficit; year to date exports rose modestly but imports grew faster. The Commerce Secretary warns of expected export softness in March due to logistical disruptions from the West Asia crisis, with trade-route interruptions, notably in the Strait of Hormuz, cited as the principal constraint on outbound shipments.
March 16, 2026
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Wholesale price inflation rises driven by food and non-food articles, while retail inflation also edges upward.
Wholesale price inflation rose to 2.13% in February led by increases in food articles and manufactured products, with non-food articles spiking; fuel and power continued to record negative inflation. Retail inflation also rose to 3.2% in February, and the central bank has lowered policy rates in the current fiscal year while focusing on retail inflation for benchmark rate decisions.
March 16, 2026
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Foreign exchange stability: rupee weakened as capital outflows and reserves decline increased market pressure.
Foreign exchange stability: the rupee weakened against the US dollar as foreign portfolio outflows, higher global crude prices and volatile equity markets drove the currency to near intra day lows; exchange data showed significant FII net selling and a notable weekly decline in forex reserves reported by the central bank, highlighting interacting external and domestic drivers relevant to reserve management and market stability.

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Customs & Trade

GCCs to drive up to 50% of India office demand; US to dominate while UK & EU to gain share- says Colliers India

February 20, 2026

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• US firms account for close to 70% of GCC leasing activity since 2020, followed by EU and UK companies at an 8-10% share each • Ongoing trade agreements & deals likely to boost long-term office space demand across Technology, BFSI, Engineering & Manufacturing & Consulting sectors • Annual Grade A office space uptake by GCCs can potentially reach 35-40 msf over the course of next few years • Overall GCCs can drive up to 50% of India's office space demand across the top 7 markets BENGALURU, India, Feb. 20, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- India remains one of the fastest-growing major economies, with the IMF recently revising its GDP growth projections for 2026 upwards by 20 bps – from 6.1% to 6.3% (Jan 2026 World Economic Outlook update vs Oct 2025 update). A forecasted growth rate of 6.5% in 2027 also draws comfort from strength of domestic demand across economic sectors and recent positive developments with respect to multiple bilateral trade agreements. Free Trade Agreements (FTAs), Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) and trade deals between India and the US, EU, the UK & France are in various stages of engagement and this is likely to enhance India's long term export competitiveness and simultaneously reduce entry barriers, incentivizing global firms to expand their India operations across key sectors such as Technology, Banking & Financial Services (BFS), Engineering & Manufacturing, Consulting, etc. As global firms and capability centers from these countries increase their India footprint over the course of next few years, we envisage traction in real estate demand, particularly in Grade A offices and warehouses. Trade agreements to fuel long-term demand across major office markets Recent tariff rationalization and sector-specific trade facilitation measures under the anvil of ongoing bilateral engagements with the US, EU and the UK are expected to expand the market for global firms in India. In addition to enhancing the position of India as a competitive manufacturing destination in the APAC region, elimination of barriers in the service industry can potentially further attract GCCs into the country. Capability centers in India are increasingly likely to become integral centers of research, product development, engineering, advanced analytics, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and cloud computing. Recent trade agreements & deal features: Select high impact sectors from a GCC demand (in India) perspective Key sectors and segments Key features of Trade agreement/deal Sector Segment India-US India-EU India-UK Technology Technology products & services Easing of licensing restrictions for Information Communication Technology goods - - BFSI Financial services Address discriminatory practices and barriers in digital trade Privileged access to financial service market in India - Engineering & Manufacturing Engineering & manufacturing goods Broad agreement to eliminate or reduce tariffs on all U.S. industrial goods Tariff reduction from 44% to 0% (electrical equipment and machinery) and 22% to 0% (iron & steel) - Automobiles Combination of quota and duty reduction mechanisms for luxury segment players Tariff reduction from 110% to 10%, with a quota of 250,000 vehicles per year Automotive tariff reduction from over 100% to as low as 10% through a tariff rate quota system Aircraft and components Intent of overall USD 500 Bn purchase including aircraft & its components by India over 5 years Tariff reduction from 11% to 0% for aircraft and spacecraft products - Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Address long-standing barriers in medical devices Tariff reduction from 22% to 0% (chemicals) and 11% to 0% (pharmaceuticals) - Consulting Professional & Environmental services - Privileged access in India Provisions to promote trade in legal and environmental goods & services Source: Publicly available trade agreement & deal related documents, Industry, Colliers Note: All trade agreements and deals are in various stages of implementation and are yet to be fully finalized. Benefits of tariff rate reduction, market access improvement etc. on GCCs in India are indicative and can be fully ascertained when exhaustive list/ finer details are available in public domain. "Recent trade agreements with the US, EU and UK can potentially boost foreign investments in country and amplify real estate demand across economic sectors including GCCs in India. This is likely to complement the regulatory push and ongoing policy tailwinds, boosting the annual demand for Grade A office space in India. We anticipate 35-40 million sq.ft. of annual GCC leasing, accounting for 40-50% of the overall office space demand over the course of next few years. While technology-based GCC demand from US firms can stabilize, we anticipate increasing traction from companies of EU and UK origin, especially within the engineering & manufacturing, BFSI and consulting domains," says Arpit Mehrotra, Managing Director, Office Services, Colliers India. GCCs account for ~40% of the Grade A office demand across top 7 cities India's office market has scaled up significantly in recent years with consecutive demand peaks in the post-pandemic era. This scaling up has been powered by GCCs, which have moved beyond cost-arbitrage centers and transitioned into innovation-driven globally integrated knowledge & research hubs. Of the 310 million sq ft. of cumulative office space demand since 2020, GCCs have accounted for around 117 million sq ft of office space, representing 38% of the overall leasing activity in India. In fact, the steady growth in GCC demand is evident from the increase in space uptake from around 16 million sq ft in 2020 to close to 30 million sq ft in 2025. Simultaneously, their share in India's overall leasing activity has increased from sub 30% levels few years ago to over 40% in 2025, further adding credentials to the ongoing transformation of GCCs. Notably, GCCs headquartered in the US, EU and UK continue to drive this transformation - contributing nearly one-third of the overall office space demand in India since 2020. Trends in Grade A gross absorption and GCC leasing 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2020–2025 Total Grade A office leasing (msf) (A) 30.3 33.0 50.3 58.2 67.2 71.5 310.5 GCC leasing (msf) (B) 16.3 13.2 14.7 18.2 25.7 29.2 117.3 Overall GCC share (%) (C=B/A) 54 % 40 % 29 % 31 % 38 % 41 % 38 % Leasing by US based GCCs (msf) (D) 11.5 10.3 10.6 12.0 17.4 20.7 82.5 Leasing by EU based GCCs (msf) (E) 3.1 1.2 2.1 3.5 1.8 0.0 11.7 Leasing by UK based GCCs (msf) (F) 0.4 0.4 1.3 0.8 2.9 3.2 9.0 Total Grade A office leasing by US, EU and UK based GCCs (msf) (G=D+E+F) 15.0 11.9 14.0 16.3 22.1 23.9 103.2 Share of US, EU & UK in GCC leasing (%) (H=G/B) 91 % 89 % 95 % 90 % 86 % 82 % 88 % Share of US, EU & UK based GCCs in overall India leasing (%) (I=G/A) 50 % 36 % 28 % 28 % 33 % 33 % 33 % Source: Colliers Gross absorption does not include lease renewals, pre-commitments and deals where only a letter of Intent has been signed | The top 7 cities include Bengaluru, Chennai, Delhi-NCR, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai and Pune. Distinct demand patterns across US, EU & UK based firms to accentuate occupier diversification Interestingly, ongoing trends reveal distinct India expansion strategies of GCCs across the US, UK and EU. Demand from US headquartered GCCs continue to be dominated by Technology firms (47% share in US based GCC leasing), alongside a notable presence of BFSI companies (21% share). EU-origin companies are predominantly anchored in Engineering & Manufacturing sector, which accounts for ~60% of their GCC demand in India. Tariff concessions and secured market access in the India-EU trade agreement can indirectly boost office space demand from such firms in India. Meanwhile, UK-origin GCC demand patterns show a diversified occupier profile led by BFSI firms (29% share) and Consulting players (23% share). Sector-wise GCC demand break-up (2020–2025) US EU UK Others Overall GCCs Cumulative leasing (msf) 82.5 11.7 8.9 14.2 117.3 Share in GCC leasing (%) Technology 47 % 14 % 18 % 30 % 39 % BFSI 21 % 6 % 29 % 20 % 20 % Engineering & Manufacturing 11 % 59 % 3 % 28 % 17 % Healthcare 6 % 10 % 6 % 11 % 7 % Consulting 5 % 2 % 23 % 4 % 6 % Others 10 % 9 % 21 % 7 % 11 % Source: Colliers Gross absorption does not include lease renewals, pre-commitments and deals where only a letter of Intent has been signed | Others include consumables and e-commerce | The top 7 cities include Bengaluru, Chennai, Delhi-NCR, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai, and Pune. In fact, GCC leasing is increasingly becoming broad-based, with global companies across sectors expanding their operations in India. Moreover, leasing volumes by BFSI, engineering & manufacturing, and healthcare GCCs have been on the upswing in recent years. While US GCCs have driven space uptake, accounting for nearly 70% of the total GCC demand since 2020, their share is expected to moderate over the next few years. Simultaneously, driven by the trade agreements, EU & UK based GCCs are expected to gain traction in the near-mid term. "GCCs will continue to anchor India's office space demand, supporting the ongoing scale-up and diversification of occupier base. With global trade frictions relatively moderating, supported by recent developments pertaining to bilateral agreements between India and its leading trade partners, we envisage positive sentiments to translate into traction across key demand drivers of Indian office market. Although GCC leasing will continue to be driven by technology sector, the demand is likely to become broad-based, with BFSI and engineering & manufacturing firms expected to contribute 40–50% of the space uptake in 2026," says Vimal Nadar, National Director & Head of Research, Colliers India. Overall nuanced demand patterns underscore the Indian GCC ecosystem alignment with high-value, domain-intensive functions rather than transactional back-office operations. Additionally skilled talent availability and cost arbitrage will continue to fuel expansion of capability centers in India. About Colliers Colliers (NASDAQ: CIGI) (TSX: CIGI) is a leading global diversified professional services company, specializing in commercial real estate services, engineering consultancy and investment management. With operations in 70 countries, our 22,000 enterprising professionals provide exceptional service and expert advice to clients. For nearly 30 years, our experienced leadership – with substantial inside ownership – has consistently delivered approximately 20% compound annual investment returns for shareholders. With annual revenues exceeding $4.5 billion and $99 billion of assets under management, Colliers maximizes the potential of property, infrastructure and real assets to accelerate the success of our clients, investors and people. Learn more at corporate.colliers.com, Twitter @Colliers or LinkedIn. Media Contact: Sukanya Dasgupta National Director, Marketing & Communications | India [email protected] +91 9811867682 Photo: https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2916648/Arpit_Mehrotra_MD_Colliers_India.jpg' alt='Embedded Media' /> Logo: Embedded Media (Disclaimer: The above press release comes to you under an arrangement with PRNewswire and PTI takes no editorial responsibility for the same.). PTI

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