August 6, 2025
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Monetary policy stance maintained as growth projection held steady and inflation outlook revised downward, citing balanced risks.
The Reserve Bank retained the fiscal-year real GDP growth projection at 6.5 per cent while lowering the CPI inflation forecast, citing supportive factors such as an above-normal monsoon, rising capacity utilisation, ongoing monetary policy transmission after recent rate cuts, and strong government capital expenditure. The central bank noted resilient rural consumption, mixed high-frequency indicators, and tepid urban discretionary spending; it presented a quarterly profile for growth and inflation and described risks as balanced, with external geopolitical tensions and global market volatility as principal downside considerations.