The Indian Economy in an Ever More Volatile and Complex World - Special Address by Dr. Poonam Gupta, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India at the 13t...
Fiscal responsibility limits frame cautions on new projects as budgetary discipline rather than financial crisis. Finance-department advice treats fiscal indicators as grounds for restraint in approving additional expenditure rather than as evidence that funds are unavailable. Funding new projects may be difficult until additional resources are mobilised or allocations already approved are reallocated. Project proposals lacking budgetary provision or earmarked funding may create cash-flow pressures and fiscal-management challenges, requiring deferment until resources are finalised.
Corporate document forgery allegations trigger investigation into unauthorised insolvency consortium participation and disputed share transfers. An FIR concerns alleged cheating, forgery, criminal conspiracy, corporate-document misuse, and unauthorised financial liabilities arising from participation in a corporate insolvency resolution process. Allegations include entering a consortium arrangement without the Parekh Group's knowledge or authorisation, reliance on a fabricated and unapproved board resolution, and unauthorised transfer of shares to a group-controlled entity. Investigation covers disputed-record authenticity, alleged digital-signature misuse, and financial transaction trails.
Energy security shapes continued Russian crude sourcing as alternative suppliers replace shortfalls amid potential sanctions-related restrictions. Russian crude imports are operating near 1.8 million barrels daily in September, with refinery maintenance, stronger Chinese buying, and disruptions to Russian export infrastructure constraining availability. Middle Eastern supply, especially from Iraq and Saudi Arabia, has offset reduced Russian volumes. Potential tougher restrictions on countries purchasing Russian oil could complicate procurement, but energy security and tight physical oil markets make a significant near-term reduction in Russian crude purchases unlikely. Replacement remains technically possible but may raise procurement costs and competition for medium-grade crude.
Direct tax payment gateway integration enables nationwide payments through digital options, branch channels, and customers' respective internet-banking services. IDFC FIRST Bank's payment-gateway integration for Central Board of Direct Taxes collections enables Direct Tax payments through UPI, credit cards, debit cards, Retail and Corporate Internet Banking, and branch-based cheque, demand draft, or cash payments. Customers of other banks may use their own internet-banking facilities through the gateway. Taxpayers create a challan on the Income Tax e-Filing Portal, select Payment Gateway and IDFC FIRST Bank, choose a payment mode, complete payment, and download or print the paid challan. Payment confirmations are also accessible.
Insurance distribution controls target commissions, expenses and loan-linked sales, reshaping bancassurance arrangements and intermediary remuneration structures. IRDAI's consultation proposals for insurance distribution contemplate lower Expenses of Management limits, tighter commission controls, and greater control over loan-linked insurance practices. The prospective framework concerns insurer and intermediary remuneration, distribution expenses, and bancassurance fee structures. Reported concerns centre on potential effects on insurer earnings, intermediary economics, and lending-linked distribution arrangements; the measures are not described as final operative obligations or enforcement action.
Personal loan eligibility and repayment planning: loan variants and digital applications remain subject to assessment, verification, and applicable terms. Eligible customers may seek collateral-free personal loans within stated amount, tenure and interest-rate ranges. Loan amount, interest rate and tenure determine the EMI and total interest payable, while calculator results are estimates rather than final repayment obligations. Eligibility includes nationality, age, employment and credit-score conditions, but approval, final pricing and loan amount remain subject to lender assessment, document verification and applicable terms. Online applications require personal, financial and employment details and KYC verification.
Nidhi company deposits lack insurance protection, requiring verification of government declaration before relying on high-return promises. Each company seeking to function as a Nidhi must file Form NDH-4 for declaration or updated Nidhi status and comply with the Companies Act, 2013 and applicable Nidhi Rules. Nidhi companies may accept deposits and grant loans only to members. Public investors should verify declared Nidhi status rather than rely on unusually high-return promises, agent representations, or informal assurances. Deposits with Nidhi companies are not insured by the Deposit Insurance and Credit Guarantee Corporation, and recovery may be difficult where a company fails or fraud occurs.
FCNR(B) liquidity deployment remains within banks' discretion, guided by credit pipelines, asset-liability positions, and prudent underwriting standards. Banks retain full discretion to deploy liquidity mobilised through FCNR(B) deposits, based on their credit pipeline, lending proposals, liquidity outlook and asset-liability position. No sector-specific direction applies to use of these funds. FCNR(B) deposits are fixed-term foreign-currency deposits in which principal and interest are repayable in the same foreign currency, protecting non-resident depositors from direct rupee exchange-rate risk. Continued prudent credit appraisal and underwriting standards are expected.
Compulsory Muslim marriage registration shifts registration to registrars under a statewide procedural framework, with local officials authorised when needed. Compulsory registration of Muslim marriages will operate under the Assam Muslim Marriage Registration (Compulsory) Rules, 2026, framed under the Assam Compulsory Registration of Muslim Marriage and Divorces Act, 2024. Registration will be undertaken by registrars, with panchayat-level officials potentially authorised where application volumes require additional capacity. The framework addresses the registration forum after kazis were barred from registering Muslim marriages.
Macroeconomic resilience supports fiscal consolidation, financial-sector stability, and orderly foreign-exchange management through persistent global and market shocks. Policy management emphasises clear communication, policy certainty, macroeconomic and financial-sector stability, efficient use of buffers, and sustained structural reform. Fiscal prudence is treated as necessary to avoid unsustainable stimulus and preserve long-term stability. External-sector resilience rests on services exports and remittances, while oil and gold shocks and weaker capital inflows have created temporary balance-of-payments pressure. Further improvement is linked to lower oil dependence, export diversification, trade agreements, capital inflows and orderly foreign-exchange market management.
Software export growth strengthens IT ecosystem as campus expansion supports startup activity, infrastructure development, and skilled employment. Software export revenue generated by Technopark reached Rs 17,092 crore in FY 2025-26, reflecting year-on-year growth of approximately 17.3 per cent. Growth is attributed to IT infrastructure, a skilled talent base, and company performance. Technopark also operates as an IT and ITeS hub and startup ecosystem centre, with ongoing campus development intended to expand its position among major IT hubs.
Artificial intelligence centre of excellence partnership advances industry-aligned training, supervised internships, startup mentorship, and applied research collaboration. IIEST Shibpur and Tata Consultancy Services have entered into a Memorandum of Understanding to establish an Artificial Intelligence Centre of Excellence at the Electrical Engineering Department's high-performance computing laboratory. The collaboration supports industry-aligned training, professional certifications, practical projects, supervised internships, startup mentorship, curriculum benchmarking, and applied research in natural language processing, computer vision, image processing, and advanced data analytics.
Money-laundering searches prompt protests over alleged political misuse while operations continue at public development offices and residences. Enforcement Directorate search and survey operations connected with a money-laundering investigation continued at development authority offices and premises linked with housing administration, a realty company, and private residences. AAP workers protested against the searches, alleging political and administrative pressure through central investigative agencies. The party further alleged that the operations could disrupt the development authority's functioning and impede Punjab government welfare schemes.
Money-laundering investigation procedure raises allegations over FIR registration, conflict concerns, and the choice between police, vigilance, or federal inquiry. A police inquiry, rather than a Vigilance inquiry, was directed following an Enforcement Directorate communication seeking registration of an FIR for cognizable offences. It was contended that FIR registration should be dealt with by the police and that governmental or ministerial intervention would raise concerns where a person facing allegations is involved in deciding the investigative course. A transfer to a federal investigative agency was sought on grounds of investigative independence and perceived conflict of interest.
Trade truce extension maintains tariff pauses and export-restriction rollbacks while negotiations continue on broader economic commitments. United States-China trade relations may remain governed by the Busan Agreement through January 10 under a stated two-month extension, though Chinese official confirmation is pending. The arrangement maintains pauses on elevated tariffs and prior rollbacks of restrictions affecting critical minerals and high-technology exports. Negotiations may produce a broader economic package or further continuation of existing terms, while implementation of agreed commitments is under review. The parties have also proposed reciprocal alerts on AI-related hacking incidents involving national-security concerns.
Gold Smuggling Enforcement: Concealed foreign-origin gold recovered from vehicles and a traveller, with arrests under customs law. Gold-smuggling enforcement involved the seizure of approximately 21 kg of foreign-origin gold in two operations and the arrest of five persons under the Customs Act, 1962. Gold bars were recovered from sophisticated vehicle-chassis cavities, while gold bars and cut pieces were recovered from a passenger's specially designed cotton waist belt. The operations concerned suspected cross-border gold movement and targeted organised smuggling networks using sophisticated concealment methods.
Cross-border gold smuggling enforcement resulted in Customs Act seizures after coordinated recovery of foreign-origin gold from border locations and a passenger. Cross-border smuggling of foreign-origin gold through the Bangladesh route led to coordinated recoveries and seizures under the Customs Act, 1962. Gold recovered near the India-Bangladesh border was taken over for customs proceedings, including a seizure under Section 110. Foreign-origin gold concealed by a train passenger was also recovered and seized, with investigation indicating its smuggling from Bangladesh.
BRICS tax cooperation creates standing platforms for international taxation, revenue statistics, professional capacity building and peer learning. India-led BRICS tax cooperation established standing Working Groups on International Taxation and Transfer Pricing and Revenue Statistics, providing institutional platforms extending beyond individual Chairships. It also institutionalised an annual Young Tax Professionals Capacity Building Programme, launched the BRICS Tax Cross-Learning Lab for peer learning on client-centric administration and human-resources practices, and approved the Terms of Reference for the BRICS Tax Support Network.
Wildlife trafficking enforcement applies protected-species safeguards to seized Tokay Geckos and enables further statutory action against suspected illegal trade. Wildlife-trafficking enforcement led to interception of two persons and seizure of 86 live Tokay Geckos under the Wildlife (Protection) Act, 1972. Tokay Geckos receive Schedule I protection under that legislation and are listed in Appendix II of CITES, regulating international trade. The persons and recovered geckos were transferred to the Mariani Range Forest Office for further action.
Restricted firecracker imports concealed through misdeclaration trigger seizure and criminal investigation under customs enforcement law. Concealment of restricted firecrackers within an import container declared as bottles and wallpaper resulted in customs seizure under the Customs Act, 1962. Firecracker imports are restricted under the Foreign Trade Policy and require valid Directorate General of Foreign Trade authorisation and a Petroleum and Explosives Safety Organisation licence under the Explosives Rules, 2008. Investigation into attempted clandestine clearance led to the arrest under the Customs Act of a key syndicate member alleged to have orchestrated the import.
With the Indian economy regaining its robustness, the Income-Tax Department has collected additional Rs 2,477 crore from the top 90 advance tax-payers in the third quarter this fiscal.
The total Q3 advance tax paid by these 90 companies stands at Rs 12,881 crore against Rs 10,404 crore in the corresponding period last year with 61 of them paying more this year compared to the same period last year.
Significantly, 34 of these companies shelled out 100 per cent or more in advance tax during this quarter, an Income Tax source told PTI here
The 90 companies have together contributed Rs 33,358 crore to the advance tax kitty for the three-quarters so far this fiscal against Rs 27,197 crore in the same period last fiscal.
Of these, 68 paid a higher total advance tax payment till Q3 FY 10 while 22 shelled out a lesser amount.
Advance tax collection by top companies increases in the quarter, raising government advance-tax receipts and signalling stronger tax compliance.
Increase in advance tax collections from the top 90 corporate advance-taxpayers was recorded in Q3, with aggregate Q3 payments rising to Rs 12,881 crore from Rs 10,404 crore year on year and an incremental Rs 2,477 crore collected. Sixty-one companies paid more in Q3; 34 paid 100% or more of assessed advance tax. For the first three quarters the group's cumulative advance-tax payments rose to Rs 33,358 crore from Rs 27,197 crore, with 68 companies paying more year to date and 22 paying less.
Note: It is a system-generated summary and is for quick reference only.
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