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    Sensex gains 152 pts in volatile session as RBI keeps policy rates unchanged
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August 5, 2026
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Closing auction price discovery and unchanged policy rates shaped volatile equity trading amid inflation and geopolitical uncertainty.
The Monetary Policy Committee retained the policy repo rate and neutral policy stance while seeking greater clarity on inflation risks from higher energy costs. Stock exchanges introduced the Closing Auction Session for eligible futures and options shares in the equity cash segment to determine closing prices through a more transparent and robust auction-based price-discovery mechanism. Equity markets showed volatile, limited gains amid geopolitical uncertainty, energy-price concerns, profit booking and the new mechanism's introduction.
August 5, 2026
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Pakistan-origin import prohibition covers third-country routing, false origin declarations, forged documents, and trans-shipment arrangements used to evade restrictions.
The prohibition on direct or indirect import or transit of goods originating in or exported from Pakistan extends to goods routed through third countries and falsely declared as having another origin. Misdeclaration of country of origin, false descriptions, forged documentation, and trans-shipment arrangements may contravene that prohibition and invite action under the Customs Act, 1962. Dry dates declared as UAE-origin and Guggul resin declared as Somalia-origin were investigated as goods of Pakistan origin routed through Dubai.
August 5, 2026
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Foreign exchange stability measures support the rupee as policy continuity, capital inflows and global risk sentiment shape currency expectations.
Foreign exchange market movement reflected a rupee appreciation against the US dollar following the monetary policy decision to retain the repo rate and neutral stance. Market sentiment was supported by softer crude oil prices, weakness in the US dollar, lower US Treasury yields and foreign equity inflows. The monetary policy framework sought to support capital inflows and maintain an orderly rupee trajectory, with geopolitical developments and US economic data remaining relevant to near-term exchange-rate expectations.
August 5, 2026
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Money-laundering investigation examines alleged proceeds from chit fund operations following searches linked to a former company managing director.
A money-laundering investigation concerns alleged proceeds of crime arising from a multi-state chit fund operation associated with Welfare Building and Estates Pvt Ltd. The company is alleged to have collected investor deposits through investment schemes promising high returns before defaulting. Searches at premises linked to its former managing director form part of the inquiry into alleged laundering. The underlying alleged fraud had previously resulted in a CBI case and multiple police FIRs.
August 5, 2026
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Political restraint in public communications was urged, alongside adherence to principal-speaker protocol during press conferences and media interactions.
Political restraint in public communications was urged after a social-media remark directed at Sunetra Pawar was criticised as ideologically irresponsible. It was stated that regret alone was insufficient and that leaders should exercise care in public comments. Press-conference protocol was also emphasised: the principal dignitary should respond to media questions, and those seated alongside should not participate in the interaction. Party colleagues were expected to act more responsibly in future media engagements.
August 5, 2026
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Neutral monetary policy stance continues as inflation clarity is awaited, alongside cooperative banking and lending-rate transparency measures.
Monetary policy maintained the benchmark policy repo rate and a neutral stance pending clearer evidence that energy-cost pressures will generate broad-based inflation. Inflation is expected to rise temporarily due principally to food and fuel prices before moderating, while core inflation remains benign. The approach remains data-dependent, supported by two-way liquidity operations. Proposed measures include resuming urban cooperative bank licensing, revising rural cooperative bank credit-monitoring directions, and harmonising interest-rate regulation on advances across regulated entities to improve transparency and consumer protection.
August 5, 2026
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Repo rate stability preserves the policy stance amid lower inflation projections, stronger growth expectations and external-sector resilience.
Monetary policy maintained the repo rate at 5.25 per cent following a unanimous policy committee decision. The growth forecast for FY27 was marginally increased, while the inflation projection was lowered. Inflation conditions remain uncertain because of monsoon, El Nino and geopolitical developments. Liquidity remained in surplus, and external-sector indicators reflected a current-account surplus, buoyant foreign direct investment inflows, renewed foreign portfolio investment inflows, and adequate foreign-exchange reserves.
August 5, 2026
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Polymer currency notes target improved durability as monetary policy remains data-dependent and rupee management pursues an orderly trajectory.
Polymer currency notes are targeted for circulation at the beginning of the next financial year, subject to implementation proceeding as planned. They are intended to improve durability, especially for lower-denomination notes with high circulation velocity. Monetary policy decisions will remain data-dependent and focused on aligning headline inflation with its medium-term target. Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank) scheme inflows are expected to remain healthy until closure, with no proposal for premature termination. Rupee management aims to maintain an orderly exchange-rate trajectory.
August 5, 2026
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Customs anti-smuggling enforcement targets gold concealed as silver-coated armlets following passenger profiling and personal search at airport.
Customs officers intercepted two passengers arriving from Istanbul after Advance Passenger Information System profiling and their activation of the Door Frame Metal Detector. A personal search recovered approximately one kilogram of gold, silver-coated and concealed as traditional armlets worn on the upper arms. The gold was seized under the Customs Act, a smuggling case was registered, and investigation was initiated into the source and any wider smuggling network.
August 5, 2026
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Closing auction price discovery for eligible derivatives shares begins as monetary policy retains the repo rate and neutral stance.
The Reserve Bank retained the repo rate with a neutral stance amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions. Stock exchanges introduced the Closing Auction Session in the equity cash segment for eligible shares with futures and options contracts. This auction-based mechanism determines closing prices of eligible stocks and aims to make price discovery more transparent and robust.
August 5, 2026
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Services-sector growth slowed as weaker demand, competition and postponed orders moderated business activity, while employment improved modestly.
Services-sector growth slowed as domestic and export orders moderated amid weaker demand, competitive pressures, softer market conditions and postponed orders. Output continued to expand, but at its weakest pace in more than four years. Employment growth improved modestly, while input costs rose and firms increased selling prices. Business confidence remained positive but declined, and the composite output indicator weakened due principally to the sharp slowdown in services activity.
August 5, 2026
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Interim bail conditions require residence outside the state and trial attendance in alleged manpower commission corruption proceedings.
Interim bail was granted to Anwar Dhebar in a matter involving alleged corruption and an illegal commission mechanism linked to a state marketing corporation. Conditions require him to remain outside Chhattisgarh, attend the trial court, and provide his residential address. The allegations concern manpower supply agencies allegedly being compelled to pay commissions for clearance of legitimate bills, with proceeds routed through intermediaries. The case was registered under the Indian Penal Code and the Prevention of Corruption Act.
August 5, 2026
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Tax certainty measures revise fund-management safe harbours, electronic-payment charges, sectoral exemptions, business-trust treatment, and excess expenditure appropriation.
The Taxation and Other Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2026 proposes to replace the Income-tax (Amendment) Ordinance, 2026 and amend payment-system and tax laws. It would prohibit charges on notified electronic payments, revise safe-harbour conditions for eligible investment funds and fund managers, and expand tax exemptions for Government securities, qualifying rough-diamond sales and bonded-warehouse component storage. It also modifies exemptions concerning electronic-goods contract manufacturing, data centres and business-trust dividends, while imposing a differentiated surcharge on qualifying special purpose vehicles. A separately included appropriation bill authorises excess expenditure from the Consolidated Fund of India.
August 5, 2026
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Growth and inflation projections reflect resilient domestic activity while energy volatility, supply disruptions, and food prices sustain inflation risks.
Monetary policy projections for fiscal 2026-27 revise real GDP growth upward to 6.7 per cent and Consumer Price Index inflation downward to 5 per cent. Domestic activity is described as resilient amid global uncertainty, but inflationary risks persist from rainfall disruption, energy-price volatility, supply-chain uncertainty, and second-round effects of higher food, fuel and input costs. Core inflation is projected at 4.3 per cent for the fiscal year.
August 5, 2026
Show AI Summary
Industry collaboration strengthens MSME competitiveness through shared resources, market linkages, capability building and inclusive support for women entrepreneurs.
MSME development is linked to collaboration, knowledge-sharing, institutional support and capability building. Industry associations can provide networking, policy advocacy, business intelligence, skills programmes, shared infrastructure and market linkages, while collective procurement, shared logistics, digital commerce and export readiness may improve competitiveness. Women-led enterprises benefit from market-oriented capability development, mentorship, continuous learning, professional networks, capacity-building programmes and institutional support. The Development of Industry Associations initiative is intended to connect associations and facilitate the sharing of best practices.
August 5, 2026
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Monetary policy rate maintenance continues under a neutral stance amid energy disruption, inflation concerns and sustained currency depreciation.
Monetary policy rate maintenance was continued with the repo rate retained at 5.25 per cent under a neutral stance amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions associated with the West Asia crisis. The growth forecast was marginally increased and the inflation projection reduced. Sustained rupee depreciation against the dollar was attributed to costly oil, capital outflows, widening trade deficits and a strong US dollar.
August 5, 2026
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Monetary policy rate pause maintains a neutral stance amid energy disruption, inflation concerns and sustained rupee depreciation pressures.
Monetary policy rates were retained without change for a third consecutive review, with a neutral stance maintained amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions associated with the West Asia crisis. The policy assessment noted retail inflation above the medium-term target, alongside an upward revision to growth expectations and a downward revision to the inflation projection. Continued rupee depreciation was linked to higher oil prices, capital outflows, widening trade deficits and a stronger US dollar.
August 5, 2026
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Monetary policy expectations shape equity sentiment as softer crude prices and foreign investment support domestic financial assets.
Equity market sentiment improved in early trading as lower crude oil prices and foreign fund inflows supported benchmark indices, while investors awaited the monetary policy decision. Softer crude prices, rupee recovery, improving global risk sentiment, resilient economic growth, corporate earnings and sustained foreign portfolio investment supported domestic financial assets, despite continuing global and geopolitical uncertainties.
August 5, 2026
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Foreign exchange market movement strengthens as lower crude prices and monetary policy signals influence the rupee's direction.
Foreign exchange market movement saw the rupee appreciate against the US dollar in early trading, supported by lower crude oil prices, a softer dollar index, domestic equity gains and net foreign institutional investment. Market attention centred on the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy decision, with expectations of an unchanged benchmark repo rate. Policy communication on inflation and developments in Hormuz-related talks were identified as factors that could influence the rupee's direction.
August 4, 2026
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Dearness allowance arrears must be cleared promptly, while the government examines legal remedies and continues its structured liquidation plan.
Pending dearness allowance arrears of government employees and pensioners are to be cleared within a fortnight, with restraint on unproductive expenditure until admissible dues are paid. The government states that it will pay constitutionally and legally valid dues while examining the judgment, precedents and possible legal remedies. It attributes the arrears to delayed pay commission implementation and frozen dearness allowance, and states that a structured liquidation plan has been prepared and partly implemented.

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Customs & Trade

Shoppers say 'tis the season for inflation, an AP-NORC poll finds

December 12, 2025

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Washington, Dec 12 (AP) This holiday season isn't quite so merry for American shoppers as large shares are dipping into savings, scouring for bargains and feeling like the overall economy is stuck in a rut under President Donald Trump, a new AP-NORC poll finds.

The vast majority of US adults say they've noticed higher than usual prices for groceries, electricity and holiday gifts in recent months, according to the survey from The Associated Press-NORC Centre for Public Affairs Research.

Roughly half of Americans say it's harder than usual to afford the things they want to give as holiday gifts, and similar numbers are delaying big purchases or cutting back on nonessential purchases more than they would normally.

It's a sobering assessment for the Republican president, who returned to the White House in large part by promising to lower prices, only to find that inflation remains a threat to his popularity just as it did for Democrat Joe Biden's presidency. The poll's findings look very similar to an AP-NORC poll from December 2022, when Biden was president and the country was grappling with higher rates of inflation. Trump's series of tariffs have added to inflationary pressures and generated anxiety about the stability of the US economy, keeping prices at levels that many Americans find frustrating.

The president has insisted there is “no” inflation and the US economy is booming, as he expressed frustration that the public feels differently.

“When will people understand what is happening?” Trump said Thursday on Truth Social. “When will Polls reflect the Greatness of America at this point in time, and how bad it was just one year ago?” Most US adults, 68 per cent, continue to say the country's economy is “poor,” which is unchanged from December 2024, before Trump returned to the presidency.

Americans are feeling strained as they continue to see high prices ---------------------------------------------------------------------- White House officials plan to send Trump barnstorming across the country in hopes of bucking up people's faith in the economy before next year's midterm elections. But the president this week in Pennsylvania defended the price increases tied to his tariffs by suggesting that Americans should buy fewer dolls and pencils for children. His message is a jarring contrast with what respondents expressed in the poll, even among people who backed him in the 2024 election.

Sergio Ruiz, 44, of Tucson, Arizona, said he is using more buy now, pay later programs to spread out over time the expense of gifts for his children. He doesn't put a huge emphasis on politics, but he voted for Trump last year and would like to see lower interest rates to help boost his real estate business. He believes that more Americans having higher incomes would help to manage any affordability issues.

“Prices are up. What can you do? You need to make more money,” Ruiz said.

The poll found that when they do shop, about half of Americans are finding the lowest price more than they would normally. About 4 in 10 are dipping into their savings more than at other times.

Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say they're cutting back on expenses or looking for low prices, but many Republicans are budgeting more than usual as well. About 4 in 10 Republicans are looking for low prices more than they usually would, while a similar share are shopping for nonessential items less than usual.

Views are largely similar to when Biden was president --------------------------------------------------------- People felt similarly dismal about holiday shopping and the economy when Biden was president in 2022. Inflation had spiked to a four-decade high that summer. Three years later, inflation has eased substantially, but it's still running at 3 per cent, a full percentage point above the Federal Reserve's target as the job market appears to have entered a deep freeze.

The survey indicates that it's the level of prices — and not just the rate of inflation — that is the point of pain for many families. Roughly 9 in 10 US adults, 87 per cent, say they've noticed higher than usual prices for groceries in the past few months, while about two-thirds say they've experienced higher prices than usual for electricity and holiday gifts. About half say they've seen higher than normal prices for gas recently.

The findings on groceries and holiday gifts are only slightly lower than in the 2022 poll, despite the slowdown from an inflation rate that hit a four-decade peak in the middle of that year.

Consumer spending has stayed resilient despite the negative sentiments about the economy, yet Trump's tariffs have caused changes for shoppers such as Andrew Russell.

The 33-year-old adjunct professor in Arlington Heights, Illinois, said he used to shop for unique gifts from around the globe and buy online. But with the tariffs, he got his gifts locally and “this year, I only bought things that I can pick up in person,” he said.

Russell, who voted Democratic in last year's election, said he worries about the economy for next year. He thinks the investment in artificial intelligence has become a bubble that could burst, taking down the stock market.

Little optimism about an economic rebound in 2026 -------------------------------------------------------- Few people expect the situation to meaningfully improve next year — a sign that Trump has done little to instill much confidence from his mix of tariffs, income tax cuts and foreign trips to attract investments. Trump has maintained that the benefits from his policies will begin to snowball in 2026.

About 4 in 10 US adults expect next year will be economically worse for the country. Roughly 3 in 10 say conditions won't change much. Only about 2 in 10 think things will get better, with Republicans being more optimistic.

The belief that things will get better has slipped from last year, when about 4 in 10 said that 2025 would be better than 2024.

Millicent Simpson, 56, of Cleveland, Ohio, said she expects the economy to be worse for people like her who rely on Medicaid for health care and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. Simpson voted Democratic last year and blames Trump for the greater economic pressures that she faces going into the winter.

“He's making it rough for us,” she said. “He's messing with the government assistance for everybody, young and old.” (AP) RD RD

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