January 29, 2026
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India's FY26 growth projected at 7.4% GDP, with fiscal consolidation, improved bank asset quality, and export-led resilience.
FY26 is projected to record 7.4% real GDP growth and 7.3% GVA growth, underpinned by broad-based consumption, stronger investment and elevated public capital expenditure. Fiscal consolidation is supported by higher revenue receipts and expanded direct tax filings, while banking asset quality improved (GNPA 2.2%, net NPA 0.5%) and financial inclusion expanded. Exports, remittances and reserves strengthened external resilience. Manufacturing recovery, PLI-driven investment, infrastructure expansion, social sector gains, and a three-tiered disciplined "Swadeshi" strategy for strategic resilience are central policy themes.