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March 3, 2026
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GST input tax credit fraud exposed; arrests and shell company network identification trigger criminal and financial probes.
An organised racket used stolen identity documents to register shell firms, obtain GST numbers and open bank accounts to perform large-scale GST Input Tax Credit (ITC) fraud by issuing fake invoices and generating fraudulent e-way bills; funds were routed through multiple accounts, criminal cases for cheating and forgery filed, evidence recovered and coordination with tax authorities and banks is underway.
March 3, 2026
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Fraudulent GST registrations enabling Input Tax Credit misuse uncovered; coordinated raids, electronic forensics and an arrest followed.
A large-scale operation procured GST registrations for non-existent firms through forged and fraudulently obtained KYC documents, producing fake taxpayers and fraudulent invoices that enabled the wrongful availment and passing on of Input Tax Credit; coordinated IP tracking and searches led to seizure of electronic evidence and documents and to the arrest and judicial remand of a key suspect, with further investigation ongoing.
March 3, 2026
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Supply chain resilience measures initiated to monitor West Asia risks and coordinate trade, logistics and customs responses.
The government has set up an inter-ministerial group to monitor West Asia developments daily, assess vulnerabilities in shipping, logistics, exports and critical imports, and coordinate inter-ministerial actions. Measures include procedural flexibility in export authorisations, coordination with customs and port authorities to ensure smooth clearance, engagement with financial and insurance institutions to safeguard exporter interests, and a 24x7 DGFT help desk. The IMG for supply chain resilience includes departments of financial services, external affairs, shipping, petroleum and customs to facilitate coordination, monitoring and follow-up amid exporter concerns about surcharges, insurance gaps, route diversions and increased transit times.
March 3, 2026
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Force majeure declaration halts key LNG deliveries, prompting contractual supply cuts and reliance on pricier spot procurement.
Qatar declared force majeure on LNG deliveries after production halted due to regional hostilities and maritime disruptions, prompting curtailed supplies to industry and relief from supplier performance obligations. Importers are assessing long term contract entitlements, pursuing spot market purchases, and reallocating available cargoes while contending with higher war risk insurance, shipping costs, and transit constraints through the Strait of Hormuz.
March 3, 2026
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Fuel stock coverage ensures short-term supply continuity by using strategic reserves and diversified sourcing to mitigate disruptions.
India maintains sufficient crude and refined fuel inventories to manage short-term disruptions from West Asia hostilities, with strategic petroleum reserves and commercial stockpiles providing roughly six to eight weeks' coverage. The government has a 24x7 control room for continuous monitoring and contingency measures include drawing on strategic reserves, using commercial stocks, and diversifying sourcing from suppliers outside the Strait of Hormuz to sustain availability and affordability while managing price and freight risks.
March 3, 2026
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Debt-to-GSDP reduction signals fiscal consolidation as borrowings largely went to service prior liabilities under current administration.
The administration reports a reduction in the state's debt-to-GSDP ratio from its level at the start of the term and asserts that most recent borrowings were applied to servicing legacy debt, including repayment of significant portions of past principal and interest. The Finance Minister also highlights increased mobilisation of GST and excise revenues during the current four-year period relative to prior administrations, presented as strengthening fiscal capacity.
March 3, 2026
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Mandatory biometric update for children enables Aadhaar authentication for benefits, scholarships and examinations.
The UIDAI has implemented a mandatory biometric update (MBU) programme for school children aged 7-15, delivered through in-school camps and enrolment centres, with MBU made free for a limited period. Integration with UDISE+ enables identification of students due for updates and monitoring of MBU status. Initial enrolment below age five records demographic data only; fingerprints and iris biometrics are captured later via the MBU process once children reach the prescribed ages, enabling subsequent Aadhaar authentication for benefits, scholarships and examinations.
March 3, 2026
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Free trade agreements prompt industry to boost investment, research, and quality to expand manufacturing exports and access markets.
India aims to use free trade agreements to expand manufacturing exports by urging industry to increase investment, adopt new technologies, and prioritise research and quality to meet global standards. The budget supports this through record capital expenditure for infrastructure and logistics, reforms in MSME classification to improve credit and technology access, and sectoral missions including the BioPharma Shakti Mission and the Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage Mission to boost advanced manufacturing and sustainability-linked market access.
March 3, 2026
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Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement negotiations launched to set a negotiation framework and pursue an ambitious, balanced trade pact.
Terms of Reference for the India-Canada Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement establish the negotiation framework-setting format, frequency and approach-to guide talks toward an ambitious, balanced and mutually beneficial CEPA covering trade in goods, services and other mutually agreed policy areas, reflecting prior leader-level direction to advance negotiations.
March 3, 2026
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Quality standards and R&D investment urged to align industry with free trade agreement opportunities and export growth.
Industry is urged to accelerate investment and prioritise research and development to meet global quality standards and fully exploit opportunities from free trade agreements; early adoption of clean technologies, including carbon capture initiatives, and expanded infrastructure and logistics spending are presented as necessary complements to enhance export readiness and supply chain resilience.
March 2, 2026
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Reservation for Agniveers in police expands recruitment priority while a new Agri Discom targets uninterrupted farm power supply.
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March 2, 2026
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Trade facilitation to protect exporters amid West Asia crisis, focusing on logistics continuity and insurer coordination.
Government coordination aims to maintain continuity of export import logistics amid the West Asia crisis by monitoring routes, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability, directing facilitative measures including procedural flexibility in export authorisations, customs coordination, engagement with financial and insurance institutions, and targeted support for time sensitive exports; exporters sought restoration of higher RoDTEP rates, restraint on insurance premium increases by ECGC, broader insurance cover and sector specific timeline relief.
March 2, 2026
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Currency depreciation worsened as geopolitical strikes and oil price surge prompted safe-haven flows and foreign fund outflows.
The rupee sharply depreciated against the US dollar due to geopolitical escalation and a crude oil price spike, which triggered safe-haven dollar demand and foreign institutional equity outflows. Higher oil prices threaten to widen India's import bill and current account pressures, producing defensive market positioning and a negative bias for the currency, even as the Reserve Bank of India intervened in the interbank market to limit further depreciation.
March 2, 2026
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Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement negotiations launched to cover goods and services and pursue an ambitious bilateral trade pact.
Launch of negotiations for a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) between India and Canada, with signed Terms of Reference to set the format, frequency and approach for talks covering trade in goods, services and other policy areas. The ToR aim to guide negotiators toward an ambitious, balanced pact, resuming talks from the start after a prior pause. Negotiations target expanded market access and increased bilateral trade, identifying key goods and services sectors and naming chief negotiators for each country.
March 2, 2026
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Fuel pricing policy shields consumers by using company-held margins to stabilize retail petrol and diesel amid global crude spikes.
India's fuel pricing policy freezes retail petrol and diesel prices by allowing public sector oil companies to absorb losses when international crude prices rise and build margins when prices fall; this cushion-based approach, overseen by the Oil Ministry, will continue unless a sustained, very large spike in crude or prolonged disruptions (notably via the Strait of Hormuz) make it untenable, exposing vulnerabilities from high import dependence and increased procurement, freight, and insurance costs.
March 2, 2026
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Travel suspension to Middle East prompts IT firms to enforce employee safety measures and remote work arrangements.
Indian IT firms have suspended or deferred travel to the Middle East and implemented employee safety measures: TCS suspended all incoming and outgoing travel, advised associates to stay indoors, activated a call tree, and is coordinating with local authorities and embassies; Wipro issued a no travel advisory for multiple countries and directed regional staff to follow local guidance. Nasscom advised members to defer travel and enable work from home arrangements as a precaution while monitoring operations and preparing further measures if required.
March 2, 2026
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Customs enforcement against areca nut smuggling intensified, emphasising prosecution under prohibitory orders and strengthened border surveillance.
Intensified enforcement targets areca nut smuggling from Myanmar due to evasion of import duties and market harm to local growers. Authorities have registered numerous cases and made arrests under prohibitory-order offences prosecuted via the Indian Penal Code and the Bharatiya Nagarik Suraksha Sanhita, and separate prosecutions under the Customs Act. The government affirms continued prohibition, enhanced border surveillance, and a zero-tolerance stance including probes into alleged official complicity.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption risks push global markets lower as oil and gas price spikes strain trade and inflation expectations.
Energy supply disruptions from Middle East hostilities sharply pushed up oil, gas and fuel prices, driving marketwide volatility as investors rotated into safe havens. Attacks affecting transit through the Strait of Hormuz threaten continuity of crude and LNG exports, prompting buyers to seek alternate sources and tightening physical markets. Higher wholesale inflation readings increase the prospect of delayed monetary easing, reinforcing downward pressure on risk assets and elevating short term downside risk to trade and investment flows.
March 2, 2026
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Trade continuity secured through coordinated facilitation and procedural flexibility to protect exporters and sustain EXIM logistics.
The Department of Commerce convened a multi stakeholder consultation to coordinate regulatory and operational measures for EXIM logistics amid geopolitical developments, focusing on real time monitoring of routing, capacity, surcharges and equipment availability, and strengthening facilitation at ports and ICDs to prevent congestion. The Government emphasised a facilitative, coordinated approach prioritising supply chain resilience and exporter interests, agreeing measures including procedural flexibility for export authorisations, Customs coordination for smooth clearance, financial and insurance engagement, and prioritisation of time sensitive export segments.
March 2, 2026
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Current account deficit rises due to widening trade deficit; services surplus partially offsets external imbalance.
Current account deficit widened to USD 13.2 billion in the December quarter, driven mainly by a larger merchandise trade deficit, while net services receipts rose and partially offset the deterioration; the April-December current account deficit moderated compared with the prior year, reflecting goods and services flow dynamics within the balance of payments.

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Rupee falls 18 paise to close at 91.82 against US dollar

March 6, 2026

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Mumbai, Mar 6 (PTI) The rupee depreciated 18 paise against the US dollar on Friday to close at 91.82 against the American currency, as surging crude oil prices and a shift toward risk-aversion weighed on the currency.

Forex experts said the rupee is under pressure as the escalating Middle-East conflict drove demand for safe-haven assets.

Moreover, persistent foreign fund outflows and a negative trend in domestic equities further dented investor sentiment.

However, the depreciation bias was contained to some extent following the US administration's decision to allow Indian refiners to purchase Russian oil for 30 days, a move likely to ease pressure on global energy flows amid the ongoing war in West Asia.

At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at its previous session's closing level of 91.64 against the greenback and witnessed an intraday high of 91.59 and a low of 91.85 during the session.

At the end of Friday's trade, the rupee settled at 91.82 against the US dollar, registering a loss of 18 paise from its previous closing level.

The Indian currency recovered 41 paise to settle at 91.64 against the dollar on Thursday after losing 97 paise in the preceding two sessions.

According to analysts, several factors, including shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, triggered by the war involving the US, Iran and Israel, have added pressure to the Indian currency.

Moody's Ratings on Friday said India could face pressure on the rupee, higher inflation and a widening current account deficit if the escalating Middle East conflict spikes energy prices and disrupts supplies, given its heavy dependence on crude and LNG imports from the region.

"Costly energy imports would weaken the rupee, raise inflation, worsen the current account balance and complicate monetary policy as well as fiscal management if they lead to expanded subsidies to help offset the economic shock," the rating agency said in a note.

Dhiraj Nim, FX strategist at ANZ Research, said the "rupee could breach the 92.50 level against the dollar if oil prices climb sharply, although heavier RBI intervention would likely keep the market choppy".

ANZ has projected the rupee to touch 93 a dollar by the year-end, but it said: "the level could be reached earlier if geopolitical tensions persist and keep oil prices elevated".

Suggesting RBI's intervention in the spot market, Nim said the central bank may also need to step up activity in the offshore non-deliverable forward (NDF) market, where global shocks can influence sentiment and spill over into the onshore market.

Kunal Sodhani, head of treasury at Shinhan Bank, said the rupee could trade broadly in the 91.40-93.00 range in the near term under the current global environment.

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading 0.10 per cent higher at 99.41.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was higher by 5.87 per cent at USD 90.42 per barrel in futures trade.

On the domestic equity market front, the Sensex logged a steep loss of 1,097.00 points or 1.37 per cent to settle at 78,918.90, while Nifty descended 315.45 points or 1.27 per cent to 24,450.45.

Foreign institutional investors sold equities worth Rs 6,030.38 crore on a net basis on Friday, according to exchange data. PTI HVA MSU DRR

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