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    Murky outlook for businesses after tariff ruling prompts countermoves by Trump
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February 21, 2026
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Presidential tariff authority limited by court; administration seeks alternative statutory paths to maintain import duties, prolonging business uncertainty.
The Supreme Court ruled the president lacked authority under the emergency-powers framework to impose import tariffs, voiding tariffs imposed on that basis while leaving open the administration's use of other statutory authorities to impose duties; the decision narrows one executive route for tariffs but creates complex refund and recovery issues and leaves many existing tariffs under different authorities intact.
February 21, 2026
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Separation of powers affirmed: Presidential global tariffs invalidated, reaffirming that only Congress may impose taxes.
A Supreme Court decision concluded that broad presidential global tariffs exceeded executive authority by encroaching on Congress's exclusive power over taxation; counsel for small businesses argued the levies operated as taxes imposed without congressional authorization, framing the dispute as a structural separation of powers issue and reaffirming that only Congress can impose taxes.
February 21, 2026
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Invalidation of emergency tariff authority leaves collected import duties subject to refund and protracted litigation.
The Supreme Court held the International Emergency Economic Powers Act did not authorize presidential tariffs, leaving collected import duties unlawful but not prescribing a refund mechanism. Administration of refunds will likely involve the customs agency, specialised trade tribunals and lower courts, utilising or adapting existing duty correction procedures, and is expected to produce prolonged, multi jurisdictional litigation as importers seek recovery while consumers face evidentiary obstacles to claiming pass through losses.
February 21, 2026
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KYC/KYB compliance automation expands: AI platform streamlines MSME due diligence, risk screening and faster onboarding for lenders.
An AI-powered KYC/KYB platform automates entity and individual due diligence and compliance for the BFSI sector, centralising MSME discovery and risk evaluation via a large multi-source data lake. It supports onboarding, underwriting, GTM optimisation and credit decisioning by converting fragmented business information into actionable intelligence. The system enables scaled lead generation, automated due diligence, and extensive sanction and litigation screening to bolster anti-money laundering controls, and provides a Model Context Protocol allowing configurable AI agents and custom model integration to align with institutional policies.
February 21, 2026
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Temporary import surcharge lowers reciprocal US tariff on Indian goods following legal limitation on presidential tariff powers
A presidential proclamation imposes a temporary import surcharge of ten per cent ad valorem, effective February 24, 2026, applied in addition to existing Most Favoured Nation duties; this replaces prior broader reciprocal levies on Indian goods, while higher sectoral tariffs for specified products remain and the surcharge applies only to a portion of exports due to coverage exemptions.
February 21, 2026
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Policy repo rate unchanged; MPC retains neutral stance as inflation stays benign while growth outlook strengthens.
Under Section 45ZL the MPC's minutes record a unanimous decision to keep the policy repo rate unchanged and to retain the neutral stance after reviewing staff projections, surveys and alternative risk scenarios. The committee judged growth prospects to have strengthened while headline inflation remains benign though modestly revised upward for near quarters due mainly to precious metals; risks to the outlook are broadly balanced and policy will be guided by incoming data and the progress of transmission.
February 21, 2026
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Constitutional limits on presidential tariff power overturned global tariffs, reshaping the interim India-US trade deal consequences.
The US Supreme Court invalidated the President's global tariffs imposed under emergency powers, finding tariff authority lies with Congress; the decision undercuts executive unilateral tariff measures. The India-US interim agreement saw an Executive Order lifting prior punitive tariffs in return for India's energy purchasing commitments, and a reduced reciprocal tariff rate was agreed. Indian political opposition alleges the deal's timing reflected executive haste that risked sovereign bargaining leverage and domestic agricultural interests.
February 21, 2026
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Presidential tariff authority curtailed; temporary global import duty imposed to rebalance trade while India trade framework remains intact.
The Supreme Court held that the President exceeded authority in imposing sweeping tariffs; in response the President signed a Proclamation imposing a temporary import duty to address international payments problems and rebalance trade relationships, effective on a specified date for a limited period. The President stated that an interim trade framework with India remains in place, removing certain punitive tariffs on India under an Executive Order while asserting India will assume tariff obligations under the bilateral arrangement.
February 21, 2026
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Emergency powers tariffs invalidation prompts presidential denunciation of justices and raises separation of powers and institutional independence debate.
Six justices invalidated presidential global tariffs imposed under an asserted emergency powers statute, framing the central legal question as the permissible scope of executive authority to impose trade restrictions without clear congressional authorization, and the litigation tested statutory delegation, administrative action in the trade context, and judicial review of national-security framed economic measures.
February 21, 2026
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Emergency power limits prompt alternative executive tariff action, raising concerns about agriculture costs and trade uncertainty.
The Supreme Court invalidated a presidential tariff framework as an unlawful exercise of emergency power, leading the president to announce use of alternative executive authority to impose a temporary global tariff. Stakeholders warned that further tariff actions or use of other authorities would increase agricultural input costs and create trade uncertainty, while business groups said ties with trade partners remain intact despite the disruption.
February 21, 2026
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Presidential emergency powers curtailed as court invalidates broad tariffs imposed under IEEPA, overturning central global levies.
The Supreme Court found the President exceeded authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act by using IEEPA to impose broad tariffs, invalidating core IEEPA-based measures including the Liberation Day global tariff framework and subsequent trafficking and country-specific levies on Canada, Mexico, China, Brazil and India; sectoral and non-IEEPA tariffs remain in place while the executive considers alternative measures.
February 21, 2026
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Executive emergency tariff authority limited, prompting administration to pursue alternative statutory bases for imposing tariffs.
The Supreme Court concluded that the Constitution vests the taxing power in Congress and that the emergency statute invoked by the Executive does not authorize imposition of tariffs as revenue measures, constraining executive emergency tariff authority; the administration plans to rely on alternative statutory bases to replace the invalidated tariffs.
February 21, 2026
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Tariff policy remains central as the India trade arrangement continues despite judicial limits on tariff authority.
President Trump stated the bilateral trade arrangement with India remains in effect after the Supreme Court invalidated his broad tariffs, noting an Executive Order rescinded punitive tariffs on Indian oil imports from Russia and an Interim Agreement framework reduces reciprocal U.S. tariff treatment toward India while maintaining tariffs on Indian imports under the new terms; he framed tariffs as leverage for energy-sourcing commitments and de-escalation between India and Pakistan.
February 21, 2026
Show AI Summary
IEEPA authority rejected, limiting tariff powers while administration decries the decision and cites geopolitical effects.
The Supreme Court held that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorize imposition of duties, constraining executive authority to impose tariffs under national emergencies; the President criticized the ruling and reiterated that tariffs were used as a foreign policy tool to end hostilities between India and Pakistan, a claim denied by India which attributes cessation to direct military talks.
February 21, 2026
Show AI Summary
Global tariff authority challenged after court invalidated emergency-use tariffs; president plans executive-order, time-limited alternative.
A judicial body invalidated a broad presidential program of global tariffs as an unlawful exercise of emergency power, eliminating the administration's primary emergency-based mechanism for imposing unilateral worldwide duties. The president announced intent to use an alternative statutory authority via executive order that would impose time-limited tariffs restricted to 150 days, signaling a shift to a different administrative vehicle for trade measures.
February 21, 2026
Show AI Summary
Emergency powers invalidation limits executive authority to impose unilateral tariffs, nullifying sweeping reciprocal import duties.
The executive's imposition of sweeping "reciprocal" import duties under a claimed emergency powers statute was found unlawful; the tariffs were invalidated because setting import duties required clear congressional authorization rather than unilateral emergency proclamations, signaling a legal limit on executive authority to alter statutory tariff schemes by emergency declaration.
February 21, 2026
Show AI Summary
Judicial review of emergency tariff powers restores congressional tariff authority, affecting recently announced India-US trade concessions.
The US Supreme Court struck down President Trump's global tariffs imposed under emergency powers, finding tariff authority lies with Congress, thereby removing the legal basis for those sweeping reciprocal tariffs. Indian opposition leaders contend that a recently announced India-US trade framework contained concessions extracted while the tariffs were assumed valid, and they seek clarity on whether those commitments-covering tariff eliminations, import targets, energy sourcing, and non tariff barrier commitments-will persist or be revisited following the judgment.
February 20, 2026
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IEEPA authority invalidated - certain IEEPA based tariffs now refundable to importers who directly paid them.
IEEPA based tariffs were deemed impermissible, allowing refunds only to US importers of record or consignees who directly paid tariffs. Eligible tariffs include IEEPA imposed levies commonly termed fentanyl, trafficking, reciprocal or baseline tariffs, including certain tariffs on goods from Brazil and India. Refunds exclude duties imposed under other statutory authorities such as anti dumping, countervailing, trade remedy or national security provisions. The administrative procedure and timing for claims remain uncertain pending further court and executive guidance.
February 20, 2026
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Presidential emergency powers limited: IEEPA cannot be used to impose broad import tariffs, leaving refund questions open.
The Supreme Court concluded that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorize the president to impose broad import tariffs, stressing that authority to levy taxes and tariffs rests with Congress and that longstanding practice shows such power has not been exercised under IEEPA. The opinion invalidates tariffs enacted under emergency proclamations while leaving untouched tariffs based on other statutory grounds, and it leaves unresolved whether and how refunds should be returned to importers who paid the challenged levies.
February 20, 2026
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Presidential emergency tariff power invalidated, forcing alternative legal routes and prolonging trade and political uncertainty.
The Court held the president lacked authority to declare an economic emergency and impose sweeping import tariffs, removing an executive legal basis for those tariffs and forcing the administration to pursue alternative statutory mechanisms, which will prolong legal and political debate over trade policy.

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News and Press Release

Release of Report of the ‘Sub-Committee on Methodological Improvements' in 2022-23 series of National Accounts

February 19, 2026

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Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) is in the process of revising the base year of national accounts. An Advisory Committee on National Account Statistics (ACNAS) under the chairmanship of professor B.N. Goldar was constituted to advise MoSPI, among other things, on inclusion of new data sources and improvement in methodology for compilation and presentation of National Accounts Statistics for purposes of economic analysis and policy formulation.

Under ACNAS, following 5 Sub-committees were constituted to simultaneously deliberate upon specific subjects:

  1. Sub-committee for Incorporation of New Data Sources, Rates and Ratios
  2. Sub-committee for Methodological Improvements
  3. Sub-committee for Constant Price Estimates
  4. Sub Committee on Regional Accounts
  5. Sub-Committee for SNA 2025 Update

The estimates of new series are scheduled to be released on 27th February, 2026. With a view to apprise the users of national accounts data about the changes being made in the new series, Ministry is releasing the report of the Sub-Committee on Methodological Improvements which focuses on methodological changes in compilation of various estimates of national accounts including GDP. The report encapsulates the key issues deliberated upon by the Sub-committee and the recommendations that emerged from the in-depth discussions held over the course of meetings.

Some of the major changes incorporated in the new series are:

Non-Financial Private Corporate Sector:

(a) Segregation of activities in case of multi-activity enterprises: In 2011-12 series, in case of Multi activity enterprise, entire GVA was allocated to the industry as per major share criterion. In the new series, activity wise revenue share for a company available in the MGT data is being used to segregate economic activities and consequently the value added by each business activity of the enterprise.

(b) Use of multipliers at disaggregated level: Multiplier, based on Paid-up Capital (PUC), was used in the 2011-12 series to derive the estimates of the non-reporting companies at overall level. In the new series, multipliers at disaggregated level are being used to account for the differences in capital intensity (measured by GVA to PUC ratio) across industries and size classes.

General Government Sector:

(a) Imputation of housing services provided by government: In the new series, imputation has been done to account for the value of the housing service provided by Government to its employees. This ensures that the valuation of services provided by government is properly captured in estimates of Output for General Government.

(b) Coverage of autonomous institutes and local bodies has also been enhanced in case of General Government.

Household Sector: In the new series, estimation of household sector has been improved through use of Annual Survey of Unincorporated Sector Enterprises and Periodic Labour Force Survey on annual basis instead of indicator-based extrapolation approach followed in the 2011-12 series. This ensures that household sector, which has a significant share in the economy, is directly estimated each year.

Updated Rates and Ratios:  Updated rates and ratios are being used in the new series on the basis of different studies eg. in case of agriculture (Grass and fodder related study conducted by Indian Grassland and Fodder Research Institute, Fisheries related study conducted by Central Marine Fisheries Research Institute & Central Inland Fisheries Research Institute) and in case of Private Final Consumption Expenditure (study related to milk and milk products conducted by National Dairy Research Institute, study on transport services conducted by Jawaharlal Nehru University).

Use of New Data Sources: Some of the new data sources used in the new series are GST data for Quarterly National Accounts, regional allocation and corroboration of annual estimates, use of Public Financial Management System data for timely and updated estimates in case of Government sector, use of e-vahan data in production and consumption of land transport services.

Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE): In the new series, estimation of PFCE is more nuanced through use of mixed approach (a) enhanced use of Household Consumer Expenditure Survey (b) Direct estimation based on production and other data sources (c) Commodity flow approach. Besides, latest relevant standard i.e. COICOP 2018 has also been adopted in compilation of PFCE.

Quarterly National Accounts (QNA): In the 2011-12 series, pro-rata method was used for benchmarking in case of Quarterly National Accounts. However, in the new series, internationally recommended Denton-proportional Benchmarking Method is being used to eliminate artificial discontinuities in the QNA series as well as to preserve the movement of the indicators. This also aligns QNA estimates with the annual national accounts estimates.

Reports of other Sub-Committees will also be released shortly

The report is available on MoSPI’s website - www.mospi.gov.in.

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