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<h1>Central bank holds policy rate at 5.5% as inflation falls below 4%, flags possible future rate cuts amid risks</h1> The central bank left its policy rate unchanged at 5.5% while signaling that future cuts remain possible as the monetary policy committee sharply revised downwards its inflation outlook. The committee warned of downside GDP risks in H2 of 2025-26 from overseas tariff actions but noted that recent GST rate rationalisation will partly offset the impact, with labour-intensive sectors most vulnerable and needing policy support. Retail inflation has eased below the 4% target band since February, enabling a cumulative 100 bps easing since February and creating space for further easing if global central bank moves permit.