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    RBI holds interest rates for fourth straight meeting, awaits clearer inflation outlook
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    August 5, 2026
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    Neutral monetary policy stance continues as inflation clarity is awaited, alongside cooperative banking and lending-rate transparency measures.
    Monetary policy maintained the benchmark policy repo rate and a neutral stance pending clearer evidence that energy-cost pressures will generate broad-based inflation. Inflation is expected to rise temporarily due principally to food and fuel prices before moderating, while core inflation remains benign. The approach remains data-dependent, supported by two-way liquidity operations. Proposed measures include resuming urban cooperative bank licensing, revising rural cooperative bank credit-monitoring directions, and harmonising interest-rate regulation on advances across regulated entities to improve transparency and consumer protection.
    August 5, 2026
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    Repo rate stability preserves the policy stance amid lower inflation projections, stronger growth expectations and external-sector resilience.
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    August 5, 2026
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    Polymer currency notes target improved durability as monetary policy remains data-dependent and rupee management pursues an orderly trajectory.
    Polymer currency notes are targeted for circulation at the beginning of the next financial year, subject to implementation proceeding as planned. They are intended to improve durability, especially for lower-denomination notes with high circulation velocity. Monetary policy decisions will remain data-dependent and focused on aligning headline inflation with its medium-term target. Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank) scheme inflows are expected to remain healthy until closure, with no proposal for premature termination. Rupee management aims to maintain an orderly exchange-rate trajectory.
    August 5, 2026
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    Customs anti-smuggling enforcement targets gold concealed as silver-coated armlets following passenger profiling and personal search at airport.
    Customs officers intercepted two passengers arriving from Istanbul after Advance Passenger Information System profiling and their activation of the Door Frame Metal Detector. A personal search recovered approximately one kilogram of gold, silver-coated and concealed as traditional armlets worn on the upper arms. The gold was seized under the Customs Act, a smuggling case was registered, and investigation was initiated into the source and any wider smuggling network.
    August 5, 2026
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    Closing auction price discovery for eligible derivatives shares begins as monetary policy retains the repo rate and neutral stance.
    The Reserve Bank retained the repo rate with a neutral stance amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions. Stock exchanges introduced the Closing Auction Session in the equity cash segment for eligible shares with futures and options contracts. This auction-based mechanism determines closing prices of eligible stocks and aims to make price discovery more transparent and robust.
    August 5, 2026
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    Services-sector growth slowed as weaker demand, competition and postponed orders moderated business activity, while employment improved modestly.
    Services-sector growth slowed as domestic and export orders moderated amid weaker demand, competitive pressures, softer market conditions and postponed orders. Output continued to expand, but at its weakest pace in more than four years. Employment growth improved modestly, while input costs rose and firms increased selling prices. Business confidence remained positive but declined, and the composite output indicator weakened due principally to the sharp slowdown in services activity.
    August 5, 2026
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    Interim bail conditions require residence outside the state and trial attendance in alleged manpower commission corruption proceedings.
    Interim bail was granted to Anwar Dhebar in a matter involving alleged corruption and an illegal commission mechanism linked to a state marketing corporation. Conditions require him to remain outside Chhattisgarh, attend the trial court, and provide his residential address. The allegations concern manpower supply agencies allegedly being compelled to pay commissions for clearance of legitimate bills, with proceeds routed through intermediaries. The case was registered under the Indian Penal Code and the Prevention of Corruption Act.
    August 5, 2026
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    Tax certainty measures revise fund-management safe harbours, electronic-payment charges, sectoral exemptions, business-trust treatment, and excess expenditure appropriation.
    The Taxation and Other Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2026 proposes to replace the Income-tax (Amendment) Ordinance, 2026 and amend payment-system and tax laws. It would prohibit charges on notified electronic payments, revise safe-harbour conditions for eligible investment funds and fund managers, and expand tax exemptions for Government securities, qualifying rough-diamond sales and bonded-warehouse component storage. It also modifies exemptions concerning electronic-goods contract manufacturing, data centres and business-trust dividends, while imposing a differentiated surcharge on qualifying special purpose vehicles. A separately included appropriation bill authorises excess expenditure from the Consolidated Fund of India.
    August 5, 2026
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    Growth and inflation projections reflect resilient domestic activity while energy volatility, supply disruptions, and food prices sustain inflation risks.
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    August 5, 2026
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    Industry collaboration strengthens MSME competitiveness through shared resources, market linkages, capability building and inclusive support for women entrepreneurs.
    MSME development is linked to collaboration, knowledge-sharing, institutional support and capability building. Industry associations can provide networking, policy advocacy, business intelligence, skills programmes, shared infrastructure and market linkages, while collective procurement, shared logistics, digital commerce and export readiness may improve competitiveness. Women-led enterprises benefit from market-oriented capability development, mentorship, continuous learning, professional networks, capacity-building programmes and institutional support. The Development of Industry Associations initiative is intended to connect associations and facilitate the sharing of best practices.
    August 5, 2026
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    Monetary policy rate maintenance continues under a neutral stance amid energy disruption, inflation concerns and sustained currency depreciation.
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    August 5, 2026
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    Monetary policy rates were retained without change for a third consecutive review, with a neutral stance maintained amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions associated with the West Asia crisis. The policy assessment noted retail inflation above the medium-term target, alongside an upward revision to growth expectations and a downward revision to the inflation projection. Continued rupee depreciation was linked to higher oil prices, capital outflows, widening trade deficits and a stronger US dollar.
    August 5, 2026
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    Monetary policy expectations shape equity sentiment as softer crude prices and foreign investment support domestic financial assets.
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    Foreign exchange market movement strengthens as lower crude prices and monetary policy signals influence the rupee's direction.
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    August 4, 2026
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    Dearness allowance arrears must be cleared promptly, while the government examines legal remedies and continues its structured liquidation plan.
    Pending dearness allowance arrears of government employees and pensioners are to be cleared within a fortnight, with restraint on unproductive expenditure until admissible dues are paid. The government states that it will pay constitutionally and legally valid dues while examining the judgment, precedents and possible legal remedies. It attributes the arrears to delayed pay commission implementation and frozen dearness allowance, and states that a structured liquidation plan has been prepared and partly implemented.
    August 4, 2026
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    Money-laundering investigation examines alleged fraudulent industrial plot allotments, benami holdings and diversion of plots to residential use.
    A money-laundering investigation under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act examines alleged irregularities in industrial-plot allotments involving corporation officials, private persons, property dealers and alleged benamidars. The inquiry concerns alleged use of fictitious firms and false addresses to obtain plots, allotments to relatives and associates, and alleged diversion or change of land use from industrial to residential purposes. These activities are alleged to have generated private gains while causing loss to the public exchequer.
    August 4, 2026
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    Rupee exchange-rate movement gains support from capital inflows, while oil prices, dollar strength and monetary policy shape sentiment.
    Rupee exchange-rate movement was supported by foreign capital inflows and improved global risk sentiment, while elevated crude-oil prices and a stronger US dollar constrained gains. Market attention shifted to monetary policy, overseas dollar-deposit incentives and easier foreign access to government bonds, which were reported to support capital inflows and India's external position. A cautious approach to the benchmark repo rate was expected amid assessment of the West Asia conflict.
    August 4, 2026
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    Interim bilateral trade agreement negotiations continue as both sides work to finalise unresolved issues in the proposed arrangement.
    Interim bilateral trade agreement negotiations between India and the United States are continuing. Both sides have undertaken substantial work, while certain issues remain to be finalised before completion of the proposed interim trade arrangement. A United States Trade Representative delegation visited India to advance discussions. The text records the status of negotiations and identifies no concluded agreement or operative customs measure.
    August 4, 2026
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    Fuel-price volatility mitigation will combine fiscal measures, consumer protection, energy security and fiscal sustainability during external energy shocks.
    Fuel-price volatility is to be mitigated through fiscal and administrative measures that protect consumers while maintaining fiscal sustainability. The approach includes monitoring revenue and expenditure, reprioritising spending, and using fiscal measures when economic conditions require. Reduced central excise duty on petrol and diesel moderated the impact of elevated international crude prices and partly offset under-recoveries of public-sector oil marketing companies. Longer-term measures include revenue mobilisation, import diversification, Strategic Petroleum Reserves, cleaner fuels and energy efficiency.
    August 4, 2026
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    Tax policy certainty reforms propose easier fund management, data-centre access, electronics incentives and revised electronic-payment charging rules.
    The proposed Bill seeks to simplify conditions for foreign investment funds using fund managers in India without being treated as carrying on business in India, while retaining safeguards against misuse and round-tripping. It proposes removal of approval requirements for foreign cloud companies using Indian data centres and permits leased operation of Indian data centres. It also extends tax support for foreign companies participating in electronics contract manufacturing and component warehousing, preserves tax-free dividends for REIT and InvIT investors in specified circumstances, and removes the prohibition on Merchant Discount Rate charges for notified electronic payment modes.

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      Russia's Rosneft in early talks with Reliance to sell stake in India unit

      June 29, 2025

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      New Delhi, Jun 29 (PTI) Russian oil giant PJSC Rosneft Oil Company is in early talks with Reliance Industries for sale of its 49.13 per cent stake in Nayara Energy, which operates a 20-million tonnes-a-year oil refinery and 6,750 petrol pumps in India, sources said.

      Reliance has held preliminary talks for acquisition of Nayara, which will help it overtake state-owned Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) to become India's No.1 oil refiner as well as give a meaningful presence in the fuel marketing space.

      But the talks are at preliminary stage and there is no guarantee that they may lead to a definite deal as valuation remains a sticky ground, three sources with direct knowledge of the matter said.

      Top Rosneft officials have visited India at least thrice in the last one year, including visits to Ahmedabad and Mumbai, for talks with potential investors.

      For Rosneft, which is looking to exit from Nayara due to western sanctions limiting its ability to repatriate full earnings from India operations, a potential buyer could be one who has substantial earnings overseas or is an international company - both of which could make quick overseas payouts for the stake.

      Being a large exporter of fuel, Reliance has substantial overseas income, the sources said.

      While emails sent to Rosneft for comments remained unanswered, a Reliance spokesperson said, "As a policy, we do not comment on media speculation and rumours." "Our company evaluates various opportunities on an ongoing basis," the spokesperson said. "We have made and will continue to make necessary disclosures in compliance with our obligations under Securities Exchange Board of India (Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations 2015 and our agreements with the stock exchanges." Rosneft, which had in 2017 acquired Essar Oil in a USD 12.9-billion deal, is unable to get full financial benefits from its Indian operations, including repatriating earnings, due to international sanctions. Essar Oil was subsequently named Nayara Energy.

      The Russian giant sometime in 2024 decided to exit Nayara and began scouting for potential buyers. Alongside Rosneft, UCP Investment Group, a major Russian financial firm, is also selling its 24.5 per cent stake in Nayara.

      The rest of Nayara's ownership includes Trafigura Group (24.5 per cent) and a group of retail shareholders. If a deal is struck, Trafigura too may exit the venture within months on same terms, they said.

      The stake of Rosneft and UCP was offered to Reliance Industries, Adani Group, Saudi Aramco and state-owned ONGC/IOC combine among others.

      But the USD 20-billion valuation that Rosneft had put for Nayara was considered too steep a price by almost every potential investor.

      Adani Group politely declined the offer to invest in an oil refinery, which is considered a sunset business given the energy transition planned worldwide.

      Besides the asking price being too high, the conglomerate's understanding with French energy giant TotalEnergies, with whom it has stitched multi-billion dollar partnership in city gas and renewable energy space, also came in the way of investing in Nayara, the sources said, adding Adani had in its deal with TotalEnergies agreed to limit future investments in fossil fuel space to only natural gas.

      Sources said Saudi Aramco is a serious contender to take over Nayara as it will fulfil its long-desired ambition of having downstream presence in the world's fastest growing oil market.

      Aramco, the world's largest oil exporter, had previously agreed to invest in a giant oil refinery-cum-petrochemical complex that state-owned firms had planned to build in Maharashtra, but that project hasn't taken off due to land acquisition delays.

      It had in 2019 signed a non-binding agreement to buy a 20 per cent stake in Reliance's oil-to-chemical (O2C) business for USD 15 billion but the deal was called off two years later over valuation issues.

      Sources said Aramco too considers the USD 20 billion valuation too high.

      It wasn't known if talks between Rosneft and Aramco have progressed beyond initial contact.

      Nayara makes the most sense for Reliance, they said. Reliance operates twin refineries, with a combined capacity of 68.2 million tonnes per annum at Jamnagar in Gujarat. Its units are in the vicinity of Nayara's 20-million tonnes-a-year unit at Vadinar, Gujarat.

      Nayara will help it cross IOC's 80.8-million tonnes-a-year capacity to become No.1 refiner in the country. But more importantly, the 6,750 petrol pumps of Nayara would help it gain a meaningful share in the fuel retailing business. Reliance has just 1,972 petrol pumps out of 97,366 outlets in the country.

      "Oil refining alone is not a profitable business. Unless you have marketing, you can never make money," an industry official explained.

      Sources said for both Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) and IOC, the valuation being sought by Rosneft is too high.

      For them the value of petrol pumps should not be more than Rs 3-3.5 crore per outlet. This gives a valuation of not more than USD 2.5-3 billion for the marketing network and similar value is what they see for the oil refinery, they said.

      But for Reliance, the value of the marketing network is more, perhaps Rs 7 crore per outlet (USD 5.5 billion). And given the synergies the combined operations of Jamnagar and Vadinar refineries can derive, the 20-million tonnes Nayara unit and its planned petchem unit could be worth another USD 5 billion, they said.

      Sources said since the start of talks, Rosneft has brought down the valuation to USD 17 billion but that too is considered too high by companies such as Reliance.

      However, no official deal has been confirmed, and Rosneft has not made a formal statement on the matter yet. PTI ANZ HVA

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