March 15, 2012
Show AI Summary
Economic growth outlook improves with projected acceleration after a downturn, driven by services recovery and easing inflation.
India's GDP growth slowed to an estimated 6.9% in 2011-12 chiefly due to weakened industrial activity while services and agriculture held up; high wholesale inflation led to monetary tightening, higher borrowing costs and a significant decline in investment and gross capital formation. The Survey expects a gradual recovery in real GDP conditioned on normal monsoons, stable international prices and improved global growth, with recovery aided by easing inflation, potential policy rate reductions, fiscal consolidation, rising savings and deeper domestic financial markets. It recommends deregulating savings interest rates, developing corporate bond markets, attracting long-term inflows and infrastructure funds, and leveraging trade performance.