April 8, 2026
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GDP growth projection moderates as supply chain disruption, commodity prices and global volatility weigh on domestic outlook.
India's real GDP growth for 2026-27 is projected at 6.9 per cent, with quarterly estimates of 6.8 per cent in Q1, 6.7 per cent in Q2, 7.0 per cent in Q3 and 7.2 per cent in Q4. The projection reflects elevated commodity and energy prices, supply chain disruptions, and higher freight and insurance costs, while domestic demand is supported by services activity, GST rationalisation, manufacturing capacity utilisation, and healthy financial sector and corporate balance sheets.