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    Rupee gains 13 paise to close at 95.15 against US dollar post-RBI policy decision
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    RBI keeps policy rate unchanged for third time in row amid West Asia crisis
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    August 5, 2026
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    Foreign exchange stability measures support the rupee as policy continuity, capital inflows and global risk sentiment shape currency expectations.
    Foreign exchange market movement reflected a rupee appreciation against the US dollar following the monetary policy decision to retain the repo rate and neutral stance. Market sentiment was supported by softer crude oil prices, weakness in the US dollar, lower US Treasury yields and foreign equity inflows. The monetary policy framework sought to support capital inflows and maintain an orderly rupee trajectory, with geopolitical developments and US economic data remaining relevant to near-term exchange-rate expectations.
    August 5, 2026
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    Money-laundering investigation examines alleged proceeds from chit fund operations following searches linked to a former company managing director.
    A money-laundering investigation concerns alleged proceeds of crime arising from a multi-state chit fund operation associated with Welfare Building and Estates Pvt Ltd. The company is alleged to have collected investor deposits through investment schemes promising high returns before defaulting. Searches at premises linked to its former managing director form part of the inquiry into alleged laundering. The underlying alleged fraud had previously resulted in a CBI case and multiple police FIRs.
    August 5, 2026
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    Political restraint in public communications was urged, alongside adherence to principal-speaker protocol during press conferences and media interactions.
    Political restraint in public communications was urged after a social-media remark directed at Sunetra Pawar was criticised as ideologically irresponsible. It was stated that regret alone was insufficient and that leaders should exercise care in public comments. Press-conference protocol was also emphasised: the principal dignitary should respond to media questions, and those seated alongside should not participate in the interaction. Party colleagues were expected to act more responsibly in future media engagements.
    August 5, 2026
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    Neutral monetary policy stance continues as inflation clarity is awaited, alongside cooperative banking and lending-rate transparency measures.
    Monetary policy maintained the benchmark policy repo rate and a neutral stance pending clearer evidence that energy-cost pressures will generate broad-based inflation. Inflation is expected to rise temporarily due principally to food and fuel prices before moderating, while core inflation remains benign. The approach remains data-dependent, supported by two-way liquidity operations. Proposed measures include resuming urban cooperative bank licensing, revising rural cooperative bank credit-monitoring directions, and harmonising interest-rate regulation on advances across regulated entities to improve transparency and consumer protection.
    August 5, 2026
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    Repo rate stability preserves the policy stance amid lower inflation projections, stronger growth expectations and external-sector resilience.
    Monetary policy maintained the repo rate at 5.25 per cent following a unanimous policy committee decision. The growth forecast for FY27 was marginally increased, while the inflation projection was lowered. Inflation conditions remain uncertain because of monsoon, El Nino and geopolitical developments. Liquidity remained in surplus, and external-sector indicators reflected a current-account surplus, buoyant foreign direct investment inflows, renewed foreign portfolio investment inflows, and adequate foreign-exchange reserves.
    August 5, 2026
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    Polymer currency notes target improved durability as monetary policy remains data-dependent and rupee management pursues an orderly trajectory.
    Polymer currency notes are targeted for circulation at the beginning of the next financial year, subject to implementation proceeding as planned. They are intended to improve durability, especially for lower-denomination notes with high circulation velocity. Monetary policy decisions will remain data-dependent and focused on aligning headline inflation with its medium-term target. Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank) scheme inflows are expected to remain healthy until closure, with no proposal for premature termination. Rupee management aims to maintain an orderly exchange-rate trajectory.
    August 5, 2026
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    Customs anti-smuggling enforcement targets gold concealed as silver-coated armlets following passenger profiling and personal search at airport.
    Customs officers intercepted two passengers arriving from Istanbul after Advance Passenger Information System profiling and their activation of the Door Frame Metal Detector. A personal search recovered approximately one kilogram of gold, silver-coated and concealed as traditional armlets worn on the upper arms. The gold was seized under the Customs Act, a smuggling case was registered, and investigation was initiated into the source and any wider smuggling network.
    August 5, 2026
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    Closing auction price discovery for eligible derivatives shares begins as monetary policy retains the repo rate and neutral stance.
    The Reserve Bank retained the repo rate with a neutral stance amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions. Stock exchanges introduced the Closing Auction Session in the equity cash segment for eligible shares with futures and options contracts. This auction-based mechanism determines closing prices of eligible stocks and aims to make price discovery more transparent and robust.
    August 5, 2026
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    Services-sector growth slowed as weaker demand, competition and postponed orders moderated business activity, while employment improved modestly.
    Services-sector growth slowed as domestic and export orders moderated amid weaker demand, competitive pressures, softer market conditions and postponed orders. Output continued to expand, but at its weakest pace in more than four years. Employment growth improved modestly, while input costs rose and firms increased selling prices. Business confidence remained positive but declined, and the composite output indicator weakened due principally to the sharp slowdown in services activity.
    August 5, 2026
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    Interim bail conditions require residence outside the state and trial attendance in alleged manpower commission corruption proceedings.
    Interim bail was granted to Anwar Dhebar in a matter involving alleged corruption and an illegal commission mechanism linked to a state marketing corporation. Conditions require him to remain outside Chhattisgarh, attend the trial court, and provide his residential address. The allegations concern manpower supply agencies allegedly being compelled to pay commissions for clearance of legitimate bills, with proceeds routed through intermediaries. The case was registered under the Indian Penal Code and the Prevention of Corruption Act.
    August 5, 2026
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    Tax certainty measures revise fund-management safe harbours, electronic-payment charges, sectoral exemptions, business-trust treatment, and excess expenditure appropriation.
    The Taxation and Other Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2026 proposes to replace the Income-tax (Amendment) Ordinance, 2026 and amend payment-system and tax laws. It would prohibit charges on notified electronic payments, revise safe-harbour conditions for eligible investment funds and fund managers, and expand tax exemptions for Government securities, qualifying rough-diamond sales and bonded-warehouse component storage. It also modifies exemptions concerning electronic-goods contract manufacturing, data centres and business-trust dividends, while imposing a differentiated surcharge on qualifying special purpose vehicles. A separately included appropriation bill authorises excess expenditure from the Consolidated Fund of India.
    August 5, 2026
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    Growth and inflation projections reflect resilient domestic activity while energy volatility, supply disruptions, and food prices sustain inflation risks.
    Monetary policy projections for fiscal 2026-27 revise real GDP growth upward to 6.7 per cent and Consumer Price Index inflation downward to 5 per cent. Domestic activity is described as resilient amid global uncertainty, but inflationary risks persist from rainfall disruption, energy-price volatility, supply-chain uncertainty, and second-round effects of higher food, fuel and input costs. Core inflation is projected at 4.3 per cent for the fiscal year.
    August 5, 2026
    Show AI Summary
    Industry collaboration strengthens MSME competitiveness through shared resources, market linkages, capability building and inclusive support for women entrepreneurs.
    MSME development is linked to collaboration, knowledge-sharing, institutional support and capability building. Industry associations can provide networking, policy advocacy, business intelligence, skills programmes, shared infrastructure and market linkages, while collective procurement, shared logistics, digital commerce and export readiness may improve competitiveness. Women-led enterprises benefit from market-oriented capability development, mentorship, continuous learning, professional networks, capacity-building programmes and institutional support. The Development of Industry Associations initiative is intended to connect associations and facilitate the sharing of best practices.
    August 5, 2026
    Show AI Summary
    Monetary policy rate maintenance continues under a neutral stance amid energy disruption, inflation concerns and sustained currency depreciation.
    Monetary policy rate maintenance was continued with the repo rate retained at 5.25 per cent under a neutral stance amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions associated with the West Asia crisis. The growth forecast was marginally increased and the inflation projection reduced. Sustained rupee depreciation against the dollar was attributed to costly oil, capital outflows, widening trade deficits and a strong US dollar.
    August 5, 2026
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    Monetary policy rate pause maintains a neutral stance amid energy disruption, inflation concerns and sustained rupee depreciation pressures.
    Monetary policy rates were retained without change for a third consecutive review, with a neutral stance maintained amid uncertainty over energy prices and supply disruptions associated with the West Asia crisis. The policy assessment noted retail inflation above the medium-term target, alongside an upward revision to growth expectations and a downward revision to the inflation projection. Continued rupee depreciation was linked to higher oil prices, capital outflows, widening trade deficits and a stronger US dollar.
    August 5, 2026
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    Monetary policy expectations shape equity sentiment as softer crude prices and foreign investment support domestic financial assets.
    Equity market sentiment improved in early trading as lower crude oil prices and foreign fund inflows supported benchmark indices, while investors awaited the monetary policy decision. Softer crude prices, rupee recovery, improving global risk sentiment, resilient economic growth, corporate earnings and sustained foreign portfolio investment supported domestic financial assets, despite continuing global and geopolitical uncertainties.
    August 5, 2026
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    Foreign exchange market movement strengthens as lower crude prices and monetary policy signals influence the rupee's direction.
    Foreign exchange market movement saw the rupee appreciate against the US dollar in early trading, supported by lower crude oil prices, a softer dollar index, domestic equity gains and net foreign institutional investment. Market attention centred on the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy decision, with expectations of an unchanged benchmark repo rate. Policy communication on inflation and developments in Hormuz-related talks were identified as factors that could influence the rupee's direction.
    August 4, 2026
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    Dearness allowance arrears must be cleared promptly, while the government examines legal remedies and continues its structured liquidation plan.
    Pending dearness allowance arrears of government employees and pensioners are to be cleared within a fortnight, with restraint on unproductive expenditure until admissible dues are paid. The government states that it will pay constitutionally and legally valid dues while examining the judgment, precedents and possible legal remedies. It attributes the arrears to delayed pay commission implementation and frozen dearness allowance, and states that a structured liquidation plan has been prepared and partly implemented.
    August 4, 2026
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    Money-laundering investigation examines alleged fraudulent industrial plot allotments, benami holdings and diversion of plots to residential use.
    A money-laundering investigation under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act examines alleged irregularities in industrial-plot allotments involving corporation officials, private persons, property dealers and alleged benamidars. The inquiry concerns alleged use of fictitious firms and false addresses to obtain plots, allotments to relatives and associates, and alleged diversion or change of land use from industrial to residential purposes. These activities are alleged to have generated private gains while causing loss to the public exchequer.
    August 4, 2026
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    Rupee exchange-rate movement gains support from capital inflows, while oil prices, dollar strength and monetary policy shape sentiment.
    Rupee exchange-rate movement was supported by foreign capital inflows and improved global risk sentiment, while elevated crude-oil prices and a stronger US dollar constrained gains. Market attention shifted to monetary policy, overseas dollar-deposit incentives and easier foreign access to government bonds, which were reported to support capital inflows and India's external position. A cautious approach to the benchmark repo rate was expected amid assessment of the West Asia conflict.

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      Trump is open to regime change in Iran, after his admin said that wasn't goal

      June 23, 2025

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      Washington, Jun 22 (AP) The Trump administration on Sunday sent a series of conflicting messages to Iran — with US officials initially indicating a willingness to resume negotiations after a surprise attack on three of the country's nuclear sites and President Donald Trump talking up the possibility of regime change.

      “It's not politically correct to use the term, 'Regime Change', but if the current Iranian Regime is unable to MAKE IRAN GREAT AGAIN, why wouldn't there be a Regime change???” Trump posted on social media. “MIGA!!!" The posting on Truth Social marked something of a reversal from Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth's Sunday morning news conference that detailed the aerial bombing.

      “This mission was not and has not been about regime change,” Hegseth said.

      The Trump administration has made a series of intimidating statements even as it has simultaneously called to restart negotiations, making it hard to get a complete read on whether the US president is simply taunting an adversary or using inflammatory words that could further widen the war between Israel and Iran.

      Up until the US president's post on Sunday afternoon, the coordinated messaging by Trump's vice president, Pentagon chief, top military adviser and secretary of state suggested a confidence that any fallout would be manageable and that Iran's lack of military capabilities would ultimately force it back to the bargaining table.

      Hegseth had said that America “does not seek war” with Iran, while Vice President JD Vance said the strikes have given Tehran the possibility of returning to negotiate with Washington.

      But the unfolding situation is not entirely under Washington's control, as Tehran has a series of levers to respond to the aerial bombings that could intensify the conflict in the Middle East with possible global repercussions.

      Iran can block oil being shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, attack US bases in the region, engage in cyber attacks or double down on a nuclear programme that might seem like more of a necessity after the US strike.

      All of that raises the question of whether the strikes will open up a far more brutal phase of fighting or revive negotiations out of an abundance of caution. Inside the US, the attack quickly spilled over into domestic politics with Trump choosing to spend part of his Sunday going after his critics in Congress.

      Trump, who had addressed the nation from the White House on Saturday night, returned to social media on Sunday to lambaste Rep Thomas Massie, who had objected to the president taking military action without specific congressional approval.

      “We had a spectacular military success yesterday, taking the bomb right out of their hands (and they would use it if they could!)” Trump said as part of the post on Truth Social.

      At their joint Pentagon briefing, Hegseth and Air Force Gen Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said that “Operation Midnight Hammer" involved decoys and deception, and met with no Iranian resistance.

      Caine indicated that the goal of the operation — destroying nuclear sites in Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan — had been achieved.

      “Final battle damage will take some time, but initial battle damage assessments indicate that all three sites sustained extremely severe damage and destruction,” Caine said.

      Vance said in a television interview that while he would not discuss “sensitive intelligence about what we've seen on the ground,” he felt “very confident that we've substantially delayed their development of a nuclear weapon.” Pressed further, he told NBC's “Meet the Press” that “I think that we have really pushed their program back by a very long time. I think that it's going to be many many years before the Iranians are able to develop a nuclear weapon.” The vice president said the US had “negotiated aggressively' with Iran to try to find a peaceful settlement and that Trump made his decision after assessing the Iranians were not acting “in good faith.” "I actually think it provides an opportunity to reset this relationship, reset these negotiations and get us in a place where Iran can decide not to be a threat to its neighbours, not to be a threat to the United States, and if they're willing to do that, the United States is all ears,” Vance said.

      Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on CBS's “Face the Nation” that "there are no planned military operations right now against Iran, unless, unless they mess around and they attack" US interests.

      Trump has previously threatened other countries, but often backed down or failed to follow through, given his promises to his coalition of voters not to entangle the United States in an extended war. It was not immediately clear whether Iran saw the avoidance of a wider conflict as in its best interests.

      Much of the world is absorbing the consequences of the strikes and the risk that they could lead to more fighting across the Middle East after the US inserted itself into the war between Israel and Iran.

      Israeli airstrikes that began on June 13 local time targeted Iran's nuclear facilities and generals, prompting retaliation from Iran and creating a series of events that contributed to the US attack.

      While US officials urged caution and stressed that only nuclear sites were targeted by Washington, Iran criticised the actions as a violation of its sovereignty and international law.

      Iran's foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said Washington was “fully responsible” for whatever actions Tehran may take in response.

      “They crossed a very big red line by attacking nuclear facilities," he said at a news conference in Turkey. “I don't know how much room is left for diplomacy.” China and Russia, where Araghchi was heading for talks with President Vladimir Putin, condemned the US military action. The attacks were “a gross violation of international law,” said Russia's Foreign Ministry, which also advocated “returning the situation to a political and diplomatic course.” A Turkish Foreign Ministry statement warned about the risk of the conflict spreading to “a global level”.

      British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said the United Kingdom was moving military equipment into the area to protect its interests, people and allies. His office said he talked on Sunday with Trump about the need for Tehran to resume negotiations, but Trump would have posted his remarks about regime change after their conversation.

      The leaders of Italy, Canada, Germany and France agreed on the need for “a rapid resumption of negotiations.” France's Emmanuel Macron held talks with the Saudi crown prince and sultan of Oman.

      Iran could try to stop oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz, which could create the same kind of inflationary shocks that the world felt after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022. Oil prices increased in the financial markets as the war between Israel and Iran had intensified, climbing by 21% over the past month.

      The Pentagon briefing did not provide any new details about Iran's nuclear capabilities. Hegseth said the timeline for the strikes was the result of a schedule set by Trump for talks with Iran about its nuclear ambitions.

      “Iran found out" that when Trump "says 60 days that he seeks peace and negotiation, he means 60 days of peace and negotiation," Hegseth said. "Otherwise, that nuclear programme, that new nuclear capability will not exist. He meant it.” That statement was complicated as the White House had suggested last Thursday that Trump could take as much as two weeks to determine whether to strike Iran or continue to pursue negotiations. But the US benefited from Iran's weakened air defences and was able to conduct the attacks without resistance from Iran.

      “Iran's fighters did not fly, and it appears that Iran's surface to air missile systems did not see us throughout the mission," Caine said.

      Hegseth said that a choice to move a number of B-2 bombers from their base in Missouri earlier Saturday was meant to be a decoy to throw off Iranians. Caine added that the US used other methods of deception as well, deploying fighters to protect the B-2 bombers that dropped a total of 14 bunker-buster bombs on Iran's sites at Fordo and Natanz.

      The strikes occurred Saturday between 6:40 pm and 7:05 pm in Washington, or roughly 2:10 am on Sunday in Iran. (AP) SCY SCY

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