June 5, 2026
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GDP growth forecast revision reflects energy price pressures, supply disruptions, and geopolitical risks to economic activity.
The Reserve Bank revised down its real GDP growth projection for FY 2026-27 to 6.6 per cent, citing elevated energy and commodity prices, continued supply disruptions from the West Asia conflict, and broader risks from global supply-chain disruption, financial market volatility, and weather-related shocks. Domestic activity was described as broadly resilient, with manufacturing, services, consumption, investment, and exports holding up despite cost pressures, while the global outlook remains clouded by geopolitical tensions and foreign exchange volatility.