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    Economy shows notable resilience despite global headwinds: RBI bulletin
    Sugar prices rise by nearly Re 1 per kg to about Rs 64
    Trump says he's considering renaming Lake Ontario as 'Lake America' as trade war with escalates
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August 25, 2026
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Economic resilience remains supported by domestic demand, manufacturing, liquidity and capital inflows despite external trade and geopolitical risks.
Economic resilience is attributed to buoyant domestic demand, sustained manufacturing and services activity, and double-digit merchandise trade growth. Improved southwest monsoon conditions supported kharif sowing and partly reduced agricultural risks, although geopolitical frictions and fresh United States tariffs remained external risks. Supply-side pressures raised consumer price inflation, while stable core inflation indicated limited cost pass-through. Easing liquidity, credit growth, investment activity and rebounding foreign capital inflows supported financial and external-sector conditions.
August 25, 2026
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Sugar price controls combine raw sugar imports, stockholding limits, and export restrictions to curb retail inflation.
Sugar market intervention combines permitted imports of raw sugar, stockholding limits for dealers and bulk consumers, and an existing export ban to address sharp increases in retail and wholesale prices. Limits on inventories held by trade participants and large industrial consumers are intended to curb speculation and hoarding. Although ex-mill rates declined after the import decision and anti-hoarding measures, the reduction had not yet translated fully into retail prices. The measures seek to supplement domestic availability and restrain practices that may intensify consumer-price increases.
August 25, 2026
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Tariff escalation drives retaliatory planning, industry protection measures, supply-chain uncertainty, and proposed symbolic geographic renaming amid cross-border trade tensions.
United States-Canada trade tensions have intensified after tariffs were imposed on Canadian goods following unsuccessful bilateral talks. Canada is expected to pursue retaliatory measures, potentially using targeted action to protect workers and businesses rather than matching tariffs directly. Further tariff threats concern vehicles, auto parts and steel. Integrated cross-border supply chains in automotive, energy, agriculture and manufacturing face increased costs and consumer-price uncertainty. Consideration of renaming Lake Ontario as "Lake America" has also been linked to the escalating dispute.
August 25, 2026
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Central infrastructure monitoring through PAIMANA-PROJ tracks implementation progress, sectoral priorities, completed works, and integration of newly monitored projects.
PAIMANA-PROJ monitors Central Sector infrastructure projects costing Rs. 150 crore and above across 17 Ministries and Departments. As of July 2026, 1,775 projects with a revised cost of Rs. 37.11 lakh crore were under monitoring, with cumulative expenditure of Rs. 19.26 lakh crore. Transport and Logistics formed the largest monitored sector, followed by Energy. The portfolio included mega and major projects at varying physical and financial completion stages. PAIMANA-CRIP serves as the central infrastructure-project data repository, with most data updated through APIs.
August 25, 2026
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Plant growth regulator quality controls require farmer awareness, licensed sales, quarantine compliance, and protection against uncertified orchard inputs.
Plant Growth Regulator quality control seeks to protect farmers and orchardists from spurious products sold in the open market. Licensed pesticide and fungicide outlets receive application schedules, while farmer awareness is stressed due to purchases of cheaper PGRs that may not achieve expected results. Rootstock imports require quarantine clearance, and uncertified rootstock purchased from the market is associated with disease spread in orchards. Regulatory measures include direct departmental sale of branded chemicals, promotion of weather-based crop insurance, and demands concerning minimum support pricing and Market Intervention Scheme documentation.
August 25, 2026
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Anti-conversion compliance prompts voluntary prayer declarations, alongside food-safety oversight and enforcement against demolition, liquor, and cyber-fraud allegations.
Maharashtra's anti-conversion law has commenced, and churches across the Mumbai Metropolitan Region have sought written self-declarations confirming voluntary prayer attendance without pressure. Food-safety oversight requires cleaning of cricket association eateries before a further inspection. Enforcement matters include investigation into unauthorised shop demolitions allegedly involving misuse of a municipal corporation's name, arrests connected with spurious-liquor manufacture, and a cyber-fraud network allegedly using mule accounts to launder proceeds. A retired High Court judge has been appointed as Lokayukta.
August 25, 2026
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User development fee rationalisation reduces departure charges and links airport cost recovery to commissioned capital projects during the tariff cycle.
Airport tariff regulation for Hyderabad airport fixes reduced User Development Fee for departing domestic and international passengers from 1 September 2026 through 31 March 2031, with rationalised landing charges. The tariff determination applies the incremental Aggregate Revenue Requirement framework, linking airport-charge cost recovery to completion, commissioning and use of identified high-value capital expenditure projects. A variable tariff plan provides landing-charge incentives upon prescribed qualifying conditions, supporting traffic development and route expansion while requiring cost-reflective, transparent and non-discriminatory aeronautical tariffs.
August 25, 2026
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Rupee appreciation reflects weaker dollar, lower crude prices, positive equities, and foreign-exchange inflows through swap facilities.
Foreign-exchange market conditions supported the rupee's appreciation against the US dollar, driven by positive domestic equity markets, a weaker dollar, and declining crude-oil prices. The USD/INR pair remained within a narrow range, with oil-price movements and potential central-bank intervention identified as near-term determinants. A special USD-INR foreign-exchange swap facility covering FCNR(B) deposits, overseas foreign-currency borrowings and external commercial borrowings had mobilised foreign-exchange inflows relevant to currency liquidity.
August 25, 2026
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Energy supply diversification reshapes India's LPG, LNG and crude sourcing amid constrained Gulf availability and higher logistics costs.
India's energy-import sourcing has shifted towards supply diversification as disruption in the Strait of Hormuz constrained traditional Gulf supplies. United States cargoes have become particularly important for LPG and LNG, while procurement has also broadened to Atlantic Basin and other non-traditional suppliers. Diversification increases costs through longer voyages, higher freight, insurance expenses, tighter availability and higher commodity prices, reflecting a premium for supply security. Crude sourcing continues to rely principally on Russia, alongside resilient UAE flows and increased Venezuelan heavy crude imports.
August 25, 2026
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Intelligence-led enforcement against illicit trade requires coordinated data-sharing, risk profiling, digital accountability and disruption of organised supply networks.
Cross-border illicit trade enforcement should move beyond isolated seizures to intelligence-led disruption of organised criminal networks. Risk-based profiling, predictive analytics, container scanning and shipment-data analysis should support targeted action against misdeclaration, port-hopping, concealment and digital distribution. Right holders should share specific intelligence with customs targeting mechanisms, and goods entering Domestic Tariff Areas from warehousing and special economic zones require enhanced examination. Digital enforcement should trace suppliers, financial flows, data trails and small-parcel movements, supported by coordinated feedback between online marketplaces, police and customs.
August 25, 2026
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NRI banking account segregation aligns overseas earnings, domestic income, foreign-currency savings, remittances, and borrowing with cross-border commitments.
NRI banking arrangements require segregation of overseas earnings, India-sourced income, savings, remittances and expenditure after residential status changes. An NRE account holds overseas income remitted to India, with interest exempt from income tax in India. An NRO account is intended for Indian income, including rent, dividends and pension, while FCNR deposits retain funds in a chosen foreign currency. A structured arrangement can align these accounts with domestic obligations, overseas spending, remittances, investments and compliant digital banking access.
August 25, 2026
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Sugar import authorisation and anti-hoarding controls aim to moderate ex-mill prices amid adequate domestic stocks.
Raw sugar imports were permitted, while stock limits were imposed on bulk consumers. States were directed to strengthen inspections, and nationwide flying squads were deployed to identify hoarding and speculative conduct. These measures target sugar availability and distribution across wholesale and retail channels. Ex-mill prices declined following the measures, although wholesale and retail prices had not yet reflected the reduction.
August 25, 2026
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Foreign-currency swap window closure focuses non-resident deposit mobilisation, while ECB hedging support continues for public-sector borrowers.
RBI's concessional Foreign Currency Non-Resident Bank deposit swap window closes on August 31, replacing the previous September 30 cut-off. Separately, the special US dollar-rupee foreign-exchange swap window remains available until December 31, 2026, providing concessional currency-hedging support to public sector undertakings raising external commercial borrowings. SBI expects to mobilise predominantly through deposits from non-resident Indians and foreign investors, with external commercial borrowings also visible.
August 25, 2026
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Industrial power tariff revision applies only within the shared distribution area, while steel producers seek rollback and fuel supply support.
Industrial electricity tariff revision is proposed from 1 September for 33 KV and 11 KV consumers within the Damodar Valley Corporation command area. The increase is confined to the shared distribution-licence area, while a separate and higher tariff structure applies outside it. Steel and sponge-iron industry associations oppose the revision on the basis that it will raise energy costs and affect investment conditions. They seek withdrawal of the increase and request continuing supplies of high-grade coal and iron ore for sponge-iron production.
August 25, 2026
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Institutional capital facilitation prioritises repatriation, market access, regulatory predictability, and cross-border partnerships supporting technology-led long-term investment.
India-Japan investment engagement focuses on increasing long-term Japanese institutional capital flows through an enabling business environment, intellectual property protection, policy reforms and integration with global value chains. Facilitation measures include simpler profit repatriation processes, improved access to Indian capital markets, greater regulatory predictability and a seamless cross-border investment environment. GIFT City is explored as a gateway for international capital and Japan-India investment flows.
August 25, 2026
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Strategic investment partnership prioritises semiconductor manufacturing, resilient supply chains and advanced industrial collaboration between Indian and Japanese businesses.
India-Japan economic cooperation is directed toward deeper trade, investment, technology and business-to-business linkages, including economic security, supply-chain resilience, clean energy and innovation. Collaboration is focused on capital goods, machinery, automotive and advanced manufacturing, with stronger connections between Japanese enterprises and India's Tier-II and Tier-III suppliers, including Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises. Semiconductor manufacturing is identified as a significant investment area. The India-Japan Special Strategic and Global Partnership supports expanded engagement with manufacturing ecosystems, global value chains and resilient supply chains.
August 25, 2026
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Bilateral trade and investment cooperation advances through customs alignment, digital payment integration, market access discussions and investment treaty completion.
India-Cambodia trade and investment cooperation addressed trade diversification, market access, customs alignment, digital payments and investment facilitation. Discussions covered traditional medicine, e-governance, recognition of the Indian pharmacopeia, trade statistics, agricultural cooperation, banking and insurance. The parties agreed on an MoU on Customs Cooperation to promote uniform customs procedures and considered early completion and signature of the Bilateral Investment Treaty. UPI-KHQR payment integration, investment promotion, priority-sector cooperation and a private-sector feedback mechanism were also discussed.
August 25, 2026
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Voluntary pharmaceutical export compliance framework promotes legitimate trade while safeguarding controlled substances through information sharing and coordinated capacity building.
The Memorandum of Understanding creates a cooperative framework for legitimate pharmaceutical exports and safeguards against diversion of narcotic drugs, psychotropic substances and controlled precursors. A voluntary, non-binding code of conduct will recommend industry practices without imposing obligations beyond applicable law. Cooperation includes identifying export bottlenecks, streamlining procedures for compliant exporters, capacity-building programmes, lawful and confidential information sharing, and nomination of company contact persons to coordinate voluntary compliance measures.
August 25, 2026
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USD-INR forex swap facility accelerates foreign-currency mobilisation through non-resident deposits and institutional borrowing, strengthening India's external buffers.
USD-INR forex swap facility for FCNR(B) deposits, overseas foreign-currency borrowings and external commercial borrowings enabled banks to access foreign-currency funding through a special swap window. FCNR(B) deposits formed the principal component of the reported foreign-exchange inflows, reflecting participation by non-resident Indians. The FCNR(B) window was scheduled for early closure after the stated mobilisation objective was achieved ahead of schedule, and the inflows were presented as strengthening external buffers through long-term non-resident deposits and institutional funding.
August 25, 2026
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Foreign-exchange intervention moderated rupee depreciation as crude prices, importer dollar demand and geopolitical uncertainty sustained currency-market pressure.
Foreign-exchange conditions reflected a marginal weakening of the rupee against the US dollar, influenced by elevated crude-oil prices, importer demand for dollars, weaker Asian equities and geopolitical uncertainty. The currency remained within a narrow trading band, with RBI dollar sales described as moderating sharper depreciation. The RBI's special USD-INR forex swap facility for FCNR(B) deposits, Overseas Foreign Currency Borrowings and External Commercial Borrowings mobilised substantial foreign-exchange inflows, indicating support from non-resident Indian participants.

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Customs & Trade

Trump injects new dose of uncertainty in tariffs as he pushes start date back to August 7

August 1, 2025

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Washington, Aug 1 (AP) For weeks, President Donald Trump was promising the world economy would change on Friday with his new tariffs in place. It was an ironclad deadline, administration officials assured the public.

But when Trump signed the order Thursday night imposing new tariffs on 68 countries and the European Union, the start date of the punishing import taxes was pushed back seven days so that the tariff schedule could be updated. The change — while potentially welcome news to countries that had not yet reached a deal with the US — injected a new dose of uncertainty for consumers and businesses still wondering what's going to happen and when.

Trump has promised that his tax hikes on the nearly $3 trillion in goods imported to the United States will usher in newfound wealth, launch a cavalcade of new factory jobs, reduce the budget deficits and, simply, get other countries to treat America with more respect.

The vast tariffs risk jeopardising America's global standing as allies feel forced into unfriendly deals. As taxes on the raw materials used by US factories and basic goods, the tariffs also threaten to create new inflationary pressures and hamper economic growth — concerns the Trump White House has dismissed.

Questions swirl around the tariffs despite Trump's eagerness As the clock ticked toward Trump's self-imposed deadline, few things seemed to be settled other than the president's determination to levy the taxes he has talked about for decades. The very legality of the tariffs remains an open question as a US appeals court on Thursday heard arguments on whether Trump had exceeded his authority by declaring an “emergency” under a 1977 law to charge the tariffs, allowing him to avoid congressional approval.

Trump was ebullient as much of the world awaited what he would do.

“Tariffs are making America GREAT & RICH Again,” he said Thursday morning on Truth Social.

Others saw a policy carelessly constructed by the US president, one that could impose harms gradually over time that would erode America's power and prosperity.

“The only things we'll know for sure on Friday morning are that growth-sapping US import taxes will be historically high and complex, and that, because these deals are so vague and unfinished, policy uncertainty will remain very elevated,” said Scott Lincicome, a vice president of economics at the Cato Institute. “The rest is very much TBD.” The new tariffs build off ones announced in the spring Trump initially imposed the Friday deadline after his previous “Liberation Day” tariffs in April resulted in a stock market panic. His unusually high tariff rates unveiled then led to recession fears, prompting Trump to impose a 90-day negotiating period. When he was unable to create enough trade deals with other countries, he extended the timeline and sent out letters to world leaders that simply listed rates, prompting a slew of hasty agreements.

Swiss imports will now be taxed at a higher rate — 39 per cent — than the 31 per cent Trump threatened in April, while Liechtenstein saw its rate slashed from 37 per cent to 15 per cent. Countries not listed in the Thursday night order would be charged a baseline 10 per cent tariff.

Trump negotiated trade frameworks over the past few weeks with the EU, Japan, South Korea, Indonesia and the Philippines — allowing the president to claim victories as other nations sought to limit his threat of charging even higher tariff rates. He said on Thursday there were agreements with other countries, but he declined to name them.

Thursday began with a palpable sense of tension The EU was awaiting a written agreement on its 15% tariff deal. Switzerland and Norway were among the dozens of countries that did not know what their tariff rate would be, while Trump agreed after a Thursday morning phone call to keep Mexico's tariffs at 25 per cent for a 90-day negotiating period.

European leaders face blowback for seeming to cave to Trump, even as they insist that this is merely the start of talks and stress the importance of maintaining America's support of Ukraine's fight against Russia. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has already indicated that his country can no longer rely on the US as an ally, and Trump declined to talk to him on Thursday.

India, with its 25 per cent tariff announced Wednesday by Trump, may no longer benefit as much from efforts to pivot manufacturing out of China. While the Trump administration has sought to challenge China's manufacturing dominance, it is separately in extended trade talks with that country, which faces a 30% tariff and is charging a 10% retaliatory rate on the US.

Major companies came into the week warning that tariffs would begin to squeeze them financially. Ford Motor Co. said it anticipated a net $2 billion hit to earnings this year from tariffs. French skincare company Yon-Ka is warning of job freezes, scaled-back investment and rising prices.

It's unclear whether Trump's new tariffs will survive a legal challenge Federal judges sounded sceptical Thursday about Trump's use of a 1977 law to declare the long-standing US trade deficit a national emergency that justifies tariffs on almost every country on Earth.

“You're asking for an unbounded authority,” Judge Todd Hughes of the US Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit told a Justice Department lawyer representing the administration.

The judges didn't immediately rule, and the case is expected to eventually reach the Supreme Court.

The Trump White House has pointed to the increase in federal revenues as a sign that the tariffs will reduce the budget deficit, with $127 billion in customs and duties collected so far this year — about $70 billion more than last year.

New tariffs threaten to raise inflation rates There are not yet signs that tariffs will lead to more domestic manufacturing jobs, and the US economy now has 14,000 fewer manufacturing jobs than it did in April.

On Thursday, one crucial measure of inflation, known as the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, showed that prices have climbed 2.6 per cent over the 12 months that ended in June, a sign that inflation may be accelerating as the tariffs flow through the economy.

The prospect of higher inflation from the tariffs has caused the Federal Reserve to hold off on additional cuts to its benchmark rates, a point of frustration for Trump, who on Truth Social, called Fed Chair Jerome Powell a “TOTAL LOSER.” But ahead of Trump's tariffs, Powell seemed to suggest that the tariffs had put the US economy and much of the world into a state of unknowns.

“There are many uncertainties left to resolve,” Powell told reporters Wednesday. “So, yes, we are learning more and more. It doesn't feel like we're very close to the end of that process. And that's not for us to judge, but it does — it feels like there's much more to come.” (AP) AMJ AMJ

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