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March 16, 2026
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Trade Balance narrows as merchandise exports dip amid geopolitical disruptions and surge in gold imports, now affecting shipments.
Merchandise exports declined 0.81% to USD 36.61 billion in February while the trade deficit narrowed to USD 27.1 billion month on month. Imports rose sharply-led by gold, silver, and oil-contributing to a wider year on year gap. Geopolitical conflict in West Asia has disrupted maritime and air logistics, raising freight and insurance costs and expected to suppress March exports. The government is consulting exporters to mitigate impacts, and a prospective bilateral trade pact awaits a new tariff architecture.
March 16, 2026
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Tax Liability Breakup confirmation required in GSTR 3B: confirm or edit auto populated breakup to proceed with filing.
From February 2026 the portal auto populates the Tax Liability Breakup in GSTR 3B for supplies dated to previous tax periods when tax is paid in the current period; taxpayers must open the payment page tab, confirm or edit and save that breakup after offsetting liability, and only then proceed with filing using EVC or DSC, with the current confirmation requirement being applied in all cases pending portal resolution.
March 16, 2026
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Wholesale price inflation set to rise as crude oil surge pushes wholesale costs higher, affecting manufacturing and non-food goods.
Wholesale price inflation rose to 2.13% in February 2026, led by higher prices in food and non-food articles and an uptick in manufactured goods; fuel and power deflation narrowed as global oil prices increased. Analysts warn that persistent crude oil price rises from geopolitical conflict will transmit more to WPI than retail CPI, likely pushing wholesale inflation higher in subsequent months. The report identifies basic metals, textiles and other manufacturing segments as contributors and stresses supply-chain, logistics and domestic manufacturing measures to contain cost-push pressures.
March 16, 2026
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Tariff architecture uncertainty delays signing of interim trade agreement until US restores a stable global tariff framework.
The interim India-US trade framework remains unsigned pending establishment of a new US global tariff architecture; the previously agreed preferential tariff of 18 per cent for India is contingent on how the US restructures tariffs after a Supreme Court decision altered the prior emergency tariff regime. Negotiators have postponed final legalisation to ensure India's comparative advantage is preserved and to resolve outstanding non tariff and national security tariff issues before signing.
March 16, 2026
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Base year revision of industrial production index to update methodology and weights, release planned soon.
Revision of the Index of Industrial Production base year involves updating the item basket, item weights, data sources, and factory list, and proposes adoption of a chain-linked approach to better capture emerging sectors and changes in industrial composition. A Technical Advisory Committee (TAC-IIP) will advise on methodological improvements, and the Ministry plans to release the revised IIP series under the new methodology in the near term.
March 16, 2026
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Cooperative sector survey to estimate GVA and employment, collecting financial and labour data across cooperatives.
The National Statistics Office will use the National Cooperative Database to survey primary cooperatives, their federations and multistate societies across major sectors to estimate GVA/GVO and employment, collecting financial, tax, subsidy, distributive expense, depreciation and labour cost data for FY 2020 21 and FY 2023 24, while banking cooperatives will supply only employment data.
March 16, 2026
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Project monitoring threshold revised; mandated projects are monitored via integrated portals with automated API data flows.
The Ministry released updated CPI and GDP series and will release a revised IIP series; NIC-2025 aligns with ISIC Revision 5. Under the Allocation of Business Rules, 1961, the Ministry monitors projects above the prescribed cost threshold using the PAIMANA portal, integrated with IPMP; line ministries and implementing agencies must update IPMP, and data are fetched into PAIMANA via APIs for online monitoring.
March 16, 2026
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Base year revision of GDP and statistical modernisation enables nowcasting and real-time economic monitoring for policy guidance.
Revision of the GDP base year to 2022-23 integrates new data sources, NIC-2025 classification, and methodological improvements to improve national accounts measurement; the IIP series and price indices have been modernized (CAPI for CPI and secure online WPI transmission) and a nowcasting framework using high-frequency indicators and data dashboards provides near real-time assessments of economic activity for policy support.
March 16, 2026
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Statistical data accountability strengthened through digital collection platforms and harmonised standards for reliable public dissemination.
MoSPI strengthened statistical data accountability by deploying digital collection tools-CAPI integrated with e SIGMA, AI enabled chatbots and multilingual interfaces-with in built validation for real time submission and automated checks. Measures include physical scrutiny by senior officers, regular training, state/UT capacity building under the Support for Statistical Strengthening sub scheme, and improved dissemination via an Advance Release Calendar, revamped portals and API exchange. Alignment with international and national standards is reflected in adoption of the United Nations Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics, the Statistical Quality Assessment Framework, harmonised classifications, and circulation of a National MetaData Structure to enhance clarity and discoverability.
March 16, 2026
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Digital data dissemination: GoIStats app provides selected socio economic indicators on the go with standalone platform policy and feedback.
The GoIStats mobile application serves as a digital data dissemination channel providing selected socio economic indicators and visualisations from nine statistical products and 178 infographics, with ongoing dataset onboarding, active user engagement metrics and an inbuilt feedback mechanism; there is no proposal to integrate the app with other national data platforms at this stage.
March 16, 2026
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RBI intervention follows sharp rupee depreciation amid oil-driven trade pressures and foreign fund outflows to stabilise markets.
The rupee weakened to a record low against the US dollar amid high crude prices, sustained foreign portfolio outflows and a widening merchandise trade deficit; the Reserve Bank of India intervened in FX markets to stabilise the currency and limit excessive volatility, while market participants noted domestic equity recovery and imminent international monetary policy decisions as key near term influences on USD INR dynamics.
March 16, 2026
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Brand marketing strategy: Bleevo marks first anniversary, emphasizing pan-India expansion, creative talent, and integrated branding services.
Bleevo marks its first anniversary as a women-led Out-of-Home and integrated marketing agency from Chennai, focused on pan-India expansion and offering full-service branding, outdoor advertising, public relations, performance marketing, and brand experiences. The agency emphasizes a people-first approach, a young predominantly female team, and guiding clients through discovery to translate brand essence into design, strategy, and storytelling while building nationwide recall.
March 16, 2026
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Money laundering probe leads to arrest of food company promoter over alleged dairy product adulteration and forged export test reports.
Enforcement alleges the company manufactured and distributed adulterated dairy products by substituting milk fat with palm oil and other chemicals, supplied domestically and exported. Investigators allege multiple forged laboratory test reports were submitted to obtain export clearances while laboratories deny issuing them. The probe, which follows a local police complaint, targets proceeds from these activities as money laundering and has resulted in custodial remand of the company's principal for further PMLA investigative measures.
March 16, 2026
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LPG supply prioritisation and PNG conversion policy secures fuel availability while imposing sectoral allocation controls.
Gujarat expanded LPG distribution and prioritised PNG connections, directing district collectors to coordinate with city gas distribution companies to encourage LPG-to-PNG conversion and facilitate new PNG connections for domestic and commercial users, while maintaining rising buffer stocks and sectoral LPG allocation rules where PNG is unavailable.
March 16, 2026
Show AI Summary
Digital inclusive finance recognition: WeBank's AI driven model advances accessibility and SME credit access across regions.
WeBank won four awards recognising its digital inclusive finance model and customer accessibility initiatives, retaining regional digital bank titles and adding awards for SME banking and a sign language service. The bank's AI native strategy strengthens infrastructure, toolchains, applications, governance and organisational design to integrate AI across business scenarios, deploying numerous AI applications and agents to enhance efficiency, risk management and customer experience. Its digital lending product Weiyedai and the Weilidai sign language service expand timely credit access for micro and small enterprises and provide accessible service for customers with hearing impairments.
March 16, 2026
Show AI Summary
Trade deficit widens as merchandise exports dip and imports surge, signalling supply-chain and geopolitical risks to trade.
Merchandise exports fell marginally in February while imports rose sharply, producing a monthly trade deficit; year to date exports rose modestly but imports grew faster. The Commerce Secretary warns of expected export softness in March due to logistical disruptions from the West Asia crisis, with trade-route interruptions, notably in the Strait of Hormuz, cited as the principal constraint on outbound shipments.
March 16, 2026
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Wholesale price inflation rises driven by food and non-food articles, while retail inflation also edges upward.
Wholesale price inflation rose to 2.13% in February led by increases in food articles and manufactured products, with non-food articles spiking; fuel and power continued to record negative inflation. Retail inflation also rose to 3.2% in February, and the central bank has lowered policy rates in the current fiscal year while focusing on retail inflation for benchmark rate decisions.
March 16, 2026
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Foreign exchange stability: rupee weakened as capital outflows and reserves decline increased market pressure.
Foreign exchange stability: the rupee weakened against the US dollar as foreign portfolio outflows, higher global crude prices and volatile equity markets drove the currency to near intra day lows; exchange data showed significant FII net selling and a notable weekly decline in forex reserves reported by the central bank, highlighting interacting external and domestic drivers relevant to reserve management and market stability.
March 16, 2026
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Pre-deposit linkage: link DRC-03 payments via DRC-03A on portal to avoid duplicate pre-deposit when filing appeal.
Payments made through Form GST DRC-03 are not automatically recognised against a Demand ID for pre-deposit calculation. Taxpayers must file Form GST DRC-03A on the GST portal to map the DRC-03 payment to the relevant Demand ID so that the Electronic Liability Register reflects the adjustment and the automated pre-deposit check will not require duplicate payment when filing an appeal.
March 16, 2026
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Regulatory harmonization for medical devices drives export policy to expand global market access and manufacturing competitiveness.
Strengthening India's medical devices export ecosystem focuses on regulatory harmonization, streamlining approval processes, and coordination between industry and regulators to reduce compliance bottlenecks and facilitate exports, supported by trade policy measures to improve market access. Complementary measures include development of manufacturing clusters, expansion of testing and certification capacity, and incentives for research and development and innovation to build global brand recognition and scale high value manufacturing.

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Customs & Trade

Shrapnel from Iranian missile barrage falls near Church of Holy Sepulchre in Jerusalem

March 16, 2026

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Jerusalem, Mar 16 (AP) Shrapnel from an interception fell on the rooftop of the Greek Orthodox Patriarchate in Jerusalem, according to the Patriarchate. That's just metres from the Church of the Holy Sepulchre, built on the spot where Christian tradition holds that Jesus was crucified, buried and resurrected.

There were no immediate reports of injuries from the impact.

Jerusalem's Old City, where there are holy sites sacred to Muslims, Christians, and Jews, has come under uncommon fire this war. In past missile exchanges with Iran — including the 12-day-war — the city had been spared the damage seen in nearby cities like Tel Aviv or Beersheba.

But since the start of the most recent war, shrapnel has struck multiple sites close to the Old City, including homes in east Jerusalem, a main highway into Jerusalem and a concert venue in West Jerusalem.

Falling oil prices send stocks higher --------------------------------------- Oil prices are down, and stocks are up Monday, though such moves have been quick to change since the war in Iran began.

The S&P 500 rose 1% in early trading, coming off its third straight losing week, its longest such streak in a year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 325 points, or 0.7%, as of 9:35 am Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was 1.2% higher.

The driver for markets once again was the price of oil. A barrel of benchmark US crude fell 4.1% to $94.62, easing some pressure off the economy after topping $102 earlier in the morning.

Brent crude, the international standard, fell 1.4% to $101.72 per barrel after earlier getting as high as $106.50.

Oil prices have been mostly ripping higher from roughly $70 per barrel since the United States and Israel began their attacks on Iran.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent downplayed oil price surge and dismissed concerns about rising oil prices since the start of the Iran war.

Bessent accused the media of “trying to make it into some crisis that it's not,” and he insisted prices would come down after the conflict ends.

“I don't know how many weeks it will be, but on the other side of this, the world will be safer, and we will be better supplied,” Bessent said on CNBC.

He said the Treasury Department hasn't traded oil futures to try to cap prices. Asked whether it would going forward, the secretary said: “I'm not sure under what authority or what auspices” that would happen.

Trump's Interior Secretary Doug Burgum told Bloomberg Television over the weekend that the administration has talked about that strategy.

Lebanon criticises Hezbollah over shooting at UN peacekeepers --------------------------------------------------------------------- In a Monday statement, Lebanon foreign ministry recalled the government's decision which prohibits “the military and security activities of Hezbollah.” It added that the ministry's position in the matter is clear in which “no armed group operating outside the authority of the state” will be permitted to draw Lebanon further into instability in service of agendas that run counter to Lebanon's national interests.

The ministry was apparently referring to Iran, Hezbollah's main backer.

The UN peacekeeping force in Lebanon known as UNIFIL said Sunday that peacekeepers were fired upon, “likely by non-state armed groups” on three separate occasions while conducting patrols around their bases in three villages in southern Lebanon.

The UN peacekeeping force did not say Hebzollah was behind the attacks.

Genesis Prize doubles award to actor Gal Gadot ---------------------------------------------------- Israel's Genesis Prize says it's doubling the prize it's awarded to Israeli actor Gal Gadot to $2 million to promote healing and resilience in Israel.

The “Wonder Woman” star was named this year's laureate in November for her support of Israel. She dedicated the $1 million prize to organisations that “help Israel heal” after more than two years of war.

The Genesis Prize, along with the Jewish Funders Network, a group of philanthropic leaders, said Monday they were doubling that gift with matching funds.

“At a time when Israel's caregivers are stretched beyond capacity, we must ensure that those who are helping others heal receive the support they need,” Andres Spokoiny, president and chief executive of the network, said in a statement.

The prize is granted each year to a person for their professional achievements, contributions to humanity and commitment to Jewish values.

UAE reports attacks by 6 missiles, 21 drones ------------------------------------------------- The United Arab Emirates was attacked Monday with six ballistic missiles and 21 drones coming from Iran. That's according to the Emirati Defence Ministry.

The ministry tallied 304 ballistic missiles, 15 cruise missiles and 1,627 drones since the start of the war.

The attacks killed seven people including two troops, it said.

Iraq says new route for oil exports set to open --------------------------------------------------- Iraqi Oil Minister Hayan Abdul-Ghani said Monday in a video statement that a pipeline from the northern city of Kirkuk to Turkey will be operational within a week, allowing the country to resume oil exports interrupted by the ongoing regional war.

Iraq previously exported around 3.4 million barrels of oil a day through its southern port of Basra, he said, but “in light of the military operations and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Iraqi oil exports stopped two or three days after the beginning of the war in the region.” Abdul-Ghani said the pipeline from Kirkuk to Turkey, with a capacity of 200,000 to 250,000 barrels a day, is currently undergoing hydrostatic testing. The route will bypass the semi-autonomous Kurdish area in northern Iraq after Baghdad could not reach an agreement with local authorities over conditions for exporting via another pipeline in the Kurdish region.

Israel says displaced Lebanese will have to wait to return home ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said those that fled southern Lebanon in the face of Israeli fighting against Hezbollah militants won't be able to return home until northern Israel, which has been hit by barrages of rockets, is safe.

“Hezbollah will pay a heavy price for its aggression and activity in the Iranian axis to destroy Israel,” he said.

“We have promised security to the residents of the north, and that is exactly what we will do,” he said.

US efforts to protect Strait of Hormuz continue: military commander --------------------------------------------------------------------------- The top US military commander in the Middle East says American forces are zeroing in on Iran's threats to freighters carrying oil and natural gas through a vital chokepoint in the Persian Gulf.

“We will continue to rapidly deplete Iran's ability to threaten freedom of navigation in and around the Strait of Hormuz,” Admiral Brad Cooper, the head of US Central Command, said in a video posted to X on Monday.

Iranian strikes on commercial vessels have effectively stopped shipping traffic in the waterway, through which a fifth of the world's oil is transported. That has dramatically increased the price of oil and put pressure on Washington to do something to ease the pain for consumers.

Italy signals reluctance to Trump's call to help open Strait of Hormuz --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Italy is the latest country to react cautiously to Trump's demand that allies help open the Strait of Hormuz.

Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani told reporters in Brussels on Monday that Italy backs reinforcing EU naval missions in the Red Sea.

But he added: “However, I don't think these missions can be expanded to include the Strait of Hormuz, especially since they are anti-piracy and defensive missions.” US President Donald Trump said he has demanded about seven countries send warships to keep the Strait of Hormuz open, as Iranian strikes continued to rain down on Gulf countries.

Pakistani oil tanker transited through Strait of Hormuz ----------------------------------------------------------- A vessel tracker says a first tanker carrying non-Iranian oil has transited through the Strait of Hormuz.

The Pakistani-controlled tanker Karachi, which carries crude oil from Abu Dhabi, passed the strait on Sunday, according to data from MarineTraffic.

The tanker is now sailing in the Gulf of Oman, it said.

Iran says Strait of Hormuz closed only to US, Israel, their allies ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Iran's top diplomat says the key Strait of Hormuz is only cut off for vessels of the United States, Israel and their allies.

“From our perspective it is open,” Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said of the strait. “It is only closed to our enemies, to those who carried out unjust aggression against our country and to their allies.” Araghchi spoke at a press conference in Tehran on Monday. (AP) SCY SCY SCY

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