April 8, 2026
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India's GDP growth projection stays resilient despite West Asia conflict, with exports and inflation facing downside risks.
Reserve Bank projected India's GDP growth for the current financial year at 6.9 per cent, noting downside risks from elevated commodity prices, higher energy costs, and supply-chain disruptions linked to the West Asia conflict. Merchandise exports may be affected by shipping, freight and insurance costs, while domestic demand is expected to be supported by services-sector momentum, GST rationalisation, manufacturing capacity utilisation, and healthy financial and corporate balance sheets.