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February 27, 2026
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GDP growth projection revised upward; nominal growth strong and economy expected to expand markedly next fiscal year.
GDP growth for the next fiscal year has been revised upward and nominal GDP outlook strengthened, with officials forecasting the economy will cross the four trillion dollar threshold. The upward revision follows a national accounts base-year update to 2022-23 that integrates new data sources and methodological changes to reflect structural shifts, and it alters nominal GDP levels with consequential effects on fiscal-deficit ratios while leaving key fiscal indicators like primary and revenue deficits and capital expenditure ratios broadly unchanged.
February 27, 2026
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GDP calculation revamp raises official growth estimate and restructures sectoral measurement, affecting fiscal and policy benchmarks.
A methodological overhaul adopting a 2022-23 base year revises GDP computation by introducing double deflation for manufacturing and agriculture, replacing single deflation, and shifting household estimation to regular surveys. The new series integrates administrative sources (GST, PFMS, vehicle data) to better capture informal and fast growing sectors, producing upward revisions to headline real and nominal growth rates, altering sectoral contributions-notably manufacturing and services-and changing fiscal deficit and policy benchmarks that require recalibration of prior forecasts.
February 27, 2026
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Money laundering probe under PMLA progresses as ED seeks statements and attaches assets amid linked bank fraud allegations.
PMLA investigation alleges bank loan fraud by group companies; the ED sought to record the principal individual's statement in a Yes Bank-linked money laundering case but he did not appear and his spouse sought adjournment. The ED has previously questioned the individual, conducted extended interrogation, attached a Mumbai residence under anti-money laundering law, filed multiple money laundering cases against group entities, and formed a Special Investigation Team to probe related instances. A parallel agency registered a fresh criminal case and conducted searches concerning alleged cheating of a public sector bank.
February 27, 2026
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Base-year revision of GDP raises growth estimates and updates methodology using tax and administrative data.
The national accounts have been rebased to 2022-23 and revised by incorporating GST, PFMS and vehicular-registration data to refine GDP measurement. The methodology now uses double deflation for manufacturing and agriculture, more granular deflators elsewhere, and compiles household-sector levels from annual enterprise and labour-force surveys instead of inter-survey proxies, producing revised quarterly and annual real and nominal GDP estimates and altered growth profiles across recent periods.
February 27, 2026
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Foreign exchange reserves dip, driven by declines in currency assets, gold holdings, SDRs and IMF reserve position.
India's foreign exchange reserves fell by USD 2.119 billion for the week ended February 20, lowering total reserves to USD 723.608 billion. The decline was driven by decreases in foreign currency assets (down USD 1.039 billion to USD 572.564 billion), gold reserves (down USD 977 million to USD 127.489 billion), Special Drawing Rights (down USD 84 million to USD 18.84 billion), and the reserve position with the IMF (down USD 18 million to USD 4.716 billion).
February 27, 2026
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Fiscal receipts and expenditure review reports major tax receipts, state tax devolution and primary outlays through January.
Consolidated monthly accounts to January 2026 report Centre receipts at 79.5% of revised estimates-mainly Tax Revenue with Non Tax and Non Debt Capital Receipts-and an increased transfer to States as Devolution of Share of Taxes. Total expenditure is 74.3% of estimates, split between Revenue and Capital Expenditure, with Interest Payments and Major Subsidies forming the principal components of Revenue Expenditure.
February 27, 2026
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DTAA narrowing prompts NRIs to move from traditional offshore structures to IFSCA regulated Gift City USD fund structures.
Tightening of treaty shopping rules under foreign exchange regulation, expanded beneficial ownership disclosure and increased tax authority scrutiny have eroded the cost benefit of Singapore and Mauritius structures, prompting NRIs to consider IFSCA regulated Gift City USD denominated funds. Gift City offers open ended equity funds, Category II AIFs with multi year lock ins and Category III AIFs for active equity strategies; advisers emphasise modelling embedded gains, consulting tax advisors on DTAA applicability, and assessing currency risk, liquidity profiles and the distinction between MOIC and IRR before restructuring.
February 27, 2026
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Pre-trial detention under the PMLA risks indefinite incarceration unless predicate offences and proceeds are judicially established.
The PMLA should not be deployed to permit coercive arrest and prolonged pre-trial detention based on provisional allegations before the foundational facts of the predicate offence and the status of alleged proceeds of crime are judicially established; provisional attachment may be justified to preserve investigation, but arrest and onerous bail conditions must not operate mechanically absent a crystallised, judicially cognisable predicate offence, and statutory powers must be harmonised with constitutional safeguards protecting personal liberty.
February 27, 2026
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Tariff rebalancing: joint statement allows modification of commitments if tariff changes affect the bilateral trade pact.
The joint statement accompanying the interim bilateral trade agreement provides for tariff rebalancing, permitting either party to modify its commitments if the other changes agreed tariff measures, thereby preserving reciprocal balance. This mechanism functions as an operative safeguard to adjust negotiated tariff concessions in response to unilateral tariff actions while the parties finalise the legal text.
February 27, 2026
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Basic salary threshold changes require employers to restructure pay and update payroll systems under new laws.
New labour codes and the Income Tax Act 2025 require employers to reconfigure compensation structures so Basic Pay meets the prescribed threshold, increasing provident fund, social security, gratuity and leave liabilities; update payroll systems and TDS reporting to new rules and forms; effect prompt final wage settlement on separation via automated HRMS workflows; maintain fully digitized statutory records for real time inspections; and extend proportionate statutory benefits to fixed term employees, prompting reassessment of project and seasonal workforce liabilities.
February 26, 2026
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Free trade agreement strengthens market access and builds on earlier economic reforms enabling sustained growth potential.
Economic reforms liberalised foreign exchange, dismantled bureaucratic restrictions and opened the Indian market to foreign investors, stabilising public finances and enabling prolonged economic growth. The recently concluded free trade agreement with the European Union is presented as a further deepening of market integration that builds on those reforms and enhances bilateral market access.
February 26, 2026
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Executive tariff authority struck down; bilateral trade negotiations paused pending legal text to implement tariff reductions.
Presidential tariff authority was found invalid, prompting immediate temporary tariff adjustments and delaying bilateral trade negotiations because the interim framework reducing duties must be converted into a legally binding text before implementation. Chief negotiators' meetings were postponed pending clarity on tariff legality and future orders, and India indicated it will resume talks once tariff treatment is clarified.
February 26, 2026
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Money laundering probe prompts extended questioning and attachment of assets in alleged bank fraud matter.
Allegations of large scale bank fraud and resultant money laundering underpin the probe: extended questioning under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act concerns alleged diversion of funds through foreign subsidiaries and offshore entities tied to a group company. Investigative measures include constitution of a specialized investigation team, attachment of assets under anti money laundering provisions, searches, arrests of former executives, and parallel criminal case registrations alleging bank cheating in separate loan transactions.
February 26, 2026
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Simultaneous insolvency proceedings allowed against principal debtor and guarantor, enabling creditors to pursue parallel recovery routes.
There is no statutory bar under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code to initiating concurrent CIRP proceedings against a principal debtor and its corporate guarantor for the same debt; a creditor's right to realize a guarantee must not be frustrated by requiring sequential insolvency processes, the IBC does not exempt guarantors during pendency of another process, and adjudicating authorities must examine such applications independently, consistent with the principle that a surety's liability is co-extensive with the principal debtor.
February 26, 2026
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Prosecution sanction requirement in PMLA cases accelerates trial after agency files requisite approvals before the special court.
Enforcement Directorate placed competent prosecution sanction and an equivalent CrPC sanction order before the Special PMLA Court to remedy procedural defects identified by the Supreme Court and to expedite trial in two money laundering prosecutions arising from the Aircel Maxis and INX Media matters. The agency's action validates earlier ED chargesheets and aims to overcome delays caused by challenges to PMLA sanction requirements.
February 26, 2026
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Free Trade Agreement negotiations between India and Israel progress, covering goods, services, rules of origin, and digital trade.
Negotiations commenced under a signed Terms of Reference to establish a structured framework for an ambitious Free Trade Agreement between India and Israel, with the first round of talks addressing core chapters-trade in goods and services, rules of origin, sanitary and phytosanitary measures, technical barriers, customs procedures, intellectual property rights and digital trade-and agreeing continued virtual engagements and a further in person round in Israel.
February 26, 2026
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Recovery of real estate regulatory dues intensified, with stricter property-tracing and revenue recovery measures to enforce orders.
The government will intensify recovery of unpaid dues under the Real Estate Regulatory framework by directing district collectors to expedite recoveries, identify and attach defaulting developers' properties across districts, and trace assets using land records, stamp and registration data, property tax rolls, company registrations, vehicle registration records and, where necessary, tax authority assistance; recovery will be pursued through statutory revenue-recovery mechanisms and overseen via periodic reviews by senior administrators.
February 26, 2026
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Tribunal accountability undermined as technical members outsource judgments, prompting urgent tenure and vacancy reforms and oversight action.
Tribunal functioning and accountability are the central concerns: tribunals have become a "no-man's land" lacking accountability and producing questionable orders. Structural defects in the appointment and tenure regime allow technical members to assume chairpersonship and, in some instances, outsource drafting of judgments. The court directed the executive to expedite vacancy-filling mechanisms and granted interim tenure extensions for chairpersons while urging reforms to appointment, training, and accountability processes.
February 26, 2026
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Bank fraud allegations prompt fresh probe into diversion of loan funds and related money laundering inquiries.
A central investigative agency registered a fresh criminal case alleging that the promoter and his telecom group diverted and misutilised sanctioned loan funds, created fictitious related party transactions, manipulated accounts, and layered funds to conceal true flows, leading to the account's NPA classification; the bank's complaint and forensic findings allege systematic diversion through group entities and liquidation of investments to effect payments inconsistent with sanction terms.

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PMLA / Black Money

ED files prosecution sanction against P Chidambaram to expedite trial in 2 PMLA cases

February 26, 2026

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New Delhi, Feb 26 (PTI) The Enforcement Directorate on Thursday said it wants an expeditious trial against Congress leader P Chidambaram in two money laundering cases, Aircel-Maxis deal and INX Media, ”as it has submitted the required sanction for prosecution against the former Union finance minister before a designated court.

The federal probe agency had filed a chargesheet in the Aircel-Maxis case in 2018 and in the INX Media case in 2020 at the special Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA) court in Delhi (Rouse Avenue) and the court took their separate cognisance in 2021.

However, in November 2024, the Supreme Court directed (in the ED vs Bibhu Prasad Acharya case) that sanction for prosecution is mandatory in a PMLA chargesheet, similar to such an approval furnished while filing a chargesheet under the Criminal Procedure Code (CrPC).

Subsequent to this judgement, many accused charged under PMLA challenged the proceedings in multiple legal forums, leading to a delay in the trial including in these cases against P Chidambaram.

"To counter such delay and to comply with the judgement of the Hon'ble Supreme Court, ED has swiftly initiated remedial actions by seeking prosecution sanctions in all such prosecution complaints involving public servants," the ED said in a statement.

The agency said it sought the sanction for prosecution of Chidambaram from the competent authority which was obtained on February 10 along with a required order under section 197 of CrPC (Section 218 of Bharatiya Nagrik Suraksha Sanhita) for prosecuting the former Union minister in the two money laundering cases.

"The prosecution sanction order has been placed before the Hon'ble Special Court, Rouse Avenue by ED to expedite the trial in the case," the agency said.

P Chidambaram and his son Karti Chidambaram have always denied wrongdoing in these cases alleging it was a political witch hunt against them by the BJP-led central government.

P Chidambaram was named as accused number 6 in the Aircel-Maxis case while he was arraigned as accused no. 1 in the INX Media deal case chargesheet.

The ED filed a PMLA case in the Aircel-Maxis deal in 2012 taking cognisance of a CBI FIR of October 2011. It has filed two chargesheets in the case.

It is alleged by the ED that the former Union minister granted FIPB approval to Aircel-Maxis in lieu of quid pro quo as foreign investor (Maxis) applied for its foreign direct investment (FDI) approval to the tune of USD 800 million (Rs 3,565.91 crore). The competent authority for this approval was the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA).

"However, as part of a larger conspiracy, approval was fraudulently and dishonestly granted by the then finance minister P Chidambaram on 20.03.2006 who was competent to consider and approve FDI proposals involving total investment of Rs 600 crore or less," the ED said.

Probe found, as per the ED, that "illegal" gratification of Rs 1.16 crore was received by his son and Congress MP Karti Chidambaram in his companies named Advantage Strategic Consulting Pvt Ltd (ASCPL) and Chess Management Services.

The agency claimed there were financial transactions between the father and the son and funds of ASCPL were spent "for and on behalf of" P Chidambaram.

The INX Media money laundering case of 2017 was also filed on the basis of a CBI FIR lodged in that year and the ED filed two chargesheets in this case and also named Karti as an accused.

The probe pertains to grant of Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) approval to INX Media during the tenure of P Chidambaram as the finance minister.

The ED alleged that in consideration for granting and subsequently regularizing the FIPB approval, "illegal" gratification was received through entities "beneficially" owned/controlled by Karti Chidambaram.

These amounts were routed through shell companies including ASCPL and associated entities which were under direct or indirect control of and beneficially owned by Karti Chidambaram, it said.

"These funds were layered and integrated through the investment in shares of Vasan Health Care and AGS Health Care and subsequently multiplied through sale of shares and overseas investments," it claimed.

Karti Chidambaram and his close associates acted on behalf of P Chidambaram, interacted with people of INX Media regarding FIPB approval matters and "collected" proceeds of crime, the agency alleged.

The funds were also utilised for deposits in bank accounts and for investment in movable and immovable properties in India and abroad in the names of shell entities and associates, it said. PTI NES KVK KVK

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