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March 2, 2026
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Oil supply disruption risk drives markets as geopolitical attacks push energy prices up and equities downward.
Attacks on Iran caused equity declines and sharp rises in oil and gold as traders priced in disruption to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz; sustained interruptions to Iranian exports and regional shipping could tighten global supply, elevate fuel and production costs, affect major importers' sourcing strategies, and influence inflation dynamics and central bank rate decisions.
March 2, 2026
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Manufacturing activity growth driven by stronger domestic demand despite slower export orders, prompting higher input buying and hiring.
Manufacturing activity accelerated to a four-month high as stronger domestic demand supported faster output growth and higher new business intakes; firms increased input purchasing, inventories and hiring. New export orders continued to slow, somewhat constraining employment creation. Cost pressures remained moderate, and forward-looking sentiment was positive with many manufacturers expecting higher output over the year ahead.
March 2, 2026
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Compliance with IS-17900 drives local manufacturing of advanced lift control systems, reducing import dependence and strengthening supply chains.
A Phase 1 manufacturing facility invests in local production of advanced lift electronic control systems designed to comply with IS-17900, reduce import dependency, and enable component to finished product localisation. The plant will operate automated PCB and semi automatic panel lines to produce MR, MRL and Slim Panels, emphasise controlled environment quality, IoT features, and support supply chain resilience and national industrial policy objectives under the Make in India framework.
March 2, 2026
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Reservation policy implementation strengthened across public financial institutions to improve accessibility and uniform compliance measures.
Strengthening institutional capacity for uniform implementation of the Government of India's reservation policy across public financial institutions and enhancing accessibility for Persons with Disabilities were the primary objectives. The programme combined a Sugamya Bharat sensitisation session on accessibility standards and compliance requirements, a roundtable on legal provisions and practical challenges, exchange of best practices, and an interactive question-and-answer session to identify operational measures for inclusivity, accessibility and reservation policy compliance.
March 2, 2026
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Deferred Customs Duty payment enables qualified manufacturers to clear imports and pay duties monthly, subject to compliance and eligibility.
A Deferred Customs Duty payment facility allows Eligible Manufacturer Importers to clear imports without immediate duty payment and to pay applicable customs duties monthly under the Deferred Payment of Import Duty Rules, 2016, subject to prescribed Customs and GST compliance, turnover, financial standing and track record; existing AEO T1 entities meeting eligibility may participate and applications are to be submitted via the AEO portal.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption risks trigger global market selloff and safe-haven flows, lifting oil and gold while bond yields fall.
Global markets moved to risk-off after US and Israeli attacks on Iran: equities opened lower while gold and government bonds rallied and oil prices surged on fears that strikes and incidents in the Strait of Hormuz could restrict oil and LNG exports, raising the prospect of higher energy and production costs; higher-than-expected wholesale inflation readings were identified as a factor that may affect the central bank's timing for interest-rate cuts.
March 2, 2026
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Rupee depreciation driven by crude price surge, dollar strength and foreign fund outflows pressures local currency lower.
Rupee depreciation in early trade reflected external pressures-higher crude prices, a stronger US dollar, and escalated Middle East tensions-compounded by negative domestic equity sentiment and significant foreign institutional outflows. Market indicators included a firmer dollar index, rising Brent crude futures, and a recent dip in forex reserves, while analysts warned of increased import bill risk due to India's reliance on fuel imports.
March 2, 2026
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Energy supply disruption threatens global oil flows, driving sharp price increases and straining fuel and goods markets worldwide.
Attacks and retaliatory strikes in the Middle East disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz and regional export infrastructure, triggering sharp crude price rises and heightened risk of sustained supply constraints; OPEC+ announced production increases, but analysts stress that constrained export routes limit the immediate effectiveness of added output.
March 2, 2026
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Maritime chokepoint security threatened, risking oil export disruptions and limiting the relief from increased production.
Attacks and military strikes in the Middle East disrupted maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, risking restrictions on regional crude exports and driving upward pressure on oil and gasoline prices. Because the strait is a critical global oil chokepoint, market concerns focus on whether barrels can physically move; consequently, OPEC+ announcements of increased production may provide limited immediate relief if export routes remain constrained.
March 2, 2026
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Oil supply security: production increases meet limited relief when export routes through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted.
OPEC+ announced an April increase in crude production intended to augment available supply while regional military attacks and disruptions to tanker movements - particularly through the Strait of Hormuz - threaten export routes. The notice underscores that interruptions to transit can limit the relief additional output provides and that access to export channels will be decisive for near-term market stability and price direction.
March 1, 2026
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Energy security measures cushion supply shocks but elevate price volatility and macroeconomic pressures for oil importers.
Escalating tensions around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz create near-term energy security risks for India manifested chiefly as price volatility and macroeconomic pressure rather than immediate physical shortages. Layered inventory buffers - commercial stocks, in transit cargoes and Strategic Petroleum Reserves - combined with diversified sourcing options (including Atlantic suppliers and Russian optionality) reduce the likelihood of sustained supply disruption, though longer transit times and LNG contractual rigidity limit rapid substitution and increase vulnerability to prolonged closures.
March 1, 2026
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GST revenue growth signals strengthened tax receipts driven by import collections and improved domestic sales affecting fiscal enforcement.
A court ordered continued judicial custody for eight alleged Lashkar-e-Taiba operatives accused of illegal entry and procuring forged identity documents while another court directed the immediate release of 14 student protesters arrested after a campus demonstration. Separately, gross Goods and Services Tax collections rose year-on-year, led by higher import receipts and improved domestic sales, reflecting stronger enforcement and compliance dynamics within the indirect tax regime.
March 1, 2026
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SGST growth reflects strengthened tax administration and compliance following GST rate rationalisation, bolstering state revenues.
Haryana reports marked year on year expansion in State Goods and Services Tax (SGST) receipts for 2025-26, attributing the improvement to strengthened tax administration, enhanced compliance stemming from departmental reforms and better tax analysis, facilitation via district GST Suvidha Kendras, and the GST Council's September 2025 rate rationalisation as complementary drivers of revenue growth.
March 1, 2026
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GST revenue growth maintained despite rate reductions; enhanced compliance and AI-driven analytics strengthened state collections effectively.
Andhra Pradesh achieves record net Goods and Services Tax receipts for February, with SGST and IGST growth offsetting marginal gross GST decline. Revenue momentum is supported by higher professional tax and petroleum VAT receipts. The state credits strengthened compliance-targeted audits, stricter return filing, coordinated IGST settlements, and performance based officer deployment-and advanced data analytics and AI oversight that detect evasion and reverse ineligible input tax credit claims for measurable recoveries.
March 1, 2026
Show AI Summary
Shipping risk allocation: exporters urged to avoid CIF and prefer FOB as geopolitical risks raise freight and insurance exposure.
Advises exporters to avoid new Cost, Insurance and Freight (CIF) commitments to Iran and Gulf destinations and to conclude sales on Free-On-Board (FOB) terms where feasible so freight, insurance and related risks rest with the buyer. Notes that West Asia instability may sharply increase bunker prices, disrupt vessel availability, raise freight and insurance premiums, and produce price volatility; urges restraint, avoidance of open-ended unhedged positions, and monitoring of consignments in transit or awaiting clearance.
March 1, 2026
Show AI Summary
GST rate restructuring boosts revenues as import and domestic consumption support post cut recovery in collections.
GST collections rose year on year following a statutory GST rate restructuring that reduced rates on numerous items and consolidated slabs; import revenue and domestic consumption supported recovery after an initial post cut dip. The pattern includes higher refunds, lower cess receipts, and divergent state level growth, raising considerations for revenue forecasting, state fiscal impacts, and the operational stability of the restructured indirect tax framework.
March 1, 2026
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Export disruptions to Iran risk shipment halts and payment delays for rice exporters amid regional conflict.
Shipments to Iran and consignments to Afghanistan via Bandar Abbas have been held up following military strikes, causing immediate shipment disruptions and likely payment delays until the security situation improves; exporters warn the impact depends on conflict duration and note heightened commercial risk from lack of war-risk insurance for vessels.
March 1, 2026
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Goods and Services Tax collections rose driven by import revenue growth, with higher refunds and lower cess receipts.
Gross collections under the Goods and Services Tax increased year on year, driven mainly by a stronger rise in import related GST receipts; domestic GST rose more modestly. Total refunds increased, and net GST receipts were higher year on year, while cess receipts declined markedly compared with the prior year period.
March 1, 2026
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Energy supply resilience mitigates immediate oil disruption risk, though prolonged Hormuz closure heightens price and supply concerns.
India's layered inventory buffers - commercial stocks, in-transit crude and strategic petroleum reserves - and full refinery tanks reduce the likelihood of immediate physical disruption from a short-term Strait of Hormuz closure, shifting the principal near-term impact to price, freight and insurance volatility; prolonged closure would more severely affect LNG and LPG due to contract rigidity and transit dependence, prompting reliance on diversified sourcing, Russian optionality, longer transit planning and strategic reserve drawdowns.
March 1, 2026
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Bail parity: Former CMO official released after court found investigation substantially complete and parity with other accused.
The court evaluated bail petitions in parallel Economic Offences Wing and Enforcement Directorate inquiries alleging a syndicate diverted liquor to government shops and laundered proceeds; it found the investigation substantially complete, trial unlikely to conclude soon, and that continued detention would not serve justice. Prosecution relied on asserted digital communications and co-accused statements alleging supervisory role and receipt/handling of proceeds; defence disputed incriminating material, reliance on statements, selective arrests and urged parity and repeated prior incarcerations. The court held evidentiary weight requires trial testing and noted parity with other released accused.

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Customs & Trade

Govt invokes ESMA powers, orders refiners to ramp up LPG production

March 6, 2026

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New Delhi, Mar 6 (PTI) The government invoked sparingly used emergency powers to direct oil refineries to ramp up LPG production as it looks to increase the availability of domestic cooking gas to hedge against potential disruptions from the widening Middle East conflict.

India consumed 31.3 million tonnes of LPG in 2024-25, of which only 12.8 million tonnes were produced domestically, with the remainder imported. Imports have become increasingly vulnerable as 85-90 per cent come from countries like Saudi Arabia that rely on the narrow but critical Strait of Hormuz for transit. The Strait has been effectively blocked following a week-old escalation in the region, after US and Israeli strikes on Iran prompted Tehran to retaliate against US bases in neighbouring countries.

While India has surplus oil refining capacity, it is short in LPG production. And now all public and private sector refiners have been asked to "maximise and ensure that propane and butane streams produced... are utilised for production of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG)," according to an oil ministry order of March 5.

LPG is a mixture of propane and butane.

The order, issued under the powers derived from the Essential Commodities Act of 1955 (popularly called ESMA), asked the refiners to make such LPG produced available to three public sector oil marketing companies - Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL) only.

The refiners have also been barred from using the two chemicals for producing petrochemicals.

"All oil refining companies shall not divert, utilise, process, crack, convert or otherwise employ propane or butane stream for the manufacture of petrochemical products or other such downstream derivatives," the order said.

The LPG so produced is to be sold only to domestic households for use in cooking purposes, it said, adding any contravention of the order shall attract penal action.

India has 33.08 crore active LPG consumers, and the government is looking to maintain an uninterrupted supply.

Earlier, the government invoked ESMA provisions in the oil sector during the post-Ukraine war period, asking refiners to ensure domestic fuel availability and not to export, which had become lucrative due to high margins.

A top Oil Ministry official said the oil and gas supplies through the Strait of Hormuz have been impacted and the country was sourcing fuel from outside of the conflict zone.

LPG under the recently signed LPG import contract with the United States have also started coming in.

Under the deal, public sector oil companies will import about 2.2 million tonnes of LPG from the US Gulf Coast in 2026 - roughly 10 per cent of the country's annual LPG imports - in a move to diversify energy sources and bolster energy security.

While the country has adequate stock of crude oil (raw material for making petrol and diesel), as much as 30 per cent of the gas supplies have been hit.

To deal with the situation, allocation is being re-prioritised - enforcing supply cuts for some and augmenting those for critical sectors, he said.

India consumes about 195 million standard cubic meters of natural gas daily for generating electricity, producing fertilizers, turning into CNG for automobiles, piping to household kitchens for cooking and use as feedstock in industries ranging from steel to ceramic. Roughly half of this is imported.

However, India's main supplier, Qatar, has shut its liquefied natural gas (LNG) production facility after being hit by drones and missiles during the ongoing conflict. This together with restrictions in movement of ships through the Strait of Hormuz has effectively cut off 60 mmscmd of supplies.

The official said companies are looking to buy LNG - super-cooled natural gas - from elsewhere. "A company bought a cargo (shipload of LNG) just yesterday." "We are comfortably placed. Crude oil continues to flow. Even before the conflict broke out on February 28, 55 per cent of our sourcing was from non-Strait countries, which will now go up," he said, adding the vulnerability on LPG has been addressed through the order issued on March 5.

Besides, Russian oil being made available after the US waiver for one month will further augment supplies.

"We are in a comfortable position. All our options are open. Whatever we lost in the Strait of Hormuz, we have been able to pick elsewhere," he said.

LNG is being scouted around the globe, he said, expressing optimism that more supplies will be managed in the near future. PTI ANZ MR

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