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    Gold set to extend record run; may hit Rs 90,000 in 2025 on global cues
    Calendar for Auction of Government of India Treasury Bills (For the Quarter ending March 2025)
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    December 31, 2024
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    Gold price outlook: safe haven demand and policy shifts may keep bullion elevated despite countervailing monetary and flow risks.
    Gold is expected to continue rising driven by geopolitical tensions, central bank purchases and a global move toward lower interest rates, while domestic import duty cuts have reduced local prices and spurred jewellery and investment demand; the interaction of monetary policy, currency movements, ETF flows and retail consumption will determine the pace and durability of future gains.
    December 31, 2024
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    Treasury bill issuance schedule notified with flexibility to modify auctions based on market conditions and prior notice.
    Notified schedule sets auction and issue dates for Treasury Bills across 91 day, 182 day and 364 day tenors for the quarter, with aggregate quarterly amounts. The Government, in consultation with the Reserve Bank, may modify notified amounts or timing due to market conditions or intervening events after giving due notice; auctions are governed by the standing General Notification and changes will be communicated via press releases.
    December 31, 2024
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    Government securities auction: sale and re-issue via multiple-price method with non-competitive allocation and defined bid windows.
    Auction and re-issue of two Government of India securities will be conducted by the Reserve Bank of India via price-based auctions using the multiple price method; the government may retain additional subscriptions within announced limits. Up to 5% of each notified amount is reserved for non-competitive bidders under the Scheme for Non-Competitive Bidding. Competitive and non-competitive bids must be submitted electronically on the RBI E-Kuber system within prescribed time windows. Securities will be eligible for When Issued trading under RBI guidelines.
    December 30, 2024
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    Asset quality improvement continues but rising write-offs may mask unsecured loan risks, says RBI report.
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    December 30, 2024
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    Gross non-performing assets decline, but rising write-offs and unsecured loan slippages raise concerns for bank asset quality.
    Gross non-performing assets (GNPA) of scheduled commercial banks fell to a multi year low due to lower slippages, higher write offs and steady credit demand, with fresh NPA accretion concentrated in unsecured retail loans; rising write offs-especially in private banks-may obscure weakening asset quality and diluted underwriting. Liquidity coverage declined amid higher net cash outflows, while large borrower GNPA shares fell and profitability and the banking stability indicator improved, supported by capital buffers and stronger earnings.
    December 30, 2024
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    Currency volatility: rupee pressured by importer dollar demand, foreign outflows and weak equities, with central bank support possible.
    The report explains that importer dollar demand, foreign institutional outflows and weak domestic equities caused rupee volatility and depreciation, amplified by currency futures expiries and maturing forwards; central bank intervention and reserve drawdowns have been used to smooth volatility amid pressures from higher crude prices and month-end dollar needs.
    December 30, 2024
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    Financial stability signals resilience with adequate bank capital buffers and projected GDP support for broader economic stability.
    The Financial Stability Report projects economic resilience with GDP supported by rural consumption, public investment and services exports, while identifying food-price disinflation from bumper harvests offset by inflation risks from extreme weather and geopolitical fragmentation. It highlights strengthened bank soundness-higher profitability, improved returns and lower gross non-performing assets-and reports macroprudential stress tests showing most banks maintain capital buffers above regulatory minimums; stress tests likewise validate mutual funds and clearing corporations.
    December 30, 2024
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    PayFi merges crypto and fiat payments, enabling instant cross-border transfers and driving strong token presale momentum.
    Remittix (RTX) is presented as a PayFi platform combining blockchain and traditional banking to convert cryptocurrencies to fiat and remit funds cross border via a native RTX token and Pay API. The document claims near instant settlement, single flat cross border fees, no buy/sell taxes, staking rewards based on lock up periods, completed security audits by identified firms, active presale sales, and planned listings on centralized and decentralized exchanges.
    December 30, 2024
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    Currency Depreciation pressures persist as import dollar demand, FII outflows and reserve interventions keep markets volatile.
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    December 24, 2024
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    Government securities auction: multiple-price yield- and price-based auctions with non-competitive allocation and when-issued trading eligibility.
    The Government announced auctions for three central government securities using the multiple price method-one yield based and two price based-with discretionary additional subscription retention. Auctions will be conducted by the Reserve Bank of India via E Kuber, with prescribed competitive and non competitive bid windows and up to five percent of each issue reserved for the Scheme for Non Competitive Bidding Facility. Results, payment timetable, and eligibility for "When Issued" trading follow RBI guidelines.
    December 18, 2024
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    Insolvency resolution: strengthen creditor action, CoC conduct rules, RP incentives and data-driven, tech-enabled restructuring.
    The address assesses the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) as a key statutory resolution mechanism that has improved bank asset quality but remains constrained by delays in initiation, weak coordination in out-of-court workouts and low adoption of pre-pack processes, deficiencies in Committee of Creditors conduct, and variable capacity and incentives for Resolution Professionals; it proposes enforceable conduct norms, market-aligned RP compensation, systematic resolution data collection, technology adoption for valuation and default prediction, and closer integration between out-of-court and statutory processes to preserve enterprise value.
    December 18, 2024
    Show AI Summary
    Startup ecosystem partnership expands customised banking, mentorship and capacity-building to improve access to finance and scaling opportunities.
    An MoU creates a public-private partnership between DPIIT and HDFC Bank to provide DPIIT-supported startups with customised banking and financial products addressing working capital, credit access, and cash-flow management, while leveraging the bank's network. The collaboration also includes knowledge sharing, mentorship, and capacity-building programmes intended to strengthen the startup ecosystem, improve access to finance and investment, and support scaling and market entry for startups.
    December 17, 2024
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    Insolvency resolution of large non-bank finance companies brought under IBC framework via FSP rules, strengthening resolution process.
    Six amendments to the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code and over one hundred regulatory changes by the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India have been made to strengthen insolvency resolution, streamline implementation, and maximize asset value. Under Section 227, the Central Government, in consultation with the Reserve Bank of India, has notified that insolvency and liquidation proceedings of specified Non-Banking Finance Companies shall proceed under the Code read with the Insolvency and Bankruptcy (Insolvency and Liquidation Proceedings of Financial Service Providers and Application to Adjudicating Authority) Rules, 2019.
    December 16, 2024
    Show AI Summary
    Government securities auction using multiple price methods; non-competitive allocation and when-issued trading permitted under RBI rules.
    The Government of India announced auctions for two government securities to be conducted via the Reserve Bank of India's E-Kuber system: one through a yield-based auction using the multiple price method and the other through a price-based auction using the multiple price method, with the government retaining an option to accept additional subscriptions. Up to five percent of each issue is reserved under the Scheme for Non-Competitive Bidding. Competitive and non-competitive bids must be submitted electronically within prescribed windows; auction results and a specified settlement date will follow. The securities are eligible for When Issued trading per Reserve Bank guidelines.
    December 16, 2024
    Show AI Summary
    Decline in gross non-performing assets restores public sector bank resilience and strengthens capital adequacy and financial inclusion.
    The release reports a recovery of Public Sector Banks driven by reduced GNPA levels following the Asset Quality Review, strengthened capital buffers as reflected in higher CRAR, and institutional reforms under the EASE framework; it links these improvements to expanded branch networks, broader financial inclusion initiatives, and increased targeted credit to farmers and MSMEs, enabling reduced dependence on government recapitalisation.
    December 12, 2024
    Show AI Summary
    Banking sector asset quality improvement leads to strengthened capital, higher profitability, and expanded financial inclusion.
    Reforms since 2015 combining transparent NPA recognition, resolution and recovery, recapitalisation and systemic changes have improved PSB asset quality, strengthened capital adequacy, raised aggregate profitability and reduced reliance on government recapitalisation; parallel measures expanded financial inclusion through branch growth and targeted credit schemes and instituted uniform HR policies and enhanced welfare benefits for employees and retirees.
    December 10, 2024
    Show AI Summary
    Women insurance agent empowerment: scheme trains and pays stipends and commissions to expand female LIC agents nationwide.
    A national women focused insurance agent programme recruits women meeting basic age and educational eligibility for specialised training, provides a time limited stipend during the first three years of capacity building, and thereafter commission based earnings as LIC agents. The initiative sets recruitment targets to scale female participation, integrates with village sakhi intermediary models to enhance financial inclusion and social security outreach, and offers a pathway for trained agents to be considered for Development Officer roles within the insurer.
    December 9, 2024
    Show AI Summary
    Insolvency resolution reforms prioritize reducing delays and promoting mediation, creditor led processes, and investor facilitation in stressed assets.
    Speakers highlighted the transformative role of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) in improving bank asset quality and debtor creditor behaviour, emphasising regulatory reforms to reduce delays and maximise asset value. Attention was given to mediation, creditor led resolution, group insolvency mechanisms, investor facilitation in stressed assets, and cross border enforcement issues-all aimed at strengthening resolution efficacy and market infrastructure.
    December 6, 2024
    Show AI Summary
    Monetary policy stance: neutral maintained and policy rate unchanged to prioritize durable inflation alignment while supporting growth.
    The MPC kept the policy repo rate unchanged and maintained corresponding liquidity facility rates, while continuing a neutral monetary policy stance focused on durable alignment of CPI inflation with the medium term target within the tolerance band, alongside supporting growth; the Committee highlighted near term upside risks to inflation from food and input costs, geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility, and recorded a minority vote in favour of a rate reduction.
    December 4, 2024
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    Climate-related financial risk: regulators push stronger disclosures, data infrastructure and capacity building to enable sustainable finance.
    Climate-related financial risks - both physical and transition - threaten price and financial stability by interacting with credit, market, liquidity and operational risks and can be amplified through interconnectedness and cross-border linkages. Effective regulatory response requires prudential safeguards plus enabling measures: disclosure standards, capacity building, inter-regulatory coordination, and improved data infrastructure. The Reserve Bank proposes measures including climate risk surveys, a draft disclosure framework, guidance on green deposits, and creation of a standardised data repository (RB-CRIS) to address fragmented climate data and support credible scenario analysis and sustainable finance mobilization.

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      Rupee falls 5 paise to 85.53 against US dollar in early trade

      December 30, 2024

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      Mumbai, Dec 30 (PTI) The rupee dropped 5 paise to 85.53 against the US dollar in early trade on Monday, as dollar demand from importers, foreign fund outflows and a muted trend in domestic equities dented investor sentiments.

      Forex traders said the rupee witnessed heavy volatility on Friday and opened on a weak note on Monday amid significant dollar demand linked to the expiry of December currency futures and maturing positions in the outstanding forwards.

      At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened on a weak note and fell to 85.53 against the American currency, registering a fall of 5 paise over its previous close.

      On Friday, the rupee registered the steepest fall in almost two years to hit its lifetime intraday low of 85.80 before a suspected central bank intervention helped recover some of its losses and settled 21 paise lower at a record low of 85.48 against the US dollar.

      "A significant FII outflow during the third quarter of this fiscal year, coupled with India's slowing growth and widening trade deficit, is expected to keep the rupee under strain. In the near-term, the USDINR pair is likely to trade within a range of 85.20 to 85.80," CR Forex Advisors MD-Amit Pabari said.

      Traders further said that global markets are expected to see low volumes as the holiday season is underway in major economies like the UK and Europe.

      "Global markets are bracing for heightened volatility once Donald Trump assumes power. For now, the Dollar Index is expected to hover around its elevated level of 108, while emerging market currencies are likely to remain under pressure in the near-term," Pabari said.

      Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was at 108.00.

      Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was up 0.07 per cent at USD 74.22 per barrel in futures trade.

      In the domestic equity market, the 30-share BSE Sensex was trading 247.18 points or 0.31 per cent down at 78,451.89 points in morning trade, while Nifty was down 84.40 points or 0.35 per cent to 23,729.00 points.

      Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) offloaded Rs 1,323.29 crore in the capital markets on net basis on Friday, according to exchange data.

      According to the Reserve Bank of India, the country's forex reserves dropped by a further USD 8.478 billion to USD 644.391 billion for the week ended December 20. In the previous reporting week, the reserves had dropped by USD 1.988 billion to a six-month low of USD 652.869 billion.

      The reserves have been declining for the last few weeks, and the drop has been attributed to revaluation along with forex market interventions by RBI to help reduce volatilities in the rupee.

      The forex reserves had increased to an all-time high of USD 704.885 billion in end-September. PTI DRR DRR

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