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        Case ID :

        Sources of Variation in Foreign Exchange Reserves in India during April-December 2013

        March 5, 2014

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        Earlier today, the Reserve Bank of India released the Balance of Payments (BoP) data for October-December 2013 on its website (www.rbi.org.in). On the basis of these data, the sources of variation in foreign exchange reserves during April- December 2013 have been compiled.

        Sources of Variation in Foreign Exchange Reserves: April- December 2013

        During April-December 2013, there was an increase in the foreign exchange reserves. The sources of variation in the foreign exchange reserves are set out in Table 1.

        Table 1: Sources of Variation to Foreign Exchange Reserves*

         

        (US$ billion)

         

        Items

        2012-13
        April- December

        2013-14
        April- December

         
         

        I.

         

        Current Account Balance

        -70.0

        -31.1

         

        II.

         

        Capital Account (net) (a to f)

        71.1

        39.4

         

         

        a.

        Foreign Investment

        29.7

        16.2

         

          

        of which: Foreign Direct Investment

        14.1

        20.7

         

          

        Portfolio Investment

        15.6

        -4.4

         

          

        FII

        16.0

        -4.5

         

          

        ADR/GDR

        0.2

        0.0

         

         

        b.

        Banking Capital

        20.1

        27.2

         

          

        Of which: NRI Deposits

        12.0

        35.1

         

         

        c.

        Short term credit

        17.2

        -0.6

         

         

        d.

        External Assistance

        0.5

        0.1

         

         

        e.

        External Commercial Borrowings

        4.3

        6.7

         

         

        f.

        Other items in capital account

        -0.6

        -10.2

         

        III.

         

        Valuation change

        0.1

        -6.6

         

          

        Total (I+II+III) @
        Increase in reserves(+) / Decrease in reserves (-)

        1.2

        1.8

         

        *: Based on old format of BoP
        @: Difference, if any, is due to rounding off.
        Note: ‘Other items in capital account’ includes apart from ‘Errors and Omissions’ SDR transactions, leads and lags in exports, funds held abroad, advances received pending issue of shares under FDI and transactions of capital receipts not included elsewhere.

         

        On balance of payments basis (i.e., excluding valuation effects), the foreign exchange reserves increased by US$ 8.4 billion during April-December 2013 as compared to an increase of US$ 1.1 billion during April-December 2012. The foreign exchange reserves in nominal terms (including the valuation effects) increased by US$ 1.8 billion during April-December 2013 as compared to an increase of US$ 1.2 billion during the same period of preceding year (Table 2).

        Table 2: Comparative Position of Variation in Reserves

        (US$ billion)

        Items

        2012-13

        2013-14

        April- December

        April- December

        1

        Change in Foreign Exchange Reserves
        (Including Valuation Effects)

        1.2

        1.8

        2

        Valuation Effects
        (Gain (+)/Loss (-))

        0.1

        -6.6

        3

        Change in Foreign Exchange Reserves on BoP basis
        (i.e., Excluding Valuation Effects)

        1.1

        8.4

        Note: Increase in reserves (+)/Decrease in reserves (-).
        Difference, if any, is due to rounding off.

        The valuation loss, mainly due to decline in international prices of gold, amounted to US$ 6.6 billion during April-December 2013 as against a marginal valuation gain of US$ 0.1 billion during the same period of preceding year.

        Alpana Killawala
        Principal Chief General Manager

        Foreign exchange reserves variation: reserves rose on BoP basis despite valuation losses driven by falling gold prices. Foreign exchange reserves rose during April-December 2013 driven by net positive capital account inflows-comprising foreign investment (FDI and portfolio), banking capital including NRI deposits, short-term credit, external commercial borrowings and other capital items-while the current account remained in deficit. Excluding valuation effects (BoP basis) reserves increased substantially; inclusion of a valuation loss, mainly from lower international gold prices, reduced the nominal increase.
                          Cases where this provision is explicitly mentioned in the judgment/order text; may not be exhaustive. To view the complete list of cases mentioning this section, Click here.
                            Provisions expressly mentioned in the judgment/order text.

                                Foreign exchange reserves variation: reserves rose on BoP basis despite valuation losses driven by falling gold prices.

                                Foreign exchange reserves rose during April-December 2013 driven by net positive capital account inflows-comprising foreign investment (FDI and portfolio), banking capital including NRI deposits, short-term credit, external commercial borrowings and other capital items-while the current account remained in deficit. Excluding valuation effects (BoP basis) reserves increased substantially; inclusion of a valuation loss, mainly from lower international gold prices, reduced the nominal increase.





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