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    India’s achievements in Free Trade Agreements for the year 2025-26.
    US has given 'permission' to India to accept Russian oil, says Treasury Secretary Bessent
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March 7, 2026
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Free Trade Agreements expansion broadens market access and mobility, protecting sensitive sectors while promoting exports and investment.
India has expanded its network of Free Trade Agreements, implementing bilateral and plurilateral instruments that broaden preferential market access for agriculture, exporters of garments, leather and handicrafts, AYUSH and organic products, and digital services, while introducing mobility and post-study work pathways and measures to catalyse investment; negotiations are described as balancing market access with protections for sensitive sectors and domestic industry to align trade expansion with national self-reliance and economic transformation.
March 7, 2026
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Permission to import Russian-origin oil as a short-term supply waiver allows select deliveries to Indian ports under strict conditions.
The Treasury issued a time-limited authorization allowing sale, delivery and offloading in India of Russian-origin crude oil and petroleum products loaded on vessels on or before March 5, 2026, authorised through April 4, 2026, provided delivery/offloading occurs at an Indian port and the purchaser is an entity organised under Indian law; the general license is narrowly limited to those transactions and does not authorise other transactions prohibited by separate Executive orders or the Iranian Transactions and Sanctions Regulations.
March 7, 2026
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Labor market weakness deepens as employers cut jobs and unemployment rises, complicating monetary policy choices.
Significant net job losses and a rising unemployment rate signal renewed strain in the labour market: employers cut 92,000 jobs in February, pushing the unemployment rate to 4.4 percent and reversing January's stronger payroll gain. Job losses were broad-based across healthcare, restaurants and bars, construction, manufacturing, administrative support, and courier services, while average hourly wages increased modestly year over year.
March 6, 2026
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Free Trade Agreement delivery shifts to implementation, emphasising tariff liberalisation, procurement access and parliamentary ratification.
The Government has shifted focus to operationalising the India-UK Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA), advancing entry-into-force and parliamentary ratification while highlighting tariff liberalisation for UK exports and exclusive access to India's federal procurement market; peers urged attention to implementation mechanics, services and investment gaps, SME support, and comparative analysis with other India agreements.
March 6, 2026
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Supplementary demands for grants approved to enable presentation of upcoming budget estimates and statutory audit reports in the legislature.
The state cabinet approved the presentation of supplementary demands for grants for the current year and the forthcoming year's budget estimates, and authorized laying the Comptroller and Auditor General's audit reports along with the government's Finance and Appropriation Accounts in the legislature, constituting executive clearance for budget supplementation, upcoming fiscal planning, and statutory audit disclosure.
March 6, 2026
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Electricity tariff revision reduces consumer rates while preserving utility financial viability and promoting EV charging affordability.
The Punjab State Electricity Regulatory Commission's 2026-27 tariff order reduces energy and fixed charges across domestic, commercial and industrial categories while maintaining PSPCL's financial viability; it preserves a 300-unit-per-month free domestic entitlement, lowers per-unit and fixed charges for specified load and consumption bands, reclassifies lawyers' chambers to domestic tariff treatment, and sets a low tariff for electric vehicle charging to encourage clean mobility.
March 6, 2026
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Money laundering: Discharge sought after predicate offence closure; enforcement agency ordered to respond to the challenge.
A public representative has moved a discharge application under money laundering law, arguing no money laundering offence is made out because the predicate offence has been closed. The Enforcement Directorate's prosecution follows an FIR alleging that a cooperative bank, after taking possession under SARFAESI, conducted an allegedly undervalued auction of a sugar mill asset based on a questionable valuation and disputed bidder disqualifications, and the court has directed the agency to respond to discharge applications.
March 6, 2026
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Exchange rate risk may rise from prolonged Middle East crisis, potentially stoking inflation and straining energy dependent sectors.
Prolonged Middle East escalation can transmit higher energy prices into the domestic economy, creating exchange rate pressure and inflationary impulses via shipping disruptions and damage to regional energy infrastructure; subdued capital flows and a flight-to-safety may aggravate currency weakness, while energy dependent sectors like fertilisers and petrochemicals face vulnerability. Offsetting these risks are ample foreign exchange reserves, a low current account deficit in H1 FY26, still-moderate inflation, strong GDP momentum, and policy measures-including trade diversification and Budget 2026-27 fiscal-capex initiatives-expected to strengthen external resilience.
March 6, 2026
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Rupee depreciation risks persist as energy-driven pressures and fund outflows may prompt central bank intervention.
Rupee depreciation to 91.82 was driven by rising crude prices, Middle East geopolitical tensions, foreign fund outflows and weak domestic equities; the US allowance for limited Russian oil purchases provided temporary relief. Rating commentary highlighted risks of higher inflation and a wider current account deficit if energy prices remain elevated. Analysts signalled that sustained oil-price spikes could compel stronger central bank intervention in spot and offshore non-deliverable forward markets to contain volatility.
March 6, 2026
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OFAC waiver for stranded Russian oil permits deliveries to Indian entities but legal clarity on dealings with sanctioned entities is sought.
A US Treasury licence allows delivery, sale and offloading of Russian-origin crude and petroleum products loaded before March 5, 2026, to purchasers organised under Indian law until April 4, 2026; it permits purchases of cargoes stranded at sea, including on sanctioned vessels, but is silent on whether transactions with sanctioned entities are allowed, prompting Indian refiners to seek legal opinion while acquiring mainly non sanctioned cargoes to rebuild inventories amid regional supply disruptions.
March 6, 2026
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Inclusive public procurement expands market access for startups, women entrepreneurs and MSEs through digital storefronts and capacity building.
SWAYATT expands direct access of startups, women entrepreneurs, youth, MSEs and SHGs to public procurement via GeM by using digital infrastructure, dedicated storefronts, capacity building and ecosystem partnerships to reduce market entry barriers, improve discoverability among government buyers and promote transparent transactions; GeM reports sustained increases in participation and order volumes for these seller segments over the seven-year period, attributing growth to platform-driven inclusivity, outreach and targeted support measures.
March 6, 2026
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Energy security through alternative fuels faces entrenched petroleum resistance, challenging policy efforts to transition transport to greener fuels.
The article identifies resistance from petroleum interests as a primary obstacle to achieving Energy Security by promoting non-polluting indigenous fuels, compressed bio-gas and other alternative fuels. It describes government commitments to make the transport ecosystem smart, safe and sustainable by 2030 through support for technology, market entry and rural economic benefits, while warning that vested commercial interests may impede regulatory deployment and market scaling of green fuels.
March 6, 2026
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Token presale utility signals promising demand and positions traders ahead of listing, subject to investor risk disclosures.
The commentary promotes DeepSnitch AI's token presale as a superior speculative opportunity based on live on chain utilities (Feed, Scan, Cast GPT, Audit, Explorer), a small cap and presale pricing with a 300% bonus ahead of a March 31 launch. It contrasts DeepSnitch's live product driven demand with ONDO's RWA tokenization fundamentals and Kaspa's PoW architecture, stresses a limited window to access the presale before listings, and includes a risk disclaimer urging independent financial advice.
March 6, 2026
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Foreign exchange reserves rise as central bank reports gains across foreign currency assets, gold, SDRs and IMF reserve position.
The central bank's weekly reserves report records an increase in foreign exchange reserves driven by growth in foreign currency assets, a rise in gold reserves, a marginal uptick in Special Drawing Rights, and an improved reserve position with the IMF, with part of the foreign currency assets movement attributable to valuation effects from non US currencies.
March 6, 2026
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Emergency powers under Essential Commodities Act direct refiners to prioritise LPG production for domestic household cooking supply.
Government, exercising emergency powers under the Essential Commodities Act, ordered all refiners to maximise utilisation of propane and butane streams for LPG production, to supply that LPG only to three public sector oil marketing companies for sale to domestic households for cooking, and prohibited diversion of those streams to petrochemical manufacture, with penal consequences for contravention.
March 6, 2026
Show AI Summary
RBI co-lending framework enables joint gold loans with lead originator handling sourcing and servicing, and shared underwriting oversight.
A co-lending arrangement under the Reserve Bank of India's co-lending framework establishes a participation-based funding structure where the NBFC leads loan sourcing, onboarding, KYC, gold valuation, collections and servicing, while credit assessment and sanctioning occur under a mutually agreed credit framework; risks and rewards are shared in line with regulatory guidance and structured governance, compliance oversight and joint portfolio monitoring are implemented to ensure transparency and prudent portfolio management.
March 6, 2026
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Export support measures to mitigate shipping disruptions and enable exporters to manage surcharges, insurance and contractual risks.
Government will use coordinated policy tools and the export promotion machinery, via an inter ministerial group, to engage shipping stakeholders and mitigate elevated freight rates, war risk surcharges and insurance premiums affecting exporters. Measures under consideration include fiscal and credit support, restraint on insurance premium increases, waivers of port charges where cargo is rolled, and customs and central bank facilitation for returning, redirecting or diverting in transit cargo; exporters also seek formal recognition of disruption as a force majeure type event to prevent contractual penalties.
March 6, 2026
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Education as a service can broaden India's export reach by internationalising higher education and promoting dual degrees.
Education as a service is presented as a strategic export sector enabled by the National Education Policy, which permits international campuses, dual degree arrangements and cross-border student exchanges. The document advocates modular dual-degree models, curriculum updates incorporating international trade and emerging technologies, faculty retraining, and infrastructure upgrades to retain outbound students and attract inbound students. It calls for coordinated action among government, academia and industry to operationalise internationalisation, expand student mobility and strengthen the global competitiveness of Indian higher education institutions.
March 6, 2026
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RBI intervention may cap currency depreciation amid energy-driven pressure on the rupee and balance of payments.
Rupee depreciation pressures from higher crude prices and capital outflows led to an intraday decline, with indications of RBI intervention in spot and offshore NDF markets to curb volatility; a temporary external allowance for refiners eased immediate supply stress, while analysts warn that persistent energy shocks could raise inflation, widen the current account deficit and complicate monetary and fiscal management.
March 6, 2026
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Power tariff reduction implemented from April eases rates for domestic, commercial, industrial consumers and lowers EV charging costs.
Power tariff reductions will take effect from April 1: domestic consumers receive a per-unit cut beyond the existing monthly 300-unit concession and reduced fixed charges per kilowatt; commercial traders and shopkeepers obtain per-unit reductions by load capacity; a low fixed per-unit charge is set for electric vehicle charging; fixed charges for industrial connections up to a specified capacity are reduced and the industrial segment faces no tariff increase in the coming financial year; advocates are reclassified to residential tariff.

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Customs & Trade

Crude oil prices spike as a broadening Iran war threatens both transport routes and production

March 10, 2026

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Chicago, Mar 9 (AP) Oil prices continued to soar on Monday as the Iran war intensified, threatening production and shipping across the Middle East and straining energy supplies worldwide.

The price of Brent crude, the international benchmark, briefly surged to $119.50 per barrel on Monday — its highest level since the summer after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022. West Texas Intermediate, which is produced in the U.S., also soared to $119.48 per barrel at one point.

Those prices fell under the $100 mark later Monday. But that's still much higher than than the roughly $70 a barrel crude was selling for before the U.S. and Israel launched the war against Iran on Feb. 28.

The conflict, now in its second week, is ensnaring countries and infrastructure critical to the production and transportation of oil and gas worldwide. And there's no end in sight. On Monday, Iran named Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed his late father as supreme leader — a new sign of defiance from the country's leaders as the U.S. and Israel continue heavy bombardment.

Fears of attacks have all but stopped tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway off Iran's coast where a fifth of the world's oil sails through on a typical day. Major oil producers in the region like Iraq, Kuwait and the UAE have cut production due to export constraints because they are running out of storage space. Iran, Israel and the U.S. have all struck oil and gas facilities since the war started, worsening supply concerns.

“In economic terms, this is already the largest oil supply shock ever," said Nicholas Mulder, an assitant professor of history who studies the economic impacts of wars at Cornell University. As Gulf producers reduce output and shut down production, he explained, “we are seeing roughly three to four times as many barrels of oil lost as during the 1973 and 1979 oil crises.” The war's toll on civilian targets and the energy sector grew over the weekend, notably as oil depots in Tehran smoldered following Sunday strikes by Israel. Meanwhile, across the Persian Gulf, Bahrain accused Iran of striking a desalination plant vital to drinking water supplies. Bahrain's national oil company declared force majeure for its shipments after an Iranian attack set its refinery complex ablaze. The legal declaration releases the company of contractual obligations because of extraordinary circumstances.

And the war has disrupted critical supply chains. Roughly 15 million barrels of crude oil — about 20% of the world's oil — typically are shipped every day through the Strait of Hormuz, according to independent research firm Rystad Energy. The threat of Iranian missile and drone attacks has all but stopped tankers carrying oil and gas from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, Qatar, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates and Iran from traveling through the strait.

Some energy experts warn of drawn-out ramifications.

Jim Burkhard, vice president and global head of crude oil research at S&P Global Energy, pointed particularly to rising production cuts and storage constraints — noting that the crisis had evolved past a solely transporation issue, and that restoring outputs will be “a massive technical exercise that could last weeks or more.” And even higher oil prices could arrive in the near future. If the Strait of Hormuz, in particular, remains closed for only a few weeks, oil and gas strategists at Macquarie Research said the price of crude could push to a $150 per barrel or higher. That would top previous peaks of around $147 reached just ahead of the 2008 financial crisis.

Others, however, expect disruptions to be more short-lived. Oxford Economics researchers predict prices will fall to an average of $80 a barrel for the quarter, but noted Monday that the “risk of a more prolonged crisis has clearly increased.” In response to soaring prices, there has also been discussions of dipping into emergency oil stockpiles in the U.S. and elsewhere. But on Monday, the Group of Seven major industrialized powers said it had decided against using their strategic reserves, at least for now.

“We're not there yet,” French Finance Minister Roland Lescure said after chairing a meeting of his G7 counterparts. Still, he told reporters in Brussels that the group was “ready to take necessary and coordinated steps in order to stabilize markets, such as strategic stockpiling." On Saturday, President Donald Trump downplayed the idea of turning to America's Strategic Petroleum Reserve, maintaining U.S. supplies were ample and prices would soon fall.

Yet the surge in costs for oil and natural gas is still pushing fuel prices higher, cascading through a range of industries — from jet fuel for airplanes and car gas prices, to household energy sources for consumers.

Experts like Burkhard note that Asian economies are especially vulnerable, due to the region's heavy reliance on imports from the Middle East.

Iran exports roughly 1.6 million barrels of oil a day, mostly to China, which has called for an immediate end to the fighting. Beijing may need to look elsewhere for supply if Iran's exports are disrupted, another factor that could increase energy prices. In a briefing Monday, Foreign Ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun said China would "take necessary measures to safeguard its own energy security.” South Korean President Lee Jae Myung also warned of strict penalties for refiners and gas stations caught hoarding or colluding on prices, saying it would be wise to find alternatives to supplies that must travel through the Strait of Hormuz.

Across Southeast Asia, the spike in prices has led to long lines outside filling stations.

But price hikes are spreading worldwide. Higher energy costs can push overall inflation higher, straining household budgets and denting the consumer spending that is the dominant engine behind some big economies, including the U.S. Those worries have spilled into financial markets, pulling share prices sharply lower since the war began.

The U.S. is now a net exporter of oil, so it will “suffer less from a rally in Brent and WTI above $100” than Europe or Asia, FxPro chief market analyst Alex Kuptsikevich noted Monday. Still, he stressed past rapid surges in oil prices have contributed to U.S. recessions.

Gas prices have already climbed for American drivers. On Monday, the average U.S. price of a gallon of regular gasoline rose to $3.48, up nearly 50 cents from a week earlier, according to AAA motor club. Diesel, used heavily in shipping, sold for about $4.66 a gallon, a weekly increase of more than 80 cents. (AP) AMS

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