January 21, 2026
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India's growth driven by infrastructure, inclusive policy, manufacturing and reforms, aiming for third-largest economy while managing external risks.
India is projected to become the world's third-largest economy, driven by public investment in physical, digital and social infrastructure, inclusive growth, manufacturing and innovation, and regulatory simplification. Continued implementation of labour reform, tax and digital reforms, improved land acquisition practices and judicial reform are identified as necessary to sustain growth and raise per-capita income, while external risks from advanced-economy sovereign debt and global competition pose potential constraints.