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    Monetary Policy Statement, 2026-27 Resolution of the Monetary Policy Committee August 3 to 5, 2026
    Stock markets edged higher in early trade amid lower crude oil prices, buying in Reliance Industries
    Monthly review of accounts of Government of India upto June 2026 (FY 2026-27)
    DRI busts illegal drug manufacturing unit in Satara district in Maharashtra; two arrested
    CCI approves proposed combination inter alia involving share acquisition(s) and merger of certain entities e.g. AAPC India, Triguna, Caddie, SMPL, Tec...
    Rupee gains 20 paise to close at 95.08 against US dollar post-RBI policy decision
    TN Budget: Revenue deficit at Rs 55,775 crore, fiscal deficit estimated at Rs 1,21,819 crore
    Tatkare slams ‘gungi gudiya’ jibe against Sunetra; Cong says row being exploited for political gains
    RBI invites public comments on Draft Guidelines for ‘on tap’ Licensing of Urban Co-operative Banks
    Pakistan-origin dry dates, routed through UAE, seized at Kandla port
    RBI keeps rates unchanged, retains neutral stance; outlook uncertain on El Nino, geopolitical risks
    Government Notifies Inventory-based Cross-border E-Commerce Export Framework under Foreign Trade Policy 2023
    Customs official among 5 held for smuggling gold of Rs 1.44 crore at Indore airport
    Lok Sabha passes Bankers' Books Evidence Bill to replace colonial-era law
    Sensex gains 152 pts in volatile session as RBI keeps policy rates unchanged
    DRI seizes 364 metric tonne (MT) banned Pakistan-origin dry dates imports worth Rs. 3 crore
    Rupee gains 13 paise to close at 95.15 against US dollar post-RBI policy decision
    ED raids premises linked to ex-Andhra MLA Malla Vijaya Prasad in chit fund scam
    'Gungi gudiya' remark against Sunetra shows Cong's 'ideological bankruptcy': NCP leader Tatkare
    RBI holds interest rates for fourth straight meeting, awaits clearer inflation outlook
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    August 6, 2026
    Show AI Summary
    Neutral monetary policy stance continues as resilient growth and food-fuel inflation risks require close macroeconomic monitoring.
    The Monetary Policy Committee retained the policy repo rate and continued the neutral monetary policy stance, citing the need to assess evolving growth-inflation conditions. Domestic activity was assessed as resilient, supported by consumption, investment, credit, manufacturing, services and exports, although global uncertainty, energy prices, supply-chain pressures, geopolitical developments and monsoon conditions remain risks. CPI inflation increased mainly because of food and fuel pressures, while underlying inflation remained moderate. The Committee considered that price pressures were not yet generalised and reaffirmed its commitment to align inflation with the target.
    August 6, 2026
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    Closing auction price discovery and a neutral monetary policy stance shaped equity market conditions amid lower crude prices.
    The Closing Auction Session in the equity cash segment introduced an auction-based mechanism for determining closing prices of eligible shares with futures and options contracts, intended to make price discovery more transparent and robust. The Reserve Bank of India retained its neutral stance and left the benchmark policy rate unchanged, pending greater clarity on the inflationary effects of higher energy costs. Future policy decisions were stated to be data dependent.
    August 6, 2026
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    Monthly public accounts review records receipts, expenditure, tax devolution, interest payments, subsidies, and capital spending through June.
    Consolidated monthly accounts up to June 2026 report total receipts of Rs.10,49,243 crore, comprising net tax revenue, non-tax revenue and non-debt capital receipts. Tax devolution transfers to State Governments total Rs.2,63,336 crore. Total expenditure is Rs.13,57,076 crore, including revenue expenditure of Rs.10,16,818 crore and capital expenditure of Rs.3,40,258 crore. Revenue expenditure includes interest payments and major subsidies.
    August 6, 2026
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    Illicit psychotropic drug manufacture triggered seizure, apprehensions, and investigation into planned trafficking under narcotics control law.
    Illicit manufacture and trafficking of Alprazolam and Diazepam, psychotropic substances regulated under the Narcotic Drugs and Psychotropic Substances Act, 1985, were detected at a clandestine facility. Searches recovered finished and intermediary substances, together with raw materials and reaction mixtures used in manufacture, and the goods were seized under the Act. The manufacturer and an intended buyer were apprehended, with material indicating a proposed transaction for further illicit trafficking. Preliminary investigation indicated prior involvement in illegal drug production and trafficking.
    August 6, 2026
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    Competition approval for hotel-sector consolidation covers share acquisitions and merger of Accor-branded hotel entities into InterGlobe Hotels.
    Competition approval was granted for related share acquisitions and the merger of AAPC India, Caddie, Triguna, Srilanand Mansions, Techpark and Accent into InterGlobe Hotels. The combination involves entities jointly controlled by the Bhatia Family Group and the Accor Group, including hotel-owning and developing entities, hotel management and franchising operations, leasing activities, and captive consultancy and support services relating to Accor-branded hotels in India.
    August 5, 2026
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    Rupee appreciation followed unchanged monetary policy, lower crude prices, weaker dollar and expectations of orderly exchange-rate management.
    The rupee strengthened after the central bank maintained its policy rate and neutral monetary-policy stance. Lower crude oil prices, a weaker US dollar and declining US Treasury yields supported investor sentiment. Earlier measures to attract capital inflows remained part of the framework supporting the rupee, while the central bank stressed its endeavour to preserve an orderly currency trajectory. Future movement was linked to geopolitical de-escalation, global risk sentiment and US economic data.
    August 5, 2026
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    Fiscal consolidation through revenue mobilisation and leakage control aims to reduce deficits while expanding capital expenditure capacity.
    Tamil Nadu's Revised Budget Estimates for 2026-27 project a revenue deficit and fiscal deficit, with outstanding liabilities comprising public debt and public-account liabilities. Revenue mobilisation is proposed through improved tax administration, collection efficiency, closure of leakages, liquor-manufacturer privilege fees, and eligible Union grants. The strategy projects gradual deficit reduction to create room for capital expenditure, supported by expenditure reforms aimed at eliminating leakages, optimising expenditure, and improving service delivery.
    August 5, 2026
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    Political criticism of public office-holders raises debate over media accountability, personal remarks, and acceptable public discourse.
    Political criticism followed a social-media post describing Maharashtra Deputy Chief Minister Sunetra Pawar as "gungi gudiya" in connection with a press interaction on law-and-order issues in Beed district. Congress representatives stated that the post was not a personal insult, had been deleted after adverse reactions, and was followed by an expression of regret. NCP representatives termed the expression inappropriate and stressed that the principal dignitary should conduct media interactions. Shiv Sena (UBT) representatives described the phrase as not unparliamentary and linked it to criticism of a guardian minister's public responsibilities.
    August 5, 2026
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    On-tap licensing for Urban Co-operative Banks enters public consultation through draft guidelines inviting stakeholder feedback.
    Draft guidelines for 'on tap' licensing of Urban Co-operative Banks have been issued for public and stakeholder consultation. Comments and feedback may be submitted until September 05, 2026, through the designated online consultation facility or by written or email submission to the specified regulatory department.
    August 5, 2026
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    Prohibition on indirect Pakistan-origin imports targets alleged origin misdeclaration and UAE routing used to circumvent trade restrictions.
    Import prohibition on goods originating in Pakistan applies to direct and indirect imports under the Foreign Trade Policy, 2023. Pakistan-origin dry dates routed through the UAE were allegedly declared as UAE-origin goods for import, and were intercepted under the Customs Act, 1962. Investigation indicated that the goods were first sent from Pakistan to Dubai, re-containerised, and then exported to India. A separate interception involved Pakistan-origin guggul resin allegedly declared as Somali natural resin and routed through Dubai.
    August 5, 2026
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    Neutral monetary policy stance keeps benchmark rates unchanged while inflation risks, liquidity management and consumer-protection reforms remain under review.
    Monetary policy maintains the benchmark policy rate unchanged and retains a neutral stance, with future decisions guided by incoming data. The central bank remains committed to aligning headline inflation with its medium-term target while monitoring food, fuel and other input-cost risks. Surplus liquidity will be managed through two-way operations, and the regulatory framework for interest rates on advances is proposed to be harmonised and standardised across regulated entities to improve transparency and consumer protection.
    August 5, 2026
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    Export-only e-commerce inventory framework enables seller exports through registered exporters while requiring traceability, timely payments and domestic-diversion controls.
    The export-only inventory framework permits eligible e-commerce entities to export through a registered Exporter-on-Record, which procures goods from Indian Sellers-on-Record against confirmed overseas orders and assumes export and destination-country compliance responsibilities. Inventory must be segregated, digitally traceable and cannot be diverted to domestic sale. The framework requires timely seller payments, visibility of overseas sales and shipment information, proportional pass-through of export rebates and refunds, annual compliance certification and digital records.
    August 5, 2026
    Show AI Summary
    Gold smuggling enforcement targets concealed foreign-origin gold, airport control evasion, and illicit railway transport under customs law.
    Gold smuggling enforcement operations under the Customs Act, 1962 involved alleged concealment and unlawful movement of foreign-origin gold. At an international airport, an alleged syndicate used an airline employee to transfer gold received from arriving passengers outside Customs and immigration controls, with gold disguised as silver-coloured bracelets. A separate railway operation concerned gold concealed in a specially made cloth waist belt and intended for delivery to a jeweller. The actions addressed concealment, evasion of Customs controls, and illicit transport of foreign-origin gold.
    August 5, 2026
    Show AI Summary
    Digital bank-record evidence gains a technology-neutral framework through expanded admissibility, certified authentication, and regulated production of bankers' books.
    The Bankers' Books Evidence Bill, 2026, modernises the evidentiary treatment of banking records by extending "bankers' books" to physical, electronic, digital, virtual and cloud-based records. It recognises electronic bank records as admissible evidence, allows production in physical or electronic form, and provides for standardised certificates authenticated by manual, digital or electronic signatures. The Bill also defines "special cause" for compelling bank officers to produce records or testify where the bank is not a party, and permits extension to specified financial-sector entities subject to conditions.
    August 5, 2026
    Show AI Summary
    Closing auction price discovery and unchanged policy rates shaped volatile equity trading amid inflation and geopolitical uncertainty.
    The Monetary Policy Committee retained the policy repo rate and neutral policy stance while seeking greater clarity on inflation risks from higher energy costs. Stock exchanges introduced the Closing Auction Session for eligible futures and options shares in the equity cash segment to determine closing prices through a more transparent and robust auction-based price-discovery mechanism. Equity markets showed volatile, limited gains amid geopolitical uncertainty, energy-price concerns, profit booking and the new mechanism's introduction.
    August 5, 2026
    Show AI Summary
    Pakistan-origin import prohibition covers third-country routing, false origin declarations, forged documents, and trans-shipment arrangements used to evade restrictions.
    The prohibition on direct or indirect import or transit of goods originating in or exported from Pakistan extends to goods routed through third countries and falsely declared as having another origin. Misdeclaration of country of origin, false descriptions, forged documentation, and trans-shipment arrangements may contravene that prohibition and invite action under the Customs Act, 1962. Dry dates declared as UAE-origin and Guggul resin declared as Somalia-origin were investigated as goods of Pakistan origin routed through Dubai.
    August 5, 2026
    Show AI Summary
    Foreign exchange stability measures support the rupee as policy continuity, capital inflows and global risk sentiment shape currency expectations.
    Foreign exchange market movement reflected a rupee appreciation against the US dollar following the monetary policy decision to retain the repo rate and neutral stance. Market sentiment was supported by softer crude oil prices, weakness in the US dollar, lower US Treasury yields and foreign equity inflows. The monetary policy framework sought to support capital inflows and maintain an orderly rupee trajectory, with geopolitical developments and US economic data remaining relevant to near-term exchange-rate expectations.
    August 5, 2026
    Show AI Summary
    Money-laundering investigation examines alleged proceeds from chit fund operations following searches linked to a former company managing director.
    A money-laundering investigation concerns alleged proceeds of crime arising from a multi-state chit fund operation associated with Welfare Building and Estates Pvt Ltd. The company is alleged to have collected investor deposits through investment schemes promising high returns before defaulting. Searches at premises linked to its former managing director form part of the inquiry into alleged laundering. The underlying alleged fraud had previously resulted in a CBI case and multiple police FIRs.
    August 5, 2026
    Show AI Summary
    Political restraint in public communications was urged, alongside adherence to principal-speaker protocol during press conferences and media interactions.
    Political restraint in public communications was urged after a social-media remark directed at Sunetra Pawar was criticised as ideologically irresponsible. It was stated that regret alone was insufficient and that leaders should exercise care in public comments. Press-conference protocol was also emphasised: the principal dignitary should respond to media questions, and those seated alongside should not participate in the interaction. Party colleagues were expected to act more responsibly in future media engagements.
    August 5, 2026
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    Neutral monetary policy stance continues as inflation clarity is awaited, alongside cooperative banking and lending-rate transparency measures.
    Monetary policy maintained the benchmark policy repo rate and a neutral stance pending clearer evidence that energy-cost pressures will generate broad-based inflation. Inflation is expected to rise temporarily due principally to food and fuel prices before moderating, while core inflation remains benign. The approach remains data-dependent, supported by two-way liquidity operations. Proposed measures include resuming urban cooperative bank licensing, revising rural cooperative bank credit-monitoring directions, and harmonising interest-rate regulation on advances across regulated entities to improve transparency and consumer protection.

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      Customs, DGFT & SEZ

      RBI Governor announces Annual Policy Statement for the year 2008-09

      April 29, 2008

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      Dr. Y. Venugopal Reddy, Governor, in a meeting with Chief Executives of major commercial banks today presented the Annual Policy Statement for the Year 2008-09. This Statement consists of two parts: Part I. Annual Statement on Monetary Policy for the Year 2008-09; and Part II. Annual Statement on Developmental and Regulatory Policies for the Year 2008-09.

      Highlights

      · High priority to price stability, well-anchored inflation expectations and orderly conditions in financial markets while sustaining the growth momentum.

      · Swift response on a continuous basis to evolving adverse international and domestic developments through both conventional and unconventional measures.

      · Emphasis on credit quality and credit delivery while pursuing financial inclusion.

      · Bank Rate, Reverse Repo Rate and Repo Rate kept unchanged.

      · Scheduled banks required to maintain CRR of 8.25 per cent with effect from the fortnight beginning May 24, 2008.

      · GDP growth projection for 2008-09 in the range of 8.0- 8.5 per cent.

      ·  Inflation to be brought down to around 5.5 per cent in 2008-09 with a preference for bringing it close to 5.0 per cent as soon as possible. Going forward, the resolve is to condition policy and perceptions for inflation in the range of 4.0-4.5 per cent so that an inflation rate of around 3.0 per cent becomes a medium-term objective.

      · M3 expansion to be moderated in the range of 16.5-17.0 per cent during 2008-09.

      · Deposits projected to increase by around 17.0 per cent or Rs.5,50,000 crore during 2008-09.

      · Adjusted non-food credit projected to increase by around 20.0 per cent during 2008-09.

      · Active demand management of liquidity through appropriate use of the CRR stipulations and open market operations (OMO) including the MSS and the LAF.

      · Introduction of STRIPS in Government securities by the end of 2008-09.

      ·  A clearing and settlement arrangement for OTC rupee derivatives proposed.

      ·  Domestic crude oil refining companies would be permitted to hedge their commodity price risk on overseas exchanges/markets on domestic purchase of crude oil and sale of petroleum products based on underlying contract.

      · Currency futures to be introduced in eligible exchanges in consultation with the SEBI; broad framework to be finalised by May 2008.

      · Indian companies to be allowed to invest overseas in energy and natural resources sectors.

      ·  Reserve Bank can be approached for capitalisation of export proceeds beyond the prescribed period of realisation.

      ·  Loans granted to RRBs for on-lending to agriculture and allied activities to be classified as indirect finance to agriculture.

      ·  The shortfall in lending to weaker sections would be taken into account for contribution to RIDF with effect from April 2009.

      ·  RRBs allowed to sell loan assets to other banks in excess of their prescribed priority sector exposure.

      ·  The Reserve Bank to disseminate details of various charges levied by banks.

      ·  Asset classification norms for credit to infrastructure projects relaxed.

      ·  The prudential guidelines for specific off-balance sheet exposures of banks to be reviewed.

      ·  Reserve Bank to carry out supervisory review of banks' exposure to the commodity sector.

      ·  The limit of bank loans to individuals for housing having lower risk weight of 50 per cent enhanced from Rs. 20 lakh to Rs. 30 lakh.

      ·  Consolidated supervision of financial conglomerates proposed.

      ·  Working Group to be set up for a supervisory framework for SPVs/Trusts.

      ·  Inter-departmental Group to review the existing regulatory and supervisory framework for overseas operations of Indian banks.

      ·  All transactions of Rs. one crore and above made mandatory to be routed through the electronic payment mechanism.

      ·  Dispense with the extant eligibility norms for opening on-site ATMs for well-managed and financially sound UCBs.

      · Regulations in respect of capital adequacy, liquidity and disclosure norms for systemically important NBFCs to be reviewed.

      Details

      Domestic Developments

      · The advance estimates of the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) placed real GDP growth at 8.7 per cent for 2007-08, over and above 9.6 per cent in 2006-07.

      · On a year-on-year basis, WPI inflation stood at 7.4 per cent at end-March 2008 as compared with 5.9 per cent a year ago. During 2007-08, headline inflation declined from 6.4 per cent at the beginning of the financial year to a low of 3.1 per cent in mid-October before firming up from mid-February 2008 onwards.

      · The average price of the Indian basket of international crude increased by 27.6 per cent from US $ 62.4 per barrel during 2006-07 to US $ 79.7 per barrel in 2007-08.

      · Money supply (M3) increased by 20.7 per cent (Rs.6,86,096 crore) in 2007-08 as compared with 21.5 per cent (Rs.5,86,548 crore) in 2006-07.

      · Reserve money increased by 30.9 per cent (Rs.2,19,326 crore) during 2007-08 as compared with 23.7 per cent (Rs.1,35,935 crore) in the previous year.

      · Aggregate deposits of SCBs increased by 22.2 per cent (Rs.5,80,208 crore) during 2007-08 as compared with 23.8 per cent (Rs.5,02,885 crore) in the previous year.

      · Non-food credit extended by the scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) increased by 22.3 per cent (Rs.4,19,425 crore) as compared with 28.5 per cent (Rs.4,18,282 crore) in the previous year.

      · The incremental non-food credit-deposit ratio for the banking system declined to 72.3 per cent during 2007-08 from 83.2 per cent in 2006-07, 109.3 per cent in 2005-06 and 130.0 per cent in 2004-05.

      ·  The total flow of funds from SCBs to the commercial sector, including non-SLR investments, increased by 21.9 per cent (Rs.4,31,256 crore) in 2007-08 as against 27.3 per cent (Rs.4,22,363 crore) in 2006-07.

      · During 2007-08, the financial markets experienced alternating shifts in liquidity conditions.

      · The total overhang of liquidity as reflected in the balances under the LAF, the MSS and surplus cash balances of the Central Government taken together increased to the intra-year peak of Rs.2,73,694 crore on March 27, 2008 before declining to Rs.2,43,879 crore on April 25, 2008.

      · Movements in interest rates in the domestic financial markets reflected the factors driving changes in liquidity with the banking system during 2007-08.

      · The average daily turnover in the foreign exchange market increased to US $ 57.3 billion at end-March 2008 from US $ 33.2 billion at end-March 2007.

      · Commercial banks' investment in Government and other approved securities increased by 22.9 per cent (Rs.1,81,222 crore) during 2007-08, significantly higher than 10.3 per cent (Rs.74,062 crore) in 2006-07.

      · Commercial banks' stock of statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) eligible securities marginally increased to 27.4 per cent of the banking system's net demand and time liabilities (NDTL) in March 2008 from 27.3 per cent in March 2007.

      · Interest rates offered by the public sector banks (PSBs) on deposits of above one year maturity moved from the range of 7.25-9.50 per cent in March 2007 to 8.00-9.25 per cent in March 2008.

      · The benchmark prime lending rates (BPLRs) of PSBs increased by 75 basis points from a range of 12.25-12.75 per cent to 12.25-13.50 per cent during 2007-08.

      · The BSE Sensex (1978-79=100) increased by 19.7 per cent during the year from 13072 at end-March 2007 to 15644 at end-March 2008.

      · The weighted average yield on primary issuance of the Central Government's dated securities increased by 23 basis points to 8.12 per cent in 2007-08 from 7.89 per cent in the previous year.

      External Developments

      · Information available from the DGCI&S indicates that merchandise exports increased by 22.8 per cent in US dollar terms during April-February 2007-08 as compared with 23.2 per cent in the corresponding period of the previous year. Imports showed an increase of 30.1 per cent as compared with 25.2 per cent during the same period.

      · While the increase in oil imports was lower at 26.4 per cent as compared with 31.2 per cent, non-oil import recorded a higher growth of 31.8 per cent as compared with 22.6 per cent.

      · During April-February 2007-08, the trade deficit widened to US $ 72.5 billion which was 46.8 per cent higher than the deficit of US $ 49.4 billion in the corresponding period of the previous year.

      · The sustained strength of capital flows during 2007-08 is noteworthy as the foreign exchange reserves increased by US $ 110.5 billion to US $ 309.7 billion by end-March 2008.

      · The Indian foreign exchange market witnessed generally orderly conditions during 2007-08 with the exchange rate exhibiting two-way movements. The rupee appreciated by 9.1 per cent against the US dollar and by 7.5 per cent against pound sterling but depreciated by 7.7 per cent against the Japanese yen and by 7.8 per cent against the euro during 2007-08.

      Global Developments

      ·  Global economic activity decelerated somewhat in relation to earlier expectations, mainly on account of the slowdown in the US economy.

      · According to the World Economic Outlook (WEO) of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the forecast for global real GDP growth, on a purchasing power parity basis, is expected to slow from 4.9 per cent in 2007 to 3.7 per cent in 2008.

      · Continuing strong demand and dwindling stocks are reflected in a tight supply-demand food situation globally, leading to the emergence of food price inflation as a key risk to global stability.

      · The Food and Agricultural Organisation's (FAO) global food price index, which rose by 40 per cent in 2007 to the highest level on record, has continued to increase in the first quarter of 2008 as well, as world food stocks have fallen to their lowest levels in 25 years.

      · In the global food grains market, prices of major crops such as corn, soyabeans and wheat have increased by 58.2 per cent, 86.3 per cent and 56.5 per cent, respectively, by April 25, 2008 from a year ago in response to surging demand.

      · According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), tight fundamentals, reflected by low available crude oil surplus production capacity, combined with supply concerns in several oil exporting countries, have continued to put upward pressure on world crude oil prices.

      · In the EMEs, the recent jump in headline inflation caused by higher energy and food prices are of concern since this requires a balanced response in controlling inflation while being alert to decelerating impulses from the slowdown in the developed countries and the possibilities of prolonged global financial market turmoil.

      · Since the beginning of the turbulence in August 2007, central banks of advanced economies have responded with both conventional and unconventional measures to ease liquidity stress in financial markets and solvency issues among large financial institutions.

      ·  Some central banks such as the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Canada have cut policy rates since the third quarter of 2007 when the financial market turmoil surfaced.

      · Central banks of several countries, including the euro area, New Zealand, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Thailand and Mexico have not changed their rates since the last quarter of 2007.

      · Some central banks that have tightened their policy rates in recent months include the Reserve Bank of Australia, the People's Bank of China, the Banco Central de Chile and Banco Central do Brasil.

      · Large capital flows to EMEs have elicited monetary tightening responses from central banks either through hike in their policy rates or reserve requirements or both. Meanwhile, in several EMEs, central bank bonds have continued to absorb liquidity from the banking system.

      · Measures directly aimed at managing capital flows are also in evidence in many EMEs.

      Overall Assessment

      · While aggregate supply capacities expanded and alleviated domestic macro-imbalances in 2007-08 to some extent, available indicators suggest that economic activity in India currently continues to be mainly demand-driven.

      · The pick-up in inflation during the fourth quarter of 2007-08 has mainly emanated from supply-side pressures such as the one-off increase in domestic petrol and diesel prices to partially offset the global crude oil price increase over the year; continuous hardening of prices of petroleum products that are not administered, rising prices of wheat and oilseeds and the adjustment in steel prices in March 2008 due to the surge in international prices.

      · The upsurge in inflation in India has occurred at a time when global commodity prices have been volatile at historically elevated levels and central banks in mature and emerging economies alike have been articulating heightened inflation concerns.

      · There are concerns that demand pressures, which have been reasonably contained so far, are being coupled with supply-side factors which, if not temporary, could impact domestic inflation significantly.

      · The moderation in non-food credit growth has been marked in respect of interest-sensitive sectors which had been recording significantly elevated growth rates in preceding years.

      · During the fourth quarter of 2007-08, financial markets were impacted by unusual swings and high volatility in foreign exchange flows as well as in cash balances of the Government with the Reserve Bank with consequent shifts in liquidity conditions.

      · Growth forecasts for EMEs have been moderated in the face of the financial turbulence and the anticipated slowdown in the US economy. A key risk to the outlook for EMEs is rising food, energy and commodity prices that are already imparting inflationary pressures and raising concerns about impacting the momentum of growth in these economies.

      · The recent monetary policy responses in the US have also heightened the uncertainties facing EMEs by widening interest rate differentials and increasing the costs of sterilisation, especially in a period when inflationary pressures warrant tightening.

      · The outlook for the global financial system is overcast by the rising incidence of losses and write-offs in banking systems in the US and Europe amidst dislocations in the securitised credit market. There are also growing uncertainties surrounding the viability of financial guarantors and doubts about their business models as well as the approach of rating agencies with potential systemic implications.

      · In the overall assessment, there have been significant shifts in both global and domestic developments in relation to initial assessments. The dangers of global recession have increased at the current juncture although consensus expectations do not rule out a soft landing. On the domestic front, the outlook remained positive up to January 2008. Since then, the prospects for growth in the year ahead have been trimmed as risks to inflation and inflation expectations from the upside pressures due to international food, crude and metal prices have become more potent and real than before.

      Stance of Monetary Policy for 2008-09

      · For policy purposes, real GDP growth in 2008-09 may be placed in the range of 8.0 to 8.5 per cent, assuming that (a) global financial and commodity markets and real economy will be broadly aligned with the central scenario as currently assessed and (b) domestically, normal monsoon conditions prevail.

      · In view of the lagged and cumulative effects of monetary policy on aggregate demand and assuming that supply management would be conducive, the policy endeavour would be to bring down inflation from the current high level of above 7.0 per cent to around 5.5 per cent in 2008-09 with a preference for bringing it as close to 5.0 per cent as soon as possible.

      · In view of the monetary overhang, it is necessary to moderate monetary expansion and plan for a rate of money supply in the range of 16.5-17.0 per cent in 2008-09 in consonance with the outlook on growth and inflation so as to ensure macroeconomic and financial stability in the period ahead.

      · Consistent with the projections of money supply, the growth in aggregate deposits in 2008-09 is placed at around 17.0 per cent or around Rs.5,50,000 crore.

      · Based on an overall assessment of the sources of funding and the overall credit requirements of the various productive sectors of the economy, the growth of non-food credit including investments in bonds/debentures/shares of public sector undertakings and private corporate sector and commercial paper (CP) is placed at around 20.0 per cent in 2008-09.

      · Given the unprecedented complexities involved and the heightened uncertainties at this juncture, there are some key factors that govern the setting of the stance of monetary policy for 2008-09 viz., (i) the challenge of escalated and volatile food and energy prices; (ii) even as investment demand remains strong, supply elasticities are expected to improve further; (iii) recent initiatives in regard to supply-management by the Government of India and measures relating to the cash reserve ratio by the Reserve Bank of India; (iv) the importance of anchoring expectations relating to both global and domestic developments.

      · In view of the above unprecedented uncertainties and dilemmas, it is important to take informed judgements with regard to the timing and magnitude of policy actions; and such judgements need to have the benefit of evaluation of incoming information on a continuous basis.

      · To demonstrate on a continuing basis a determination to act decisively, effectively and swiftly to curb any signs of adverse developments in regard to inflation expectations.

      · The Reserve Bank will continue with its policy of active demand management of liquidity through appropriate use of the CRR stipulations and open market operations (OMO) including the MSS and the LAF, using all the policy instruments at its disposal flexibly, as and when the situation warrants.

      · Barring the emergence of any adverse and unexpected developments in various sectors of the economy, assuming that capital flows are effectively managed, and keeping in view the current assessment of the economy including the outlook for growth and inflation, the overall stance of monetary policy in 2008-09 will broadly be:

      · to ensure a monetary and interest rate environment that accords high priority to price stability, well-anchored inflation expectations and orderly conditions in financial markets while being conducive to continuation of the growth momentum.

      · to respond swiftly on a continuing basis to the evolving constellation of adverse international developments and to the domestic situation impinging on inflation expectations, financial stability and growth momentum, with both conventional and unconventional measures, as appropriate.

      · to emphasise credit quality as well as credit delivery, in particular, for employment-intensive sectors, while pursuing financial inclusion.

      Monetary Measures

      · Bank Rate kept unchanged at 6.0 per cent.

      ·  Reverse Repo Rate and Repo Rate kept unchanged at 6.00 per cent and 7.75 per cent, respectively.

      ·  The Reserve Bank retains the option to conduct overnight repo or longer term repo under the LAF depending on market conditions and other relevant factors. The Reserve Bank will continue to use this flexibility including the right to accept or reject tender(s) under the LAF, wholly or partially, if deemed fit, so as to make efficient use of the LAF in daily liquidity management.

      · Cash reserve ratio (CRR) of scheduled banks increased to 8.25 per cent with effect from the fortnight beginning May 24, 2008.

      Developmental and Regulatory Policies

      Financial Markets

      · Issuances of Floating Rate Bonds (FRBs) to be considered at an appropriate time taking into account market conditions.

      · The modalities for implementing the recommendations of the Internal Working Group to review the auction procedure for the Government securities are being worked out.

      · Wider dissemination of the investor friendly features of the regulations under the Government Securities Act, 2006 through media publicity and the website of the Reserve Bank for better customer service.

      · A module of the NDS auction for non-competitive bidding scheme in the auctions of State Development Loans (SDLs) being developed by the CCIL is expected to become functional by September 2008.

      ·  Action on the recommendations of the Working Group on Interest Rate Futures would be initiated on the basis of the feedback received.

      · With the enactment of the Government Securities Act, 2006 effective from December 1, 2007, it is proposed to introduce STRIPS in Government securities by the end of 2008-09.

      · A settlement mechanism in Government securities through settlement banks for participants who do not maintain current accounts but maintain SGL accounts with the Reserve Bank to be operationalised in May 2008.

      · To allow access to NDS-OM extended to investors such as other non-deposit taking NBFCs, corporates and FIIs through the CSGL route.

      · Following the enactment of the Payment and Settlement Systems Act, 2007, a clearing and settlement arrangement for OTC rupee derivatives to be put in place in consultation with the CCIL.

      · Introduction of repo in corporate bonds to be considered once the prerequisites like efficient price discovery through greater public issuances and secondary market trading, and an efficient and safe settlement system, based on Delivery versus Payments (DvP) III and Straight Through Processing (STP), are met.

      · To permit domestic crude oil refining companies to hedge their commodity price risk exposures on the basis of underlying contracts which are linked to international prices on overseas exchanges/markets on the basis of their past performance up to 50 per cent of the volume of actual imports during the previous year or 50 per cent of the average volume of imports during the previous three financial yeas, whichever is higher.

      · Currency futures to be introduced in the eligible exchanges in consultation with the SEBI; the broad framework to be finalised by the end of May 2008; RBI-SEBI Standing Technical Committee has been set up to advise on operational aspects.

      · Indian companies allowed to invest overseas in energy and natural resources sectors such as oil, gas, coal and mineral ores in excess of the current limits with prior approval of the Reserve Bank.

      · Indian parties may approach the Reserve Bank for capitalisation of export proceeds for exports outstanding beyond the prescribed period of realisation.

      ·  To permit authorised dealer (AD) banks to write off, in addition to claims settled by the Export Credit Guarantee Corporation of India (ECGC), the outstanding export bills settled by other insurance companies which are regulated by the Insurance Regulatory Development Authority (IRDA).

      ·  To enhance the present period for realisation and repatriation to India of the full export value of goods or software exported from six months to twelve months from the date of export, subject to review after one year.

      Credit Delivery

      · With effect from April 2009, the shortfall in lending to weaker sections by the domestic SCBs would be taken into account for the purpose of allocating amounts for contribution to RIDF or funds with other financial institutions as specified by the Reserve Bank.

      · RRBs to be allowed to sell loan assets held by them under priority sector categories in excess of the prescribed priority sector lending target of 60 per cent, to enable greater flow of credit to this sector.

      · Pending finalisation of action on the recommendations of the Radhakrishna Committee, it is proposed to ask each domestic commercial bank, including RRBs, to select one district for introduction, on a pilot basis, of a simplified cyclical credit product for farmers to enable them to continuously utilise a core component of 20 per cent of the credit limit to ensure minimum year-round liquidity as long as the interest is serviced.

      · A simplified procedure for crop loans to landless labourers, share croppers, tenant farmers and oral lessees to be introduced whereby banks can accept an affidavit giving details of land tilled/crops grown by such persons for loans up to Rs.50,000 without any need for independent certification. Banks could also encourage the Joint Liability Group (JLG)/SHG mode of lending for such persons.

      · In collaboration with the Indian Banks' Association (IBA), the Banking Codes and Standards Board of India (BSCBI) is evolving a banking code for small and micro enterprises.

      · The report of the Working Group to examine the feasibility of reviving sick SMEs and to suggest remedial measures for potentially viable sick units placed on the Reserve Bank's website for wider dissemination/response.

      · A Working Group constituted to prepare RRBs to adopt appropriate technology and migrate to core banking solution to submit its report by June 30, 2008.

      · For 100 per cent financial inclusion, 277 districts identified and target achieved in 134 districts in 18 States and five Union Territories.

      · Banks to be permitted to classify 100 per cent of the credit outstanding under General Credit Card (GCC) from 50 per cent earlier, and overdrafts up to Rs.25,000 against 'no-frills' accounts in rural and semi-urban areas as indirect finance to agriculture under the priority sector.

      · A concept paper on Financial Literacy and Counselling Centres has been prepared and placed on the Reserve Bank's website on April 3, 2008 for public feedback.

      · A High Level Committee to review the Lead Bank Scheme expected to submit its report by July 2008.

      · In order to promote anincentive system for greater flow and efficient allocation of credit, an Internal Working Group to be set up to look at issues relating to credit delivery, credit pricing and credit culture in a holistic manner.

      ·  With a view to bringing about greater transparency, the Reserve Bank is in the process of collecting details of various charges levied by banks for public dissemination.

      · In order to ensure that all bank branches provide better customer services to members of public at bank counters for exchange of notes, it is proposed to introduce a scheme of incentives and penalties for bank branches (including currency chests), based on their performance in rendering such services.

      Prudential Measures

      · In case of infrastructure projects to be financed by banks, the date of completion of the project should be clearly spelt out at the time of financial closure of the project and if the date of commencement of commercial production extends beyond a period of two years (as against the current norm of one year) after the date of completion of the project as originally envisaged, the account should be treated as sub-standard. The revised instructions are effective from March 31, 2008.

      · In view of the recent developments in the global financial markets and for ensuring financial stability, it is proposed to review current stipulations regarding conversion factors, risk weights and provisioning requirements for specific off-balance sheet exposures of banks and prescribe prudential requirements and place guidelines on the Reserve Bank's website by May 15, 2008.

      · Banks are required to review their advances to traders in agricultural commodities to ensure that bank finance is not used for hoarding and forward the first such review to the Reserve Bank by May 15, 2008 for carrying out supervisory review of banks' exposure to the commodity sector.

      ·  The limit of bank loans for housing enhanced from Rs.20 lakh to Rs.30 lakh for applicability of reduced risk weights at 50 per cent.

      ·  The Reserve Bank would complete the processing of applications for setting up Credit Information Companies by June 30, 2008.

      · The Reserve Bank has constituted an Internal Technical Group to propose criteria for the applicability of Basel norms to State Cooperative Banks/District Central Cooperative Banks/Regional Rural Banks that is expected to submit its report by June 30, 2008.

      ·  An Internal Working Group constituted by the Reserve Bank is currently studying the cross-country practices, including the legal issues to be laid down towards the road-map for adoption of a suitable framework for cross-border supervision and supervisory cooperation with overseas regulators, consistent with the framework envisaged in the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.

      · As proposed in the Mid-Term Review of October 2007, realignment of various internal supervisory processes for implementing an enhanced consolidated supervision of financial conglomerates would be completed by August 31, 2008.

      · The Reserve Bank to constitute a Working Group to study and recommend a suitable supervisory framework for activities of SPVs/Trusts set up by banks.

      ·  An inter-departmental group set up to study impact assessment, periodic reviews of horizontal risks across the system, inclusion of supervisory review process prescribed under Pillar 2 of Basel II framework in the Risk-based supervision (RBS) assessment besides simplifying the existing system of risk profiling for an appropriate RBS framework.

      · The Reserve Bank has constituted an inter-departmental Group to review the existing regulatory and supervisory framework for overseas operations of Indian banks, the introduction of new products and processes, increasing off-balance sheet exposures including derivative products, and also to recommend appropriate changes, including off-site reporting systems.

      · On the Financial Stability Forum's (FSF) Report in April 2008 regarding strengthening of prudential oversight of capital, liquidity and risk management, enhancing transparency and valuation, changing the role and uses of credit ratings, strengthening the authorities' responsiveness to risk and implementing robust arrangements for dealing with stress in the financial system, the Reserve Bank had put in place regulatory guidelines covering many aspects and action being initiated on others.

      ·  The Reserve Bank has undertaken a detailed process of identifying the eligible credit rating agencies whose ratings may be used by banks for assigning risk weights for credit risk consistently for each type of claim, for both risk weighting and risk management purposes.

      · A Working Group to lay down a road-map for adoption of a suitable framework for cross-border supervision and supervisory cooperation with overseas regulators, consistent with the framework envisaged in the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) has been constituted in March 2008.

      Institutional Developments

      ·  Following the enactment of the Payment and Settlement Systems Act, 2007, the Reserve Bank has placed the draft regulations under the Payment and Settlement Systems Act, 2007 on its website inviting public comments latest by May 15, 2008 to finalise regulations in consultation with the Government of India.

      ·  Banks are urged to ensure that security of banking transactions is adequately addressed while using IT-based products such as smart cards, hand held devices and secured message transfers.

      ·  The Reserve Bank has extended the waiver of processing charges for ECS / EFT / NEFT up to March 31, 2009.

      · The Reserve Bank is formulating draft guidelines for mobile payment systems in India to be placed on its website by June 15, 2008.

      · Effective April 1, 2008 all payment transactions of Rs. one crore and above in the money, Government securities and foreign exchange markets and the regulated entities (banks, PDs and NBFCs) have been made mandatory to be routed through the electronic payment mechanism.

      · A Working Group to be constituted comprising representatives of the Reserve Bank, Central/State Governments and the UCB sector to suggest measures, including the appropriate regulatory and supervisory framework, to facilitate emergence of umbrella organisation(s) for the UCB sector in the respective States.

      ·  To dispense with the extant eligibility norms for opening on-site ATMs for well-managed and financially sound UCBs in the States that have signed MoUs with the Reserve Bank and registered under the Multi-State Cooperative Societies Act, 2002.

      ·  With a view to liberalising and rationalising the branch licensing norms for UCBs, approvals for branch expansion, including off-site ATMs to be considered, based on annual business plans, subject to maintenance of minimum CRAR of 10 per cent on a continuing basis and other regulatory comfort.

      ·  To dispense with the minimum net worth criteria for undertaking insurance business provided other criteria as prescribed from time to time are met.

      · To increase the extant limit on individual housing loans from Rs.25 lakh to a maximum of Rs.50 lakh in respect of Tier-II UCBs, subject to certain conditions.

      · In the light of international developments and increasing bank exposure to these systemically important NBFCs, to review the regulations in respect of capital adequacy, liquidity and disclosure norms and issue revised instructions by May 31, 2008.

      · As part of the progress made by the Committee on Financial Sector Assessment (CFSA), the four Advisory Panels constituted by the Committee have prepared their draft reports. The reports of the CFSA as also those of Advisory Panels are expected to be finalised by end-June 2008 and will be placed thereafter on the Reserve Bank's website.

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      ActsIncome Tax