<h1>Central bank raises 2025-26 GDP growth to 6.8% and cuts CPI inflation to 2.6%, flags export risks</h1> The central bank revised its 2025-26 macroeconomic projections in a bi-monthly monetary policy statement, raising real GDP growth to 6.8% (with quarterly breakdowns) and lowering CPI inflation to 2.6% for the year, citing an above-normal monsoon, GST rate rationalisation and improved food supply as key factors; it warned that US tariffs could dampen exports. The statement noted stronger Q1 growth and subdued headline and core inflation to date, and projected higher inflation for early 2026-27. These adjustments affect monetary policy assessment and signal expectation shifts for fiscal and regulatory planners.