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August 25, 2026
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Tariff escalation drives retaliatory planning, industry protection measures, supply-chain uncertainty, and proposed symbolic geographic renaming amid cross-border trade tensions.
United States-Canada trade tensions have intensified after tariffs were imposed on Canadian goods following unsuccessful bilateral talks. Canada is expected to pursue retaliatory measures, potentially using targeted action to protect workers and businesses rather than matching tariffs directly. Further tariff threats concern vehicles, auto parts and steel. Integrated cross-border supply chains in automotive, energy, agriculture and manufacturing face increased costs and consumer-price uncertainty. Consideration of renaming Lake Ontario as "Lake America" has also been linked to the escalating dispute.
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August 25, 2026
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Plant growth regulator quality controls require farmer awareness, licensed sales, quarantine compliance, and protection against uncertified orchard inputs.
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August 25, 2026
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Maharashtra's anti-conversion law has commenced, and churches across the Mumbai Metropolitan Region have sought written self-declarations confirming voluntary prayer attendance without pressure. Food-safety oversight requires cleaning of cricket association eateries before a further inspection. Enforcement matters include investigation into unauthorised shop demolitions allegedly involving misuse of a municipal corporation's name, arrests connected with spurious-liquor manufacture, and a cyber-fraud network allegedly using mule accounts to launder proceeds. A retired High Court judge has been appointed as Lokayukta.
August 25, 2026
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User development fee rationalisation reduces departure charges and links airport cost recovery to commissioned capital projects during the tariff cycle.
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Intelligence-led enforcement against illicit trade requires coordinated data-sharing, risk profiling, digital accountability and disruption of organised supply networks.
Cross-border illicit trade enforcement should move beyond isolated seizures to intelligence-led disruption of organised criminal networks. Risk-based profiling, predictive analytics, container scanning and shipment-data analysis should support targeted action against misdeclaration, port-hopping, concealment and digital distribution. Right holders should share specific intelligence with customs targeting mechanisms, and goods entering Domestic Tariff Areas from warehousing and special economic zones require enhanced examination. Digital enforcement should trace suppliers, financial flows, data trails and small-parcel movements, supported by coordinated feedback between online marketplaces, police and customs.
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NRI banking account segregation aligns overseas earnings, domestic income, foreign-currency savings, remittances, and borrowing with cross-border commitments.
NRI banking arrangements require segregation of overseas earnings, India-sourced income, savings, remittances and expenditure after residential status changes. An NRE account holds overseas income remitted to India, with interest exempt from income tax in India. An NRO account is intended for Indian income, including rent, dividends and pension, while FCNR deposits retain funds in a chosen foreign currency. A structured arrangement can align these accounts with domestic obligations, overseas spending, remittances, investments and compliant digital banking access.
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Sugar import authorisation and anti-hoarding controls aim to moderate ex-mill prices amid adequate domestic stocks.
Raw sugar imports were permitted, while stock limits were imposed on bulk consumers. States were directed to strengthen inspections, and nationwide flying squads were deployed to identify hoarding and speculative conduct. These measures target sugar availability and distribution across wholesale and retail channels. Ex-mill prices declined following the measures, although wholesale and retail prices had not yet reflected the reduction.
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India-Japan economic cooperation is directed toward deeper trade, investment, technology and business-to-business linkages, including economic security, supply-chain resilience, clean energy and innovation. Collaboration is focused on capital goods, machinery, automotive and advanced manufacturing, with stronger connections between Japanese enterprises and India's Tier-II and Tier-III suppliers, including Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises. Semiconductor manufacturing is identified as a significant investment area. The India-Japan Special Strategic and Global Partnership supports expanded engagement with manufacturing ecosystems, global value chains and resilient supply chains.
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The Memorandum of Understanding creates a cooperative framework for legitimate pharmaceutical exports and safeguards against diversion of narcotic drugs, psychotropic substances and controlled precursors. A voluntary, non-binding code of conduct will recommend industry practices without imposing obligations beyond applicable law. Cooperation includes identifying export bottlenecks, streamlining procedures for compliant exporters, capacity-building programmes, lawful and confidential information sharing, and nomination of company contact persons to coordinate voluntary compliance measures.
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USD-INR forex swap facility accelerates foreign-currency mobilisation through non-resident deposits and institutional borrowing, strengthening India's external buffers.
USD-INR forex swap facility for FCNR(B) deposits, overseas foreign-currency borrowings and external commercial borrowings enabled banks to access foreign-currency funding through a special swap window. FCNR(B) deposits formed the principal component of the reported foreign-exchange inflows, reflecting participation by non-resident Indians. The FCNR(B) window was scheduled for early closure after the stated mobilisation objective was achieved ahead of schedule, and the inflows were presented as strengthening external buffers through long-term non-resident deposits and institutional funding.
August 25, 2026
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Rupee exchange-rate movement against the US dollar reflected a marginal appreciation, supported by foreign fund inflows into domestic equities. Trading remained within a narrow range amid pressures from higher crude oil prices, continuing importer demand, and geopolitical concerns. Market conditions also included a stronger dollar index, lower Brent crude futures, domestic equity declines, and net foreign institutional investment. Elevated oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty indicated a slight negative bias, while possible US dollar weakness could support the rupee.

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Regulation in the Digital Era – Issues, Opportunities and Challenges - Special Address delivered by Shri Shirish Chandra Murmu, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India on January 9, 2026, at the 3rd Annual Global Conference of the College of Supervisors, Reserve Bank of India on the theme of ‘Adapting the Regulation and Supervision to the Digital Age’, in Mumbai

January 14, 2026

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Distinguished guests and my colleagues, Namaste and a very good afternoon! It is a privilege to address this illustrious gathering at College of Supervisors’ Third Annual Global Conference convened around the theme of ‘Adapting the Regulation and Supervision to the Digital Age’.

2. Digitalisation has brought significant benefits such as efficiency and productivity gains, improved transparency, enhanced competition and expanded access to financial services. At the same time, it is also creating new categories of risk and reshaping familiar risks in unfamiliar ways, altering their transmission, visibility, and controllability. The digital transverses beyond products, platforms, or processes to organizational structures, partnerships, and information flows, and with enhanced speed and scale, fundamentally altering the nature of how risks emerge and spread, and how trust is built or undermined. These shifts compel regulators to revisit the operating assumptions of their regulatory approaches. Trust, a cornerstone of financial stability, is increasingly being forged through digital channels, presenting regulators with the challenge of balancing innovation against risk.

3. Building on this, I will first touch upon some issues and challenges that digitalisation presents for regulators, and I will then turn to the opportunities it offers for developing more effective and forward-looking regulatory approaches. I will conclude by outlining a set of guiding principles that, in my view, should anchor regulation in the digital age.

I. Issues and Challenges for Regulation in the Digital Era

A. Regulatory Agility

4. Digitalisation has compressed the time dimension in finance. Transactions settle instantly, services operate continuously, and decisions across payments, credit, and markets are executed automatically at machine speed. This has narrowed the time available between early warning and realised impact; with the risk that operational incidents, fraud, or loss of confidence may scale rapidly, even before conventional indicators register meaningful deterioration. Accordingly, the regulatory processes historically designed around reporting cycles and post-facto remediation must also evolve towards proactive detection and agile interventions without sacrificing prudence and quality of regulatory judgement.

5. New applications and business models are emerging with increasing frequency, thus challenging the regulators on the appropriateness and speed of regulatory response. Frequent changes to regulations can create uncertainty and compliance fatigue, while delayed adaptation risks leaving material developments inadequately addressed. Regulation must therefore maintain an optimal balance between durability and responsiveness.

B. Regulatory Perimeter and Fragmentation

6. Digitalisation is also blurring traditional regulatory boundaries. Many of the financial activities are now being unbundled and delivered through non-financial platforms and arrangements involving both regulated and un-regulated entities, that do not fit neatly within the existing regulatory scope of RBI. Oversight of such activities is often fragmented among multiple financial and non-financial regulators with no single authority having a comprehensive, end-to-end view of the entire activity chain and risk transmission pathways. Hence, regulatory actions taken within individual mandates may be sound in isolation yet collectively may not fully address such cross-cutting risks.

7. The challenge lies in the ability of sector-specific regulatory frameworks to remain coherent when digital financial activity cuts across them by design. Reflecting this, international experience indicates a range of approaches—from legally anchored extensions of regulatory reach, such as Digital Operational Resilience Act in European Union2, to collaborative forums with industry experts, like Singapore’s Cyber and Technology Resilience Experts (CTREX) Panel3. RBI has adopted a hybrid approach that integrates elements of both activity-based such as directions on credit and debit cards and entity-based such as prudential norms, to ensure resilience of its oversight mechanisms.4 It is complemented by elements such as framework for supervision of financial conglomerates5, directions for non- financial holding companies6 and inter-regulatory platforms under the aegis of Financial Stability and Development Council7, which help in combined assessment of risks from the financial stability perspective.

8. Fragmentation across jurisdictions further complicates the oversight of digital financial activity. Difference in legal frameworks, institutional mandates, and domestic policy priorities can lead to divergent regulatory approaches which may create scope for regulatory arbitrage and uneven risk management, thereby underscoring the importance of effective cross-border co-operation8.

C. Nature of Regulation

9. It is often seen that prescriptive regulations become misaligned as technologies and business models evolve. Conversely, principle-based regulation introduces scope for interpretation and uneven application, if not supported by strong governance and supervisory engagement.9 The challenge of regulators, especially with respect to digital technologies, lies in calibrating regulation to have clarity without rigidity and flexibility without ambiguity. As international experience suggests, principle-based regulation, accompanied by a mature industry with strong governance structures, continuous engagement of regulators with the industry, an enhanced supervision and suitable enforcement, yields more successful results.

D. Financial Stability

10. Digital innovations like usage of cloud and decentralised finance introduce new and potentially systemic risks, owing to increased interconnectedness with unregulated entities like technology providers, single points of failure, opacity of underlying arrangements and diluted accountability. As systemic fragility can emerge without any single entity appearing vulnerable, regulators are required to look beyond entity-level soundness to systemic effects of concentration, limited substitutability, and the potential for disruption when widely relied-upon services are impaired.

11. The increasing use of models, algorithms, and code across financial industry is reshaping how outcomes are generated. However, their limitations such as explainability, embedded bias, and model drift may not be immediately apparent, and may emerge only as these technologies gain scale. The overarching framework such as in the report of Committee on Framework for Responsible and Ethical Enablement of Artificial Intelligence (FREE-AI)10 may be helpful but needs to be translated into appropriate regulation with the underlying principle that the accountability from usage of such technologies, lies with the regulated entity.

E. Operational Resilience

12. In today’s financial system, data has become a core asset. As financial institutions collect and process vast amounts of sensitive personal and transactional information, they have become increasingly attractive targets for cyberattacks. The use of technologies for fraudulent activities like impersonation, fabricated identities, and synthetic content is reducing the reliability of traditional checks dependent on stable identity and familiar patterns. The challenge is to come out with regulations promoting innovation while enhancing safeguards for operational resilience and the Guidance Note on Operational Risk and Resilience11 issued by RBI is a good example of this.

13. Another emerging challenge for regulators is the veracity of information, as digital platforms enable information, whether accurate or distorted, complete or incomplete, to circulate rapidly. The distorted information can influence consumer behaviour and market sentiment potentially amplifying stress and contagion. In such environment, a clear, targeted and timely regulatory communication assumes greater significance for anchoring stakeholders’ confidence.

F. Capacity

14. Digitalisation has materially expanded the scope and sophistication of issues that fall under the regulatory domain. Regulatory judgement increasingly requires understanding technology-enabled business models, data-driven decision systems, digital operational processes, and fast-evolving risk transmission channels, which place sustained demands on regulatory capacity. Regulators should proactively attract, retain, and effectively deploy talent ensuring that expertise is well embedded across regulatory teams.

II. Opportunities for Regulation in the Digital Era

15. The same forces that generate challenges for regulation in the digital era also create opportunities for the regulator by enabling them to continually assess and adaptively calibrate their approaches – not by expanding their reach but by improving how risks are observed, assessed and addressed.

A. Proactive Regulation

16. Digital financial activity generates granular, high-frequency information across transactions, operations, and channels, creating the opportunity for early and deeper regulatory assessments of emerging issues, such as incipient stress, anomalous behaviour, or deterioration in controls, helping them time and calibrate their regulatory interventions. RBI’s machine learning tool- MuleHunter.ai is an example of its digital intervention to tackle the problem of mule bank accounts plaguing the digital ecosystem.12

B. System Wide Visibility

17. As alluded to earlier, many digital-era risks arise through shared dependencies, common technology choices, and interconnected infrastructure. Advances in data availability and analytical tools can be used by regulators to look through these complex chains of dependencies and interconnections to identify critical nodes and assess concentration and other intersecting risks. This helps in not only having a more coherent view of risk but also anticipating system wide disruptions even though individual entities appear resilient; as also assessing of the second-order effects of such disruptions - like a cyber incident triggering liquidity stress.

C. Regulatory Calibration

18. Digitalisation creates scope for regulator to become more adaptive. A granular understanding of activities, exposures, and risk drivers, facilitated through digital tools provides an opportunity to operationalise proportionality with greater precision. At the same time, digital tools help regulators incorporate feedback from incidents, near-misses, market developments and supervisory experience more systematically into regulations supporting a mature and stable regulatory posture.

D. Reducing Regulatory Burden

19. The availability of richer data and more advanced modelling tools enables regulators to undertake regulatory impact assessments and cost–benefit analysis in a more structured and forward-looking manner supporting reasoned regulatory choices. RBI through the Framework for Formulation of Regulations has institutionalised such structured decision-making which inter-alia includes impact assessments, periodic review of regulations and broadened stakeholder engagement through ‘Connect 2 Regulate’.

20. Reduction in compliance burden is another use case for regulators, which RBI has been actively working on by embedding digital processes within its regulatory and supervisory functions. All regulatory services are now delivered through an end-to-end centralized digital portal PRAVAAH13. DAKSH14, also an end-to-end supervisory workflow application, enables focused monitoring of compliance, supervisory processes and communication, as also cyber incident reporting.

E. Regulatory Capabilities

21. The use of technology by both regulators (SupTech) and regulated entities (RegTech) supports more efficient supervisory processes and compliances, including automated reporting, targeted analysis, and shift away from static documentation, enabling effective risk management and outcomes. RBI’s Advanced Supervisory Analytics Group is increasingly using digital techniques for microdata analytics, governance assessment, social media monitoring, assessing borrowers’ fraud vulnerability model, etc15

22. From a conduct perspective, digital tools can help improve the ability to assess information- both structured and unstructured on consumer grievances, their resolution, service disruptions, mis-selling, etc. This helps in earlier supervisory engagement and more evidence-based intervention supporting consumer protection and financial inclusion outcomes. The Complaint Management System of RBI is progressively making use of such tools.16

F. Regulatory Cooperation

23. As pointed out earlier, digital infrastructures and service providers operate across institutional and jurisdictional boundaries by design. Digital tools can support faster information sharing and joint analysis for consistent regulatory outcomes in cross-border and cross-sectoral contexts, particularly for common critical third parties. RBI has been continuously engaging with domestic and international regulators and standard setting bodies to further such collaborative efforts.

III. Principles for Regulation in the Digital Era

24. I would like to end by laying down some guiding principles about how a regulator should think, decide, and act in the digital era.

  1. Primacy of Public Interest: Regulation must remain anchored in its core objective of financial stability and customer protection.

  2. Risk-based Focus: Regulatory focus should be directed at the risks beyond institutional form, legal structure, or delivery channels.

  3. Enforce Accountability: Technological intermediation, or processes must not dilute accountability of regulated entities, even though responsibilities are shared.

  4. Proportionate Calibration: Regulatory intensity should be calibrated to the materiality, complexity, and systemic relevance of activities.

  5. Data, Experience, and Foresight: Regulatory decision-making should draw on data, supervisory experience, and forward-looking judgement.

  6. Adaptive Refinement: Regulation should continually evolve.

  7. Outcome Orientation: Regulatory expectations should focus on desired outcomes and risk controls, allowing flexibility in implementation, while avoiding the prescription of specific technologies, architectures, or models into regulation.

  8. Resilience by Design: Regulatory frameworks should focus on the ability of entities and systems to absorb shocks, maintain continuity of critical functions, and recover in an orderly manner.

  9. Effective Communication: Regulatory communication should be clear that supports confidence and stability without prejudging outcomes or constraining future regulatory action.

Conclusion

25. Let me conclude with a reflection that extends beyond regulation. The digital era is steadily compressing the distance between action and consequence. Actions now travel faster, interact more widely, and compound more quickly than before. In such a setting, the central challenge is not uncertainty itself, but the quality of judgement exercised while outcomes are still unfolding.

26. In this environment, the value of regulation lies in its ability to serve as a stable reference point while everything else is in motion. When it is grounded in evidence, experience and is forward-looking, regulation can shape the trajectory of change rather than merely respond to it. That is how innovation moves forward with confidence, and how trust in the financial system is endured.

Thank you and wishing constructive deliberations and exchange of views.

------

1 Special Address delivered by Shri Shirish Chandra Murmu, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India on January 9, 2026, at the 3rd Annual Global Conference of the College of Supervisors, Reserve Bank of India on the theme of ‘Adapting the Regulation and Supervision to the Digital Age’, in Mumbai. Inputs provided by Chandni Trehan Saluja and Bharadwaj Bantu are gratefully acknowledged.

2 - https://www.eiopa.europa.eu/digital-operational-resilience-act-dora_en

3 - https://www.mas.gov.sg/who-we-are/mas-advisory-panels-and-committees/cyber-and-technology-resilience-experts-panel

4 https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_SpeechesView.aspx?Id=1519

5 https://rbi.org.in/Upload/AnnualReport/Docs/56244.doc

6 https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/NotificationUser.aspx?Id=13213&Mode=0

7 https://dea.gov.in/files/inline-documents/FSCS.pdf

8 International Regulatory Co-operation – Policy Brief by OECD April 2020

9 https://www.fsb.org/uploads/P160724-2.pdf and https://www.bis.org/fsi/fsipapers19.pdf

10 https://rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/PublicationReport/Pdfs/FREEAIR130820250A24FF2D4578453F824C72ED9F5D5851.PDF

11 https://rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/Content/PDFs/OPERATIONAL28112025BA9ABE54217D47C89EAEAEA9A649ED11.PDF

12 https://rbihub.in/projects/mulehunter

13 Paragraph I.20 of Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2024-25

14 https://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=54503

15 Para VI.60 of RBI Annual Report 2024-25

16 Para VI.93 of RBI Annual Report 2024-25

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