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February 28, 2026
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Oil supply disruption could trigger sharp global price swings as Middle East strikes raise market uncertainty and transit risks.
Oil supply uncertainty from recent strikes threatens significant market volatility: a contained campaign may cause a short-lived price spike if shipping and infrastructure remain intact, while broader disruption of pipelines, terminals or tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz would force buyers-particularly China-to seek alternative supplies, amplifying sustained upward pressure on global oil prices.
February 28, 2026
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Supply chain disruption threatens longer routes and higher shipping and insurance costs for exporters in western markets.
Exporters expect logistical and insurance-cost disruptions from Middle East hostilities: altered air routes and uncertainty through the Red Sea and Gulf straits may force rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope, adding substantial transit time. Heightened geopolitical risk is likely to raise marine insurance premiums and container freight rates, increasing shipping costs; prolonged instability could also push up global energy-related input costs and exert currency pressure, prompting exporters to seek calibrated government support to sustain competitiveness.
February 28, 2026
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Investment fraud: man arrested for allegedly inducing funds via a false export venture and issuing dishonoured cheques.
The accused is alleged to have induced investment by falsely portraying a large meat export venture, obtained funds through bank transfers and arranged foreign payments via associates, and issued cheques despite insufficient funds; he absconded after committing the offence, was later arrested, and investigations aim to trace co accused and recover the cheated amount.
February 28, 2026
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Organic export compliance reinforced to boost traceability and market access following Sikkim supply chain and export readiness roadmap.
APEDA organised an Organic Conclave in Sikkim and released a Knowledge Report proposing a roadmap of infrastructure upgrades, streamlined processes, aggregation, price discovery and strategic positioning to improve export competitiveness while ensuring sustainability and traceability. The event included international buyer engagement and a technical session on the 8th Edition of the NPOP to raise compliance awareness among exporters, FPOs and certification bodies, and featured field visits to certified production clusters to strengthen farm to market linkages and buyer confidence in export readiness.
February 28, 2026
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Critical mineral security: Andhra Pradesh opens coastline to build a domestic rare earth and titanium value chain.
Andhra Pradesh seeks to open its coastline to large-scale beach sand mining to build an integrated domestic value chain for titanium minerals and rare earths. APMDC has identified and secured approvals for multiple ilmenite, rutile, zircon and monazite deposits and plans extraction, separation, refining and downstream manufacturing near ports and industrial corridors to reduce import dependence and supply-chain vulnerability.
February 28, 2026
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Government bank oversight reforms: standardized manual and real time dashboard to strengthen compliance and accountability.
Launch of a regulatory framework comprising the Government Bank Manual and Government Bank Dashboard to standardize bank handling of government transactions. The Manual prescribes operational procedures, reporting obligations, reconciliation timelines, and compliance requirements to reduce risk and strengthen accountability. The Dashboard provides real time monitoring of remittance timelines, scroll compliance, reconciliation status, transaction success rates, and service level adherence, enabling proactive oversight and performance management while supporting further digital integration and cybersecurity enhancements.
February 28, 2026
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Wrongful availment of input tax credit exposed; GST practitioner arrested and probe launched under CGST provisions.
A tax enforcement operation exposed an organised network issuing fake invoices and e way bills to wrongfully avail input tax credit through numerous GST registrations and shell entities. A registered GST practitioner was identified as the coordinator, arrested under provisions of the CGST Act, and remanded; investigators are tracing beneficiaries and quantifying the fraudulent input tax credit claims.
February 27, 2026
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Model mediation procedures enable mutually agreed mediation with a mediator and a time bound effort to reach a solution.
An annexure on model mediation procedures permits a Party to request mediation against a measure alleged to adversely affect trade, requires sufficiently detailed requests identifying the measure and effects, and makes mediation subject to mutual agreement. The annexure governs mediator selection, locations and modalities, provides that failure to agree on a mediator within the specified time results in rejection of the request, encourages a time bound endeavour to reach a mutually agreed solution after mediator appointment, and allows consideration of interim solutions.
February 27, 2026
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Tax revenue review urges accelerated compliance measures and AI-driven enforcement to strengthen state tax collection.
The Chief Minister reviewed tax and non-tax receipts, identified a shortfall versus annual tax targets, and directed departments to accelerate collection through transparency, efficiency and innovation. The meeting highlighted strengthened compliance measures-GST 2.0, AI-based risk analysis, extensive taxpayer scrutiny, e-invoicing and e-way bill monitoring-resulting in targeted investigations, control of fake input tax credit claims, and recovery actions; the Chief Minister also ordered enhanced excise vigilance during festivals.
February 27, 2026
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Political accountability: Opposition criticised for AI Summit protest, while government affirms focus on national development and institutional strengthening.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi criticised the opposition for a shirtless protest at an AI summit as evidence of its decline, emphasising that the government will continue its development agenda. He argued that an opposition's democratic role is to offer alternatives rather than reflexive opposition, cited millennials and Gen Z voter shifts as eroding the opposition's support, and linked recent trade deals to strengthened national institutions and reclaimed capability.
February 27, 2026
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Border management measures: intensified vigilance and financial scrutiny to prevent illegal migration and secure identity records.
Directives mandate intensified vigilance, inter-agency coordination and stricter financial scrutiny in India-Nepal border districts to counter illegal migration. Authorities will verify reported migrants and death cases, update or delete identity records upon confirmation, and conduct door-to-door verification while safeguarding genuine voters. A zero-tolerance stance on illegal construction and encroachments is paired with verification of business financing. District magistrates must ensure bank compliance with RBI reporting and PAN linkage, and sub-registrar offices face accountability for defective reporting of high-value property transactions.
February 27, 2026
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GST reform underscores tax policy's role in inclusive sustainable development and strengthening cooperative federalism and accountability.
Tax policy is described as the foundation for mobilising resources and promoting inclusive, sustainable development through an equitable tax framework. Goods and Services Tax is identified as a historic unifying reform that simplifies the indirect tax regime, strengthens cooperative federal relations, and aligns taxation with trust, accountability and welfare oriented objectives to promote production and shared prosperity.
February 27, 2026
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Creditor-driven decision-making upheld: courts must limit review to statutory confines to preserve insolvency speed and finality.
The IBC privileges creditor-driven decision-making, speed and certainty by confining judicial review to narrow statutory compliance, thereby protecting commercial choices of the Committee of Creditors as matters of commercial wisdom. Expansive judicial scrutiny is value-destructive-lengthening timelines, raising transaction costs, encouraging strategic litigation and undermining predictability and finality-so respect for statutory limits preserves timely reorganisation of viable firms and swift exit of non-viable businesses.
February 27, 2026
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Rupee depreciation driven by foreign outflows and rising oil prices puts pressure on currency and equity markets.
Rupee declined against the US dollar due to large foreign fund outflows, higher global crude oil prices and weakening domestic equity markets; foreign institutional investors sold heavily and forex reserves fell in the reporting week, even as a GDP calculation revision raised the growth estimate, highlighting resilience amid external pressures.
February 27, 2026
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Fugitive economic offender arrested abroad; extradition sought under Fugitive Economic Offenders Act and PMLA measures.
A fugitive alleged to have run an extensive investment fraud was arrested in Dubai after an Interpol Red Notice; the Enforcement Directorate submitted an extradition request and dossier through the Ministry of External Affairs citing a prior declaration under the Fugitive Economic Offenders Act and ongoing PMLA investigations. ED actions include filing two chargesheets, arresting associates, attaching assets, and securing court-ordered confiscation, while coordinating with UAE authorities to effect provisional arrest and repatriation for prosecution.
February 27, 2026
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Base year revision updates GDP measurement using new data and methods to better capture household and digital economy activity.
The government implemented a revised national accounts series with a new base year revision to update GDP measurement using contemporary data sources and methods. The revision addresses pandemic and tax system disruptions, will be extended into back series under the new methodology, and incorporates administrative and survey data to improve household sector measurement, private corporate allocation and new economy sectors, plus methodological shifts such as segregation of multi activity corporations and adoption of double deflation where appropriate.
February 27, 2026
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Prima-facie evidence assessment dictates whether complex corruption prosecutions can be sustained on available investigative material.
Prima-facie assessment of available evidence was central to the judge's review of the excise-policy prosecution: the court found the prosecution's material lacked concrete proof and relied on conjecture, and accordingly declined to sustain charges against the accused. The judge's prior decisions emphasize insistence on statutory preconditions for money laundering allegations and close scrutiny of magistrate and summons orders.
February 27, 2026
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Priority sector credit projections guide bank annual plans, prioritising agriculture, MSME lending and rural infrastructure financing.
Projection of priority sector credit potential quantifies exploitable lending needs across agriculture, MSME and other priority segments for the State, with agriculture accounting for the largest share and MSME receiving substantial allocation. Component estimates include crop and term loans, ancillary activities, housing, education, export credit, social infrastructure, renewable energy and agri infrastructure. The assessment is a consultative planning tool to guide banks' Annual Credit Plans and district credit strategies, signalling increased credit absorption capacity and alignment with sectoral priorities and infrastructure requirements to support rural resilience and enterprise development.
February 27, 2026
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Foreign influence allegations challenge political credibility as historic funding and security ties are used to rebut trade criticism.
Allegations claim the Congress accepted funds from the CIA and KGB during Indira Gandhi's tenure, producing policy effects such as an exchange-rate adjustment favoring Soviet imports and the decision not to pursue a proposed covert operation against a foreign nuclear facility; these claims are presented to rebut current criticisms of an interim bilateral trade framework by portraying past governance as compromised by foreign influence.
February 27, 2026
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GDP growth projection revised upward; nominal growth strong and economy expected to expand markedly next fiscal year.
GDP growth for the next fiscal year has been revised upward and nominal GDP outlook strengthened, with officials forecasting the economy will cross the four trillion dollar threshold. The upward revision follows a national accounts base-year update to 2022-23 that integrates new data sources and methodological changes to reflect structural shifts, and it alters nominal GDP levels with consequential effects on fiscal-deficit ratios while leaving key fiscal indicators like primary and revenue deficits and capital expenditure ratios broadly unchanged.

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Customs & Trade

AAHAR 2026 inaugurated at Bharat Mandapam; Shri Piyush Goyal calls for stronger collaboration to position India as a global leader in agricultural and processed food exports

March 11, 2026

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At the inauguration of the 40th edition of AAHAR – The International Food & Hospitality Fair, the Minister highlighted India’s food and agricultural exports at nearly ₹5 lakh crore annually and outlined how FTAs are expanding market access while safeguarding farmers, fishermen and MSMEs.

New Delhi | 11 March 2026: The 40th edition of AAHAR – The International Food & Hospitality Fair was inaugurated today at Bharat Mandapam, New Delhi, with a clear message for the ecosystem: India’s next leap in global leadership will be built through collaboration across food, agriculture and hospitality, backed by stronger value addition and market linkages.

Addressing the gathering at the inauguration, Union Minister of Commerce & Industry Shri Piyush Goyal called upon stakeholders to work collectively towards making India the world’s largest exporter of agricultural and processed foods, citing the opportunities created by India’s expanding trade agreements and the growing global demand for Indian products.

Shri Goyal said India’s exports of food and agricultural products—including farm produce and fisheries—have reached nearly ₹5 lakh crore (over USD 55 billion) annually, making the country the seventh largest exporter of agricultural produce globally. He further noted that over the past eleven years (2014–2025), India’s agri and food exports have witnessed significant growth: processed foods have increased fourfold, fruit and pulses exports have tripled, processed vegetable exports have quadrupled, cocoa exports have tripled, and cereal exports have doubled—with rice exports growing by 62% during this period.

The Minister said these achievements should inspire India to aspire for the top position globally in agricultural and processed food exports, aligning with the Prime Minister’s vision that India should become the “food basket of the world.” He added that the nine Free Trade Agreements concluded over the past three and a half years have opened access to 38 developed and prosperous countries, and that India now has preferential market access covering nearly two-thirds of global trade—strengthening India’s position as an investment destination and enabling businesses to integrate into global value chains.

At the same time, Shri Goyal underlined that India’s trade negotiations have carefully safeguarded domestic interests—especially those of farmers, fishermen and MSMEs. He said sensitive sectors such as dairy have been protected, with no concessions to foreign producers, and that genetically modified (GM) products have not been granted duty concessions or market access. He further clarified that key commodities such as rice, wheat, maize, soy meal and several varieties of pulses have been protected, and that concessions in sugar have generally not been extended to prevent imports that could adversely affect domestic producers.

Shri Goyal encouraged farmers and entrepreneurs to take advantage of the ₹1 lakh crore Agriculture Infrastructure Fund, and to focus on food processing and value addition to access higher-value global markets, noting that an increasing number of small enterprises are entering the food processing sector and creating avenues for growth and employment.

International partnership formed another key note at the inauguration. Shri Goyal welcomed Italy as the partner country for the 40th edition and said India should learn from best practices in Italy’s food and hospitality sector while building collaborations with Italian companies—steps that can help promote Indian cuisine, expand the global taste for Indian products and strengthen trade linkages. He also pointed to opportunities arising from India’s agreements and partnerships with multiple regions and country groupings, and noted that negotiations with Canada are progressing while discussions with the six-nation GCC group have recently been launched.

From the organiser’s perspective, today’s inauguration also marked the introduction of several new visitor- and exhibitor-facing enhancements at the venue. In his address, CHAIRMAN, ITPO, Jawed Ashraf spoke about new elements being introduced this year, including Italian chefs conducting masterclasses, a larger culinary art competition, and a hospitality challenge at Bharat Mandapam. He also highlighted improved on-ground experience measures, including air-conditioned food courts, along with other newly introduced amenities.

A key addition for this edition is the official AAHAR digital app, positioned as a comprehensive tool designed to support both visitors and exhibitors with a smoother, more structured experience on-ground. The app has been introduced to enable practical business outcomes through QR-enabled interactions and tools that support discovery and planning, including: • Scan profile QRs and schedule meetings instantly • Exhibitor directory with hall details • Live session updates with My Schedule planner • Easy QR-based navigation across halls • Dedicated Community section for organiser updates • Built-in tutorial and dedicated help support • B2B networking tools for exhibitors to boost visibility Chairman, ITPO, Jawed Ashraf also noted that the edition will host a number of summits and food-based seminars on themes including plant-based food products and other key areas of the hospitality, catering and restaurant sector, along with a leadership summit for the HORECA sector. He further stated that the fair attracts 1,800 participants, including 155 international participants from 17 countries, and that despite global turbulence there has been no cancellation of international participation, which he described as encouraging. He added that the fair is spread across 125,000 square meters, bringing together a vast global community of food and hospitality professionals.

Shri Goyal described the 40th edition of AAHAR as a landmark event for the food and hospitality sector and noted that for the first time AAHAR has a partner country, Italy. He also announced that the exhibition will be opened to the general public on the evening of Friday the 13th and throughout Saturday, allowing visitors—especially young people—to experience the strengths of the food, beverage and hospitality sectors from India and across the world.

Concluding his address, Shri Piyush Goyal assured exporters that under the Export Promotion Mission, the Government will provide comprehensive support and handholding, including through the Ministry of Commerce & Industry and the Directorate General of Foreign Trade (DGFT). Chairman, ITPO, Jawed Ashraf extended best wishes to participants, exhibitors and visitors for productive engagement over the next five days.

(Disclaimer: The above press release comes to you under an arrangement with NRDPL and PTI takes no editorial responsibility for the same.). PTI PWR PWR

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